• 제목/요약/키워드: R-Squared

검색결과 240건 처리시간 0.146초

광주광역시 아파트 매매가 영향요인 분석 (An Analysis of the Key Factors Affecting Apartment Sales Price in Gwangju, South Korea)

  • 임성연;고창완;정영선
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.62-73
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    • 2022
  • 국내 아파트 매매가 예측에 관한 연구는 현재까지 지속적으로 수행되어 왔지만, 아파트 가격은 다양한 특성이 복합적으로 작용하기 때문에 예측하는데 어려움을 겪고 있다. 아파트 매매가를 예측하는데 앞서 정확도를 높이기 위해서는 주요 변수 선정 및 영향요인 분석이 무엇보다 중요하다. 이에 본 연구는 현재 꾸준한 상승률을 보이는 광주광역시를 대상으로 아파트 매매가에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석해보고자 한다. 이를 위해 6년간의 광주광역시 아파트 실거래가와 각종 사회적 요인 데이터를 토대로, 다중회귀분석, 랜덤 포레스트, 심층인공신경망 알고리즘을 적용하여 각 모델에서 주요 영향요인을 파악하였으며, 모델의 성능은 평균 제곱근 오차, 평균 절대 오차 그리고 결정계수를 통해 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 딥러닝의 일종인 심층인공신경망의 성능이 가장 우수함을 보였고, 매매가에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인으로 건축경과연수, 계약연도, 적용면적, 양도성예금증서, 주택담보대출금리, 선행지수, 생산자물가지수, 동행지수 등이 도출되었다.

Prediction of Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation by Weather Using LSTM

  • Lee, Saem-Mi;Cho, Kyu-Cheol
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제27권8호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2022
  • 딥러닝은 주가 및 농산물 가격 예측과 같이 데이터를 분석해 일련의 규칙을 발견하고 미래를 예상해 우리의 삶에서 다양한 도움을 주고 있다. 본 연구는 태양광 에너지 사용의 중요성이 늘어나는 상황에서 기상에 따른 태양광 발전 실적을 딥러닝을 통해 분석하고 발전량을 예측한다. 본 연구에서는 시계열 데이터 예측에서 두각을 나타내고 있는 LSTM(Long Short Term Memory network)을 사용한 모델을 제안하며 이미지를 비롯한 다양한 차원의 데이터를 분석할 때 사용되는 CNN(Convolutional Neural Network)과 두 모델을 결합한 CNN-LSTM과의 성능을 비교한다. 세 가지 모델의 성능은 태양광 발전 실적의 실제값과 딥러닝을 통해 예측한 값으로 MSE, RMSE, 결정계수를 계산하여 비교하였고 그 결과 LSTM 모델의 성능이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구는 LSTM을 사용한 태양광 발전량 예측을 제안한다.

Relationship between needle depth for lumbar transforaminal epidural injection and patients' height and weight using magnetic resonance imaging

  • John, Hyunji;Sohn, Kyomin;Kim, Jae Hun
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2022
  • Background: Optimal needle depth in transforaminal epidural injection (TFEI) is determined by body measurements and is influenced by the needle entry angle. Physician can choose the appropriate needle length and perform the procedure more effectively if depth is predicted in advance. Methods: This retrospective study included patients with lumbosacral pain from a single university hospital. The skin depth from the target point was measured using magnetic resonance imaging transverse images. The depth was measured bilaterally for L4 and L5 TFEIs at 15°, 20°, and 25° oblique angles from the spinous process. Results: A total of 4,632 measurements of 386 patients were included. The lengths of the left and right TFEI at the same level and oblique angle were assessed, and no statistical differences were identified. Therefore, linear regression analysis was performed for bilateral L4 and L5 TFEIs. The R-squared values of height and weight combined were higher than the height, weight, and body mass index (BMI). The following equation was established: Depth (mm) = a - b (height, cm) + c (weight, kg). Based on the equation, maximal BMI capable with a 23G, 3.5-inch, Quincke-type point spinal needle was presented for three different angles (15°, 20°, and 25°) at lumbar levels L4 and L5. Conclusions: The maximal BMI that derived from the formulated equation is listed on the table, which can help in preparations for morbid obesity. If a patient has bigger BMI than the one in the table, the clinician should prepare longer needle than the usual spinal needle.

인공신경망을 이용한 드레이프성 예측 (Prediction of Fabric Drape Using Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 이소민;유동주;신보나;윤선영;심명희;윤창상
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.978-985
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to propose a prediction model for the drape coefficient using artificial neural networks and to analyze the nonlinear relationship between the drape properties and physical properties of fabrics. The study validates the significance of each factor affecting the fabric drape through multiple linear regression analysis with a sample size of 573. The analysis constructs a model with an adjusted R2 of 77.6%. Seven main factors affect the drape coefficient: Grammage, extruded length values for warp and weft (mwarp, mweft), coefficients of quadratic terms in the tensile-force quadratic graph in the warp, weft, and bias directions (cwarp, cweft, cbias), and force required for 1% tension in the warp direction (fwarp). Finally, an artificial neural network was created using seven selected factors. The performance was examined by increasing the number of hidden neurons, and the most suitable number of hidden neurons was found to be 8. The mean squared error was .052, and the correlation coefficient was .863, confirming a satisfactory model. The developed artificial neural network model can be used for engineering and high-quality clothing design. It is expected to provide essential data for clothing appearance, such as the fabric drape.

An Application of Machine Learning in Retail for Demand Forecasting

  • Muhammad Umer Farooq;Mustafa Latif;Waseemullah;Mirza Adnan Baig;Muhammad Ali Akhtar;Nuzhat Sana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

An Application of Machine Learning in Retail for Demand Forecasting

  • Muhammad Umer Farooq;Mustafa Latif;Waseem;Mirza Adnan Baig;Muhammad Ali Akhtar;Nuzhat Sana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권8호
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    • pp.210-216
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    • 2023
  • Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

Strength and toughness prediction of slurry infiltrated fibrous concrete using multilinear regression

  • Shelorkar, Ajay P.;Jadhao, Pradip D.
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • 제13권 2호
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to adapt Multilinear regression (MLR) to predict the strength and toughness of SIFCON containing various pozzolanic materials. Slurry Infiltrated Fibrous Concrete (SIFCON) is one of the most common terms used in concrete manufacturing, known for its benefits such as high ductility, toughness and high ultimate strength. Assessment of compressive strength (CS.), flexural strength (F.S.), splitting tensile strength (STS), dynamic elasticity modulus (DME) and impact energy (I.E.) using the experimental approach is too costly. It is time-consuming, and a slight error can lead to a repeat of the test and, to solve this, alternative methods are used to predict the strength and toughness properties of SIFCON. In the present study, the experimentally investigated SIFCON data about various mix proportions are used to predict the strength and toughness properties using regression analysis-multilinear regression (MLR) models. The input parameters used in regression models are cement, fibre, fly ash, Metakaolin, fine aggregate, blast furnace slag, bottom ash, water-cement ratio, and the strength and toughness properties of SIFCON at 28 days is the output parameter. The models are developed and validated using data obtained from the experimental investigation. The investigations were done on 36 SIFCON mixes, and specimens were cast and tested after 28 days of curing. The MLR model yields correlation between predicted and actual values of the compressive strength (C.S.), flexural strength, splitting tensile strength, dynamic modulus of elasticity and impact energy. R-squared values for the relationship between observed and predicted compressive strength are 0.9548, flexural strength 0.9058, split tensile strength 0.9047, dynamic modulus of elasticity 0.8611 for impact energy 0.8366. This examination shows that the MLR model can predict the strength and toughness properties of SIFCON.

역직구 상품 추천 및 판매가 추정을 위한 머신러닝 모델 (Machine Learning Model for Recommending Products and Estimating Sales Prices of Reverse Direct Purchase)

  • 김규익;볘르드바에브 예르갈리;김수형;김진석
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.176-182
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    • 2023
  • With about 80% of the global economy expected to shift to the global market by 2030, exports of reverse direct purchase products, in which foreign consumers purchase products from online shopping malls in Korea, are growing 55% annually. As of 2021, sales of reverse direct purchases in South Korea increased 50.6% from the previous year, surpassing 40 million. In order for domestic SMEs(Small and medium sized enterprises) to enter overseas markets, it is important to come up with export strategies based on various market analysis information, but for domestic small and medium-sized sellers, entry barriers are high, such as lack of information on overseas markets and difficulty in selecting local preferred products and determining competitive sales prices. This study develops an AI-based product recommendation and sales price estimation model to collect and analyze global shopping malls and product trends to provide marketing information that presents promising and appropriate product sales prices to small and medium-sized sellers who have difficulty collecting global market information. The product recommendation model is based on the LTR (Learning To Rank) methodology. As a result of comparing performance with nDCG, the Pair-wise-based XGBoost-LambdaMART Model was measured to be excellent. The sales price estimation model uses a regression algorithm. According to the R-Squared value, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine performs best in this model.

An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict the pozzolanic activity of natural pozzolans

  • Elif Varol;Didem Benzer;Nazli Tunar Ozcan
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2023
  • Natural pozzolans are used as additives in cement to develop more durable and high-performance concrete. Pozzolanic activity index (PAI) is important for assessing the performance of a pozzolan as a binding material and has an important effect on the compressive strength, permeability, and chemical durability of concrete mixtures. However, the determining of the 28 days (short term) and 90 days (long term) PAI of concrete mixtures is a time-consuming process. In this study, to reduce extensive experimental work, it is aimed to predict the short term and long term PAIs as a function of the chemical compositions of various natural pozzolans. For this purpose, the chemical compositions of various natural pozzolans from Central Anatolia were determined with X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy. The mortar samples were prepared with the natural pozzolans and then, the short term and the long term PAIs were calculated based on compressive strength method. The effect of the natural pozzolans' chemical compositions on the short term and the long term PAIs were evaluated and the PAIs were predicted by using multiple linear regression (MLR) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model. The prediction model results show that both reactive SiO2 and SiO2+Al2O3+Fe2O3 contents are the most effective parameters on PAI. According to the performance of prediction models determined with metrics such as root mean squared error (RMSE) and coefficient of correlation (R2), ANFIS models are more feasible than the multiple regression model in predicting the 28 days and 90 days pozzolanic activity. Estimation of PAIs based on the chemical component of natural pozzolana with high-performance prediction models is going to make an important contribution to material engineering applications in terms of selection of favorable natural pozzolana and saving time from tedious test processes.

A comparison of ATR-FTIR and Raman spectroscopy for the non-destructive examination of terpenoids in medicinal plants essential oils

  • Rahul Joshi;Sushma Kholiya;Himanshu Pandey;Ritu Joshi;Omia Emmanuel;Ameeta Tewari;Taehyun Kim;Byoung-Kwan Cho
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.675-696
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    • 2023
  • Terpenoids, also referred to as terpenes, are a large family of naturally occurring chemical compounds present in the essential oils extracted from medicinal plants. In this study, a nondestructive methodology was created by combining ATR-FT-IR (attenuated total reflectance-Fourier transform infrared), and Raman spectroscopy for the terpenoids assessment in medicinal plants essential oils from ten different geographical locations. Partial least squares regression (PLSR) and support vector regression (SVR) were used as machine learning methodologies. However, a deep learning based model called as one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D CNN) were also developed for models comparison. With a correlation coefficient (R2) of 0.999 and a lowest RMSEP (root mean squared error of prediction) of 0.006% for the prediction datasets, the SVR model created for FT-IR spectral data outperformed both the PLSR and 1 D CNN models. On the other hand, for the classification of essential oils derived from plants collected from various geographical regions, the created SVM (support vector machine) classification model for Raman spectroscopic data obtained an overall classification accuracy of 0.997% which was superior than the FT-IR (0.986%) data. Based on the results we propose that FT-IR spectroscopy, when coupled with the SVR model, has a significant potential for the non-destructive identification of terpenoids in essential oils compared with destructive chemical analysis methods.