• Title/Summary/Keyword: Process models

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Developed multiple linear regression model using genetic algorithm for predicting top-bead width in GMA welding process

  • Thao, D.T.;Kim, I.S.;Son, J.S.;Seo, J.B.
    • Proceedings of the KWS Conference
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.271-273
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    • 2006
  • This paper focuses on the developed empirical models for the prediction on top-bead width in GMA(Gas Metal Arc) welding process. Three empirical models have been developed: linear, curvilinear and an intelligent model. Regression analysis was employed fur optimization of the coefficients of linear and curvilinear model, while Genetic Algorithm(GA) was utilized to estimate the coefficients of intelligent model. Not only the fitting of these models were checked, but also the prediction on top-bead width was carried out. ANOVA analysis and contour plots were respectively employed to represent main and interaction effects between process parameters on top-bead width.

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Reliability Analysis of Multi-Component System Considering Preventive Maintenance: Application of Markov Chain Model (예방정비를 고려한 복수 부품 시스템의 신뢰성 분석: 마코프 체인 모형의 응용)

  • Kim, Hun Gil;Kim, Woo-Sung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.313-322
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: We introduce ways to employ Markov chain model to evaluate the effect of preventive maintenance process. While the preventive maintenance process decreases the failure rate of each subsystems, it increases the downtime of the system because the system can not work during the maintenance process. The goal of this paper is to introduce ways to analyze this trade-off. Methods: Markov chain models are employed. We derive the availability of the system consisting of N repairable subsystems by the methods under various maintenance policies. Results: To validate our methods, we apply our models to the real maintenance data reports of military truck. The error between the model and the data was about 1%. Conclusion: The models developed in this paper fit real data well. These techniques can be applied to calculate the availability under various preventive maintenance policies.

Simulating phase transition phenomena of the unitary cell model

  • Kim, Dong-Hoh
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.225-235
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    • 2009
  • Lattice process models are used to explain phase transitions in statistical mechanics, a branch of physics. The Ising model, a specific form of lattice process model, was proposed by Ising in 1925. Since then, variants of the Ising model such as the Potts model and the unitary cell model have been proposed. Like the Ising model, it is believed that the more general models exhibit phase transitions on the critical surface, which is based on the mathematical equation. In statistical sense, phase transitions can be simulated through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We applied Swendsen-Wang algorithm, a block Gibbs algorithm, to a general lattice process models and we simulate phase transition phenomena of the unitary cell model.

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An Experimental study on Prediction of Back-bead Geometry in Pipeline Using the GMA Welding Process (GMA를 이용한 배관용접의 이면비드 형상예측에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Sun;Kim, Ill-Soo;Na, Hyun-Ho;Lee, Ji-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.74-80
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a variety of welding experiments were carried out to optimize root-pass welding process using GMA process. Based on the experimental results, optimal welding conditions were selected after analyzing correlation between welding parameters and back-bead geometry. Then, effectiveness of empirical models developed was compared and analyzed, and optimized empirical models were finally developed for predicting back-bead by analyzing the main effect of each factor which affects back-bead geometry and their influence on interaction. Also, functions proper for expressing the surface of back-bead were selected using diverse quadratic functions, and back-bead geometry was visualized using empirical models developed and quadratic functions.

Economic Machining Process Models Using Simulation, Fuzzy Non-Linear Programming and Neural-Networks (시뮬레이션과 퍼지비선형계획 및 신경망 기법을 이용한 경제적 절삭공정 모델)

  • Lee, Young-Hae;Yang, Byung-Hee;Chun, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents four process models for machining processes : 1) an economical mathematical model of machining process, 2) a prediction model for surface roughness, 3) a decision model for fuzzy cutting conditions, and 4) a judgment model of machinability with automatic selection of cutting conditions. Each model was developed the economic machining, and these models were applied to theories widely studied in industrial engineering which are nonlinear programming, computer simulation, fuzzy theory, and neural networks. The results of this paper emphasize the human oriented domain of a nonlinear programming problem. From a viewpoint of the decision maker, fuzzy nonlinear programming modeling seems to be apparently more flexible, more acceptable, and more reliable for uncertain, ill-defined, and vague problem situations.

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Forecasting interval for the INAR(p) process using sieve bootstrap

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, You-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2005
  • Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modelling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of theses models is the integer-valued autoregressive(INAR) models. However, when modelling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, there is not yet distributional properties of forecasts, since INAR process contain an accrued level of complexity in using the Steutal and Van Harn(1979) thinning operator 'o'. In this study, a manageable expression for the asymptotic mean square error of predicting more than one-step ahead from an estimated poisson INAR(1) model is derived. And, we present a bootstrap methods developed for the calculation of forecast interval limits of INAR(p) model. Extensive finite sample Monte Carlo experiments are carried out to compare the performance of the several bootstrap procedures.

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Estimation of Hydrogen Filling Time Using a Dynamic Modeling (동적 모델링에 의한 수소 충전 시에 걸리는 시간의 산출)

  • NOH, SANGGYUN
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2021
  • A compressed hydrogen tank is to be repressurized to 40 bar by being connected to a high-pressure line containing hydrogen at 50 bar and 25℃. Hydrogen filling time and the corresponding hydrogen temperature has been estimated when the filling process stopped according to several thermodynamic models. During the process of cooling the hydrogen tank, hydrogen temperature and pressure vs. time estimation was performed using Aspen Dynamics. Filling time, hydrogen temperature after filling hydrogen gas, cooling time and the final tank pressure after tank filling process have been completed according to the thermodynamic models are almost same.

STRICT STATIONARITY AND FUNCTIONAL CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM FOR ARCH/GRACH MODELS

  • Lee, Oe-Sook;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we consider the (generalized) autoregressive model with conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH/GARCH models). We willing give conditions under which strict stationarity, ergodicity and the functional central limit theorem hold for the corresponding models.

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Neural Network Modeling for Bread Baking Process (제빵 굽기 공정의 신경회로망 모형화)

  • Kim, Seung-Chan;Cho, Seong-In;Chun, Jae-Geun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.525-531
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    • 1995
  • Three quality factors of bread during baking process were measured to develop neural network models for bread baking process. Firstly, volume and browning changes during bread baking process were measured using image processing technique and temperature changes inside the bread during process were measured by K-type thermocouples. Relationships among them showed nonlinearity. Secondly, multilayer perception structure with error back propagation learning was used to construct neural network models. Three neural network models for volume, browning, and bread temperature were developed respectively. Developed models showed good performance with predictive error of 4.62% for volume and browning changes after 30 seconds, 7.38% for volume and browning changes after 2 minutes, and 1.09% for temperature change inside the bread respectively.

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Comparative Study of Estimation Methods of the Endpoint Temperature in Basic Oxygen Furnace Steelmaking Process with Selection of Input Parameters

  • Park, Tae Chang;Kim, Beom Seok;Kim, Tae Young;Jin, Il Bong;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2018
  • The basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process in the steel industry is highly complicated, and subject to variations in raw material composition. During the BOF steelmaking process, it is essential to maintain the carbon content and the endpoint temperature at their set points in the liquid steel. This paper presents intelligent models used to estimate the endpoint temperature in the basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process. An artificial neural network (ANN) model and a least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model are proposed and their estimation performance compared. The classical partial least-squares (PLS) method was also compared with the others. Results of the estimations using the ANN, LSSVM and PLS models were compared with the operation data, and the root-mean square error (RMSE) for each model was calculated to evaluate estimation performance. The RMSE of the LSSVM model 15.91, which turned out to be the best estimation. RMSE values for the ANN and PLS models were 17.24 and 21.31, respectively, indicating their relative estimation performance. The essential input parameters used in the models can be selected by sensitivity analysis. The RMSE for each model was calculated again after a sequential input selection process was used to remove insignificant input parameters. The RMSE of the LSSVM was then 13.21, which is better than the previous RMSE with all 16 parameters. The results show that LSSVM model using 13 input parameters can be utilized to calculate the required values for oxygen volume and coolant needed to optimally adjust the steel target temperature.