• 제목/요약/키워드: Project risk

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CMMI 기반 IT 프로젝트를 위한 위험관리 프로세스 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on Risk Management Process Improvement for IT Project Based on CMMI)

  • 장종기;이송희;최진영
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2011년도 춘계학술발표대회
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    • pp.1356-1359
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    • 2011
  • IT 프로젝트는 많은 불확실성을 내포하고 있다. 이러한 불확실성은 프로젝트의 성공적인 수행에 좋지 않은 영향을 미치게 된다. 이처럼 악영향을 미치는 근본적인 이유는 프로젝트가 가지고 있는 잠재적 위험(Risk)이 중요한 원인이라 할 수 있다. CMMI-DEV(Capability Maturity Model Integration for Development, version 1.2)모델을 기반으로 IT 프로젝트를 수행하는 많은 조직에서 소프트웨어 개발시 실제 CMMI-DEV 모델을 적용하여 IT 프로젝트의 위험관리를 수행하고 있다. 그러나 대다수 기업에서 위험을 관리하기 위한 프로세스의 범위(영역)를 선정하는 것에는 많은 노력을 기울이지만 단위 프로세스별로 어떠한 방법(How)과 도구 및 관리기법을 사용하여 위험을 정량적으로 관리하고 완화시킬지에 대한 구체화된 노력은 미흡한 것이 사실이다. 본 논문에서는 CMMI-DEV 모델의 RSKM(Risk Management) 프로세스와 PMBOK(Project Management Body of Knowledge, 4th Edition)의 위험관리 지식영역(Knowledge Area)을 프로세스의 지속적인 개선을 위하여 PDCA(Plan-Do-Check-Action) Cycle의 각 단계별 목적에 맞게 통합(Integration)시켜 IT 프로젝트를 위한 개선된 위험관리 프로세스를 제안하였다. 제안 프로세스의 개선효과를 검증하고 분석하기 위하여 측정지표를 제시하였으며, 개선 프로세스의 적용 전후 결과를 정량적으로 비교 및 분석함으로써 개선효과를 도출하였다.

TREE FORM CLASSIFICATION OF OWNER PAYMENT BEHAVIOUR

  • Hanh Tran;David G. Carmichael;Maria C. A. Balatbat
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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    • pp.526-533
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    • 2011
  • Contracting is said to be a high-risk business, and a common cause of business failure is related to cash management. A contractor's financial viability depends heavily on how actual payments from an owner deviate from those defined in the contract. The paper presents a method for contractors to evaluate the punctuality and fullness of owner payments based on historical behaviour. It does this by classifying owners according to their late and incomplete payment practices. A payment profile of an owner, in the form of aging claims submitted by the contractor, is used as a basis for the method's development. Regression trees are constructed based on three predictor variables, namely, the average time to payment following a claim, the total amount ending up being paid within a certain period and the level of variability in claim response times. The Tree package in the publicly available R program is used for building the trees. The analysis is particularly useful for contractors at the pre-tendering stage, when contractors predict the likely payment scenario in an upcoming project. Based on the method, the contractor can decide whether to tender or not tender, or adjust its financial preparations accordingly. The paper is a contribution in risk management applied to claim and dispute resolution practice. It is argued that by contractors having a better understanding of owner payment behaviour, fewer disputes and contractor business failures will occur.

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공동주택공사에서의 공기지연 리스크분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Delay Claim Risk in Apartment Housing Projects)

  • 김재욱;우광민;이학기
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2003년도 학술대회지
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    • pp.217-221
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 공동주택공사에서 발생하는 공기지연 리스크에 대한 분류체계와 분석방법을 제안하였다. 서울${\cdot}$경기 지역과 부산${\cdot}$경남 지역의 공동주택공사 현장을 중심으로 실무자 면담 및 설문조사를 실시하였고, 그 결과를 바탕으로 주요 광종 분류와 각 공종의 공기지연 리스크 수준과 지수를 산정하였다. 본 연구는 공동주택공사의 주요 공종인 토공사, 골조공사, 조적${\cdot}$미장공사, 창호${\cdot}$유리공사, 수장공사의 공기지연 리스크 요인의 리스크 수준, 지수 그리고 순위를 분석하여 공기지연 리스크 관리 시스템 구축을 위한 기초적인 자료를 제시하는 것을 목적으로 하였다.

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위험을 고려한 응용소프트웨어의 유지관리비용 산정모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Maintenance Cost Estimation Model for Application Software by Considering Risks)

  • 정형종;구은영;한경석
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2015
  • Software is more diverse and complex and the level of importance for the maintenance of application software to securely operate software is also gradually increasing in proportion. The calculation method for maintenance cost of application software applied in Korea public enterprises is involved in the range of 10 to 15% of development cost, depending on the Software Project Cost Estimation Guide. Moreover, as most software maintenance cost estimation procedures do not take into consideration of the risk factors related of maintenance, it can be seen as a main cause for the occurrence of maintenance related accidents. This study proposes a maintenance cost estimate model that takes into consideration of the risks related to the software maintenance activities to improve and resolve issues arising from the estimation of maintenance cost. In doing so, maintenance risk factors are analyzed and a risk index is derived through the analysis of risk levels based on the risk factors. Based on such analysis, a maintenance cost estimate method which reflects the maintenance risk index was established.

전력계통 안정도를 고려한 계통보호 대책 연구 (A Study of System Protection with emphasis on Power System Stability)

  • 장병태;이소영;김경호;안정식;양정재;강계희;박종근
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2002년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.99-101
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    • 2002
  • This paper is to introduce the R&D project called "System Protection with emphasis on Power System Stability". The principal objective of this project is protection aids to system stability. The objects of this project arc as follows. First, drawbacks of classical under frequency load shedding and implementation issues of the rate-of-change of frequency will be described. Secondly, the project discusses the possibilities of voltage instability in power system and how this risk will affect protective relays in real system. Lastly, special protection system is designed to preserve system stability for KEPCO.

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Construction Delay Risk and its Prevention Measures

  • Acharya, Nirmal Kumar;Lee, Young-Dai;Im, Hae-Man
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2006년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.268-270
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper was to explore delay avoiding measures and strategies. The paper was based on previous work of authors on finding delay causes. Firstly, the paper has discussed about delay avoidance measures prescribed by the previous work. As the previous study identified five main causes of construction delays, various measures and strategies to overcome those delay problems have been discussed in sequence in the last sections. Major delay prevention strategies are: involving stakeholders in the project decisions, outreach program, realistic time and resource estimation, try to adjust the triple constraints of time, cost and scope, ensure fair and complete disclosure of information at an early stage of the construction project, contractor, itself should inquire about patent design errors prior to submitting its bid, owner should include in its contract with the consultant an indemnity (protection) clause etc.

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Using Real Options to value the flexibility of Engineering Management decisions in Infrastructure Projects

  • Koo, Bonsang
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.10-13
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    • 2013
  • Determining on a particular construction method is typically decided in the initial phases of a project. However, changing conditions during actual construction may require a different method or technology to be employed. Providing an option for project managers to change construction provides flexibility that can increase value to the overall project. This research provides the ability to modify construction methods as a real option, which allows its value to be modeled. The research also formalizes a way to integrate a binomial lattice model with the Earned Value Method's S-curve. The integrated model provides a decision support tool that planners can use to determine whether to exercise the option depending on the status metrics provided by EVM.

도시재생사업에서의 갈등에 관한 판례 분석: 조합 - 조합 간의 판례를 중심으로 (Analysis of Conflict Cases in Urban Regeneration Project)

  • 안효경;유정호
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2011년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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    • pp.201-203
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    • 2011
  • Because of a wide range of performance and diversity of project and uncertainty caused by complexity and a number of stakeholder, conflict occur necessarily in Urban generation including large-scale and many project which do the same time, for long time. So active conflict management which recognized risk before the fact and deal with conflict is necessarily needed. This paper based on the conflict cases related an urban regeneration. In those cases, we proposed the reason of the conflicts by analysis the most frequent combination of the conflicts and a case of conflict between each group.

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Robust Contract Conditions Under the Newly Introduced BTO-rs Scheme: Application to an Urban Railway Project

  • KIM, KANGSOO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.117-138
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    • 2020
  • Few studies have specifically focused on the uncertainty of demand forecasting despite the fact that uncertainty is the one of greatest risks for governments and private partners in PPP projects. This study presents a methodology for finding robust contract conditions considering uncertainty in travel demand forecasting in a PPP project. Through a case study of an urban railway PPP project in Korea, this study uncovered the risk of excessive government payments to private partners due to the uncertainty in contracted forecast ridership levels. The results allow the suggestion that robust contract conditions could reduce the expected total level of government payments and lower user fees while maintaining profitability of the project. This study offers a framework that assists contract negotiators and gives them more information regarding financial risks and vulnerabilities and helps them to quantify the likelihood of these vulnerabilities coming into play during PPP projects.