• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Accuracy

Search Result 359, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Runoff Analysis Using Dual Polarization RADAR and Distributed Model (이중편파 레이더강우와 분포형 모형을 이용한 유출해석)

  • Jeong, Jiyoung;Yu, Myungsu;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.9
    • /
    • pp.801-812
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, average rainfall of basin was estimated and compared with that obtained from Biseulsan dual polarization RADAR. And the runoffs are estimated using Vflo distribution model for Habcheon reservoir basin and Huicheon basin. In the rainfall estimation using dual polarization RADAR, the rainfall was estimated by using the specific phase difference and differential reflectivity of dual polarization RADAR variables. As a result, for all events rainfall estimation using dual polarization RADAR has the closest value to the gauge rainfall in terms of the peak rainfall and total rainfall. Also, runoff simulation results from dual polarization RADAR show the better results. It is concluded that the method using dual polarization radar can improve the accuracy more than a single polarization radar using only horizontal reflectivity.

Development of relationship equation for vehicle sensor signal and observed rainfall (차량용 강우센서의 Signal과 관측강우의 관계식 개발)

  • Lee, Suk Ho;Kim, Young Gon;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.50 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-35
    • /
    • 2017
  • A vehicle rainfall sensor is made to control the operating speed of wipers depending on rainfall. Therefore this is the apparatus to determine the velocity phase of the wipers roughly based on the amount of rainfall. However, the technology which can judge the size of rainfall amount besides determining speed level of the wipers is developing according to the development of the function of rainfall sensor due to the development of technology. In this study, a rainfall measurement by using light scattering by precipitation particles was used. This measurement is to use light signal reflection from front glass and the bigger particle is the less detection of light by light scattering. The detection area of the rainfall sensor and detection channel were extended sizes to increase the accuracy of the rainfall. Also the W-S-R relational expression was developed by using a relationship between the specific precipitation (R) and the amount of sensor detection (S) when there is speed change of the wipers (W) and an indoor rainfall apparatus was used to convert sensing signal to rainfall. The signal system of vehicle rainfall sensor can be converted to the actual rainfall amount by using this formula and if this is provided to users then the vehicle observation network can produce higher-resolution than actual observation network can be produced.

Analysis on Spatial Variability of Rainfall in a Small Area (소규모 지역에 대한 강우의 공간변화도 분석)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Kim, Won;Kim, Dong-Gu;Lee, Chanjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.48 no.11
    • /
    • pp.905-913
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study deployed six rain gauges in a small area for a dense network observing rainfall and analyzed the spatial variability of rainfall. They were arranged in a $2{\times}3$ rectangular grid with equal space of 60 m. The rainfall measurements from five gauges were analyzed during the period of 50 days because one was seriously affected by alien substance. The maximum difference in cumulative rainfall from them is approximately 38.5 mm. The correlation coefficients from hourly rainfall time series differ from each other while daily rainfall coincide. The coefficient of variation in hourly rainfall varies up to 224% and that in daily rainfall up to 91%. The results from uncertainty analysis show that with only four rain gauges areal mean rainfall cannot be estimated over 95% accuracy. For reliable flood prediction and effective water management it is required to develop a new technique for the estimation of areal rainfall.

A Feasibility Study of a Rainfall Triggeirng Index Model to Warn Landslides in Korea (산사태 경보를 위한 RTI 모델의 적용성 평가)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Choi, Junghae;Jeong, Hae Keun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.235-250
    • /
    • 2016
  • In Korea, 70% of the annual rainfall falls in summer, and the number of days of extreme rainfall (over 200 mm) is increasing over time. Because rainfall is the most important trigger of landslides, it is necessary to decide a rainfall threshold for landslide warning and to develop a landslide warning model. This study selected 12 study areas that contained landslides with exactly known triggering times and locations, and also rainfall data. The feasibility of applying a Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Korea is analyzed, and three RTI models that consider different time units for rainfall intensity are compared. The analyses show that the 60-minute RTI model failed to predict landslides in three of the study areas, while both the 30- and 10-minute RTI models gave successful predictions for all of the study areas. Each RTI model showed different mean response times to landslide warning: 4.04 hours in the 60-minute RTI model, 6.08 hours in the 30-minute RTI model, and 9.15 hours in the 10-minute RTI model. Longer response times to landslides were possible using models that considered rainfall intensity for shorter periods of time. Considering the large variations in rainfall intensity that may occur within short periods in Korea, it is possible to increase the accuracy of prediction, and thereby improve the early warning of landslides, using a RTI model that considers rainfall intensity for periods of less than 1 hour.

A Suggestion for Data Assimilation Method of Hydrometeor Types Estimated from the Polarimetric Radar Observation

  • Yamaguchi, Kosei;Nakakita, Eiichi;Sumida, Yasuhiko
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.2161-2166
    • /
    • 2009
  • It is important for 0-6 hour nowcasting to provide for a high-quality initial condition in a meso-scale atmospheric model by a data assimilation of several observation data. The polarimetric radar data is expected to be assimilated into the forecast model, because the radar has a possibility of measurements of the types, the shapes, and the size distributions of hydrometeors. In this paper, an impact on rainfall prediction of the data assimilation of hydrometeor types (i.e. raindrop, graupel, snowflake, etc.) is evaluated. The observed information of hydrometeor types is estimated using the fuzzy logic algorism. As an implementation, the cloud-resolving nonhydrostatic atmospheric model, CReSS, which has detail microphysical processes, is employed as a forecast model. The local ensemble transform Kalman filter, LETKF, is used as a data assimilation method, which uses an ensemble of short-term forecasts to estimate the flowdependent background error covariance required in data assimilation. A heavy rainfall event occurred in Okinawa in 2008 is chosen as an application. As a result, the rainfall prediction accuracy in the assimilation case of both hydrometeor types and the Doppler velocity and the radar echo is improved by a comparison of the no assimilation case. The effects on rainfall prediction of the assimilation of hydrometeor types appear in longer prediction lead time compared with the effects of the assimilation of radar echo only.

  • PDF

Investigate the effect of spatial variables on the weather radar adjustment method for heavy rainfall events by ANFIS-PSO

  • Oliaye, Alireza;Kim, Seon-Ho;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.142-142
    • /
    • 2022
  • Adjusting weather radar data is a prerequisite for its use in various hydrological studies. Effect of spatial variables are considered to adjust weather radar data in many of these researches. The existence of diverse topography in South Korea has increased the importance of analyzing these variables. In this study, some spatial variable like slope, elevation, aspect, distance from the sea, plan and profile curvature was considered. To investigate different topographic conditions, tried to use three radar station of Gwanaksan, Gwangdeoksan and Gudeoksan which are located in northwest, north and southeast of South Korea, respectively. To form the suitable fuzzy model and create the best membership functions of variables, ANFIS-PSO model was applied. After optimizing the model, the correlation coefficient and sensitivity of adjusted Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) based on spatial variables was calculated to find how variables work in adjusted QPE process. The results showed that the variable of elevation causes the most change in rainfall and consequently in the adjustment of radar data in model. Accordingly, the sensitivity ratio calculated for variables shows that with increasing rainfall duration, the effects of these variables on rainfall adjustment increase. The approach of this study, due to the simplicity and accuracy of this method, can be used to adjust the weather radar data and other required models.

  • PDF

The Effect of Radar Data Assimilation in Numerical Models on Precipitation Forecasting (수치모델에서 레이더 자료동화가 강수 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Ji-Won Lee;Ki-Hong Min
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.457-475
    • /
    • 2023
  • Accurately predicting localized heavy rainfall is challenging without high-resolution mesoscale cloud information in the numerical model's initial field, as precipitation intensity and amount vary significantly across regions. In the Korean Peninsula, the radar observation network covers the entire country, providing high-resolution data on hydrometeors which is suitable for data assimilation (DA). During the pre-processing stage, radar reflectivity is classified into hydrometeors (e.g., rain, snow, graupel) using the background temperature field. The mixing ratio of each hydrometeor is converted and inputted into a numerical model. Moreover, assimilating saturated water vapor mixing ratio and decomposing radar radial velocity into a three-dimensional wind vector improves the atmospheric dynamic field. This study presents radar DA experiments using a numerical prediction model to enhance the wind, water vapor, and hydrometeor mixing ratio information. The impact of radar DA on precipitation prediction is analyzed separately for each radar component. Assimilating radial velocity improves the dynamic field, while assimilating hydrometeor mixing ratio reduces the spin-up period in cloud microphysical processes, simulating initial precipitation growth. Assimilating water vapor mixing ratio further captures a moist atmospheric environment, maintaining continuous growth of hydrometeors, resulting in concentrated heavy rainfall. Overall, the radar DA experiment showed a 32.78% improvement in precipitation forecast accuracy compared to experiments without DA across four cases. Further research in related fields is necessary to improve predictions of mesoscale heavy rainfall in South Korea, mitigating its impact on human life and property.

Considering of the Rainfall Effect in Missing Traffic Volume Data Imputation Method (누락교통량자료 보정방법에서 강우의 영향 고려)

  • Kim, Min-Heon;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-13
    • /
    • 2015
  • Traffic volume data is basic information that is used in a wide variety of fields. Existing missing traffic volume data imputation method did not take the effect on the rainfall. This research analyzed considering of the rainfall effect in missing traffic volume data imputation method. In order to consider the effect of rainfall, established the following assumption. When missing of traffic volume data generated in rainy days it would be more accurate to use only the traffic volume data of the past rainy days. To confirm this assumption, compared for accuracy of imputed results at three kinds of imputation method(Unconditional Mean, Auto Regression, Expectation-Maximization Algorithm). The analysis results, the case on consideration of the rainfall effect was more low error occurred.

Development of Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Multi-Directional Flow Allocation and Real-Time Updating Algorithm (II) - Application - (다방향 흐름 분배와 실시간 보정 알고리듬을 이용한 분포형 강우-유출 모형 개발(II) - 적용 -)

  • Kim, Keuk-Soo;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Gwang-Seob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.42 no.3
    • /
    • pp.259-270
    • /
    • 2009
  • The applicability of the developed distributed rainfall runoff model using a multi-directional flow allocation algorithm and a real-time updating algorithm was evaluated. The rainfall runoff processes were simulated for the events of the Andong dam basin and the Namgang dam basin using raingauge network data and weather radar rainfall data, respectively. Model parameters of the basins were estimated using previous storm event then those parameters were applied to a current storm event. The physical propriety of the multi-directional flow allocation algorithm for flow routing was validated by presenting the result of flow grouping for the Andong dam basin. Results demonstrated that the developed model has efficiency of simulation time with maintaining accuracy by applying the multi-directional flow allocation algorithm and it can obtain more accurate results by applying the real-time updating algorithm. In this study, we demonstrated the applicability of a distributed rainfall runoff model for the advanced basin-wide flood management.

Development of Rainfall Estimation Technology in the Korean Peninsula in the Event of Heavy Rain using COMS and GPM Satellites (천리안 위성과 GPM 위성을 활용한 한반도 호우사상 강우추정 기술 개발)

  • Cheon, Eun Ji;Lee, Dalgeun;Yu, Jung Hum
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.35 no.5_2
    • /
    • pp.851-859
    • /
    • 2019
  • The COMS satellites take image of the Korean Peninsula every 15 minutes, but due to the limitations of the observational channels, they tend to underestimate when estimating rainfall. In this study, we developed satellite-based rainfall estimation technology using COMS and GPM that can be used in the heavy rain on the Korean Peninsula. The time resolution and spatial resolution of COMS satellites and GPM satellites were matched to improve accuracy using GPM IMERG data. As a result, it showed that the number of correlations with the ASOS observations was more than 0.7, enabling the estimation of rainfalls that are more accurate than the estimates of rainfall by COMS satellites. It is believed that the application of the subsequent satellite(GK-2A) will provide more accurate rainfall estimation information in the future. Therefore, we expect greater utilization in disaster management for the ungauged areas.