• Title/Summary/Keyword: Promising Technology

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A Study on Forecast of the Promising Fusion Technology by US Patent Analysis (특허분석을 통한 유망융합기술의 예측)

  • Gang, Hui-Jong;Eom, Mi-Jeong;Kim, Dong-Myeong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.93-116
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    • 2006
  • This study provides a quantitative forecasting method to identify promising fusion technology and it also applies the method based on patent analysis to IT. This study defines fusion technology, promising technology, fusion index, promising index and promising fusion technology. From the analysis, this study found that the next generation computer network is the most promising in IT area. This result is consistent with the forecasts made by the interviews and discussion of experts.

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Exploring Promising Technology in ICT Sector Using Patent Network and Promising Index Based on Patent Information

  • Park, Inchae;Park, Gwangman;Yoon, Byungun;Koh, Soonju
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.405-415
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    • 2016
  • This research proposes the use of a patent analysis methodology that can suggest promising technology in the ICT sector at the micro-level. This approach identifies core patents from the technology field, groups them as research frontiers (RFs), and develops a visualized network based on the citing relationships to monitor the relationship among RFs. In addition, it calculates a "promising index" based on the growth potential, impact, and marketability of patents to ultimately derive promising RFs. To illustrate the proposed approach, this research presents analysis results for a chosen area, which is the user interface and user experience (UI/UX) technology field. By proposing promising technological fields at the micro-level, the proposed methodology will serve as a useful decision-making support tool in selecting R&D projects, technology planning, and determining technology policy direction.

Discovery of promising business items by technology-industry concordance and keyword co-occurrence analysis of US patents. (기술-산업 연계구조 및 특허 분석을 통한 미래유망 아이템 발굴)

  • Cho Byoung-Youl;Rho Hyun-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.860-885
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    • 2005
  • This study relates to develop a quantitative method through which promising technology-based business items can be discovered and selected. For this study, we utilized patent trend analysis, technology-industry concordance analysis, and keyword co-occurrence analysis of US patents. By analyzing patent trends and technology-industry concordance, we were able to find out the emerging industry trends : prevalence of bio industry, service industry, and B2C business. From the direct and co-occurrence analysis of newly discovered patent keywords in the year, 2000, 28 promising business item candidates were extracted. Finally, the promising item candidates were prioritized using 4 business attractiveness determinants; market size, product life cycle, degree of the technological innovation, and coincidence with the industry trends. This result implicates that reliable discovery and selection of promising technology-based business items can be performed by a quantitative, objective and low- cost process using knowledge discovery method from patent database instead of peer review.

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A Study on Priority Setting for Promising Technology in Division of Senior Friendly Product using the AHP (AHP를 이용한 고령친화제품 유망기술의 우선순위 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Jae Seong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.207-214
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is an application of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) in the priority setting of promising technology in division of senior friendly product based on the previous studies. In this paper, the decision criteria for evaluating promising technologies in division of senior friendly product are identified and the hierarchical structure of decision making process is developed systematically. Subsequently the values of weights for relative importance among decision criteria are derived using AHP methodology, and the score of importance of promising technology in division of senior friendly product with respect to each criterion is evaluated. Finally the score of each promising technology in division of senior friendly product is quantified in order to prioritize them. We discuss implications of our results with a viewpoint of technology policy in division of senior friendly product.

Identifying Promising Service Areas for Technology-based Firms (기술기반 기업의 유망 서비스 영역 탐색)

  • Kim, Chulhyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes an approach to analyzing the relationship between technology and services, and to identifying promising service areas for technology-based firms with the analysis of business model (BM) patents. First, BM patents and technology patents are collected and classified into their relevant categories, respectively. Second, patent citation analysis is conducted to analyze the linkage and impacts between each technology and service field at macro level. Third, as a micro level analysis, patent co-classification analysis is employed to identify the interrelationships among specific technology and service areas. Finally, the promising service areas for technology-based firms seeking service areas for diversification is investigated with portfolio analysis. The working of the proposed approach is provided with the help of a case study of IT and mobile services. The proposed approach could guide and help managers of technology-based firms to discover the opportunity of the diversification to new areas in emerging service fields.

A Study on the Projection of the IT-based Promising Technologies Utilizing Patent Database (특허 정보를 활용한 IT 유망기술 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Pang-Ryong;Hwang, Sung-Hyun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.10B
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    • pp.1021-1030
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    • 2009
  • Advanced countries, in recent, are trying hard to acquire intellectual properties on the promising technologies for prior occupation in the future market. The purpose of this study is to derive the IT-based Promising Technologies and find out their implications, focusing on the US patent market known as the most competitive in the world patent market. In this paper, We give a manipulated definition on the IT-based Promising Technologies and deduct the Promising Technologies based on the definition. To accomplish this purpose, we have utilized the US patents granted for the period 2001-2008 in the IT technology. As a result, we have found that 69 fields are classified as the Promising Technologies among 803 IT fields in a criterion of IPC main-group.

Research Technology Evolution of UAV(Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) and to Prospect Promising Technology (무인항공기 기술진화 탐색 및 유망기술 발굴 연구)

  • Joo, Seong-Hyeon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2019
  • Prospecting future social environmental changes and improvement research on future technologies is required for prospecting promising technology, as it would be useful for institution·company to set up technical planning. This study aims at providing a methodology for retaining international technology competitiveness, marketable industry, and sustainable promising technology in a field of new growth engine industry such as national unmanned aerial vehicle industry. We draw a result by analysing with tools such as KrKwic, Excel, NetMiner, presenting methods of a Social Network Analysis, sub-group analysis, and cognitive map analysis based on patent data in a field of unmanned aerial vehicle industry. Therefore, this study explored the technology evolution of UAV and to prospect promising technology. As a result, some future promising technologies are prospected as what worths concentrated investment, such as 'system integration tech', 'assessment/airworthiness certification tech', 'avionics', 'pilot control tech', 'identification of friend or foe', 'flight control tech', 'supportive equipment'.

Priority Setting of New Promising IT Industries (IT 유망 신산업의 우선순위 평가)

  • Lee, Jang-U;Min, Wan-Gi
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.25-54
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    • 2005
  • In this study, priority setting model of new promising IT industries which will be the growth engines for the Korean IT industry, was established. Based on the AHP model, priority setting of IT new promising IT industries was conducted. Firstly, the selection cases of the new promising IT industries and major priority setting methodologies including the AHP methodology, were analyzed. The AHP model was selected as the most feasible methodology for priority setting of the new IT industries, among the various priority setting methodologies. Secondly, in setting up the AHP model for prioritization of the new promising If industries, a 'goal' was established to be priority setting of the new promising IT industries, and an 'alternatives' to be 18 new promising IT industries. Then a logical and a systematic assessment criteria including 5 main criteria('Technological Innovation', 'Market Ability', 'SPin-off Effect', 'Public Benefit', 'Strategic Importance') and 14 sub-criteria, were developed for priority setting of the 18 new promising industries. Finally, with the AHP model, the substantial analysis was made to set up priority of the 18 new promising IT industries. The substantial analysis showed the following priority setting results and implications for the 18 new promising IT industries.

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A Method on the Selection of the Promising IT Equipment (정보통신기기 품목간 유망성 비교 방법론)

  • 김수현;주영진;박석지
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.266-274
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    • 1999
  • The world market is being restructured into one global market. The globalization makes the competition m IT industry more vigorous. It is, therefore, the vital procedures that the selection of the promising items among IT equipment and the intensive investment on the selected items to gain the competitiveness in the area of IT global market. With these in mind, in this paper, we introduce a very systematic and objective method which appraises the promise of IT equipment. The method is based on the factor Analysis which is very popular and powerful statistical technique.

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Discovering Promising Convergence Technologies Using Network Analysis of Maturity and Dependency of Technology (기술 성숙도 및 의존도의 네트워크 분석을 통한 유망 융합 기술 발굴 방법론)

  • Choi, Hochang;Kwahk, Kee-Young;Kim, Namgyu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.101-124
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    • 2018
  • Recently, most of the technologies have been developed in various forms through the advancement of single technology or interaction with other technologies. Particularly, these technologies have the characteristic of the convergence caused by the interaction between two or more techniques. In addition, efforts in responding to technological changes by advance are continuously increasing through forecasting promising convergence technologies that will emerge in the near future. According to this phenomenon, many researchers are attempting to perform various analyses about forecasting promising convergence technologies. A convergence technology has characteristics of various technologies according to the principle of generation. Therefore, forecasting promising convergence technologies is much more difficult than forecasting general technologies with high growth potential. Nevertheless, some achievements have been confirmed in an attempt to forecasting promising technologies using big data analysis and social network analysis. Studies of convergence technology through data analysis are actively conducted with the theme of discovering new convergence technologies and analyzing their trends. According that, information about new convergence technologies is being provided more abundantly than in the past. However, existing methods in analyzing convergence technology have some limitations. Firstly, most studies deal with convergence technology analyze data through predefined technology classifications. The technologies appearing recently tend to have characteristics of convergence and thus consist of technologies from various fields. In other words, the new convergence technologies may not belong to the defined classification. Therefore, the existing method does not properly reflect the dynamic change of the convergence phenomenon. Secondly, in order to forecast the promising convergence technologies, most of the existing analysis method use the general purpose indicators in process. This method does not fully utilize the specificity of convergence phenomenon. The new convergence technology is highly dependent on the existing technology, which is the origin of that technology. Based on that, it can grow into the independent field or disappear rapidly, according to the change of the dependent technology. In the existing analysis, the potential growth of convergence technology is judged through the traditional indicators designed from the general purpose. However, these indicators do not reflect the principle of convergence. In other words, these indicators do not reflect the characteristics of convergence technology, which brings the meaning of new technologies emerge through two or more mature technologies and grown technologies affect the creation of another technology. Thirdly, previous studies do not provide objective methods for evaluating the accuracy of models in forecasting promising convergence technologies. In the studies of convergence technology, the subject of forecasting promising technologies was relatively insufficient due to the complexity of the field. Therefore, it is difficult to find a method to evaluate the accuracy of the model that forecasting promising convergence technologies. In order to activate the field of forecasting promising convergence technology, it is important to establish a method for objectively verifying and evaluating the accuracy of the model proposed by each study. To overcome these limitations, we propose a new method for analysis of convergence technologies. First of all, through topic modeling, we derive a new technology classification in terms of text content. It reflects the dynamic change of the actual technology market, not the existing fixed classification standard. In addition, we identify the influence relationships between technologies through the topic correspondence weights of each document, and structuralize them into a network. In addition, we devise a centrality indicator (PGC, potential growth centrality) to forecast the future growth of technology by utilizing the centrality information of each technology. It reflects the convergence characteristics of each technology, according to technology maturity and interdependence between technologies. Along with this, we propose a method to evaluate the accuracy of forecasting model by measuring the growth rate of promising technology. It is based on the variation of potential growth centrality by period. In this paper, we conduct experiments with 13,477 patent documents dealing with technical contents to evaluate the performance and practical applicability of the proposed method. As a result, it is confirmed that the forecast model based on a centrality indicator of the proposed method has a maximum forecast accuracy of about 2.88 times higher than the accuracy of the forecast model based on the currently used network indicators.