• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.870-877
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• 2006

Recently, failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities have to progress for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the methods for risk analysis and assessment of safety activities and propose optimized one method for risk assessment. There are original risk assessment methods; risk graph and risk matrix method under the qualitative analysis, IRF(Individual Risk Formula) calculations and statistical calculations method under the quantitative analysis. Best-Practice(BP) risk analysis method is proposed for combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In the comparison of risk graph and risk matrix method for safety estimation, BP method has no applications published up to now, but we can expect that this method will be utilized widely for the risk assessment due to various strong points.

• 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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• pp.417-425
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• 1994

Although animal studies have been used most often for quantitative risk assessment, it is generally recognized that well-conducted epidemiologic studies would provide the best basis for estimating human risk. However, there are several features related to the design and analysis of epidemiologic studies that frequently limit their usefulness for quantitating risks. The lack of accurate information on exposure in epidemiologic studies is perhaps the most frequently cited limitation of these studies for risk assessment. However. other features of epidemiologic study design, such as statistical power, length of follow-up, confounding, and effect modification, may also limit the inferences that can be drawn from these studies. Furthermore, even when the aforementioned limitations are overcome, substantial uncertainty exists concerning the choice of an appropriate statistical (or biologic) model for extrapolation beyond the range of exposures observed in a particular study. This paper focuses on presenting a review and discussion of the methodologic issues involved in using epidemiologic studies for risk assessment. This review concentrates on the use of retrospective, cohort, mortality studies of occupational groups for assessing cancer risk because this is the most common application of epidemiologic data for quantitative risk assessment (QRA). Epidemiologic data should not be viewed as a panacea for the problems inherent in using animal bioassay data for QRA. Rather, information that can be derived from epidemiologic and toxicologic studies complement one another, and both data sources need to be used to provide the best characterization of human risk.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.70-76
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• 2020

본 논문에서는 충주시 설치 예정인 수소충전소를 대상으로 하여 공정별 위험요소를 분석하여 위험도를 낮출 수 있는 방향을 제시하였다. 위험요소를 분석하기 위해 수소 가스의 정량적 위험성 평가 도구 중 하나인 HyRAM을 이용하였다. 공정별로 사고 빈도와 사고 영향을 평가하여 가장 위험한 공정과 사고 요소를 제시하였으며, 이를 종합한 위험 감쇄 요인을 도출하였다. 수소충전소는 현재 세계적으로 인프라 확충 시기이기 때문에 사고 데이터가 부족해 이러한 위험성 평가가 대안이 될 수 있으며 향후 늘어나게 될 수소충전소 건립에 참고자료로 쓰일 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.40-48
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 LPG 충전소에 대하여 Fussel-Vesely 중요도와 RDF 및 RIF 중요도를 수행하여 위험성 등급(Risk Rank)을 설정하였다 설정된 위험성 등급에서 위험성이 가장 큰 장치 및 설비에 대하여 정량적 위험성 분석을 수행하였다. LPG 충전소에 대한 중요도 분석결과 외부사고가 가장 위험하다고 확인되었으며, ekda 으로 구조물 결함과 파이프 배관의 부식의 위험등급이 높았다. 정량적 위험성 분석 결과로는 LPG 충전소 저장탱크의 완전히 파열하였을 경우에 대한 BLEVE의 경가 발생하였을 경우에 복사열에 의해 공정 설비에 손해를 입히기에 충분한 거리는 46.3m로 분석되었다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1425-1432
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• 2011

The various risk assessment methodologies have been introduced in the railway industries. The risk assessment suggested by CENELEC are described with two ways; quantitative and qualitative methods. However, in the industry application level, the quantitative method is hard to apply for a project because of somehow complicated or few statistical figures which was driven from the on-site and the qualitative method is too subject to have the confidence of its results fully. In this paper, the state-of-the-art methods which were suggested in Europe recently are introduced and compared to existing quantitative and qualitative methods. Furthermore, the application measures of railway projects are investigated.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.208-209
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• 2022

This study aims to analyze the risk factors caused by object damage and third-party damage loss in actual bridge construction based on past insurance premium payment data from major domestic insurers for bridge construction projects, and develop a quantitative loss prediction model. For the development of quantitative bridge construction loss model, the dependent variable was selected as the loss ratio, and the independent variable adopted 1) Technical factors: superstructure type, foundation type, construction method, and bridge length 2) Natural hazards: flood anf Typhoon, 3) Project information: total construction duration, total cost and ranking. Among the selected independent variables, superstructure type, construction method, and project period were shown to affect the ratio of bridge construction losses, while superstructure, foundation, flood and ranking were shown to affect the ratio of the third-party losses.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제54권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2017

LNG has significant advantages in regard to environmental aspects comparing with conventional fuel oil. In fact, it is estimated that NOx and SOx emission can be reduced by about 90% and 100%, respectively in case of using LNG as a fuel. LNG-fuelled ship has been considered to be the best option both from an environmental and an economic point of view. Along with these trends, some major shipyards and Classification Societies have started to carry out the risk-based system design for LNG-fuelled ship such as passenger ship, platform supply vessel and large container vessel etc. However, new conceptual gas fuelled ship has high risk level compared with vessel using traditional crude oil especially in view of gas explosion accident. Therefore safety area where installed fuel gas supply system is required risk based system design with special considerations. On this paper, the entire process necessary for the quantitative risk analysis was explained to meet the satisfactory safety level of gas fuelled ship.

• 한국축산식품학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.118-124
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• 2012

본 연구는 햄 및 소시지류에서의 Clostridium perfringens에 대한 정량적 미생물 위해평가(Quantitative microbial risk assessment; QMRA)를 국제기준(Codex)의 원칙과 지침에 따라 수행하였으며, 오염수준에 대한 직접적인 분석결과와 현재의 국내 유통환경, 관련제품의 특성, 섭취량 및 소비행태 등을 반영한 노출평가용 "product-retail-consumption pathway" frame-work 모델을 구성하였고, 이를 바탕으로 엑셀(Excel)기반 노출평가용 시뮬레이션 모델을 개발하여 제시하였다. 개발된 모델을 시뮬레이션 프로그램인 @RISK를 활용하여 위해(risk) 수준을 산출하였으며, 그 결과 국내에서 1일 1인이 햄 및 소시지류의 섭취를 통한 Cl. perfringens에 의한 식중독발생 확률은 평균적으로 $3.97{\times}10^{-11}{\pm}1.80{\times}10^{-9}$으로 추정하였다. 또한 본 연구에서 수행한 QMRA결과를 바탕으로 현재수준에서의 한계점과 미래에 더욱 발전된 국내 QMRA 연구 및 활용을 위한 제언을 추가하였다

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.11-26
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• 2003

While a number of Korean companies have undergone ceaseless restructuring to survive today's rapidly changing global economy, the brick and mortar industry has been exerting their efforts to enhance the productivity through the development of new products, quality improvement, cost reduction measures. At present, various risk-evaluation measures have been taken in the fields at the discretion of an enterpriser, though, the effective methods enabling quantitative analysis are insufficient. Accordingly, this study is intended to contribute to the synthetic safety manage -ment in the factory fields and to suggest the quantitative -risk-analysis system by introducing such safety-estimation steps as assortment of processes, pre-assessment of risk factors, decision of risks, counter measures against studied risks, establishment of remedies.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.56-66
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• 2013

가스제조 시설들은 불활성 가스공급을 통하여 제조업 시설의 안전한 운영 및 유지하는 역할을 하며, 폭발성, 가연성 및 독성가스를 공급하여 화학제품 제조에 필요한 기초 원료의 공급을 담당하는 역할을 한다. 또한 가스의 제조과정에서 고온, 고압, 초저온 및 촉매반응 등의 운전조건 하에서 시설이 운전되기 때문에 안전하고 신뢰성 있는 운영이 반드시 필요하다. 이러한 공장들은 공정관리가 복잡하며 제조물질의 누출로 인한 화재, 폭발 및 독성가스 누출로 인한 중대산업사고의 위험성이 있고, 불활성가스로 인한 질식재해, 고온 및 초저온으로 인한 화상 등 잠재적인 위험요소를 많이 가지고 있다. 본 연구는 신뢰성 있는 준 정량적 위험성평가 기법인 GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) 모델을 공기분리시설(ASU)에 적용하여 초기위험도(Initial Risk) 산정, 안전방벽(Safety Barriers) 적용, 잔여위험도(Residual Risk) 산정 및 중요안전요소(EIS, Elements Important for Safety)를 도출 하였으며, 위험성 평가 결과로 도출된 중요안전요소에 대한 효과적인 안전관리 및 시행절차의 구축을 제안하였다.