• Title/Summary/Keyword: Radiation Prediction

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Radiation Prediction Based on Multi Deep Learning Model Using Weather Data and Weather Satellites Image (기상 데이터와 기상 위성 영상을 이용한 다중 딥러닝 모델 기반 일사량 예측)

  • Jae-Jung Kim;Yong-Hun You;Chang-Bok Kim
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2021
  • Deep learning shows differences in prediction performance depending on data quality and model. This study uses various input data and multiple deep learning models to build an optimal deep learning model for predicting solar radiation, which has the most influence on power generation prediction. did. As the input data, the weather data of the Korea Meteorological Administration and the clairvoyant meteorological image were used by segmenting the image of the Korea Meteorological Agency. , comparative evaluation, and predicting solar radiation by constructing multiple deep learning models connecting the models with the best error rate in each model. As an experimental result, the RMSE of model A, which is a multiple deep learning model, was 0.0637, the RMSE of model B was 0.07062, and the RMSE of model C was 0.06052, so the error rate of model A and model C was better than that of a single model. In this study, the model that connected two or more models through experiments showed improved prediction rates and stable learning results.

Comparative Analysis of Measurements and Total Solar Irradiance Models on Inclined Surface for Building Solar Energy Prediction (건물의 일사에너지 예측을 위한 경사면 일사량 측정과 예측모델과의 비교분석 연구)

  • Yoon, Kap-chun;Jeon, Jong-Ug;Kim, Kang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2012
  • In all building's energy simulation applications, solar radiation must be calculated on inclined surfaces. Various solar radiation models based on measured data of specific region were used in building simulation programs. Therefore, we should choose the appropriate solar radiation model for Seoul. The purpose of this study is to compare four solar radiation models on inclined surfaces that are widely used in building energy simulations. In this case, it can be said the appropriate model in Seoul is the Isotropic model.

Improving the Accuracy of a Heliocentric Potential (HCP) Prediction Model for the Aviation Radiation Dose

  • Hwang, Junga;Yoon, Kyoung-Won;Jo, Gyeongbok;Noh, Sung-Jun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2016
  • The space radiation dose over air routes including polar routes should be carefully considered, especially when space weather shows sudden disturbances such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs), flares, and accompanying solar energetic particle events. We recently established a heliocentric potential (HCP) prediction model for real-time operation of the CARI-6 and CARI-6M programs. Specifically, the HCP value is used as a critical input value in the CARI-6/6M programs, which estimate the aviation route dose based on the effective dose rate. The CARI-6/6M approach is the most widely used technique, and the programs can be obtained from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). However, HCP values are given at a one month delay on the FAA official webpage, which makes it difficult to obtain real-time information on the aviation route dose. In order to overcome this critical limitation regarding the time delay for space weather customers, we developed a HCP prediction model based on sunspot number variations (Hwang et al. 2015). In this paper, we focus on improvements to our HCP prediction model and update it with neutron monitoring data. We found that the most accurate method to derive the HCP value involves (1) real-time daily sunspot assessments, (2) predictions of the daily HCP by our prediction algorithm, and (3) calculations of the resultant daily effective dose rate. Additionally, we also derived the HCP prediction algorithm in this paper by using ground neutron counts. With the compensation stemming from the use of ground neutron count data, the newly developed HCP prediction model was improved.

Prediction of Target Motion Using Neural Network for 4-dimensional Radiation Therapy (신경회로망을 이용한 4차원 방사선치료에서의 조사 표적 움직임 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Kyung;Kim, Yong-Nam;Park, Kyung-Ran;Jeong, Kyeong-Keun;Lee, Chang-Geol;Lee, Ik-Jae;Seong, Jin-Sil;Choi, Won-Hoon;Chung, Yoon-Sun;Park, Sung-Ho
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.132-138
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    • 2009
  • Studies on target motion in 4-dimensional radiotherapy are being world-widely conducted to enhance treatment record and protection of normal organs. Prediction of tumor motion might be very useful and/or essential for especially free-breathing system during radiation delivery such as respiratory gating system and tumor tracking system. Neural network is powerful to express a time series with nonlinearity because its prediction algorithm is not governed by statistic formula but finds a rule of data expression. This study intended to assess applicability of neural network method to predict tumor motion in 4-dimensional radiotherapy. Scaled Conjugate Gradient algorithm was employed as a learning algorithm. Considering reparation data for 10 patients, prediction by the neural network algorithms was compared with the measurement by the real-time position management (RPM) system. The results showed that the neural network algorithm has the excellent accuracy of maximum absolute error smaller than 3 mm, except for the cases in which the maximum amplitude of respiration is over the range of respiration used in the learning process of neural network. It indicates the insufficient learning of the neural network for extrapolation. The problem could be solved by acquiring a full range of respiration before learning procedure. Further works are programmed to verify a feasibility of practical application for 4-dimensional treatment system, including prediction performance according to various system latency and irregular patterns of respiration.

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Prediction of Exposure to 1763MHz Radiofrequency Radiation Using Support Vector Machine Algorithm in Jurkat Cell Model System

  • Huang Tai-Qin;Lee Min-Su;Bae Young-Joo;Park Hyun-Seok;Park Woong-Yang;Seo Jeong-Sun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2006
  • We have investigated biological responses to radiofrequency (RF) radiation in in vitro and in vivo models. By measuring the levels of heat shock proteins as well as the activation of mitogen activated protein kinases (MAPKs), we could not detect any differences upon RF exposure. In this study, we used more sensitive method to find the molecular responses to RF radiation. Jurkat, human T-Iymphocyte cells were exposed to 1763 MHz RF radiation at an average specific absorption rate (SAR) of 10 W/kg for one hour and harvested immediately (R0) or after five hours (R5). From the profiles of 30,000 genes, we selected 68 differentially expressed genes among sham (S), R0 and R5 groups using a random-variance F-test. Especially 45 annotated genes were related to metabolism, apoptosis or transcription regulation. Based on support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, we designed prediction model using 68 genes to discriminate three groups. Our prediction model could predict the target class of 19 among 20 examples exactly (95% accuracy). From these data, we could select the 68 biomarkers to predict the RF radiation exposure with high accuracy, which might need to be validated in in vivo models.

A study on solar radiation prediction using medium-range weather forecasts (중기예보를 이용한 태양광 일사량 예측 연구)

  • Sujin Park;Hyojeoung Kim;Sahm Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2023
  • Solar energy, which is rapidly increasing in proportion, is being continuously developed and invested. As the installation of new and renewable energy policy green new deal and home solar panels increases, the supply of solar energy in Korea is gradually expanding, and research on accurate demand prediction of power generation is actively underway. In addition, the importance of solar radiation prediction was identified in that solar radiation prediction is acting as a factor that most influences power generation demand prediction. In addition, this study can confirm the biggest difference in that it attempted to predict solar radiation using medium-term forecast weather data not used in previous studies. In this paper, we combined the multi-linear regression model, KNN, random fores, and SVR model and the clustering technique, K-means, to predict solar radiation by hour, by calculating the probability density function for each cluster. Before using medium-term forecast data, mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) were used as indicators to compare model prediction results. The data were converted into daily data according to the medium-term forecast data format from March 1, 2017 to February 28, 2022. As a result of comparing the predictive performance of the model, the method showed the best performance by predicting daily solar radiation with random forest, classifying dates with similar climate factors, and calculating the probability density function of solar radiation by cluster. In addition, when the prediction results were checked after fitting the model to the medium-term forecast data using this methodology, it was confirmed that the prediction error increased by date. This seems to be due to a prediction error in the mid-term forecast weather data. In future studies, among the weather factors that can be used in the mid-term forecast data, studies that add exogenous variables such as precipitation or apply time series clustering techniques should be conducted.

Variation of Crop Coefficient With Respect to the Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Estimation Methods in Ponded Direct Seeding Paddy Rice (담수직파재배 논벼의 기준작물 잠재증발산량 산정방법별 작물계수의 변화)

  • 정상옥
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.114-121
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    • 1997
  • In order to provide basic information for the estimation of evapotranspiration in the ponded direct seeding paddy field, both field lysimeter experiment and model prediction were performed to estimate daily ET. Various methods were used to predict daily reference crop ET and crop coefficients. Measure4 mean daily ET during the 1995 growing season varied from 5.9 to 6.1 mm depending on the species, while it varied from 5.1 to 5.5 mm in 1996. Model predicted mean daily ET during the 1995 growing season varied from 3.9 to 4.9 mm depending on the prediction model, while it varied from 3.5 to 4.7 mm in 1996. The smaller ET values both measured and predicted in 1996 were caused by the low values of temperature, sunshine hours, and solar radiation. Crop coefficients varied from 1.20 to 1.50 in 1995 depending on the prediction model, while it varied from 1.10 to 1.47 in 1996. Comparison of the seven reference crop ET prediction methods used in this study shows that the Penman-Monteith method and the FAO-Radiation method gave the lowest ET while the corrected Penman method and the Hargreaves method gave the largest ET. Since crop coefficients vary to a large extent based on the prediction methods, reference crop ET prediction method should be carefully selected in irrigation planning.

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The Prediction of Temperature in Composite Box Girder Bridges (합성 박스형 교량의 온도 예측)

  • Chang, Sung Pil;Im, Chang Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.9 no.3 s.32
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    • pp.431-440
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    • 1997
  • The paper describes a theoretical model for the prediction of bridge temperatures from meteorological data measured at bridge site and local meteorological center together with existing finite element heat transfer theory and solar radiation transfer theory to determine the time dependent temperature distribution of bridge. In this analytical model, the most adequate equation for the calculation of solar radiation on the bridge surface, which is dominant in day time is described based on the results of several experimental studies for the solar energy. The validity of this model is tested against field data obtained from long term experimental program on Sadang Viaduct in Seoul. Also, this paper describes the linear correlation between design variables and meteorological data to establish analytical criteria for the prediction of the average temperature, which are responsible for the longitudinal deformation of the bridges and of the vertical differential temperature profiles. which are responsible for the bending deformations from the long term experimental results.

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IoT Enabled Intelligent System for Radiation Monitoring and Warning Approach using Machine Learning

  • Muhammad Saifullah ;Imran Sarwar Bajwa;Muhammad Ibrahim;Mutyyba Asgher
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2023
  • Internet of things has revolutionaries every field of life due to the use of artificial intelligence within Machine Learning. It is successfully being used for the study of Radiation monitoring, prediction of Ultraviolet and Electromagnetic rays. However, there is no particular system available that can monitor and detect waves. Therefore, the present study designed in which IOT enables intelligence system based on machine learning was developed for the prediction of the radiation and their effects of human beings. Moreover, a sensor based system was installed in order to detect harmful radiation present in the environment and this system has the ability to alert the humans within the range of danger zone with a buzz, so that humans can move to a safer place. Along with this automatic sensor system; a self-created dataset was also created in which sensor values were recorded. Furthermore, in order to study the outcomes of the effect of these rays researchers used Support Vector Machine, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Decision Trees, Extra Trees, Bagging Classifier, Random Forests, Logistic Regression and Adaptive Boosting Classifier were used. To sum up the whole discussion it is stated the results give high accuracy and prove that the proposed system is reliable and accurate for the detection and monitoring of waves. Furthermore, for the prediction of outcome, Adaptive Boosting Classifier has shown the best accuracy of 81.77% as compared with other classifiers.