• Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.406-419
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• 2018

In planning public service systems such as waterworks, the design population is very important factor. Owing to the limitations of the indirect method, two new models, which take into consideration urban characteristics, were developed to accurately predict external migration rate (EMR), which is an essential component in estimating reliably the design population. The root mean square error (RMSE) between the model values and observed values were 10.12 and 15.58 for the metropolitan cities and counties respectively and were lower compared to RMSE values of 27.31 and 28.79 obtained by the indirect method. Thus, the developed models provide a more accurate estimate of EMR than the indirect method. In addition, the major influencing factors for external migration in counties were development type, ageing index, number of businesses. On the other hand, the major influencing migration factors for cities were project scale, distance to city center, manufacturing size, population growth rate and residential environment. Future medium and long-term studies would be done to identify emerging trends to appropriately inform policy making.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.173-185
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• 2015

This study aims to investigate the characteristics and types of car accidents and establish a prediction model by analyzing 456 car accidents having occurred in the 11 tunnels in Busan, through statistical analysis techniques. The results of this study can be summarized as below. As a result of analyzing the characteristics of car accidents, it was found that 64.9% of all the car accidents took place in the tunnels between 08:00 and 18:00, which was higher than 45.8 to 46.1% of the car accidents in common roads. As a result of analyzing the types of car accidents, the car-to-car accident type was the majority, and the sole-car accident type in the tunnels was relatively high, compared to that in common roads. Besides, people at the age between 21 and 40 were most involved in car accidents, and in the vehicle type of the first party to car accidents, trucks showed a high proportion, and in the cloud cover, rainy days or cloudy days showed a high proportion unlike clear days. As a result of analyzing the principal components of car accident influence factors, it was found that the first principal components were road, tunnel structure and traffic flow-related factors, the second principal components lighting facility and road structure-related factors, the third principal factors stand-by and lighting facility-related factors, the fourth principal components human and time series-related factors, the fifth principal components human-related factors, the sixth principal components vehicle and traffic flow-related factors, and the seventh principal components meteorological factors. As a result of classifying car accident spots, there were 5 optimized groups classified, and as a result of analyzing each group based on Quantification Theory Type I, it was found that the first group showed low explanation power for the prediction model, while the fourth group showed a middle explanation power and the second, third and fifth groups showed high explanation power for the prediction model. Out of all the items(principal components) over 0.2(a weak correlation) in the partial correlation coefficient absolute value of the prediction model, this study analyzed variables including road environment variables. As a result, main examination items were summarized as proper traffic flow processing, cross-section composition(the width of a road), tunnel structure(the length of a tunnel), the lineal of a road, ventilation facilities and lighting facilities.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.415-424
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• 2006

This study was carried out to analyze the characteristics of forest watershed factors by using the quantification theory(I) for evaluation and prediction of the failure hazard area. Present $sediment(m^3/yr/ha)$ of erosion control dams were investigated in 95 sites of erosion control dam constructed during 1986 to 1999 in Gyeongnam province. The results obtained from this study were summarized as follows; General condition of class I(Very hazard area) were as follow; Igneous rock in parent rock, coniferous in forest type, below 20year in stand age, below 30cm in soil depth, SCL in soil texture, $31{\sim}40%$ in gravel contents, $S{\sim}E$ in aspect, $2,501{\sim}3,600m$ in length of main stream, $26{\sim}30$ in number of total streams, $6,601{\sim}10,000m$ in length of total streams, over 3 in stream order, over 16 in number of first streams order and over $31^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. General condition of class IIl(hazard area) were as follow; Metamorphic rock in parent rock, hardwood in forest type, over $21{\sim}24year$ in stand age, $31{\sim}40cm$ in soil depth, SiCL or SCL in soil texture, $11{\sim}20%$ in gravel contents, $S{\sim}W$ in aspect, $1,501{\sim}2,600m$ in length of main stream, $6{\sim}10$ in number of total streams, $3,501{\sim}5,500m$ in length of total streams, 2 in stream order, $6{\sim}10$ in number of first streams order and over $31^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. General condition of class III(Un hazard area) were as follow; Sedimentary rock in parent rock, mixed in forest type, over 25year in stand age, $41{\sim}50cm$ in soil depth, SiCL in soil texture, below 10% in gravel contents, $N{\sim}W$ in aspect, below 500m in length of main stream, below 5 in number of total streams, below 1,000m in length of total treams, below 1 in stream order, below 2 in number of first streams order and below $25^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. The prediction method of suitable for failure hazard area divided into class I, II, and III for the convenience of use. The score of class I evaluated as a very hazard area was over 4.8052. A score of class II was 4.8051 to 2.5602, it was evaluated as a hazard area, and class III was below 2.5601, it was evaluated as a un hazard area.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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• v.4 no.4
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• pp.1-11
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• 2001

This study was carried out to analyze the characteristics of forest environmental and stream morphological factors by using the quantification theory(I) for evaluation of the watershed stability. Present annual mean sediment yield of erosion control dams were investigated in 167 sites of erosion control dam constructed during 1986 to 1999 in Gyeongbuk. The results obtained from this study were summarized as follows; According to the coefficients of partial correlation, each factor affecting to sediment was shown in order of gravel contents, number of first streams order, number of total streams, length of total streams, forest type, length of main stream, parent rock, stand age, soil texture, stream order, slope gradient, soil depth and aspect. Descriptions of class I were as follow; Igneous rock of parent rock, hardwood stands of forest type, less than 20 year of stand age, less than 30cm of soil depth, sandy clay loam of soil texture, more than 41% of gravel contents, south~east of aspect, 2,501~3,500m of length of main stream, 21~25 of number of total streams, 5,501~10,000m of length of total streams, 3 or more than 4 of stream order, more than 16 of number of first stream orders and more than $31^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. Descriptions of class II were as follow; Metamorphic rock of parent rock, coniferous stands of forest type, more than 25 year of stand age, 31~40cm of soil depth, silt loam of soil texture, 11~20% of gravel contents, north~west of aspect, 2,501~3,500m of length of main stream, 16~20 of number of total streams, 3,501~5,500m of length of total streams, 3 of stream order, 11~15 of number of first stream orders and more than $31^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. Descriptions of class III were as follow; Sedimentary rock of parent rock, mixed stands of forest type, more than 25 year of stand age, more than 51cm of soil depth, silty clay loam of soil texture, less than 10% of gravel contents, south~west of aspect, less than 500m of length of main stream, less than 5 of number of total streams, less than 1,000m of length of total streams, less than 1 of stream order, less than 2 of number of first stream orders and less than $25^{\circ}$ of slope gradient. The prediction method of suitable site for erosion control dam divided into class I, II, and III for the convenience of use. The score of class I evaluated as a very unstable area was more than 8.4494. A score of class II was 8.4493 to 6.0452, it was evaluated as a moderate stable area, and class III was less than 6.0541, it was evaluated as a very stable area.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.103 no.2
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• pp.233-239
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• 2014

This study was carried out to propose the criteria for the prediction of landslide occurrence through analysis the influence of each factor by using the quantification theory. The results obtained from this study are summarized as follows. From a stepwise regression analysis between the landslide area($m^2$) and environmental factors, the factors strongly affecting the landslide sediment($m^2$) were the Parents rock (igneous), cross slope(complex), coniferous forests (forest type) and slope gradient ($21{\sim}30^{\circ}$). According to the range, it was shown in order of Cross slope (0.2922), Parents rock (0.2691), Forest type (0.2631) and Slope gradient (0.2312). The range of prediction score of landslide occurrence has been distributed between score 0 and score 1.0556, the median value was score 0.5278. The prediction for class I was over 0.7818, for class II was 0.5279 to 0.7917, for class III 0.2694 to 0.5278 and for class IV was below 0.2693. The prediction on landslide occurrence appeared relatively high accuracy rate as 72% for class I and II. Therefore, this score table for landslide will be very useful for judgement of dangerous slope.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.39-49
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• 2010

Provision of in-vehicle warning information is of keen interest since it can be effectively used to prevent traffic accident on the road. This study evaluates the effectiveness of information provision modalities based on kansei engineering. Various warning information scenarios using different modalities are devised for the evaluation. Statistical data analysis techniques including factor analysis, correlation analysis, and the general linear model are used to assess the user's affect for information modalities. The evaluation result shows that the provision of visual information consisted of 'text and pictogram' leads to higher understandability. The combination of beep sound and voice message' was identified as a more effective modality for auditory warning. In addition, the red color for the blinking warning signal was preferred by users.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.131-139
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• 1987

The purpose of this study is to define the primary factors obstructing the bus services that play an important part in mass transportation in almost the cities, and then to develop the models for travelling speed. To define the primary factors, two video cameras were used in this study, one for speed meter, the other for traffic condition, from which time-speed graphs were made. In the graphs, the gaps between road regulation speed and travelling speed were analyzed by monitor analysis. After this, primary delay factors were classified by quantification theory type I. and then to develop the models for travelling speed, stepwise analysis was used.