• 제목/요약/키워드: Promising Technology

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An Exploratory Study of Technology Planning Using Content Analysis & Hype Cycle (뉴스 내용분석과 하이프 사이클을 활용한 기술기획의 탐색적 연구: 클라우드 컴퓨팅 기술을 중심으로)

  • Suh, Yoonkyo;Kim, Si jeoung
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.80-104
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    • 2016
  • Existing methodologies of technology planning about promising new technology focused on target technology itself, so it is true that socio-environmental context which the relevant technology has influence on is not well understood. In this respect, this study is aimed to questingly examine that news content analysis methodologies widely available in the field of science communication can be applied as a complementary methodology for contextual understanding of socio-environment in terms of technology planning about promising new technology. In the co-evolutionary environment of technology-society, promising new technology shows hype phenomenon regarding the relation with the society. Based on this, this study performed news content analysis and examined if the consequences of analysis would match hype cycle. It tried to explore substantive content understanding by socio-environment factors according to specific news frame content. To do this, new content analysis was performed targeting cloud computing as a representative promising new technology. The result of news content analysis targeting general newspapers, business news, IT special newspapers revealed that the tendency of news reporting matched the trend of hype cycle. Particularly, it was verified that reporting attitude and news frame analysis provided useful information to understand contextual content depending on social, economic, and cultural environment factors about promising new technology. The results of this study implied that news content analysis could overcome the limitation of technology information analysis focusing on academic journal patent usually applied for technology planning and could be used as a complementary methodology for understanding the context depending on macro-environment factors. In conclusion, application of news content analysis on the phase of macro-environment analysis of technology planning could contribute to the securement of mutually balanced view in the co-evolutionary perspective of technology-society.

An Extraction and Analysis of the Candidated Promising Sports Industries for National Sports Technology Policy (스포츠 기술정책을 위한 유망 스포츠산업 후보군의 도출 및 분석)

  • Rim, Myung Hwan
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.151-163
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    • 2014
  • The sports industry is expected to develop into a huge business through convergence with existing industries such as the broadcasting/information communications, health/medicine, and entertainment/leisure. This paper aims to extract and analyse the candidated promising sports industries at the national level in order to promote them in the long term, and adopts a policy-based approach to such efforts. To extract promising sports industries at the national level, a methodology that considers economic effects such as global competitiveness, technological characteristics, and the creation of jobs, as well as technical development projects, should be adopted. In this study, It was extracted 59 candidated promising sports industries using literature review and expert opinions. As a result of in-depth survey, we found some critical implications each area as follows; health club operation in the lifetime and participation sports area, female sports dance in the welfare sports area, new material sports shoes in the lifetime and welfare sports area, and dynamic training system in the professional sports area.

Order Promising Rolling Planning with ATP/CTP Reallocation Mechanism

  • Chen, Juin-Han;Lin, James T.;Wu, Yi-Sheng
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2008
  • Available-to-promise (ATP) exhibiting availability of manufacturing resources can be used to support customer order promising. Recently, one advanced function called Capable-to-promise (CTP) is provided by several modern APS (advanced planning system) that checks available capacity for placing new production orders or increasing already scheduled production orders. At the customer enquiry stage while considering the order delivery date and quantity to quote, both ATP and CTP are allocated to support order promising. In particular, current trends of mass customization and multi-side production chain derive several new constraints that should be considered when ATP/CTP allocation planning for order promising - such as customer's preference plants or material vendors, material compatibility, etc. Moreover, ATP/CTP allocation planning would be executed over a rolling time horizon. To utilize capacity and material manufacturing resource flexibly and fulfill more customer orders, ATP/CTP rolling planning should possess resource reallocation mechanism under the constraints of order quantities and delivery dates for all previous order promising. Therefore, to enhance order promising with reliability and flexibility to reallocate manufacturing resource, the ATP/CTP reallocation planning mechanism is needed in order to reallocate material and capacity resource for fulfilling all previous promised and new customer orders beneficially with considering new derived material and capacity constraints.

An Intelligent Decision Support System for Selecting Promising Technologies for R&D based on Time-series Patent Analysis (R&D 기술 선정을 위한 시계열 특허 분석 기반 지능형 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Lee, Choongseok;Lee, Suk Joo;Choi, Byounggu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2012
  • As the pace of competition dramatically accelerates and the complexity of change grows, a variety of research have been conducted to improve firms' short-term performance and to enhance firms' long-term survival. In particular, researchers and practitioners have paid their attention to identify promising technologies that lead competitive advantage to a firm. Discovery of promising technology depends on how a firm evaluates the value of technologies, thus many evaluating methods have been proposed. Experts' opinion based approaches have been widely accepted to predict the value of technologies. Whereas this approach provides in-depth analysis and ensures validity of analysis results, it is usually cost-and time-ineffective and is limited to qualitative evaluation. Considerable studies attempt to forecast the value of technology by using patent information to overcome the limitation of experts' opinion based approach. Patent based technology evaluation has served as a valuable assessment approach of the technological forecasting because it contains a full and practical description of technology with uniform structure. Furthermore, it provides information that is not divulged in any other sources. Although patent information based approach has contributed to our understanding of prediction of promising technologies, it has some limitations because prediction has been made based on the past patent information, and the interpretations of patent analyses are not consistent. In order to fill this gap, this study proposes a technology forecasting methodology by integrating patent information approach and artificial intelligence method. The methodology consists of three modules : evaluation of technologies promising, implementation of technologies value prediction model, and recommendation of promising technologies. In the first module, technologies promising is evaluated from three different and complementary dimensions; impact, fusion, and diffusion perspectives. The impact of technologies refers to their influence on future technologies development and improvement, and is also clearly associated with their monetary value. The fusion of technologies denotes the extent to which a technology fuses different technologies, and represents the breadth of search underlying the technology. The fusion of technologies can be calculated based on technology or patent, thus this study measures two types of fusion index; fusion index per technology and fusion index per patent. Finally, the diffusion of technologies denotes their degree of applicability across scientific and technological fields. In the same vein, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent are considered respectively. In the second module, technologies value prediction model is implemented using artificial intelligence method. This studies use the values of five indexes (i.e., impact index, fusion index per technology, fusion index per patent, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent) at different time (e.g., t-n, t-n-1, t-n-2, ${\cdots}$) as input variables. The out variables are values of five indexes at time t, which is used for learning. The learning method adopted in this study is backpropagation algorithm. In the third module, this study recommends final promising technologies based on analytic hierarchy process. AHP provides relative importance of each index, leading to final promising index for technology. Applicability of the proposed methodology is tested by using U.S. patents in international patent class G06F (i.e., electronic digital data processing) from 2000 to 2008. The results show that mean absolute error value for prediction produced by the proposed methodology is lower than the value produced by multiple regression analysis in cases of fusion indexes. However, mean absolute error value of the proposed methodology is slightly higher than the value of multiple regression analysis. These unexpected results may be explained, in part, by small number of patents. Since this study only uses patent data in class G06F, number of sample patent data is relatively small, leading to incomplete learning to satisfy complex artificial intelligence structure. In addition, fusion index per technology and impact index are found to be important criteria to predict promising technology. This study attempts to extend the existing knowledge by proposing a new methodology for prediction technology value by integrating patent information analysis and artificial intelligence network. It helps managers who want to technology develop planning and policy maker who want to implement technology policy by providing quantitative prediction methodology. In addition, this study could help other researchers by proving a deeper understanding of the complex technological forecasting field.

Integrated AHP and DEA method for technology evaluation and selection: application to clean technology (기술 평가 및 선정을 위한 AHP와 DEA 통합 활용 방법: 청정기술에의 적용)

  • Yu, Peng;Lee, Jang Hee
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.55-77
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    • 2012
  • Selecting promising technology is becoming more and more difficult due to the increased number and complexity. In this study, we propose hybrid AHP/DEA-AR method and hybrid AHP/DEA-AR-G method to evaluate efficiency of technology alternatives based on ordinal rating data collected through survey to technology experts in a certain field and select efficient technology alternative as promising technology. The proposed method normalizes rating data and uses AHP to derive weights to improve the credibility of analysis, then in order to avoid basic DEA models' problems, use DEA-AR and DEA-AR-G to evaluate efficiency of technology alternatives. In this study, we applied the proposed methods to clean technology and compared with the basic DEA models. According to the result of the comparison, we can find that the both proposed methods are excellent in confirming most efficient technology, and hybrid AHP/DEA-AR method is much easier to use in the process of technology selection.

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Identifying Promising IT Products for SMEs under the Concept of Business Ecosystem (산업생태계 분석을 통한 중소기업형 유망 IT 품목 발굴 : 수요기반 접근법)

  • Lee, Sungjoo;Cho, Nam-Young;Kim, Byong-Seon;Cho, Chanwoo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2013
  • This research aims to identify promising IT items from the perspectives of Korean SMEs and further to development a policy for SMEs in the IT industry. For this purpose, we adopted a bottom-up approach by discovering IT items on high demand by SMEs as their now growth engines and thus used a survey method. We also analyzed the ecosystem characteristics for the items to help policy-makers establish customized strategy to support their growth. We believe that this research is timely when the concept of ecosystem has emerged and the role of SMEs is emphasized in the IT industry. And the research results are expected to produce valuable information to make a policy for promoting IT items for SMEs and ultimately leading to balanced growth of large firms and SMEs.

A Study on the Extracting ICT Development Trend and Promising Technologies by Utilizing Patent Information in Gyeongbuk Province (특허정보를 활용한 경북지역 ICT 개발동향 분석 및 유망기술 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Jang-Hyup;Kim, Chae-Bogk
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.236-264
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the trend of the patent applications and the future direction of ICT in Gyeongbuk Province by employing patent portfolio analysis, one of the methodology of map analyses for industry-related ICT issues. Thus, this study aims to investigate the ICT development trend based on ICT patent information in Gyeongbuk Province. The promising technologies in ICT industry are extracted by applying patent portfolio analysis, one of the patent map analyses. The analysis results can be applied to the establishment of research and development strategies. This study extracts ICT trend by applying International Patent Classification to the patents registered in Gyeongbuk. For promising technologies, this study analyzed the patents based on the ICT Classification Code. Based on the analysis results, this study presents the trend of patent application, technology share, patent activity status, the trend of patent application by each technology according to ICT classification, the growth stages of ICT market, registration parties for patents, joint researches of research parties, and primary parties of patent applications. After drawing promising technologies, this study provides the future progress direction of ICT industry in Gyeongbuk Province. The research results also can be applied to securing technology competence and developing strategy of technology policy.

Cesium separation from radioactive waste by extraction and adsorption based on crown ethers and calixarenes

  • Wang, Jianlong;Zhuang, Shuting
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.328-336
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    • 2020
  • Cesium is a major product of uranium fission, which is the most commonly existed radionuclide in radioactive wastes. Various technologies have been applied to separate radioactive cesium from radioactive wastes, such as chemical precipitation, solvent extraction, membrane separation and adsorption. Crown ethers and calixarenes derivatives can selectively coordinate with cesium ions by ion-dipole interaction or cation-π interaction, which are promising extractants for cesium ions due to their promising coordinating structure. This review systematically summarized and analyzed the recent advances in the crown ethers and calixarenes derivatives for cesium separation, especially focusing on the adsorbents based on extractants for cesium removal from aqueous solution, such as the grafting coordinating groups (e.g. crown ether and calixarenes) and coordinating polymers (e.g. MOFs) due to their unique coordination ability and selectivity for cesium ions. These adsorbents combined the advantages of extraction and adsorption methods and showed high adsorption capacity for cesium ions, which are promising for cesium separation The key restraints for cesium separation, as well as the newest progress of the adsorbents for cesium separation were also discussed. Finally, some concluding remarks and suggestions for future researches were proposed.

Study on Expression Pattern of Jobs in Game from Perspective of Prospective Jobs in Future (미래 유망 직업 관점에서 게임에 나타난 직업의 표현 양상 연구)

  • Kwang Hee Cho;Jung Yi Kim
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.181-186
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    • 2023
  • In this study, it argues that adolescents lack awareness of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and lack of job expression in games, and suggests promising future vocational education through games. Various previous studies reviewed job education, limitations, and educational effects of online games, and studied job expression in the game from the perspective of future promising jobs, and 45 out of 200 jobs appeared in mobile simulation games. It was found that 'content creators', 'drone experts', and 'software developers' were expressed as promising jobs in the future. Although it has a limitation of investigating only the main character's job, it is meaningful that it pointed out that the current game does not sufficiently cover the functional aspects of vocational education for future promising jobs and suggested the need to reflect future promising jobs.