• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Error

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Development of Artificial Intelligence Model for Predicting Citrus Sugar Content based on Meteorological Data (기상 데이터 기반 감귤 당도 예측 인공지능 모델 개발)

  • Seo, Dongmin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2021
  • Citrus quality is generally determined by its sugar content and acidity. In particular, sugar content is a very important factor because it determines the taste of citrus. Currently, the most commonly used method of measuring citrus sugar content in farms is a portable juiced sugar meter and a non-destructive sugar meter. This method can be easily measured by individuals, but the accuracy of the sugar content is inferior to that of the citrus NongHyup official machine. In particular, there is an error difference of 0.5 Brix or more, which is still insufficient for use in the field. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an AI model that predicts the citrus sugar content of unmeasured days within the error range of 0.5 Brix or less based on the previously collected citrus sugar content and meteorological data (average temperature, humidity, rainfall, solar radiation, and average wind speed). In addition, it was confirmed that the prediction model proposed through performance evaluation had an mean absolute error of 0.1154 for Seongsan area and 0.1983 for the Hawon area in Jeju Island. Lastly, the proposed model supports an error difference of less than 0.5 Brix and is a technology that supports predictive measurement, so it is expected that its usability will be highly progressive.

Improvement of Vegetation Index Image Simulations by Applying Accumulated Temperature

  • Park, Jin Sue;Park, Wan Yong;Eo, Yang Dam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2020
  • To analyze temporal and spatial changes in vegetation, it is necessary to determine the associated continuous distribution and conduct growth observations using time series data. For this purpose, the normalized difference vegetation index, which is calculated from optical images, is employed. However, acquiring images under cloud cover and rainfall conditions is challenging; therefore, time series data may often be unavailable. To address this issue, La et al. (2015) developed a multilinear simulation method to generate missing images on the target date using the obtained images. This method was applied to a small simulation area, and it employed a simple analysis of variables with lower constraints on the simulation conditions (where the environmental characteristics at the moment of image capture are considered as the variables). In contrast, the present study employs variables that reflect the growth characteristics of vegetation in a greater simulation area, and the results are compared with those of the existing simulation method. By applying the accumulated temperature, the average coefficient of determination (R2) and RMSE (Root Mean-Squared Error) increased and decreased by 0.0850 and 0.0249, respectively. Moreover, when data were unavailable for the same season, R2 and RMSE increased and decreased by 0.2421 and 0.1289, respectively.

Improve Acuracy of Rardar Areal Rainfall using Artificial Neural Network (ANN을 이용한 Radar 면적강우량의 정확도 향상)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Choi, Gi-An;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 티센망을 이용한 면적강우량 산정방법의 대안으로서 최근 들어 수자원공학 분야에의 활용성이 커지고 있는 고해상도 기상레이더의 반사도자료(dBZ)를 활용하여 면적강우량을 산정하였다. 또한 이렇게 산정된 레이더 면적강우량을 티센망으로써 산정된 면적강우량과 비교하여 그 유용성을 판단하였다. 연구지역으로는 소양강댐 유역을 선정하였으며, 연구기간은 2008년 가장 강한 강우를 보였던 상위 5개의 사상을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서는 레이더 반사도를 강우강도로 변환시키는 과정은 인공신경망(artificial neural network, ANN) 중에서 일반적으로 널리 사용되고 있는 다층 퍼셉트론 인공신경망 모형을 적용하였다. 연구방법으로는 선택된 4개의 인자를 입력노드에 넣어 인공신경망을 학습시킨 후 연구지역 내 10개 AWS 지상관측소의 강우량을 추정하여 정확도를 비교 분석하였다. 이를 바탕으로 최종적으로 레이더 면적강우량을 산정하여 기존의 티센망을 이용한 면적강우량과 그 값을 비교하였다. 그 결과 인공신경망을 이용한 레이더 강우량의 경우, 평균제곱오차(mean square error, MSE) 및 상관계수(correlation coefficient, CC)가 매우 양호한 값을 보였다. 또한 유역 내 레이더 면적강우량이 티센망을 이용한 면적강우량에 비하여 약 $7%^{\sim}19%$ 정도 차이가 발생함을 확인하였으며, 레이더 면적강우량이 티센망을 이용한 면적강우량에 비하여 더 정확한 면적강우량을 산정할 수 있다고 판단된다.

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Applications of a GIS-based Paddy Inundation Simulation System (GIS 기반 농경지 침수모의시스템의 구축 및 적용)

  • Kim , Sang-Min;Park , Chong-Min;Park , Seung-Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2004
  • A GIS-based paddy inundation simulation system which is capable of simulating temporal and spatial inundation processes was established and applied in this paper. The system is composed of HEC-GeoHMS, and HEC-GeoRAS modules which interface the GIS and flood runoff models, and HEC-HMS, and HEC-RAS models which estimate the flood runoff. It was used to simulate storm runoff and inundation for a small rural watershed, the Baran HP#7, which is 10.69 $km^2$ in size. The simulated peak runoff, time to peak, and total direct runoff for eight storms were compared with the observed data. The results showed that the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) for the observed peak runoff was 0.99 and an error, RMSE, 11.862 $m^3$/s for calibration stages. In the model verification, $R^2$ was 0.99 and RMSE 1.296 $m^3$/s. Paddy inundation for each paddy growing stages in study watershed were estimated using verified inundation simulation system when probability rainfall was applied.

Rainfall Correction of Radar Image Data and Estimation Runoff of Urban Stream using Vflo (레이더 자료의 강우보정 및 Vflo를 활용한 도심하천의 홍수량 산정)

  • Kang, Bo-Seong;Yang, Sung-Kee;Kim, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.411-420
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    • 2017
  • This research aims at comparing the accuracy of flood discharge estimation. For this, we focused on the Oedo watershed of Jeju Island and compared flood discharge by analyzing the values as follows: (1) the concentration of the lumped model (HEC-HMS) and distributed model (Vflo), and (2) the in-situ data using Fixed Surface Image Velocimetry (FSIV). The flood discharge estimation from the HEC-HMS model is slightly larger than the Vflo model results. This result shows that the estimations of the HEC-HMS are larger than the flood discharge data by 4.43 to 36.24% and that of the Vflo are larger by 8.49 to 11%. In terms of the error analysis at the peak discharge occurrence time of each mapping, HEC-HMS is one hour later than the measured data, but Vflo is almost the same as the measured data.

Derivation of Transfer Function Models in each Antecedent Precipitation Index for Real-time Streamflow Forecasting (실시간 유출예측을 위한 선행강우지수별 TF모형의 유도)

  • Nahm, Sun Woo;Park, Sang Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 1992
  • Stochastic rainfall-runoff process model which is mainly used in real-time streamflow forecasting is Transfer Function(TF) model that has a simple structure and can be easy to formulate state-space model. However, in order to forecast the streamflow accurately in real-time using the TF model, it is not only necessary to determine accurate structure of the model but also required to reduce forecasting error in early stage. In this study, after introducing 5-day Antecedent Precipitation Index (API5), which represents the initial soil moisture condition of the watershed, by using the threshold concept, the TF models in each API5 are identified by Box-Jenkins method and the results are compared with each other.

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Radar Data Correction for Long Distance Observation In Coastal Zone (해안지역 내 원거리 레이더관측자료의 보정에 관한 연구)

  • Ricardo S. TENORIO;Byung-Hyuk Kwon;Hong-Joo Yoon;Dong-In Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.985-996
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    • 2000
  • In the coastal zone, to draw up short and medium range weather forecasts, mesoscale pluviogenic systems coming from the sea have to be observed in real time. These observations use remote sensing. However, satellite remote sensing is not sufficient to describe pluviogenic systems; reference to radar long distance observations is indispensable. This paper deals with the corrections, which must be made to long distance radar data if the rainfall field is to be both accurately and quantitatively defined. The error due to vertical variation in the reflectivity factor can be corrected from estimation of the mean profiles or by a climatic adjustment method. Atten-uation in the propagation can be corrected by an iterative polarimetric method. These various correc-tions permit the distance validity limits of radar data to be extended.

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Comparative Study of Regional Frequency Analysis Methods of Rainfall in Han River Basin (한강 유역에서의 강우 지역빈도 해석 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Um, Myoung-Jin;Lim, Seung-Teak;Nam, Woo-Sung;Cho, Won-Cheol;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1072-1076
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 한강유역 109개 지점의 강우관측소에서 관측된 지속기간별 연최대강우량을 기본으로 각 지속기간별 L-모멘트값을 산정하고, 한강유역에 적합한 빈도해석기법을 정의하기 위하여 지역구분을 실시하였다. 지역구분을 위한 군집분석을 수행하기 위하여 각 지점별 기상학적 인자와 지형학적 인자를 변수로 사용하였다. 군집분석 기법인 Ward, 평균연결법, Fuzzy-c means, Two-Step방법을 이용하여 지역구분을 실시하였다. GIS를 이용하여 각 방법들을 이용하여 군집된 결과를 도시한 결과 Fuzzy-c means방법으로 구분된 지역구분이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 구분된 지역의 동질성 여부를 판단하고 적정 분포형을 선정하였으며 지점빈도해석 및 지역빈도해석을 통하여 빈도별 확률 수문량을 산정하였다. 산정된 결과의 정확도 알아보기 위해 모의발생을 시킨 후, 각 기법별로 산정된 상대 평균 제곱근 오차(Relative Root Mean Square Error, RRMSE)를 비교 분석한 결과 대체적으로 지수홍수법과 계층적 방법이 낮은 RRMSE를 나타냈다. 따라서 한강유역에서는 지수홍수법과 계층적 방법을 적용한 지역빈도해석이 적합한 것으로 판단된다.

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Effects of Meteorological Elements in the Production of Food Crops: Focused on Regression Analysis using Panel Data (기상요소가 식량작물 생산량에 미치는 영향: 패널자료를 활용한 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Joong-Woo;Jang, Young Jae;Ko, Kwang-Kun;Park, Jong-Kil
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2013
  • Recent climate change has led to fluctuations in agricultural production, and as a result national food supply has become an important strategic factor in economic policy. As such, in this study, panel data was collected to analyze the effects of seven meteorological elements and using the Lagrange multipliers method, the fixed-effects model for the production of five types of food crop and the seven meteorological elements were analyzed. Results showed that the key factors effecting increases in production of rice grains were average temperature, average relative humidity and average ground surface temperature, while wheat and barley were found to have positive correlations with average temperature and average humidity. The implications of this study are as follow. First, it was confirmed that the meteorological elements have profound effects on the production of food crops. Second, when compared to existing studies, the study was not limited to one food crop but encompassed all five types, and went beyond other studies that were limited to temperature and rainfall to include various meterological elements.

Urban Inundation Modeling and Its Damage Evaluation Based on Loose-coupling GIS (Loose-coupling GIS기반의 도시홍수 모의 및 피해액산정)

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2010
  • Considering the flood problem in urban areas, it is important to estimate disaster risk using accurate numerical analysis for inundation. In this study, it is carried out to calculate inundation depth in Samcheok city which suffered from serious flood damage in 2002. The urban flood model was developed by cording Manning n, elevation, and building's rare on ArcGIS for reducing error on data exchange, and applied for estimating flood damage by grid. This paper describes the extraction of sewer lines and buildings area, estimates its influence on flood inundation extent, and integrated 1D/2D flow to simulate inundation depth in high-density building area. This paper shows an integrated urban flood modeling including rainfall-runoff, inundation simulation, and mathematical flood damage estimation, and will serve drainage design for reducing its damage.