• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantile estimation

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Translation method: a historical review and its application to simulation of non-Gaussian stationary processes

  • Choi, Hang;Kanda, Jun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.357-386
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    • 2003
  • A number of methods based on various ideas have been proposed for simulating the non-Gaussian stationary process. However, these methods have some limitations. This paper reviewed several simulation methods based on the translation method using logarithmic and polynomial functions, which have emerged in the history of statistics and in the field of civil engineering. The applicability of each method is discussed from the viewpoint of the reproducibility of higher order statistics of the object function in the simulated sample functions, and examined using pressure signals measured from wind tunnel experiments for various shapes of buildings. The parameter estimation methods, i.e. the method of moments and quantile plot, are also reviewed, and the useful aspects of each method are discussed. Additionally, a simple worksheet for parameter estimation is derived based on the method of moment for practical application, and the accuracy is discussed comparing with a set of previously proposed formulae.

A new extended Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure fraction: classical and Bayesian approach

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Ramires, Thiago G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.397-419
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    • 2017
  • A four-parameter extended fatigue lifetime model called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric distribution is proposed. This model extends the odd Birnbaum-Saunders and Birnbaum-Saunders distributions. We derive some properties of the new distribution that include expressions for the ordinary moments and generating and quantile functions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian approach are adopted to estimate the model parameters; in addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes. We propose two new models with a cure rate called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders mixture and odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric models by assuming that the number of competing causes for the event of interest has a geometric distribution. The applicability of the new models are illustrated by means of ethylene data and melanoma data with cure fraction.

Asymptotic Properties of Regression Quanties Estimators in Nonlinear Models (비선형최소분위추정량의 점근적 성질)

  • Choi, Seung-Hoe;Kim, Tae-Soo;Park, Kyung-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we consider the Regression Quantiles Estimators in nonlinear regression models. This paper provides the sufficient conditions for strong consistency and asymptotic normality of proposed estimation and drives asymptotic relative efficiency of proposed estimatiors with least square estimation. We give some examples and results of Monte Carlo simulation to compare least square and regression quantile estimators.

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Wakeby Distribution and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation Algorithm in Which Probability Density Function Is Not Explicitly Expressed

  • Park Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2005
  • The studied in this paper is a new algorithm for searching the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) in which probability density function is not explicitly expressed. Newton-Raphson's root-finding routine and a nonlinear numerical optimization algorithm with constraint (so-called feasible sequential quadratic programming) are used. This algorithm is applied to the Wakeby distribution which is importantly used in hydrology and water resource research for analysis of extreme rainfall. The performance comparison between maximum likelihood estimates and method of L-moment estimates (L-ME) is studied by Monte-carlo simulation. The recommended methods are L-ME for up to 300 observations and MLE for over the sample size, respectively. Methods for speeding up the algorithm and for computing variances of estimates are discussed.

Different estimation methods for the unit inverse exponentiated weibull distribution

  • Amal S Hassan;Reem S Alharbi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.191-213
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    • 2023
  • Unit distributions are frequently used in probability theory and statistics to depict meaningful variables having values between zero and one. Using convenient transformation, the unit inverse exponentiated weibull (UIEW) distribution, which is equally useful for modelling data on the unit interval, is proposed in this study. Quantile function, moments, incomplete moments, uncertainty measures, stochastic ordering, and stress-strength reliability are among the statistical properties provided for this distribution. To estimate the parameters associated to the recommended distribution, well-known estimation techniques including maximum likelihood, maximum product of spacings, least squares, weighted least squares, Cramer von Mises, Anderson-Darling, and Bayesian are utilised. Using simulated data, we compare how well the various estimators perform. According to the simulated outputs, the maximum product of spacing estimates has lower values of accuracy measures than alternative estimates in majority of situations. For two real datasets, the proposed model outperforms the beta, Kumaraswamy, unit Gompartz, unit Lomax and complementary unit weibull distributions based on various comparative indicators.

Determinants of Apartment Prices in Busan: A Spatial Quantile Regression (공간적 분위수 회귀분석에 의한 부산 아파트 가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Jong-Won;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2018
  • Lots of previous researches on determinants of apartment prices in Korea consider spatial dependence while few studies regard endogeneity of spatial lag by adding a spatial lag to an OLS regression. Thus, this study intends to include this spatial lag in its analysis of determinants of apartment price in Busan by using a two-stage quantile regression. The empirical results are : the coefficient of spatial lag variable is more than 0.5 and is statistically significant at 1% level. From this result we can confirm that the effect of the price of nearby apartment on that of another apartment is very big. We also find that apartment buyers prefer larger size, height in both the total floors and living floor, south-facing living room with a ocean view, and proximity to metros, high school and coast. Unlike our expectation, however, mountain view is less favored than building view, which we can guess is because apartments with mountain views are mostly located in the low-priced apartment area where some of their living rooms face north. Quantile regression also explains the effect of hedonic characteristics on apartment price better than OLS estimation. For instance, the effect of south facing living room variable on the price is twice larger in high-price apartments than in low-price counterparts. And the effect of vicinity to the coast or the ocean is ten times bigger in high priced apartments.

Rainfall Quantile Estimation Using Scaling Property in Korea (스케일 성질을 이용한 확률강우량의 추정)

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.873-884
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    • 2008
  • In this study, rainfall quantile was estimated using scale invariance property of rainfall data with different durations and the applicability of such property was evaluated for the rainfall data of South Korea. For this purpose, maximum annual rainfall at 22 recording sites of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) having relatively long records were used to compare rainfall quantiles between at-site frequency analysis and scale invariance property. As the results, the absolute relative errors of rainfall quantiles between two methods show at most 10 % for hourly rainfall data. The estimated quantiles by scale invariance property can be generally applied in the 8 of 14 return periods used in this study. As an example of down-scaling method, rainfall quantiles of $10{\sim}50$ minutes duration were estimated by scale invariance property based on index duration of 1 hour. These results show less than 10 % of absolute relative errors except 10 minutes duration. It is found that scale invariance property can be applied to estimate rainfall quantile for unmeasured rainfall durations.

Selection of bandwidth for local linear composite quantile regression smoothing (국소 선형 복합 분위수 회귀에서의 평활계수 선택)

  • Jhun, Myoungshic;Kang, Jongkyeong;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.733-745
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    • 2017
  • Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

A Study on the Determinants of Land Price in a New Town (신도시 택지개발사업지역에서 토지가격 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Tae Yun
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the pricing factors of residential lands in new cities by estimating the pricing model of residential lands. For this purpose, hedonic equations for each quantile of the conditional distribution of land prices were estimated using quantile regression methods and the sale price date of Jangyu New Town in Gimhae. In this study, a quantile regression method that models the relation between a set of explanatory variables and each quantile of land price was adopted. As a result, the differences in the effects of the characteristics by price quantile were confirmed. The number of years that elapsed after the completion of land construction is the quadratic effect in the model because its impact may give rise to a non-linear price pattern. Age appears to decrease the price until certain years after the construction, and increases the price afterward. In the estimation of the quantile regression, land age appears to have a statistically significant impact on land price at the traditional level, and the turning point appears to be shorter for the low quantiles than for the higher quantiles. The positive effects of the use of land for commercial and residential purposes were found to be the biggest. Land demand is preferred if there are more than two roads on the ground. In this case, the amount of sunshine will improve. It appears that the shape of a square wave is preferred to a free-looking land. This is because the square land is favorable for development. The variables of the land used for commercial and residential purposes have a greater impact on low-priced residential lands. This is because such lands tend to be mostly used for rental housing and have different characteristics from residential houses. Residential land prices have different characteristics depending on the price level, and it is necessary to consider this in the evaluation of the collateral value and the drafting of real estate policy.

Temperature effect analysis of a long-span cable-stayed bridge based on extreme strain estimation

  • Yang, Xia;Zhang, Jing;Ren, Wei-Xin
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2017
  • The long-term effect of ambient temperature on bridge strain is an important and challenging problem. To investigate this issue, one year data of strain and ambient temperature of a long-span cable-stayed bridge is studied in this paper. The measured strain-time history is decomposed into two parts to obtain the strains due to vehicle load and temperature alone. A linear regression model between the temperature and the strain due to temperature is established. It is shown that for every $1^{\circ}C$ increase in temperature, the stress is increased by 0.148 MPa. Furthmore, the extreme value distributions of the strains due to vehicle load, temperature and the combination effect of them during the remaining service period are estimated by the average conditional exceedance rate approach. This approach avoids the problem of declustering of data to ensure independence. The estimated results demonstrate that the 95% quantile of the extreme strain distribution due to temperature is up to $1.488{\times}10^{-4}$ which is 2.38 times larger than that due to vehicle load. The study also indicates that the estimated extreme strain can reflect the long-term effect of temperature on bridge strain state, which has reference significance for the reliability estimation and safety assessment.