• 제목/요약/키워드: Random Factors

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Analysis of Adolescent Suicide Factors based on Random Forest Machine Learning Algorithm

  • Gi-Lim HA;In Seon EO;Dong Hun HAN;Min Soo KANG
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.23-27
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to identify and analyze suicide factors of adolescents using the Random Forest algorithm. According to statistics on the cause of death by the National Statistical Office in 2019, suicide was the highest cause of death in the 10-19 age group, which is a major social problem. Using machine learning algorithms, research can predict whether individual adolescents think of suicide without investigating suicidal ideation and can contribute to protecting adolescents and analyzing factors that affect suicide, establishing effective intervention measures. As a result of predicting with the random forest algorithm, it can be said that the possibility of identifying and predicting suicide factors of adolescents was confirmed. To increase the accuracy of the results, continuous research on the factors that induce youth suicide is necessary.

2인자 혼합모형의 제약과 비제약 설계에 의한 게이지 R&R 연구의 고찰 (Review of Gauge R&R Studies by Restricted and Unrestricted Design in the Two-Factor Mixed Model)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.657-665
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    • 2009
  • The paper reviews gauge R&R studies by two-factor mixed models including random and fixed factors. The two-factor mixed models include restricted models and unrestricted models considering the interaction of two factors. This study also classifies the models according to the number of factors, and the combination of various factors such as random factor, fixed factor, block factor and repetition type.

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Eigenvalue analysis of structures with flexible random connections

  • Matheu, E.E.;Suarez, L.E.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.277-301
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    • 1996
  • A finite element model of a beam element with flexible connections is used to investigate the effect of the randomness in the stiffness values on the modal properties of the structural system. The linear behavior of the connections is described by a set of random fixity factors. The element mass and stiffness matrices are function of these random parameters. The associated eigenvalue problem leads to eigenvalues and eigenvectors which are also random variables. A second order perturbation technique is used for the solution of this random eigenproblem. Closed form expressions for the 1st and 2nd order derivatives of the element matrices with respect to the fixity factors are presented. The mean and the variance of the eigenvalues and vibration modes are obtained in terms of these derivatives. Two numerical examples are presented and the results are validated with those obtained by a Monte-Carlo simulation. It is found that an almost linear statistical relation exists between the eigenproperties and the stiffness of the connections.

랜덤 포레스트 기반 우울증 발현 패턴 도출 (Identifying the Expression Patterns of Depression Based on the Random Forest)

  • 전현진;진창호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2021
  • Depression is one of the most important psychiatric disorders worldwide. Most depression-related data mining and machine learning studies have been conducted to predict the presence of depression or to derive individual risk factors. However, since depression is caused by a combination of various factors, it is necessary to identify the complex relationship between the factors in order to establish effective anti-depression and management measures. In this study, we propose a methodology for identifying and interpreting patterns of depression expressions using the method of deriving random forest rules, where the random forest rule consists of the condition for the manifestation of the depressive pattern and the prediction result of depression when the condition is met. The analysis was carried out by subdividing into 4 groups in consideration of the different depressive patterns according to gender and age. Depression rules derived by the proposed methodology were validated by comparing them with the results of previous studies. Also, through the AUC comparison test, the depression diagnosis performance of the derived rules was evaluated, and it was not different from the performance of the existing PHQ-9 summing method. The significance of this study can be found in that it enabled the interpretation of the complex relationship between depressive factors beyond the existing studies that focused on prediction and deduction of major factors.

랜덤, 교차, 지분인자 모형에 의한 고정인자 분할구 실험설계의 생성 (Generation of Split Plot Design of Fixed Factors by Random, Crossed, and Nested Models)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2011
  • The paper reviews three Split Plot Designs (SPDs) of fixed factors, and those are SPD (RCBD, RCBD), SPD (CRD, RCBD) and SBD (Split Block Design). RCBD (Randomized Complete Block Design) and CRD (Completely Randomized Design) are used to deploy whole plot and sub plot. The models explained in this study are derived from random, crossed and nested models.

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Random Forest를 활용한 산사태 피해 영향인자 평가: 충주시 산사태를 중심으로 (Evaluation of the Importance of Variables When Using a Random Forest Technique to Assess Landslide Damage: Focusing on Chungju Landslides)

  • 이재호;정유진;최정해
    • 지질공학
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.51-65
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    • 2024
  • 산사태는 전 세계적으로 매년 큰 재산 피해를 야기하는 자연 재해로 알려져 있다. 국내에서도 기후 변화의 영향으로 산사태 피해가 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있으며, 이로 인한 피해를 줄이기 위해서는 산사태를 증가시키는 인자들을 파악하는 것이 중요하다. 따라서 본 연구는 충청북도 충주시에서 발생한 산사태 피해에 영향을 미치는 변수들의 중요도를 평가하기 위해 랜덤포레스트 모델을 활용하여 14개의 인자들 사이의 중요도를 분석하였다. 연구 결과, 모델의 성능은 AUC가 0.87로 높은 정확도를 보이며, 변수 중요도는 경사 방향, 경사, 계곡까지의 직선 거리, 고도 순으로 정해졌으며, 이는 경사방향과 경사 등의 지형인자가 암종과 유효토심과 같은 지질과 토양인자보다 산사태 피해에 더 큰 영향을 미친다는 것을 시사한다. 이 연구 결과는 산사태 피해 예측지도의 제작 및 산사태 피해 감소에 초점을 맞춘 연구에 기초 자료로서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

A Cumulative Logit Mixed Model for Ordered Response Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2006
  • This paper discusses about how to build up a mixed-effects model using cumulative logits when some factors are fixed and others are random. Location effects are considered as random effects by choosing them randomly from a population of locations. Estimation procedure for the unknown parameters in a suggested model is also discussed by an illustrated example.

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A Generalized Mixed-Effects Model for Vaccination Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2004
  • This paper deals with a mixed logit model for vaccination data. The effect of a newly developed vaccine for a certain chicken disease can be evaluated by a noninfection rate after injecting chicken with the disease vaccine. But there are a lot of factors that might affect the noninfecton rate. Some of these are fixed and others are random. Random factors are sometimes coming from the sampling scheme for choosing experimental units. This paper suggests a mixed model when some fixed factors need to have different experimental sizes by an experimental design and illustrates how to estimate parameters in a suggested model.

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Partial safety factors for retaining walls and slopes: A reliability based approach

  • GuhaRay, Anasua;Baidya, Dilip Kumar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2014
  • Uncertainties in design variables and design equations have a significant impact on the safety of geotechnical structures like retaining walls and slopes. This paper presents a possible framework for obtaining the partial safety factors based on reliability approach for different random variables affecting the stability of a reinforced concrete cantilever retaining wall and a slope under static loading conditions. Reliability analysis is carried out by Mean First Order Second Moment Method, Point Estimate Method, Monte Carlo Simulation and Response Surface Methodology. A target reliability index ${\beta}$ = 3 is set and partial safety factors for each random variable are calculated based on different coefficient of variations of the random variables. The study shows that although deterministic analysis reveals a safety factor greater than 1.5 which is considered to be safe in conventional approach, reliability analysis indicates quite high failure probability due to variation of soil properties. The results also reveal that a higher factor of safety is required for internal friction angle ${\varphi}$, while almost negligible values of safety factors are required for soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ in case of cantilever retaining wall and soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ and cohesion c in case of slope. Importance of partial safety factors is shown by analyzing two simple geotechnical structures. However, it can be applied for any complex system to achieve economization.

Random Parameter를 이용한 4지 신호교차로에서의 교통사고 예측모형 개발 : 부산광역시를 대상으로 (A Development of Traffic Accident Models at 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Random Parameter : A Case of Busan Metropolitan City)

  • 박민호;이동민;윤천주;김영록
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study tries to develop the accident models of 4-legged signalized intersections in Busan Metropolitan city with random parameter in count model to understanding the factors mainly influencing on accident frequencies. METHODS : To develop the traffic accidents modeling, this study uses RP(random parameter) negative binomial model which enables to take account of heterogeneity in data. By using RP model, each intersection's specific geometry characteristics were considered. RESULTS : By comparing the both FP(fixed parameter) and RP modeling, it was confirmed the RP model has a little higher explanation power than the FP model. Out of 17 statistically significant variables, 4 variables including traffic volumes on minor roads, pedestrian crossing on major roads, and distance of pedestrian crossing on major/minor roads are derived as having random parameters. In addition, the marginal effect and elasticity of variables are analyzed to understand the variables'impact on the likelihood of accident occurrences. CONCLUSIONS : This study shows that the uses of RP is better fitted to the accident data since each observations'specific characteristics could be considered. Thus, the methods which could consider the heterogeneity of data is recommended to analyze the relationship between accidents and affecting factors(for example, traffic safety facilities or geometrics in signalized 4-legged intersections).