• Title/Summary/Keyword: Project duration

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Design Alternative Assessment Method using Discrete Event Simulation and Building Information Model (이산사건 시뮬레이션과 BIM을 활용한 설계대안 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Chang-Yong;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.158-159
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    • 2016
  • Construction project consists of several stages such as planning, design, construction, operation/maintain, etc. Decisions made in the planning and design stage have a significant impact on the construction and operation/maintain stages. Identifying key resources contributing to duration and cost of design alternatives is an important measure to achieve effective coordination between design and construction. This study proposes a method which finds an optimal design alternative by taking into account of resource planning, expected duration, and cost in construction stage. Base on literature review relative to the assessment of design alternatives, a method which predicts required resources, duration, and cost of the design alternative is established. Then, a method that identifies an optimal design alternative based on the preference of a certain project criteria is developed. Finally, a case study is presented.

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FORECASTING THE COST AND DURATION OF SCHOOL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

  • Ying-Hua Huang ;Wei Tong Chen;Shih-Chieh Chan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.913-916
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

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A Study on the Factors affecting the Duration of Urban Redevelopment Projects - Based on the Project Area, Economic and Locational Characteristics - (도시정비형 재개발사업 소요기간의 영향요인 - 사업구역과 경제적 및 입지적 특성을 바탕으로 -)

  • Lee, Jaewon;Bae, Sangyoung;Jeong, Bosun;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the influencing factors for urban redevelopment projects with a relatively long project duration in the context of Seoul's increasing urbanization rate and aging. Among the business areas that have been designated since 2005 and have been approved for the management and disposal plan of the entire Seoul area, 75 business areas have been set as targets. A hedonic price model was used to analyze the project area, economic, and locational characteristics as independent variables with the project duration from designation of zones to approval of management and disposal plans as dependent variables. As a result of the analysis, the smaller the project area, the larger the area occupied per union member, the larger the land price change rate, and the smaller the KOSPI index, the shorter the required period. This study has the distinction of empirically analyzing the effect of characteristic variables considering size and economic and locational characteristics on period. It provides implications that the area of the business area, the number of union members, and economic conditions should be considered when establishing a business area.

Forecasting Project Cost and Time using Fuzzy Set Theory and Contractors' Judgment

  • Alshibani, Adel
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.174-178
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a new method for forecasting construction project cost and time at completion or at any intermediate time horizon of the project duration. The method is designed to overcome identified limitations of current applications of earned value method in forecasting project cost and time. The proposed method usesfuzzy set theory to model uncertainties associated with project performance and it integrates the earned value technique and the contractors' judgement. The fuzzy set theory is applied as an alternative approach to deterministic and probabilistic methods. Using fuzzy set theory allows contractors to: (1) perform risk analysis for different scenarios of project performance indices, and (2) perform different scenarios expressing vagueness and imprecision of forecasted project cost and time using a set of measures and indices. Unlike the current applications of Earned Value Method(EVM), The proposed method has a numberof interesting features: (1) integrating contractors' judgement in forecasting project performance; (2) enabling contractors to evaluate the risk associated with cost overrun in much simpler method comparing with that of simulation, and (3) accounting for uncertainties involved in the forecasting project cost.

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Influencing Factors on the Duration of Offset Agreement (절충교역 계약 소요기간 영향요인)

  • Hong, Seok-Soo;Joung, Tae-Yun;Seo, Jae-Hyun;Hong, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2012
  • Republic of Korea has been applying offset to defense acquisition program for some benefits such as modernization of defense industry and enhancement of R&D capabilities since 1983. But in point of implementation, there is the possibility of delay of offset agreements based on the value of proposed technologies. As it often happens that the delay of offset agreement negatively affects the time schedule of main defense deal, it is necessary to prepare for this issue. The purpose of this study is to extract some factors affecting the duration of offset agreement by statistical analysis. Reviewing existing papers and contract process, nationality of enterprise, the number of project participants, properties of project, the number of technologies in the first proposal, level of domestic defense technology in each weapons system, the amount of main contract were used as independent variable and duration of agreement as dependent variable. To hypothesis testing, correlation and multiple regression analysis were conducted using the previous 25 contract cases. As a result of correlation analysis, the amount of main contract, the number of technologies in the first proposal and properties of project have positive relationships with dependent variable. In multiple regression, the amount of main contract and the number of project participants have significant effect on the duration of offset agreement.

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Prioritization of Price Volatility Management Strategies in Construction Projects

  • Joukar, Alireza;Nahmens, Isabelina;Harvey, Craig
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2017
  • The existence of material price volatility in construction projects puts forward substantial risks for all parties involved. Depending on the parties involved in the project, type of contracts, and state of the market various risk management strategies are practiced by contracting parties to manage project risks related to price volatility. Unfortunately, in many cases companies fail to select an adequate approach to better manage volatilities of material prices due to the lack of a decision support system to aid in the selection of an appropriate strategy based on the project characteristics. The aim of this study is to identify critical project factors and align them to documented strategies to manage price volatility based on an extensive literature review and industry interviews. This study found Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) as the ideal strategy with respect to project duration; quantitative risk management methods with respect to the cost; and Price Adjustment Clauses (PAC) with respect to the risk allocation, as the top price volatility management strategies.

The Determinants Influencing Residential Resettlement of Union Members by Real Estate Ownership Duration in Redevelopment Promotion Project (재정비촉진사업에서 조합원의 부동산 보유기간에 따른 재정착 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Bang-Hyun;Kim, Hong-Bae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.286-298
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    • 2018
  • This study presents determinants of resettlement considering population, economy, residential environment, policy characteristic, proposes implications for increase of resettlement. The research method deducted determinants of resettlement by union groups using logistic regression, union members are divided to more 10 years group and under 10 years group focused on real estate ownership duration. The analysis results are summarized as follows. More 10 years group has higher age, neighborship, satisfaction about pre-sale price, inside region in redevelopment promotion project, satisfaction about increase of real estate price, the higher resettlement decision probability. Under 10 years group has higher satisfaction about increase of real estate price, satisfaction about pre-sale price, satisfaction about floor area ratio incentive, the higher resettlement decision probability. the political implications must be customized financial support considering economic situations and increase of asset value by real estate ownership duration.

An Application of Simulation Method to Planning of Road Pavement Operation (시뮬레이션을 이용한 도로포장 공정계획의 수립방안)

  • Ohn, Seong-Won;Kim, Ok-Ki;Woo, Sung-Kwon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.1 s.35
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2007
  • Project management means usually managing the rate of construction progress. But it also contains preparing scheme of execution and establishing plan for equipment, material, labor force to finish project within expected duration. In this paper to establish effective project planning a road pavement operation is selected as a case and simulation method is used for analyzing it. Next probability distributions are created after analyzing collected data and these are reflected in simulation model. Simulated result is compared with real project planning using models of lean concrete pavement process and concrete slab pavement process to verify efficiency of this model. In the event we know that project planning using simulation is more effective than one of the field in the aspects of duration and cost. Meanwhile simulated result in this paper has a limitation in accuracy because various constraints of filed are not reflected in it. However if we reflect this constraints in model through examining field in future this limitation is expected to be improved.

Optimal Project Duration Estimation Through Enhanced Resource Leveling Technique (개선된 자원 평준화 기법을 활용한 적정 공기산정 방안)

  • Kim Kyung-Hwan;Yoon Yung-Sang;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.5 s.21
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    • pp.126-134
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    • 2004
  • Since a construction project is a series of works that utilizes resources to accomplish the project goal for a given time period, efficient resource management is a prerequisite for the success of the project. Two major areas of resource management are resource constrained scheduling focusing on the limited resource availability and resource leveling focusing on smoothing resource usage pattern on the fixed project completion time. It is not available, however, to apply both techniques to a project at the same time. This paper proposes a model to enhance the minimum moment algorithm of resource leveling, aiming to find an efficient usage of resources and an appropriate project completion time. A survey was performed to evaluate the major five factors in the model. A case study demonstrates the value of the proposed resource leveling technique.

A STUDY ON DURATION ESTIMATE METHOD USING STOCHASTIC MODEL IN THE BIM ENVIRONMENT

  • Jae H. Park;Seok H. Yun;Joon H. Paek
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1209-1215
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    • 2009
  • Recently, Construction Projects are being much bigger and more complex. So the importance of Construction Planning and Management is increasing and increasing because of the Construction Projects is involved in a variety of construction-related subjects. Competitive of the Construction Industry decided Cost, Construction Duration and Productivity. But they were just focused on Cost Saving instead of Construction Duration and Productivity. However, they have to finish construction projects using minimum cost and duration with quality and function of required level for successful Construction projects. Thus, current high exchange rate and high period, it is clear to decrease construction cost and to do economic construction in huge Construction Projects and it means more advanced Construction Schedule Management needs for economic construction. But Construction Scheduling Planning, basic of Construction Schedule Management, adjusted contract period without Pre-Planning, just depending on experience and ability of Construction Engineer. Because of that, this study suggests new Duration Estimate Method using Stochastic Model in BIM Environment for advanced Construction Schedule Management. Existing Duration Estimate Methods are just modified wrong points of them or analyzed effective factors of construction schedule. However, New Duration Estimate Method is just consists of Stochastic Model and BIM Environment without existing Duration Estimate Methods. So, new method has creativity and specialty. After this research, it would be a great model in construction industry field.

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