• Title/Summary/Keyword: REANALYSIS DATA

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Annual Cycle and Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency in the CMIP5 Climate Models: Use of Genesis Potential Index (CMIP5 기후모델에서 나타나는 열대저기압 생성빈도의 연진동과 경년변동성: 잠재생성지수의 이용)

  • Kwon, MinHo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2012
  • The potential for tropical cyclogenesis in a given oceanic and atmospheric environments can be represented by genesis potential index (GPI). Using the 18 Coupled Model Inter Comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models, the annual cycle of GPI and interannual variability of GPI are analyzed in this study. In comparison, the annual cycle of GPI calculated from reanalysis data is revisited. In particular, GPI differences between CMIP5 models and reanalysis data are compared, and the possible reasons for the GPI differences are discussed. ENSO (El Nino and Southern Oscillation) has a tropical phenomenon, which affects tropical cyclone genesis and its passages. Some dynamical interpretations of tropical cyclogenesis are suggested by using the fact that GPI is a function of four large-scale parameters. The GPI anomalies in El Nino or La Nina years are discussed and the most contributable factors are identified in this study. In addition, possible dynamics of tropical cyclogenesis in the Northern Hemisphere Pacific region are discussed using the large-scale factors.

Seasonal and Interannual Variability of the North Korean Cold Current in the East Sea Reanalysis Data (동해 재분석 자료에 나타난 북한한류의 계절 및 경년변동성)

  • Kim, Young-Ho;Min, Hong-Sik
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2008
  • Analyzing the results of East Sea Regional Ocean Model using a 3-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme, we investigated spatial and temporal variability of the North Korean Cold Current (NKCC) in the East Sea. The climatological monthly mean transport of the NKCC clearly shows seasonal variation of the NKCC within the range of about 0.35 Sv ($=0^6m^3/s$), which increases from its minimum (about 0.45 Sv) through December-January to March, decreases during March and May, and then increases again to the maximum (about 0.8 Sv) in August-September. The volume transport of the NKCC shows interannual variation of the NKCC with the range of about 1.0 Sv that is larger than seasonal variation. The southward current of the NKCC appears often not only in summer but in winter as well. The width of the NKCC is about 35 km near the Korean coast and its core is located under the East Korea Warm Current. The North Korean Cold Water (NKCW), characterized by low salinity and low temperature, is located both under the Tsushima Warm Water and in the western side of the maximum southward current of the NKCC that means the NKCC advects the NKCW southward along the Korean coast. It is revealed that the intermediate low salinity water, formed off the Vladivostok in winter, flows southward to the south of $37^{\circ}N$ through $2{\sim}3$ paths; one path along the Korean coast, another one along $132^{\circ}E$, and the middle path along $130^{\circ}E$. The path of the intermediate low salinity varies with years. The reanalysis fields suggest that the NKCW is advected through the paths along the Korean coast and along $130^{\circ}E$.

Analysis of Seasonal Morphodynamic Patterns using Delft3D in Anmok Coast (수치모델링을 통한 안목해안에서 계절에 따른 지형변동 패턴 분석)

  • Kim, Mujong;Son, Donghwi;Yoo, Jeseon
    • Journal of Coastal Disaster Prevention
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, coastal areas have been suffering from coastal erosion, such as destruction of coastal roads and military facilities. In this study, the Delft3D model was used to analyze the sediment transport pattern due to seasonal characteristics of summer and winter waves in Anmok beach of the East coast. Typhoon and high waves are mainly are coming from ENE direction in the summer season and the flows occur in the northward. In winter, high waves are incident from NE and the flows occur in the southward. These seasonal patterns were simulated by using Delft3D model. As for model input, reanalysis wave data of the past 38 years were used, and the seasonal patterns were analyzed by dividing the whole year into summer and winter season. The grid point of the 38 year reanalysis data is far from the Anmok beach, so the three model grid systems (wide grid -> intermediate grid -> detailed grid) are constructed. Most of the flows in the NW direction occurred in summer, but erosion and deposition was alternated along the coastline. In winter, sediment was deposited near Gangnung Port due to the southern flow and the southern port. Strong winter waves compared to summer tend to cause deposition around Gangnung Port throughout the year.

Practical Application of Remote-Sensing Data for Offshore Wind Resource Assessment (해상 풍력자원평가를 위한 원격탐사자료의 활용)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Hwang, Hyo-Jeong;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.319-320
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    • 2008
  • This paper introduces remote-sensing data which can be practically applied for offshore wind resource assessment. Development of offshore wind energy is inevitable for Korea to achieve the national dissemination target of renewable energy, i.e., 5% uptil 2010. However, the only available offshore in-situ measurement, marine buoy data would not represent areal wind characteristics. Consequently, remote-sensing technology has been started to apply to offshore wind resource assessment and is actively developing. Among them, NCAR/NCEP reanalysis dataset, QuikSCAT blended dataset, and offshore wind retrieval from SAR imagery are briefly summarized in this paper.

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CCD PHOTOMETRY OF A DELTA SCUTI STAR IN AN OPEN CLUSTER II. BT CNC IN THE PRAESEPE

  • Kim, Seung-Lee;Lee, See-Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.197-208
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    • 1995
  • Real time CCD differential photometry was performed for BT Cnc in Praesepe cluster from February to March, 1994. New 885 differential V magnitudes were obtained for thirteen nights. From the frequency analysis, we have detected two distinct pulsational frequencies of $f_1$=9.7783c/d and $f_2$=7.0153c/d. The first frequency is nearly equal to the previous result(Breger 1980), but the second one is much different. Our reanalysis of the previous data obtained by Guerrero el al.(1979) indicates that the previous result of $f_s$=5.95c/d might be uncertain; it was not detected in the power spectrum. Also it turns out that our second frequency could not be fitted to the previous data and the reanalyzed frequency($f_2$=7.8813c/d) of the previous data was poor-fitted to our data. Therefore we suggest that the second frequency which might be newly excited in the nonradial mode, has been changed over the last eighteen years.

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Nonparametric Bayesian methods: a gentle introduction and overview

  • MacEachern, Steven N.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.445-466
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    • 2016
  • Nonparametric Bayesian methods have seen rapid and sustained growth over the past 25 years. We present a gentle introduction to the methods, motivating the methods through the twin perspectives of consistency and false consistency. We then step through the various constructions of the Dirichlet process, outline a number of the basic properties of this process and move on to the mixture of Dirichlet processes model, including a quick discussion of the computational methods used to fit the model. We touch on the main philosophies for nonparametric Bayesian data analysis and then reanalyze a famous data set. The reanalysis illustrates the concept of admissibility through a novel perturbation of the problem and data, showing the benefit of shrinkage estimation and the much greater benefit of nonparametric Bayesian modelling. We conclude with a too-brief survey of fancier nonparametric Bayesian methods.

TIME SERIES ANALYSIS USING GRIDDED WIND-STRESS PRODUCT DERIVED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA

  • KUTSUWADA KUNIO;MORIMOTO NAOKI
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.52-53
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    • 2005
  • Time series of gridded surface wind and wind-stress vectors over the world ocean have been constructed by satellite scatterometer data. The products are derived from the ERS-l,2 covering 9 years during 1992-2000 and the Sea Winds on board QuikSCAT (Qscat) which has been operating up to the present since June 1999, so they allows us to analyze variabilities with various time scales. In this study, we focus on interannual variability of the wind stress in the mid- and high-latitude region of North Pacific. These are compared with those by numerical weather prediction(NWP) ones (NCEP Reanalysis). We also examine variability in the wind-stress curl field that is an important factor for ocean dynamics and focus its time and spatial characters in the northwestern Pacific around Japan. It is found that the vorticity field in the lower atmosphere tends to increase gradually with time, suggesting the enhancement of the North Pacific subtropical gyre.

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Establishment of a Wind Map of the Korean Peninsula I. Evaluation of Offshore Wind Resources Using Remote-Sensing Data (한반도 바람지도 구축에 관한 연구 I. 원격탐사자료를 이용한 해상풍력자원 평가)

  • Kim Hyun-Goo;Lee H.W;Jung W.S
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2005
  • In order to understand regional wind characteristics and to estimate offshore wind resources, a wind map of the Korean Peninsula was established using remote-sensing data from the satellite, U.S. NASA Quik SCAT which has been deployed for the Sea Winds Project since 1999. According to the linear regression result between the wind map data and in-situ marine-buoy data, the correlation factor was greatly improved up to 0.87 by blending the remote-sensing data of Quik SCAT with U.S. NCEP/NCAR CDAS reanalysis data to eliminate precipitation interference and to increase temporal resolution. It is found from the established wind map that the wind speed in winter is prominent temporally and the South Sea shows spatially high energy density over the wind class 6. The reason is deduced that the north-west winds through the Yellow Sea and the north-east winds through the East Sea derived by the low pressure developed in Japan are accelerated passing through the Korea Channel and formed high wind energy region in the South Sea; the same trends are confirmed from the statistical analysis of the meteorological observation data of KMA.

Application of Land Initialization and its Impact in KMA's Operational Climate Prediction System (현업 기후예측시스템에서의 지면초기화 적용에 따른 예측 민감도 분석)

  • Lim, Somin;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Ji, Heesook;Lee, Johan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the impact of soil moisture initialization in GloSea5, the operational climate prediction system of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), has been investigated for the period of 1991~2010. To overcome the large uncertainties of soil moisture in the reanalysis, JRA55 reanalysis and CMAP precipitation were used as input of JULES land surface model and produced soil moisture initial field. Overall, both mean and variability were initialized drier and smaller than before, and the changes in the surface temperature and pressure in boreal summer and winter were examined using ensemble prediction data. More realistic soil moisture had a significant impact, especially within 2 months. The decreasing (increasing) soil moisture induced increases (decreases) of temperature and decreases (increases) of sea-level pressure in boreal summer and its impacts were maintained for 3~4 months. During the boreal winter, its effect was less significant than in boreal summer and maintained for about 2 months. On the other hand, the changes of surface temperature were more noticeable in the southern hemisphere, and the relationship between temperature and soil moisture was the same as the boreal summer. It has been noted that the impact of land initialization is more evident in the summer hemispheres, and this is expected to improve the simulation of summer heat wave in the KMA's operational climate prediction system.

Analysis of Reliability of Weather Fields for Typhoon Sanba (1216) (태풍 기상장의 신뢰도 분석: 태풍 산바(1216))

  • Kwon, Kab Keun;Jho, Myeong Hwan;Ryu, Kyong Ho;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.465-480
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    • 2020
  • Numerical simulations of the storm surge and the wave induced by the Typhoon Sanba incident on the south coast of Korea in 2012 are conducted using the JMA-MSM forecast weather field, NCEP-CFSR reanalysis weather field, ECMWF-ERA5 reanalysis weather field, and the pressure and wind fields obtained using the best track information provided by JTWC. The calculated surge heights are compared with the time history observed at harbors along the coasts of Korea. For the waves the calculated significant wave heights are compared with the data measured using the wave buoys and the underwater pressure type wave gauge. As a result the JMA-MSM and the NCEP-CFSR weather fields give the highest reliability. The ECMWF-ERA5 gives in general surge and wave heights weaker than the measured. The ECMWF-ERA5, however, reproduces the best convergence belt formed in front of the typhoon. The weather field obtained using JTWC best track information gives the worst agreement.