• 제목/요약/키워드: Production Data Model

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자원복원력 개념을 적용한 사전확률분포 및 상태공간 잉여생산 평가모델: 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 개체군 자원평가 (A State-space Production Assessment Model with a Joint Prior Based on Population Resilience: Illustration with the Common Squid Todarodes pacificus Stock)

  • 김진우;현상윤;윤상철
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제55권2호
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    • pp.183-188
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    • 2022
  • It is a difficult task to estimate parameters in even a simple stock assessment model such as a surplus production model, using only data about temporal catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) (or survey index) and fishery yields. Such difficulty is exacerbated when time-varying parameters are treated as random effects (aka state variables). To overcome the difficulty, previous studies incorporated somewhat subjective assumptions (e.g., B1=K) or informative priors of parameters. A key is how to build an objective joint prior of parameters, reducing subjectivity. Given the limited data on temporal CPUEs and fishery yields from 1999-2020 for common squid Todarodes pacificus, we built a joint prior of only two parameters, intrinsic growth rate (r) and carrying capacity (K), based on the resilience level of the population (Froese et al., 2017), and used a Bayesian state-space production assessment model. We used template model builder (TMB), a R package for implementing the assessment model, and estimating all parameters in the model. The predicted annual biomass was in the range of 0.76×106 to 4.06×106 MT, the estimated MSY was 0.13×106 MT, the estimated r was 0.24, and the estimated K was 2.10×106 MT.

A System for Rapid Design and Manufacturing of Custom-Tailored Shoes

  • Park, Sang-Kun;Lee, Kun-Woo;Kim, Jong-Won;Park, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.675-689
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    • 2000
  • Rapid design and production techniques are indispensable for the custom-made production systems. For manufacturing custom-made shoes, the shoelast should be designed rapidly from the individual foot model. In this paper, we develop an integrated system for rapid design and manufacturing of custom-tailored shoes. The foot shape measurement sub-system allows scanning a standard shoelast and an individual foot and then extracts the three-dimensional crosssectional data of the shoelast and the human foot shape from the captured image data. The shoelast design sub-system uses the scanned data to design new customized shoelast curves or surfaces with the heeling and mixing algorithms built in this system. The pattern design subsystem provides a method, which transforms a shoe-upper surface designed by a stylist into a flat-pattern that can be manufactured. We also export the surface model to an NC machine to manufacture the physical shoelast model.

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Product-Mix Decision Using Lean Production and Activity-Based Costing: An Integrated Model

  • MOHSIN, Nidhal Mohammed Ridha;AL-BAYATI, Hossam Ahmed Mohamed;OLEIWI, Zahra Hasan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.517-527
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    • 2021
  • While the two principles of lean manufacturing and time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) have been established out of multiple incentives and do not follow the same particular targets, there is substantial commonality between them. In these conditions, the supply management of a multi-product system needs a rigorous production model to minimize costs. In this sense, this paper proposes an interactive model with the consideration of optimizing product-mix decisions using both lean development tools and TDABC. This paper proposes a qualitative approach using the case study of the Iraqi state company for battery production. The suggested model decreased manufacturing time and costs, along with some substantial reduction in idle production capacity by 26 percent in 2019, based on the findings of the case study. On the other hand, the proposed model gives two side advantages: an efficient division of costs on goods due to the use of time spent as a cost factor for products and cost savings due to the introduction of the lean manufacturing approach that reduces all additional costs and increases product-mix decisions. Furthermore, the analytical data gathered here suggests that the incorporation of lean management concepts and TDABC has a strong and important influence on product-mix decisions.

탄약검사기록 데이터 분석 및 탄약상태기호 분류 모델 개발 (Analysis of Ammunition Inspection Record Data and Development of Ammunition Condition Code Classification Model)

  • 정영진;홍지수;김솔잎;강성우
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2024
  • In the military, ammunition and explosives stored and managed can cause serious damage if mishandled, thus securing safety through the utilization of ammunition reliability data is necessary. In this study, exploratory data analysis of ammunition inspection records data is conducted to extract reliability information of stored ammunition and to predict the ammunition condition code, which represents the lifespan information of the ammunition. This study consists of three stages: ammunition inspection record data collection and preprocessing, exploratory data analysis, and classification of ammunition condition codes. For the classification of ammunition condition codes, five models based on boosting algorithms are employed (AdaBoost, GBM, XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost). The most superior model is selected based on the performance metrics of the model, including Accuracy, Precision, Recall, and F1-score. The ammunition in this study was primarily produced from the 1980s to the 1990s, with a trend of increased inspection volume in the early stages of production and around 30 years after production. Pre-issue inspections (PII) were predominantly conducted, and there was a tendency for the grade of ammunition condition codes to decrease as the storage period increased. The classification of ammunition condition codes showed that the CatBoost model exhibited the most superior performance, with an Accuracy of 93% and an F1-score of 93%. This study emphasizes the safety and reliability of ammunition and proposes a model for classifying ammunition condition codes by analyzing ammunition inspection record data. This model can serve as a tool to assist ammunition inspectors and is expected to enhance not only the safety of ammunition but also the efficiency of ammunition storage management.

생산공정의 모델링과 SIMAN 언어에 의한 모델분석 (A modeling of manufacturing system and a model analysis by a SIMAN language)

  • 이만형;김경천;한성현
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1987년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 16-17 Oct. 1987
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    • pp.300-306
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    • 1987
  • This paper deals with a modeling of manufacturing system and a model analysis by a SIMAN language. A flow of production process is analyzed, and a mathematical model on the basis of the analyzed data is simulated by a SIMAN language. An object of this study is to achieve an optimization of production a reduction of cost, and an improvement of quality by a applicable line-balancing technique and an optimization technique in a real factor induced an analysis and synthesis of the result of simulation.

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연료전지용 열분해 개질기의 이론해석 및 설계연구 (Theoretical Analysis and Study of Design of Autothermal Reformer for Use in Fuel Cell)

  • 강일환;김형만;최갑승;왕학민
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국연소학회 2005년도 제31회 KOSCO SYMPOSIUM 논문집
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2005
  • As fuel cells approach commercialization, hydrogen production becomes a critical step in the overall energy conversion pathway. Reforming is a process that produces a hydrogen-rich gas from hydrocarbon fuels. Hydrogen production via autothermal reforming (ATR) is particularly attractive for applications that demand a quick start-up and response time in a compact size. However, further research is required to optimize the performance of autothermal reformers and accurate models of reactor performance must be developed and validated. The design includes the requirement of accommodating a wide range of experimental set ups. Factors considered in the design of the reformer are capability to use multiple fuels, ability to vary stoichiometry, precise temperature and pressure control, implementation of enhancement methods, capability to implement variable catalyst positions and catalyst arrangement, ability to monitor and change reactant mixing, and proper implementation of data acquisition. A model of the system was first developed in order to calculate flowrates, heating, space velocity, and other important parameters needed to select the hardware that comprises the reformer. Predicted performance will be compared to actual data once the reformer construction is completed. This comparison will quantify the accuracy of the model and should point to areas where further model development is required. The end result will be a research tool that allows engineers to optimize hydrogen production via autothermal reformation.

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Theoretical Analyses of Autothermal Reforming Methanol for Use in Fuel Cell

  • Wang Hak-Min;Choi Kap-Seung;Kang Il-Hwan;Kim Hyung-Man;Erickson Paul A.
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.864-873
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    • 2006
  • As fuel cells approach commercialization, hydrogen production becomes a critical step in the overall energy conversion pathway. Reforming is a process that produces a hydrogen-rich gas from hydrocarbon fuels. Hydrogen production via autothermal reforming (ATR) is particularly attractive for applications that demand a quick start-up and response time in a compact size. However, further research is required to optimize the performance of autothermal reformers and accurate models of reactor performance must be developed and validated. The design includes the requirement of accommodating a wide range of experimental set ups. Factors considered in the design of the reformer are capability to use multiple fuels, ability to vary stoichiometry, precise temperature and pressure control, implementation of enhancement methods, capability to implement variable catalyst positions and catalyst arrangement, ability to monitor and change reactant mixing, and proper implementation of data acquisition. A model of the system was first developed in order to calculate flowrates, heating, space velocity, and other important parameters needed to select the hardware that comprises the reformer. Predicted performance will be compared to actual data once the reformer construction is completed. This comparison will quantify the accuracy of the model and should point to areas where further model development is required. The end result will be a research tool that allows engineers to optimize hydrogen production via autothermal reformation.

Development of Multilayer Perceptron Model for the Prediction of Alcohol Concentration of Makgeolli

  • Kim, JoonYong;Rho, Shin-Joung;Cho, Yun Sung;Cho, EunSun
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Makgeolli is a traditional alcoholic beverage made from rice with a fermentation starter called "nuruk." The concentration of alcohol in makgeolli depends on the temperature of the fermentation tank. It is important to monitor the alcohol concentration to manage the makgeolli production process. Methods: Data were collected from 84 makgeolli fermentation tanks over a year period. Independent variables included the temperatures of the tanks and the room where the tanks were located, as well as the quantity, acidity, and water concentration of the source. Software for the multilayer perceptron model (MLP) was written in Python using the Scikit-learn library. Results: Many models were created for which the optimization converged within 100 iterations, and their coefficients of determination $R^2$ were considerably high. The coefficient of determination $R^2$ of the best model with the training set and the test set were 0.94 and 0.93, respectively. The fact that the difference between them was very small indicated that the model was not overfitted. The maximum and minimum error was approximately 2% and the total MSE was 0.078%. Conclusions: The MLP model could help predict the alcohol concentration and to control the production process of makgeolli. In future research, the optimization of the production process will be studied based on the model.

Modeling of Farm Size Dairy Feed Mill in Korea

  • Park, K.K.;Kim, T.W.
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1993년도 Proceedings of International Conference for Agricultural Machinery and Process Engineering
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    • pp.565-583
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    • 1993
  • In order to reduce the production cost and improve the quality of dairy feed, several dairy feed mill model suitable for Korean farm size are developed. Also, capital requirement and operating costs of the model mill are analyzed. And these analyzed data are compared with the commercial feed production cost, in order to test whether the model mills are suitable or not in Korean dairy farm. Also optimum model is recommended depending on size of dairy farm. As a result, developed model mill(TMR) is very useful in Korea dairy farm not only reduce production cost up to 78% but also improve the qualities.

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Definition of Season in Animal Model Evaluation of NiIi-Ravi Buffaloes

  • Khan, M.S.;Bhatti, S.A.;Asghar, A.A.;Chaudhary, M.A.;Bilal, M.Q.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.70-74
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    • 1997
  • Data on 2,571 lactation records of Nili-Ravi buffaloes from four institutional herds and four field recording centers were analyzed under an animal model to see the effect of season definition on the error variance of the fitted model. Herd-year-season(HYS) was the main fixed effect along with permanent environment, breeding value and residuals as the random effects. All known relationships among the animals were considered. The error variance differed for various HYS combinations. It was minimum when then months were not grouped into seasons. The four or Five season scenarios were better than the two season scenarios. The average number of lactations represented in a HYS combination varied widely from 6 to 28. Very few subclasses for a given HYS combination warrants the use of fewer seasons for animal model evaluation of buffaloes.