• 제목/요약/키워드: Probit analysis

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A Study of Reliability of Guided Missile(◯◯) using Probit Analysis (Probit 분석을 이용한 ◯◯유도탄 신뢰도 분석 및 활용방안)

  • Hong, SeokJin;Jung, SangHoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.553-564
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to propose useful suggestions by analyzing reliability of guided missile using field data in Military industry. Methods: The collected data from Defense industry company and the military were analyzed using probit analysis which is non-linear model because field data contain binary variable. Results: The results of this study are as follows; It was found that the effect of time was significant. It takes about 12.4 years when 10st percentile of guided missiles are not working and it takes about 18.6 years when 50st percentile of guided missiles are not working. It was found that period between 10years to 15years comes less than reliability 0.0. Conclusion: Periodical check needs to extend from 4 year to 10 year partially. Early LOT need to check per 4 year and follow-up LOT extend the period of check to 10 year by reflecting the result of reliability.

Analysis of Consumers' Choices and Time-Consumption Behaviors for Various Broadcasting and Telecommunication Convergence Services

  • Koh, Dae-Young;Lee, Jong-Su
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.302-311
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we analyzed consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services and time consumption for chosen services by using survey data. A multivariate probit model was used to model consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services, and an ordered probit model was used to model consumers' time consumption for chosen services. Factors affecting consumers' choices and time-consumption behavior were identified, and simulation results of market competition and substitution were obtained. Based on these results, it was found that for the time being, consumers are highly locked into existing broadcasting services and are likely to become more price-sensitive to the new broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services. Also, the ways in which individual characteristics affect choices and time consumption were found to be very diverse service by service.

Residential Heating Fuel Choice in Korea - A Multinomial Probit Analysis - (Multinomial Probit 모형을 이용한 가정용 난방연료 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yeonbae;Shin, Seong-Yun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.609-632
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    • 2002
  • 국민소득이 빠르게 증가함에 따라 1990년대 이후 가정용 난방연료의 소비구조 역시 크게 변화하고 있다. 본 연구는 에너지 및 교통수요분석에 많이 사용되는 Multinomial Probit 모형을 이용하여 가정용 난방연료의 선택 행태를 분석하였다. 모형의 추정방법으로는 베이지안(Baysian) 방법론에 의한 Gibbs Sampling기법 (McColluch et al., 2000)을 이용하여 Multinomial probit 모형에서 선택대안이 3개 이상일 경우 발생할 수 있는 추정상의 어려움을 극복하였다. 한국가구패널조사(KHPS) 자료를 이용하여 서울과 경기도 대도시 지역을 대상으로 분석한 결과, 석유와 천연가스가 연탄에 비해 더 밀접한 상호 대체관계를 가지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 소득이 높은 가구일수록 천연가스에 대한 선호도가 더 높은 것으로 나타나서 향후 공급망 확대에 따라 난방연료용 가스 소비가 더욱 늘어날 것으로 예상된다.

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A Consideration of Logit Transformation for Estimating the Dosage-Mortality Regression Equation (약량 반응곡선의 추정에 있어서 Logit 변환법의 이용)

  • 송유한
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.36-39
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    • 1978
  • With the current advances in insect toxicant bioassay, the need for easy methods of estimating the dosage-mortality regression equation has become vital. The Probit analysis seems to be not convenient for estimating the dosage-mortality regression equation and median lethal dose(LD50) because of its complexity in calculation. This study presents a comparision between Probit and Losit transformation for the estimation from bioassay results. Validation of the two methods is presented for the pathogenecity of nuclear polyhedrosis virus to the larva of fall web worm, Hyphantria cunea D.

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Bayesian ordinal probit semiparametric regression models: KNHANES 2016 data analysis of the relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake (베이지안 순서형 프로빗 준모수 회귀 모형 : 국민건강영양조사 2016 자료를 통한 흡연양태와 커피섭취 간의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Dasom;Lee, Eunji;Jo, Seogil;Choi, Taeryeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.25-46
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents ordinal probit semiparametric regression models using Bayesian Spectral Analysis Regression (BSAR) method. Ordinal probit regression is a way of modeling ordinal responses - usually more than two categories - by connecting the probability of falling into each category explained by a combination of available covariates using a probit (an inverse function of normal cumulative distribution function) link. The Bayesian probit model facilitates posterior sampling by bringing a latent variable following normal distribution, therefore, the responses are categorized by the cut-off points according to values of latent variables. In this paper, we extend the latent variable approach to a semiparametric model for the Bayesian ordinal probit regression with nonparametric functions using a spectral representation of Gaussian processes based BSAR method. The latent variable is decomposed into a parametric component and a nonparametric component with or without a shape constraint for modeling ordinal responses and predicting outcomes more flexibly. We illustrate the proposed methods with simulation studies in comparison with existing methods and real data analysis applied to a Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) 2016 for investigating nonparametric relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake.

A Study on the Satisfaction of School meals about Elementary, Middle and High School's Students in Jeonbuk Area : An Ordered Probit Analysis (순위프로빗모형을 이용한 전북지역 초.중.고교 학생들의 학교급식에 대한 만족도 분석)

  • Lim, Sung-Soo;Yang, Jae-Seong
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.539-554
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    • 2013
  • This study analyses the factors that affect the satisfaction of school meals program. To obtain the data, 54 elementary, middle and high schools in Jeonbuk area were chosen for survey. A ordered probit model analysis is conducted to identify the key explanatory variables that affect the satisfaction of school meals about elementary, middle and high school's students. Also, a ordered probit model is used to calculate marginal effects of several key variables. The study finds that key factors that affect to increase the satisfaction of school meals are rural area schools, elementary school's students, and education for school meals or food nutrition. The satisfaction of school meals in urban and rural school's students are significantly different. Also, the satisfaction of school meals about elementary, middle and high school's students are significantly different. To do this, importance of school meals is to build up the safe agricultural supply system. For safe agricultural supply system, local agricultural products provided in school meals should be supplied based on GAP, HACCP certificated companies such as US FTS(Farm to School) program.

Assessing Public Attitude for Multifunctional Roles of the U.S. Agriculture Using a Bivariate Ordered Probit Model (Bivariate Ordered Probit 모형을 이용한 미국 농업의 다원적 기능에 대한 소비자 인식분석)

  • Han, Jung-Hee;Moon, Wan-Ki;Cho, Yong-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.413-439
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    • 2009
  • This study conducts a survey and test to understand U.S. public's perception about multifunctionality. The questionnaire suggests seven alternative way of providing questions about intangible benefits provided by agriculture in the U.S. The final questionnaire was administered as an e-mail survey in June 2008 to a nationally representative household panel maintained in the U.S. by the Ipsos Observer. Data analysis shows that 64 percent of respondents considered the multifunctionality of agriculiture as an important issue and 45 percent of respondents were in favor of increasing government expenditure to support farmland preservation. Using Fishbein's multi-attribute model as a theoretical background, this paper develops an empirical model to assess and attributes of multifunctionality. For the analysis, bivariate orderd probit model was set up to reflect respondent's attitude. Regression analyses show that two questions (how much you agree with agriculture's intangible benefit and increasing government expenditure to support agriculture) are shaped by different sets of facts.

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Determinants of Accounting Policy for R & D Costs (연구개발비에 대한 회계정책 결정요인 분석)

  • 조성표
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 1996.12a
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 1996
  • This study investigates the factors determining accounting method for R & D costs (capitalize vs. expense) in Korea. Using agency theory and other economic factors, probit and regression models have been developed to distinguish between firms choosing different accounting alternatives for R&D costs. The results are consistent to debt contract, R&D burden and regulation hypotheses both in probit and regression analysis. The size variable has opposite sign in univariate t-test and probit analysis but the signs are mixed and insignificant in regression which may be due to the differences of political environment between Korea and the US. Generally, the results are consistent to those of previous research. The results support the hypothesis that firms with higher leverage and larger burden of R&D costs are more likely to capitalize R&D costs. Partially, larger and regulated firms are more likely to expense R & D costs.

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Determinants of Accounting Policy for R&D Costs (연구개발에 대한 회계정책 결정요인 분석)

  • 조성표
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.67-89
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    • 1997
  • This study investigates the factors determining accounting method for R&D costs (capitalizevs. expense) in Korea. Using agency theory and other economic factors, probit and regression model have been developed to distinguish between firms choosing different accounting alternatives for R&D costs. The results are consistent to debt contract, R&D burden and regulation hypotheses both in probit and regression analysis. The size variable has opposite sign in univariate t-test and probit analysis, which may be due to the differences of political environment between Korea and the US. Generally, the results are consistent to those of previous research. The evidence suggests that larger firms with higher leverage and larger burden of R&D costs are more likely to capitalize R&D costs, while regulated firms are more likely to expense R&D costs.

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Analysis on ISMS Certification and Organizational Characteristics based on Information Security Disclosure Data (정보보호 공시 데이터를 이용한 정보보호 관리체계 인증과 조직의 특성 분석)

  • SunJoo Kim;Tae-Sung Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.205-231
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    • 2023
  • The Information Security Management System (ISMS) is a protection procedure and process that keeps information assets confidential, flawless, and available at any time. ISMS-P in Korea and ISO/IEC 27001 overseas are the most representative ISMS certification systems. In this paper, in order to understand the relationship between ISMS certification and organizational characteristics, data were collected from Korea Internet & Security Agency (KISA), Ministry of Science and ICT, Information Security Disclosure System (ISDS), Financial Supervisory Service, Data Analysis, Retrieval and Transfer System (DART), and probit regression analysis was performed. In the probit analysis, the relationship with four independent variables was confirmed for three cases: ISMS-P acquisition, ISO/IEC 27001 acquisition, and both ISMS-P and ISO/IEC 27001 acquisition. As a result of the analysis, it was found that companies that acquired both ISMS-P and ISO/IEC 27001 had a positive correlation with the total number of employees and a negative correlation with business history. In addition, the improvement direction of the ISMS-P certification system and information security disclosure system could also be confirmed.