• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall-Runoff simulation

검색결과 343건 처리시간 0.021초

강우의 공간분포를 고려한 SWAT 모형의 적용 (Application of SWAT Model considering Spatial Distribution of Rainfall)

  • 장대원;김덕길;김연수;최우일
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제20권1호
    • /
    • pp.94-104
    • /
    • 2018
  • 강우-유출 모의를 수행할 때 기상 및 강우관측소의 자료를 이용하는 것이 일반적이다. 그러나 유역면적이 클 경우 기상 및 강우관측소의 자료만으로 신뢰성 있는 유출량을 산정하기란 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이용되는 강우자료에 따라 준분포형 모형에 의해 산정되는 유출량에 미치는 영향을 검토하기 위해 대상유역에 위치하고 있는 기상관측소의 강우자료, 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우자료, 크리깅 기법에 의해 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우자료를 공간적으로 분포시켜 얻은 가상지점의 관측 강우자료를 이용해 각 소유역의 면적 강우량을 산정하였다. 또한 각각의 강우자료들을 비교하였으며, 분포형 모형인 SWAT모형을 이용하여 각각의 강우자료에 따른 유출량을 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구는 공간 분포된 면적강우량을 이용해 산정된 유출량의 정확성을 검토하기 위한 것으로써 분석 결과, 공간 분포된 면적 강우량을 이용한 유출량이 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우량을 이용한 유출량보다 실제 유출량을 보다 더 잘 모의하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 공간 분포된 강우가 실제 강우패턴을 가장 잘 반영한다고 할 수 있다.

도시 소유역의 유출변화 분석 (Runoff Analysis of Urban Small Watershed)

  • 이기춘;박승우;최진규
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.45-57
    • /
    • 1989
  • The hydrologic model FESHM was introduced and its applicability was investigated in an attempt to analyze the rainfall-runoff relationships of urban small watersheds and to hereafter predict the envi-ronmental changes. Basic data on rainfall, water level, geomorphological characterisitics and land use were obtained from Yeonwha stream watershed located in Chonju-si Dukjin-dong. WL-5 for simulation o subshed WS# 1(136.7 ha) with urban district and WL-1 for total watershed WS#5 (278.78 ha) we'e selected as gaging points. The main results gained through applications were summarized as follows. 1. Direct runoff ratio caalculated from a simple separation method for WS#5 WS# 1 was 2O~39%, 38~62%, respectively. 2. Simulations for the runoff estimation were carried out for each watershed using 5 rainfall events, the simulation errors had the range of 2~ 30%, O~ 63% and O 120 minutes for the runoff volume, peak flow and peak time, respectively. 3. The effect of landuse change by urbanization was tested to WS# 1, runoff volume before development was estimated as from tenth to twentieth against after development.

  • PDF

강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려한 돌발홍수기준 (Estimation of Flash Flood Guidance considering Uncertainty of Rainfall-Runoff Model)

  • 이건행;김형수;김수전;김병식
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.155-163
    • /
    • 2010
  • 돌발홍수는 짧은 지속기간, 급격한 경사와 불투수층에 대해 강한 강우로 인하여 피해를 유발하는 홍수를 말한다. 돌발홍수는 강우가 돌발홍수기준(Flash Flood Guidance)을 초과하는 경우에 발생하게 되며, 따라서 돌발홍수기준을 정확히 산정하는 것이 돌발홍수예보의 정확성에 크게 기여한다. 즉, 강우-유출관계가 갖고 있는 불확실성(uncertainty)을 최소화 할수록 돌발홍수기준을 정확하게 산정할 수 있으며, 강우-유출 모형은 각각 고유의 매개변수와 특성을 갖고 있으므로 어떠한 강우-유출 모형을 사용하여 강우-유출관계를 도출하느냐에 따라 불확실성의 정도가 크게 좌우된다. 본 연구에서는 4개의 강우-유출모형(HEC-HMS 모형, 저류함수모형, SSARR 모형, TANK 모형)의 모의값에 Monte Carlo 모의 방법을 적용하여 95%신뢰수준에 대한 신뢰한계를 추정하여 제시하였다.

장기유출 모의를 통한 도시유역 불투수율에 따른 유출계수 변화 (Estimation of runoff coefficient through impervious covers analysis using long-term outflow simulation)

  • 김영란;황성환
    • 상하수도학회지
    • /
    • 제28권6호
    • /
    • pp.635-645
    • /
    • 2014
  • The changes of rainfall pattern and impervious covers have increased disaster risks in urbanized areas. Impervious covers such as roads and building roofs have been dramatically increased. So, it is falling the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. Runoff coefficient means ratio of runoff by whole rainfall which is able to directly contribute at surface runoff during rainfall event. The application of accurate runoff coefficients is very important in sewer pipelines design. This study has been performed to estimate runoff characteristics change which are applicable to the process of sewer pipelines design or various public facilities design. It has used the SHER model, a long-term runoff model, to analyze the impact of a rising impervious covers on runoff coefficient change. It thus analyzed the long-term runoff to analyze rainfall basins extraction. Consequently, it was found that impervious surfaces could be a important factor for urban flood control. We could suggest the application of accurate runoff coefficients in accordance to the land Impervious covers. The average increase rates of runoff coefficients increased 0.011 for 1% increase of impervious covers. By having the application of the results, we could improve plans for facilities design.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.540-544
    • /
    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

  • PDF

유출곡선지수 회귀식을 이용한 보청천유역의 직접유출 모의연구 (Direct Runoff Simulation using CN Regression Equation for Bocheong Stream)

  • 곽재원;김수전;윤선화;김형수
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.590-597
    • /
    • 2010
  • NRCS Curve Number (CN) method is widely used for practical purposes in the field by engineers and researchers to calculate direct runoff from total rainfall. However, CN is obtained from antecedent moisture condition and soil characteristics and so it has some problems due to its uncertainty. Therefore this study estimated CN of a watershed using asymptotic CN method which can estimate CN by rainfall and runoff data and compared the result with representative CN given by WAMIS. And we performed runoff simulation for rainy season of Bocheong stream by CN regression equation. From the result, we showed that it could be more reasonable to simulate direct runoff using watershed CN regression equation than WAMIS CN. Furthermore, we knew that the equation is more sensitive to small rainfall event.

탱크모형의 流出孔 乘數 변화를 고려한 홍수모의 (Flood Simulation with the Variation of Runoff Coefficient in Tank Model)

  • 이상호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.3-12
    • /
    • 1998
  • 호우의 강우강도는 홍수 수문곡선의 첨두유량이나 도달시간에 영향을 미치는 주요 인자이므로 그 영향을 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수나 모형의 지배방정식에 반영하는 것이 합리적이다. 본 논문에서는강우강도의 변호를 탱크모형 최상단 탱크의 유출공 승수 변화에 반영하는 방안을 연구하였다. 탱크의 구조는 표준4단 탱크에서 최상단 유출공의 승수를 같도록 하고 1,2단 탱크의 유출에 지체시간을 부여한 수정형태이다. 내린천 유역의 여러 홍수에 대하여 최상단 탱크의 유출공 승수와 강우강도의 관계를 분석한 결과 강우강도가 증가할 때 승수 a1도 증가하는 경향이 있으나 그 정도는 다소 약하였다.이 경향을 a1=kI$(I:강우강도,k,m:계수)의 근사식으로 작성하여 모형 검증에 사용하였다. 이때 평균강우강도 I(t)는 시각 t에서 몇 시간 전까지의 이동평균을 사용하고, 계산된 a1이 그 전 값보다 크면 a1의 a1을 갱신하여 처음부터 시각 t까지의 강우량으로 다시 유출을 모의하였다. 검증 결과 강우강도를 반영한 유출공 승수 a1의 적용이 고정된 값의 사용에 비하여 홍수모의 오차를 크게 축소할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

사전재해영향성검토 시 합리적인 홍수유출 모의모형 선정에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Reasonable Choice of Simulation Model for Rainfall-Runoff in the Prior Review System on Disaster Effect)

  • 이정민;윤정란;김영진;진규남;한형근
    • 토지주택연구
    • /
    • 제1권1호
    • /
    • pp.75-82
    • /
    • 2010
  • 도시개발은 불투수면적의 증가를 가져오는 요인이다. 영구저류지는 도시개발 유역의 우수유출을 저감시키는 시설이다. 본 연구에서는 사전재해영향성 제도에서 합리적인 홍수조절방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 먼저 홍수량 계산에서 도달시간 채택에 관한 문제점을 고찰하였다. 홍수유출 모의모형의 적합성 검토는 전원유역과 도시유역에 대하여 수행되었다. 홍수유출 모의모형은 2009년 7월 7일과 9일의 실제 호우 시 측정자료를 통하여 검증되었다. 그 결과, 전원유역과 도시유역에 적합한 모형은 각각 운동파 모형과 SWMM인 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구에서 수행한 홍수량 산정모형과 합리적인 홍수설계 방안은 국내의 영구저류지 설계 시 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다. 수문학적 분석방법은 영구저류지의 합리적인 용량 및 규모산정에 활용될 것으로 사료된다.

Assessing Unit Hydrograph Parameters and Peak Runoff Responses from Storm Rainfall Events: A Case Study in Hancheon Basin of Jeju Island

  • Kar, Kanak Kanti;Yang, Sung-Kee;Lee, Jun-Ho
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.437-447
    • /
    • 2015
  • Estimation of runoff peak is needed to assess water availability, in order to support the multifaceted water uses and functions, hence to underscore the modalities for efficient water utilization. The magnitude of storm rainfall acts as a primary input for basin level runoff computation. The rainfall-runoff linkage plays a pivotal role in water resource system management and feasibility level planning for resource distribution. Considering this importance, a case study has been carried out in the Hancheon basin of Jeju Island where distinctive hydrological characteristics are investigated for continuous storm rainfall and high permeable geological features. The study aims to estimate unit hydrograph parameters, peak runoff and peak time of storm rainfalls based on Clark unit hydrograph method. For analyzing observed runoff, five storm rainfall events were selected randomly from recent years' rainfall and HEC-hydrologic modeling system (HMS) model was used for rainfall-runoff data processing. The simulation results showed that the peak runoff varies from 164 to 548 m3/sec and peak time (onset) varies from 8 to 27 hours. A comprehensive relationship between Clark unit hydrograph parameters (time of concentration and storage coefficient) has also been derived in this study. The optimized values of the two parameters were verified by the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and runoff comparison performance were analyzed by root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) estimation. After statistical analysis of the Clark parameters significance level was found in 5% and runoff performances were found as 3.97 RMSE and 0.99 NSE, respectively. The calibration and validation results indicated strong coherence of unit hydrograph model responses to the actual situation of historical storm runoff events.

실내인공강우기를 이용한 경사지 밭의 토양유실량과 오염부하 모의 (Simulation of generable muddy water quantity and pollutant loads in sloping field using artificial rainfall simulator)

  • 신민환;최용훈;서지연;이재운;최중대
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.986-990
    • /
    • 2009
  • Using artificial rainfall simulator, the soil loss, which is deemed as most cause of muddy water problem among Non-point source(NPS) pollutant, was studied by the analysis of direct runoff flow, groundwater runoff, and groundwater storage properties concerned with rainfall intensity, slope of area, and land cover. The direct runoff showed increasing tendency in both straw covered and bared boxes which are 5%, 10%, and 20% sloped respectively. Also the direct runoff volume from straw covered surface boxes were much lower than bared surface boxes. It's deemed as that the infiltration capacity of straw covered surface boxes were increased, because the surface sealing by fine material of soil surface didn't occurred due to the straw covering. Under the same rainfall intensity and slope condition, 2.4 ${\sim}$ 8.2 times of sediment yield were occurred from bared surface boxes more than straw covered surface boxes. The volume of infiltrated were increased due to straw cover, the direct runoff flow were decreased with decreasing of tractive force in surface. To understand of relationship the rate of direct runoff flow, groundwater runoff, and groundwater storage by the rainfall intensity, slope, and land cover, the statistical test was performed. It shows good relationship between most of factors, expect between the rate of groundwater storage and rainfall intensity.

  • PDF