• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.447-467
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• 2016

The RTAs with trade facilitation provisions have been expected to generate a larger net trade-creating effect and complement the discriminatory feature of RTAs but have yet to be empirically proven. Recognizing the limitations of existing studies, we conducted a quantitative analysis on the effects of RTAs with and without trade facilitation provisions on both intra- and extra-bloc trade by using a modified gravity equation. We applied the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation with time varying exporter and importer fixed effect method to panel data consisting of 45,770 country pairs covering 170 countries for 2000-2010. We found that the trade facilitation provisions in existing RTAs are non-discriminatory by generating more intra- and extra-bloc trade in general. In particular, we found that the trade effects of RTAs in the APEC region are much stronger than the general case covering all RTAs in the world. In addition, as we control the trade effect of a country's trade facilitation, which is ranked by the World Bank's logistic performance index, RTAs consisting of trade facilitation provisions are discriminatory for trade in final goods and non-discriminatory for trade in intermediate goods. Overall, we endeavor to "explain," instead of "hypothesizing," why most of the recent RTAs contain trade facilitation provisions, especially in light of the deepening regional interdependence through trade in parts and components under global value chains and support the necessity of multilateralizing RTAs by implementing non-discriminatory trade facilitation provisions.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제68권
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• pp.171-195
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• 2015

The large increase in RTAs since the late 1980's has challenged the foundations of the multilateral trading system, and thereby has become an axis in the GATT/WTOsystem.While RTAs can be seen to be contradictory to the overall aim of the WTO, they were allowed for in Article XXIV of GATT conditional to certain provision. The failure of compliance and subsequently enforcement of these provisions could be seen as a serious flaw of Article XXIV since the inception of GATT system. Many elements of GATT Article XXIV are not clear and thus lead to divergent interpretations of its disciplines. This considerable divergence in opinions arise from both ambiguities throughout the provisions under GATT Article XXIV. In this regard, both economic and legal work is required to keep up with constantly changing nature of the world trading system. Further, global efforts are required to resolve another teething issue of WTO's problematic institutional framework on GATT/WTO's oversight and surveillance of RTAs. and thereby strengthen the multilateral trading system. Needless to say, theGATT/WTOframework has been essential in paving the way for RTAs while ensuring a more multilateral and liberal trading system. Consequently, global efforts should be made to restructure the WTO for the renewed multilateral trade liberalization in the GATT/WTO.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제72권
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• pp.139-160
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• 2016

Using the gravity model, this paper analyzes empirically how the world trade in goods is affected by regional trade agreements(RTAs) which have been spreading rapidly since the mid-1990s. This paper attempt to do the panel data analysis about 174 countries during the period of 1994-2008. These panel data include 157 RTAs. It is meaningful that this paper uses comprehensive data to analyze the net effect of regional trade agreements on the global trade volume. This provides a clue as to the answer to the stumbling block debate raised early in the regional trade agreement. Also, confirming how the participation of the WTO affected the trade volume among the member countries, the WTO-related dummy variables are additionally introduced to this gravity model. And as far as we know, the state system-related variables is first considered in this model. This variable reflects the social and cultural environments of countries as the proxy variable representing the sociocultural homogeneity. In all regressions, joining to the WTO and consistency of the state system have a positive effect on increasing the trade volumes between countries. According to the analysis of RTA trade effects, RTAs, on average, increase the volume of trade within the RTA region by 27%~37%, and decrease the volume of trade between the regional and the non-regional nation by 1.2%~3.4%.Therefore, the net effect of regional trade agreements on the promotion of global welfare is positive. For robustness check, we also introduce the interaction term of the dummy variable which reflects the RTA tightening and the continuous variable which reflects the distance effect. As a result, the RTAs alleviate the trade-decreasing effect which is caused by the distance between the countries.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.233-260
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• 2013

FTA를 중심으로 하는 다수의 RTA는 미래 세대에 대한 배려, 지속성, 공정성, 형평성 등을 핵심적인 가치로 하는 지속가능한 발전 개념을 내포하고 있는 경우가 점차 증가하고 있고, 자유무역주의 기조의 확산 정착과 지속가능한 발전 간의 조화를 위한 중요한 규범적 도구가 될 수 있을 것으로 기대되고 있다. 따라서 국제사회가 모색하고 있는 새로운 세계경제 질서의 재편 및 확립을 위한 세계경제의 통합과 자유화에 있어서는 그 어느 때보다도 지속가능한 발전개념이 핵심적인 규범 목적과 가치로 주목받고 있다. 반덤핑제도의 주요 초점이 과거에는 덤핑을 규제하기 위한 것이 목적이었으나, 최근에는 반덤핑제도의 남용을 억제하는 것으로 변화되고 있다. 반덤핑제도 운영의 투명성이 무엇보다도 중요하며, 객관적이고 투명한 반덤핑제도의 운영은 행정적 효율성을 제고시켜줄 뿐만 아니라 수출국에 대한 보복 조치와 무역 분쟁을 방지할 수 있기 때문이다. 따라서 국내적 대응방안으로 덤핑수출업체로부터의 국내산업 보호를 위한 정책을 수립하여야 하며, 비교열위산업의 경우 해당부문에 대한 구조조정을 촉진하여야 하고, 산업구조 고도화를 위한 정부의 정책조정이 필요할 것이다.

• 한국BIM학회 논문집
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2022

Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are the leading cause of accidental death among children. RTA reduction is becoming an increasingly important social issue among children. Municipalities aim to resolve this issue by introducing "Smart Pedestrian Crosswalks" that help prevent traffic accidents near children's facilities. Nonetheless such facilities tend to be installed in relatively limited number of areas, such as the school zone. In order for budget allocation to be efficient and policy effects maximized, optimal location selection based on machine learning is needed. In this paper, we employ machine learning models to select the optimal locations for smart pedestrian crosswalks to reduce the RTAs of children. This study develops an optimal location index using variable importance measures. By using k-means clustering method, the authors classified the crosswalks into three types after the optimal location selection. This study has broadened the scope of research in relation to smart crosswalks and traffic safety. Also, the study serves as a unique contribution by integrating policy design decisions based on public and open data.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.171-194
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• 2020

Although there is a lot of literature on the effectiveness of regional trade agreements(RTAs), it is usually analyzed only using trade-related theories and data. However, this paper has a differentiation in that we examine the linkage between international trade and financial markets through the stock markets reactions when the trade agreements related news arrived. Specifically, using an event study, we look into the Korea-US free trade agreement(KORUS FTA) which is the most commercially significant FTA in almost two decades for both the countries. Korean stock market generally responded more sensitively to FTA news than the US stock market, especially in 'Auto & Parts', 'Electrical Equipment' and 'Chemicals' industries. And the investors' perception toward the effect of KORUS FTA on Korean industries changed from negative to positive as negotiations proceed. Korea has a comparative advantage in the production of labor-intensive goods relative to US, but the economies of scale hypothesis does not hold.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.117-137
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• 2012

The objective of this article is to examine the characteristic features of contemporary policy-led regionalism in Asia. It identifies the positive and negative features associated with the free trade agreements that have proliferated in Asia during the first decade of the $21^{st}$ century. There has been a marked transformation in Asia's regional architecture in a short span of a decade-and-a-half. The mode and conduct of multilateral trade has been significantly transformed during recent years and Asia could not possibly remain immune to this transformation. The importance of regionalism in multilateral trade has increased steadily. In addition, the trade-investment-services nexus has developed and grown increasingly important. As business firms now manufacture parts of their products across the border, bilateral trade agreements (BTAs), regional trade agreements (RTAs) and free trade agreements (FTAs) of the contemporary period need to take into account the new kind of trade barriers that have been created due to the changing mode of trade. The contemporary regional agreements need to be designed to facilitate the new modes of conducting business and trade. It was understood rather late in Asia that the 'WTO-Plus' FTAs are more functional and result-oriented than their predecessors.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.251-272
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• 2010

본 연구의 목적은 패널중력모형을 이용하여 한국 자동차산업의 무역패턴을 분석해 보고, 지역경제권 가입이 한국의 무역에 미치는 효과를 실증적으로 분석하여 이에 따른 시사점을 도출하는데 있다. 본 연구의 분석한 결과에 의하면 한국의 자동차산업 교역은 상대국의 소득수준에 의거한 교역패턴(Per Capita Pattern)보다는 전반적 시장규모에 의거한 교역패턴(GDP Pattern)을 따르고 있음을 알 수 있다. 한편 자유무역협정 체결이 한국 자동차산업 교역규모에 미치는 영향을 살펴본 결과 자동차전체산업의 경우에는 교역이 약 179%, 자동차부품산업의 경우에는 교역이 약 198% 증가되는 무역창출효과가 관찰되었다. 결론적으로 한국 자동차산업의 단기적 교역증대를 위해서는 우선적으로 시장규모가 크고 지리적으로 근접한 국가와 교역하는 것이 더욱 유리할 것으로 예상된다. 그러나 근본적으로 한국 자동차산업의 국제경쟁력 향상을 통한 교역확대를 위해서는 자동차의 소형화 지능화 친환경화로 대변되는 자동차산업의 환경변화에 철저히 대비하고, 핵심기술 보유를 위한 정부와 민간기업의 선제적인 공략과 적극적인 투자가 절실히 요구된다고 할 수 있다.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.183-215
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• 2007

The purpose of this paper is to study of WTO regulations related FTA such as Understanding on the Interpretation of Article XXIV of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade(GATT) 1994 and General Agreement on Trade in Service(GATS). In this study, the First introduced FTA rules of WTO in the chapter 2. The WTO agreement includes the "General Agreement on Tariffs an Trade(GATT) 1994". This instrument, known as "GATT 1994", is based on upon the original General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade referred to as "GATT 1947". The Second analyzed the relations between FTA and Article XXIV of GATT 1994 in the chapter 3. The Article XXIV of GATT 1994 is an agreement between the distinctive members for liberalizing trade. The Article XXIV of GATT 1994 is consist of three parts such as customs unions, free-trade area, and interim agreements that WTO is referred to as "Regional Trade Agreement(RTA)". There is a difference between the customs unions and the free-trade area. In the customs unions rules, the members should have the same tarifficatio and the same trade provision against non-members, but in the free-trade are a rules, the member is not necessary to have the same tarifficatio and the same trade provision against non-members. But, the both rules have a liberalization of trade in a common as a revoking tariffs and the government regulations for interfering with trade. In this case, however, the both rules include an inconsistency ele ment under WTO rules such as Most-Favoured-Nation Treatment(MFN) and National Treatment on Internal Taxation and Regulation(NTITR). This study reviewed neither inconsistency nor consistency on the both rules with the RTA of WTO under Article XXIV of GATT 1994. The Third analyzed the relations between FTA and Article V of GATS under WTO in the chapter 4. The GATS is a rule of WTO for the growing importance of trade in services for the growth and development of the world conomy. The GATS is a new rule rather than GATT's rule for concerning goods trade. The Article V of GATS under WTO is a rule that makes based on upon the Article XXIV of GATT. Therefore, If it is to be examined the Article V of GATS, it should be referred to a and an interpretation of the text of the Article XXIV of GATT. However, the Article V of GATS is on the undeveloped stage compare to the Article XXIV of GATT. Because, the statistics of WTO showed that the RTAs under the Article XXIV of GATT have 150 cases completed between nations, but the RTAs under the Article IV of GATS have 10 cases completed between nations. The Forth examined the interpretation of FTA rules under WTO in the chapter 5. Concerning the consistency issue of customs unions and free-trade area under the Article XXIV of GATT, the working parties in customs unions and in free-trade area have been reviewed the consistency is sue which had been not if to GATT. However, the parties finished to get up with one accord the both that are a consistency of argument and an inconsistency of argument with the interpretation of the Article XXIV of GATT. The interpretation of the Article XXIV of GATT has been raised as the issues when EEC by Rome Treaty established in 1957. However, the consistency is sue only agreed 6 working parties out of 69 working parties finished the reviewing of the interpretation up to the end of 1994. Also the consistency issue concerned with the special privilege measure of the customs unions and tree-trade area under the Article XXIV of GATT discussed only 3 cases between working parties up to now and did not accepted as an issue for working parties' report. In conclusion in the chapter 6, this study raised the issues of WTO that are a conference of a new round under WTO and the issues of clarity between FTA rule and WTO regulation.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.3-23
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• 2017

세계경제의 글로벌화와 함께 국가 간 무역네트워크는 지리적 근접성을 초월해 확장되고 있으며 이러한 무역네트워크의 확장은 세계화를 촉진시키는 역할을 하고 있다. 우리나라는 한 칠레 FTA를 시작으로 지난 10년 동안 명실상부한 FTA 강국으로 자리매김 했으며 단기간의 성공적인 네트워크 구축은 체결국과의 교역증대, 해외시장 점유율 상승 등 긍정적 경제효과가 나타나고 있다. 다른 국가 역시 지역경제 통합 및 양자간 무역협정 네트워크 형성으로 경제 패러다임 전환을 이루고 있어, 전체 RTA 및 FTA 네트워크에 대한 이해를 통한 새로운 기회에 대한 연구의 필요성이 제기되고 있는 시점이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 1960년대부터 현재시점까지의 세계 각국의 RTA 및 FTA 현황을 파악하고 사회네트워크분석을 통해 네트워크 구조와 중심성 분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과로 전 세계 FTA 네트워크의 구조는 점차 확장 중에 있으며 초기 유럽중심에서 아시아권 국가들의 성장이 두드러지고 있다. 중심성(Degree, Betweenness, Closeness 및 Eigenvector)분석결과 한국은 짧은 기간 동안 모든 중심성 지표에서 상위권을 차지하며 전략적으로 FTA 성과를 이룬 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구는 FTA를 거시적 관점으로 살펴보고 이를 통해 세계 FTA의 구조와 한국의 FTA 전략을 평가하고 네트워크적 관점의 FTA 네트워크를 평가하였다.