• Title/Summary/Keyword: Pseudo failure time

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Analysis of Field Reliability Data with Supplementary Information on Degradation Data and Covariates (열화자료와 설명변수 정보를 고려한 사용현장 신뢰성 자료의 분석)

  • 서순근;하천수
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.63-83
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    • 2002
  • Degradation data can provide more reliability information than traditional failure-time data, especially products with few or no failures. This paper is concerned with a method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data with supplementary information on degradation data and covariates. When a distribution of degradation rate obtained by follow-up study for a portion of products that survive after-warranty follows a reciprocal-Weibull or lognormal distribution. A time-to-failure distribution of the product follows Weibull or lognormal distribution, respectively. A method of estimating lifetime parameters for this kind of data and their asymptotic properties are studied. Effects of after-warranty report probability, follow-up rate, and proportion of degradation data on pseudo maximum likelihood estimators of these parameters are investigated.

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Development of a Reconfigurable Flight Controller Using Neural Networks and PCH (신경회로망과 PCH을 이용한 재형상 비행제어기)

  • Kim, Nak-Wan;Kim, Eung-Tai;Lee, Jang-Ho
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.422-428
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a neural network based adaptive control approach to a reconfigurable flight control law that keeps handling qualities in the presence of faults or failures to the control surfaces of an aircraft. This approach removes the need for system identification for control reallocation after a failure and the need for an accurate aerodynamic database for flight control design, thereby reducing the cost and time required to develope a reconfigurable flight controller. Neural networks address the problem caused by uncertainties in modeling an aircraft and pseudo control hedging deals with the nonlinearity in actuators and the reconfiguration of a flight controller. The effect of the reconfigurable flight control law is illustrated in results of a nonlinear simulation of an unmanned aerial vehicle Durumi-II.

A Flexible Modeling Approach for Current Status Survival Data via Pseudo-Observations

  • Han, Seungbong;Andrei, Adin-Cristian;Tsui, Kam-Wah
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.947-958
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    • 2012
  • When modeling event times in biomedical studies, the outcome might be incompletely observed. In this paper, we assume that the outcome is recorded as current status failure time data. Despite well-developed literature the routine practical use of many current status data modeling methods remains infrequent due to the lack of specialized statistical software, the difficulty to assess model goodness-of-fit, as well as the possible loss of information caused by covariate grouping or discretization. We propose a model based on pseudo-observations that is convenient to implement and that allows for flexibility in the choice of the outcome. Parameter estimates are obtained based on generalized estimating equations. Examples from studies in bile duct hyperplasia and breast cancer in conjunction with simulated data illustrate the practical advantages of this model.

Earthquake Response Analysis of Bridges Using Fiber Element Method (섬유요소를 이용한 교량의 비선형 지진응답해석)

  • Byun, Soon-Joo;Im, Jung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.6 no.3 s.22
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2006
  • Fiber element method in earthquake response analysis of bridges is used to represents a realistic flexural deformation according to nonlinear behavior of beam-column section. Nonlinear pseudo-static analysis of two column bent using fiber element is accomplished and failure mechanism of the plastic hinge region is studied. Load-displacement curve obtained by nonlinear pseudo-static analysis can be applicable to earthquake response analysis by capacity spectrum method. The nonlinear time history analysis of a full bridge model using fiber element experienced by the ground motion corresponding to the target response spectrum is accomplished. The result of time history analysis is similar to that of capacity spectrum method.

Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

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Random vibration analysis of train-slab track-bridge coupling system under earthquakes

  • Zeng, Zhi-Ping;He, Xian-Feng;Zhao, Yan-Gang;Yu, Zhi-Wu;Chen, Ling-Kun;Xu, Wen-Tao;Lou, Ping
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1017-1044
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    • 2015
  • This study aimed to investigate the random vibration characteristic of train-slab track-bridge interaction system subjected to both track irregularities and earthquakes by use of pseudo-excitation method (PEM). Each vehicle subsystem was modeled by multibody dynamics. A three-dimensional rail-slab- girder-pier finite element model was created to simulate slab track and bridge subsystem. The equations of motion for the entire system were established based on the constraint condition of no jump between wheel and rail. The random load vectors of equations of motion were formulated by transforming track irregularities and seismic accelerations into a series of deterministic pseudo-excitations according to their respective power spectral density (PSD) functions by means of PEM. The time-dependent PSDs of random vibration responses of the system were obtained by step-by-step integration method, and the corresponding extreme values were estimated based on the first-passage failure criterion. As a case study, an ICE3 high-speed train passing a fifteen-span simply supported girder bridge simultaneously excited by track irregularities and earthquakes is presented. The evaluated extreme values and the PSD characteristic of the random vibration responses of bridge and train are analyzed, and the influences of train speed and track irregularities (without earthquakes) on the random vibration characteristic of bridge and train are discussed.

Synergic identification of prestress force and moving load on prestressed concrete beam based on virtual distortion method

  • Xiang, Ziru;Chan, Tommy H.T.;Thambiratnam, David P.;Nguyen, Theanh
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.917-933
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    • 2016
  • In a prestressed concrete bridge, the magnitude of the prestress force (PF) decreases with time. This unexpected loss can cause failure of a bridge which makes prestress force identification (PFI) critical to evaluate bridge safety. However, it has been difficult to identify the PF non-destructively. Although some research has shown the feasibility of vibration based methods in PFI, the requirement of having a determinate exciting force in these methods hinders applications onto in-service bridges. Ideally, it will be efficient if the normal traffic could be treated as an excitation, but the load caused by vehicles is difficult to measure. Hence it prompts the need to investigate whether PF and moving load could be identified together. This paper presents a synergic identification method to determine PF and moving load applied on a simply supported prestressed concrete beam via the dynamic responses caused by this unknown moving load. This method consists of three parts: (i) the PF is transformed into an external pseudo-load localized in each beam element via virtual distortion method (VDM); (ii) then these pseudo-loads are identified simultaneously with the moving load via Duhamel Integral; (iii) the time consuming problem during the inversion of Duhamel Integral is overcome by the load-shape function (LSF). The method is examined against different cases of PFs, vehicle speeds and noise levels by means of simulations. Results show that this method attains a good degree of accuracy and efficiency, as well as robustness to noise.

Energy Ratio Factor and Phase Angle Based Fatigue Prediction Model for Flexible Pavements

  • Kim, Nak-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2011
  • The main objective of this research is to develop fatigue prediction model for flexible pavements using energy ratio factor and phase angle. The two parameters are considered as fundamental properties of time and temperature dependent viscoelastic asphalt concrete materials. The energy ratio factor is defined as the ratio of the pseudo-total cumulative dissipated energy to the cumulative dissipated energy to failure during the test. The phase angle between the stress and strain ware signals stems from the intrinsic the dependent asphalt mixture behavior. The phase angle was computed and the relationship between the initial mixture stiffness and the initial phase angle is presented. As a result, fatigue prediction model for flexible pavements was proposed using intrinsic properties of viscoelastic asphalt concrete materials.

An Analysis of the Pseudo-analytical Thought and Analytical Thought that Students Do in the Process of Algebra Problem Solving (대수 문장제 해결 과정에서 나타나는 擬似(의사) 분석적 사고와 분석적 사고에 대한 분석 - 중학생 대상의 사례 연구 -)

  • Park, Hyun-Jeong;Lee, Chong-Hee
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to understand students' thinking process in the algebra problem solving, on the base of the works of Vinner(1997a, 1997b). Thus, two middle school students were evaluated in this case study to examine how they think to solve algebra word problems. The following question was considered to analyze the thinking process from the similarity-based perspective by focusing on the process of solving algebra word problems; What is the relationship between similarity and the characteristics of thinking process at the time of successful and unsuccessful problem solving? The following results were obtained by analyzing the success or failure in problem solving based on the characteristics of thinking process and similarity composition. Successful problem solving can be based on pseudo-analytical thought and analytical thought. The former is the rule applied in the process of applying closed formulas that is constructed structural similarity not related with the situations described in the text. The latter means that control and correction occurred in all stages of problem solution. The knowledge needed for solutions was applied with the formulation of open-end formulas that is constructed structural similarity in which memory and modification with the related principles or concepts. In conclusion, the student's perception on the principles involved in a solution is very important in solving algebraic word problems.

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Investigation of shear transfer mechanisms in repaired damaged concrete columns strengthened with RC jackets

  • Achillopoulou, D.V;Karabinis, A.I
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.575-598
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    • 2013
  • The study presents the results of an experimental program concerning the shear force transfer between reinforced concrete (RC) jackets and existing columns with damages. In order to investigate the effectiveness of the repair method applied and the contribution of each shear transfer mechanism of the interface. It includes 22 concrete columns (core) (of 24,37MPa concrete strength) with square section (150mm side, 500 mm height and scale 1:2). Ten columns had initial construction damages and twelve were subjected to initial axial load. Sixteen columns have full jacketing at all four faces with 80mm thickness (of 31,7MPa concrete strength) and contain longitudinal bars (of 500MPa nominal strength) and closed stirrups spaced at 25mm, 50mm or 100mm (of 220MPa nominal strength). Fourteen of them contain dowels at the interface between old and new concrete. All columns were subjected to repeated (pseudo-seismic) axial compression with increasing deformation cycles up to failure with or without jacketing. Two load patterns were selected to examine the difference of the behavior of columns. The effects of the initial damages, of the reinforcement of the interface (dowels) and of the confinement generated by the stirrups are investigated through axial- deformation (slip) diagrams and the energy absorbed diagrams. The results indicate that the initial damages affect the total behavior of the column and the capacity of the interface to shear mechanisms and to slip: a) the maximum bearing load of old column is decreased affecting at the same time the loading capacity of the jacketed element, b) suitable repair of initially damaged specimens increases the capacity of the jacketed column to transfer load through the interface.