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http://dx.doi.org/10.6106/JCEPM.2013.3.1.010

Using Real Options to value the flexibility of Engineering Management decisions in Infrastructure Projects  

Koo, Bonsang (Dept. of Civil Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology)
Publication Information
Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management / v.3, no.1, 2013 , pp. 10-13 More about this Journal
Abstract
Determining on a particular construction method is typically decided in the initial phases of a project. However, changing conditions during actual construction may require a different method or technology to be employed. Providing an option for project managers to change construction provides flexibility that can increase value to the overall project. This research provides the ability to modify construction methods as a real option, which allows its value to be modeled. The research also formalizes a way to integrate a binomial lattice model with the Earned Value Method's S-curve. The integrated model provides a decision support tool that planners can use to determine whether to exercise the option depending on the status metrics provided by EVM.
Keywords
Real Options; Earned Value; Construction Methods; Risk Management;
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