• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.156-156
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• 2020

가뭄은 다른 자연재해에 비해 진행 속도가 느리고 발생 시작 시기가 명확하지 않다. 또한 피해지역이 광범위하다는 점에서 사회, 경제적 피해와 농업 생산 시스템 및 수확량 등 농업 전반에 걸쳐 직접적인 영향을 미치고 있다. 전지구적 기후변화로 인해 국내의 가뭄 발생빈도는 2000년 이후 증가하고 있으며, 가뭄의 정량적 분석은 선제적 가뭄 대응을 위해 필요하다. 현재 국내에서는 여러 유관기관에서 지상 관측 데이터를 활용하여 가뭄을 모니터링하고, 가뭄 공간 분포 지도를 제공하고 있다. 하지만 지상 관측 데이터를 통한 가뭄 분포 지도는 미계측 지역에 대한 데이터 취득이 어렵고, 지형학적 특성을 고려하지 못하는 한계점이 있다. 이러한 한계점을 보완하기 위해 수자원 및 재해 분야에서 위성영상이 활용되고 있다. 위성영상을 활용한 가뭄 판단 및 예측에는 정규식생지수 (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI)가 사용되고 있으며, 식생지수는 가뭄 발생, 진행 등에 있어 즉각적인 반응이 어렵다는 단점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 잠재 증발산과 실제 증발산의 비를 이용해 산정된 위성영상 기반 가뭄 지수인 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)를 활용하였다. NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)에서 제공하는 ESI는 전지구를 대상으로 5km 해상도로 제공하고 있다. 하지만 국내 가뭄 판단을 위해서는 높은 해상도의 영상이 필요하며, 본 연구에서는 MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) 영상을 활용한 ESI의 산정을 통해 해상도의 문제를 개선하고자 한다. 산정한 500m 해상도의 ESI는 기존 5km 해상도의 ESI와 비교 검증하였으며, SPI 및 과거 가뭄 발생 현황 자료를 근거로 ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) 분석을 통해 시군 단위 농업가뭄평가의 적용성을 확인하고 한다.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.327-335
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• 2020

The method of selecting an existing flood hazard area via a numerical model requires considerable time and effort. In this regard, this study proposes a method for selecting flood vulnerable areas through topographic analysis based on a surface runoff mechanism to reduce the time and effort required. Flood vulnerable areas based on runoff mechanisms refer to those areas that are advantageous in terms of the flow accumulation characteristics of rainfall-runoff water at the surface, and they generally include lowlands, mild slopes, and rivers. For the analysis, a digital topographic map of the target area (Seoul) was employed. In addition, in the topographic analysis, eight topographic factors were considered, namely, the elevation, slope, profile and plan curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI), stream power index, and the distances from rivers and manholes. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic analysis was conducted between the topographic factors and actual inundation trace data. The results revealed that four topographic factors, namely, elevation, slope, TWI, and distance from manholes, explained the flooded area well. Thus, when a flood vulnerable area is selected, the prioritization method for various factors as proposed in this study can simplify the topographical analytical factors that contribute to flooding.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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• v.12 no.5
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• pp.677-682
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• 2018

This study evaluated the usefulness of the elasticity score and elasticity ratio in the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant lesion in breast elastography. We performed a retrospective analysis based on the results of core needle biopsy histology. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to confirm the difference between the 5-degree elasticity score and the Fisher's Exact test. ROC curve analysis was used to determine the elasticity score and the best cut-off value of the elasticity ratio for the prediction of malignant lesions. There was a statistically significant difference (p= .000) between the homogeneity of the elasticity score and the difference of the elasticity ratio between the benign and malignant lesion groups. On the ROC curve analysis, the elasticity score and the elasticity ratio for predicting benign and malignant lesion were determined as AUC 0.806, 0.824, cut-off value 3, 4.4 (p= .001). Therefore, the elasticity score and elasticity ratio may be useful in the differential diagnosis of breast mass.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.185-191
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• 2011

In the credit evaluation study with the assumption of mixture distributions, the ROC curve is a useful method to explore the discriminatory power of default and non-default borrowers. The AROC curve is an adjusted ROC curve that can be identified with the corresponding score and is mathematically analyzed in this work. We obtain patterns of this curve by applying normal distributions. Moreover, the relationship between the AROC curve and many classification accuracy statistics are explored to find the optimal threshold. In the case of equivalent variances of two distributions, we obtain that the local minimum of the AROC curve is estimated at the optimal threshold to maximize certain classification accuracies.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.443-450
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• 2016

In this study, we are using a computer tomography image of the abdomen, as an experimental linear research for the image of the fatty liver patients texture features analysis and computer-aided diagnosis system of implementation using the ROC curve analysis, from the computer tomography image. We tried to provide an objective and reliable diagnostic information of fatty liver to the doctor. Experiments are usually a fatty liver, via the wavelet transform of the abdominal computed tomography images are configured with the experimental image section, shows the results of statistical analysis on six parameters indicating a feature value of the texture. As a result, the entropy, average luminance, strain rate is shown a relatively high recognition rate of 90% or more, the control also, flatness, uniformity showed relatively low recognition rate of about 70%. ROC curve analysis of six parameters are all shown to 0.900 (p = 0.0001) or more, showed meaningful results in the recognition of the disease. Also, to determine the cut-off value for the prediction of disease six parameters. These results are applicable from future abdominal computed tomography images as a preliminary diagnostic article of diseases automatic detection and eventual diagnosis.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.1-13
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• 2010

DEA method has been widely applied on civilian and defense side for efficiency analysis of organizations and programs(project). For many years Defense Industry, military hospital and military construction parts have been analyzed by using DEA method. In this paper we review and propose a method of warship evaluation through DEA method. The evaluation method proposed above can provide plenty of proper information for ROC decision, AOA and source selection on weapon acquisition.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.441-448
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• 2023

The quality of the casting process generates the largest source of defects in the manufacturing process, so its management is a key factor in productivity and quality evaluation. Based on the results of factor analysis, correlation analysis, and regression analysis with process data, this study aims to optimize the machine learning model to reduce the defect rate and verify the data suitability for smart factories.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.38-60
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• 1999

The main objective of this study is systemization of the technique of ROC quantification and optimization of baseline design by applying CE principle to the acquisition process of a weapon system. QFD and TOA techniques can be employed to a good working example of the conceptual design of a future main battle tank. In this paper, Product Planning Phase, the first phase of four QFD phases, is deployed in terms of eight steps including customer requirements and final product control characteristics. TOA is carried out considering only combat weight. In order to perform combat weight analysis and performance TOA, Preliminary Configuration Synthesis Methodology is used. Preliminary Configuration Synthesis Methodology employs the method of least squares and described linear equations of weight interrelation equation for each component of tank. As a result of QFD based upon the ROC, it was cleared that armor piercing power, main armament, type of ammunition, cruising range, combat weight, armor protection, power loading, threat detection and cost are primary factors influencing design and that combat weight is the most dominant one. The results of TOA based on the combat weight constraint show that 5100 lb reduction was required to satisfy the ROC. The baseline design of a future main battle tank is illustrated with assumption that all phases of QFD are employed to development and production process of subsystems, components, and parts of main battle tank. TOA is applied in iterative process between initial baseline design and ROC. The detailed design of each component is illustrated for a future main battle tank.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.49-59
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• 2014

Rainfall-induced landslides are caused by reduction of effective stress and shear strength due to rainfall infiltration. In order to analyze the susceptibility of landslides, the statistical analysis approach has been used widely but this approach has the limitation which cannot take into account of landslide triggering mechanism. Therefore, the physically based model which can consider the process of landslide occurrence was proposed and commonly used. However, the most previous physically based model analyses evaluate and consider the strength characteristics for saturated soil only in the susceptibility analysis. But the strength parameters for unsaturated soil such as matric suction should be considered with the strength parameters for saturated soil since the shear strength in unsaturated soil also plays important role in the stability of slope. Consequently this study suggested the modified physically based slope model which can evaluate strength characteristics for both of saturated and unsaturated soils. In addition, this study evaluated the thickness of saturated part in slope with rainfall intensity and hydraulic characteristics of slope on the basis of physically based model. In order to evaluate the feasibility, the proposed model was applied to practical example in Jinbu area, Gangwon-do, which was experienced large amount of landslides in July 2006. The ROC graph analysis was used to evaluate the validation of the model, and the analysis results were compared with the results of the previous analysis approach.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.10
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• pp.691-701
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• 2017

The objective of this study is to evaluate the long-term drought outlook information based on long-term forecast data for the 2015 drought event. In order to estimate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for different durations (3-, 6-, 9-, 12-months), we used the observation precipitation of 59 Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) sites, forecast and hindcast data of GloSea5. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and statistical analysis (Correlation Coefficient, CC; Root Mean Square Error, RMSE) were used to evaluate the utilization of drought outlook information for the forecast lead-times (1~6months). As a result of ROC analysis, ROC scores of SPI(3), SPI(6), SPI(9) and SPI(12) were estimated to be over 0.70 until the 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-months. The CC and RMSE values of SPI(3), SPI(6), SPI(9) and SPI(12) for forecast lead-time were estimated as (0.60, 0.87), (0.72, 0.95), (0.75, 0.95) and (0.77, 0.89) until the 2-, 4-, 5- and 6-months respectively.