• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability proportion method

검색결과 39건 처리시간 0.021초

어업조사통계의 품질진단과 개선에 관한 연구 (Quality Diagnosis and Improvement of Fisheries Census Statistic)

  • 표희동;김종천
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.553-565
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    • 2010
  • The paper aims to evaluate the quality of fisheries census statistic and to provide some desirable directions and improvements for the future fisheries census, conducted by the Government. For the quality diagnosis of fisheries census statistic, specific processes of fisheries census and statistical qualities of each dimension are surveyed and evaluated by a Government's practician, two external examiners and a research group. Results show that census design, data analysis and quality control are evaluated relatively low in specific processes, and accessibility and comparability are evaluated relatively lower than relevance, accuracy, timeliness and consistency in statistical qualities. For minimizing the sampling errors, the probability proportion method should be employed in sampling methods from currently simple sampling method. In addition, fisheries census statistic is desirable to include and compare with those of different countries for consumer oriented data system.

Decomposition of category mixture in a pixel and its application for supervised image classification

  • Matsumoto, Masao;Arai, Kohei;Ishimatsu, Takakazu
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1992년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 19-21 Oct. 1992
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    • pp.514-519
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    • 1992
  • To make an accurate retrieval of the proportion of each category among mixed pixels (Mixel's) of a remotely sensed imagery, a maximum likelihood estimation method of category proportion is proposed. In this method, the observed multispectral vector is considered as probability variables along with the approximation that the supervised data of each category can be characterized by normal distribution. The results show that this method can retrieve accurate proportion of each category among Mixel's. And a index that can estimate the degree of error in each category is proposed. AS one of the application of the proportion estimation, a method for image classification based on category proportion estimation is proposed. In this method all pixel in a remotely sensed imagery are assumed to be Mixel's, and are classified to most dominant category. Among the Mixel's, there exists unconfidential pixels which should be categorized as unclassified pixels. In order to discriminate them, two types of criteria, Chi square and AIC, are proposed for fitness test on pure pixel hypothesis. Experimental result with a simulated dataset show an usefulness of proposed classification criterion compared to the conventional maximum likelihood criterion and applicability of the fitness tests based on Chi square and AIC,

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Estimation of Transition Probability on Two Successive Occasions Sampling with Randomized Response Technique

  • Lee, Kay-O
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.761-770
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    • 1999
  • A combination procedure of successive occasions sampling and randomized response method is investigated. Randomized response technique is very simple for use in a telephone survey of a sensitive subject. In the suggested randomized response method. the interviewee replies "yes" or "no" to a randomly selected question and the investigator can estimate the proportion of "yes" or "no" answer. When this procedure is used on successive occasions, not only the proportion supporting a candidate and the time change in this supporting proportion can be derived but also the voters' swing in the trend of voters' support can be estimated. A numerical example is given to show how the suggested sampling strategy can be applied to a practical telephone survey.

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Variance estimation for distribution rate in stratified cluster sampling with missing values

  • Heo, Sunyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of population proportion like the distribution rate of LED TV and the prevalence of a disease are often estimated based on survey sample data. Population proportion is generally considered as a special form of population mean. In complex sampling like stratified multistage sampling with unequal probability sampling, the denominator of mean may be random variable and it is estimated like ratio estimator. In this research, we examined the estimation of distribution rate based on stratified multistage sampling, and determined some numerical outcomes using stratified random sample data with about 25% of missing observations. In the data used for this research, the survey weight was determined by deterministic way. So, the weights are not random variable, and the population distribution rate and its variance estimator can be estimated like population mean estimation. When the weights are not random variable, if one estimates the variance of proportion estimator using ratio method, then the variances may be inflated. Therefore, in estimating variance for population proportion, we need to examine the structure of data and survey design before making any decision for estimation methods.

확률비례추출법에 의한 확률화응답기법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Randomized Response Technique by PPS Sampling)

  • 이기성
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 매우 민감한 조사에서 모집단이 집락의 크기가 서로 다른 여러 개의 집락으로 구성되어 있을 때, 집락의 크기에 비례하게 추출확률을 부여하는 확률비례추출법(probability proportional to size : pps)을 이용한 확률화응답기법을 제안하고자 한다. 민감한 속성에 대한 모수의 추정치와 분산 및 분산추정량을 구하여 이론적 체계를 구축하고, 확률비례추출법에 의한 확률화응답기법과 등확률 2단계 추출법에 의한 확률화응답기법의 효율성을 비교해 보고자 한다. 또한, 실제조사를 통해 제안한 확률비례추출법에 의한 확률화응답기법에 대한 실용화의 타당성을 검토하고자 한다.

단일변수 Bayesian 방법을 이용한 성능중심형 배합설계법의 개발 (Development of Performance Based Mix Design Method Using Single Parameter Bayesian Method)

  • 김장호;판덕헝;오일선;이근성
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.499-510
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    • 2010
  • 이 연구의 목적은 Bayesian 통계법을 통하여 얻어진 만족도 곡선을 활용하여 체계적으로 콘크리트 재료성능을 평가하고 배합설계를 하는 것이다. 단일변수 만족도 곡선은 콘크리트 성능기준을 만족할 확률을 콘크리트 재료변수 함수로서 나타낸다. 여러 개의 만족도 곡선을 결합해 하나의 만족도 곡선으로 나타내기 위하여 Importance Factor와 Goodness value라는 신규개념을 도입하여 서로 다른 재료변수들이 콘크리트성능에 미치는 영향을 정량화하고 서로 다른 재료변수들을 공통된 하나의 변수로 통합하는 것을 가능하도록 하였다. 또한 PBMD 과정에 의한 설계예제를 제시함으로써 목표지향적 콘크리트배합설계의 한 방법을 제시하고 그 유효성에 대해 증명하였다. 마지막으로, 실제 구조물에 대한 적용 가능성을 확인하기 위해 PBMD과정에 의한 콘크리트의 기대성능 결과값과 ACI 기준에 의한 결과값을 비교하였다.

이중표본에서 모비율의 구간추정 (Interval Estimation of Population Proportion in a Double Sampling Scheme)

  • 이승천;최병수
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1289-1300
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    • 2009
  • 표본추출 비용의 절감을 위해 흔히 사용되는 이중표본추출방법은 대부분의 표본들이 2종류의 오류에 의해 오염이 되어 있어 통계적 분석이 상대적으로 용이하지 않다. 특히, 비율의 추론을 위한 중요한 분석 도구인 구간추정은 현재까지 우도추정량의 정규근사에 의존하는 Wald 방법만이 알려져 있으나 Wald 신뢰구간은 포함확률의 근사성 등에서 많은 문제가 있다는 것이 여러 연구에서 확인되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이중표본추출에서 Wald 신뢰구간의 문제점을 파악하고 이에 대한 대안으로 Agresti-Coull 유형의 신뢰구간을 제시한다.

섭취빈도가 반영된 식품의 일상섭취량 분포의 추정 및 비섭취자 비율의 비교 연구: - 국민건강영양조사 자료(2009년) 활용 - (Estimation of the Usual Food Intake Distribution Reflecting the Consumption Frequency and a Comparison of the Proportion of Non-consumers: Based on the KNHANES 2009)

  • 함수지;김동우
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.296-306
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the distribution of the usual dietary intake of foods with respect to the probability of consumption derived from the Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ) of the 2009 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). Methods: The intake quantity and frequency of 63 food items were assessed from the 2009 KNHANES which was completed by 7,708 participants. The participants completed one or two 24-h dietary recalls and one FFQ. The usual intake distribution was estimated using the multiple source method (MSM), and the proportion of non-consumers was calculated through the usual intake distribution. This was then compared with the proportion of non-consumers from the 24-hour recall method. Results: The difference in the proportion of non-consumers ranged from 2% to 82.9%, indicating that there is a very large difference based on food groups. The food groups in which the proportion of non-consumers did not differ was composed of foods consumed daily, such as 'rice', 'cereal and barley', and 'Chinese cabbage and kimchi', or foods with distinct palatability such as 'coffee' and 'alcohol'. On the other hand, in the case of the food groups with a high difference in the proportion of non-consumers, most comprised fruits that emphasized seasonality. Conclusions: In the case of foods or food groups that are occasionally consumed, it is desirable to use 2 recalls with additional FFQ data by combining the consumption frequency and the quantity consumed.

모비율 차이의 신뢰구간들에 대한 비교연구 (A Comparison of Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Proportions)

  • 정형철;전명식;김대학
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.377-393
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 두 모비율의 차에 대한 기존의 신뢰구간들을 소개하고 붓스트랩 신뢰구간도 제안하였다 또한 모비율의 차에 대한 신뢰구간이 가지는 성질로서 근사신뢰구간의 하향추정의 문제와 정확신뢰구간의 상향추정의 문제점들을 확인하였고 평균포함 확률, 구간기대폭 그리고 왜도성 측면에서 종합적인 비교를 하였다. 특히 모수에 대한 사전분포를 가정하여 여러 신뢰구간들이 지니는 특징도 살펴보았다 기존의 신뢰구간들과 제안된 붓스트랩 신뢰구간은 소표본의 모의실험을 통하여 실제 포함확률의 평균을 기준으로 비교되었고 이항분포에서와 같이 정확신뢰구간이 지니는 보수성을 확인할 수 있었다. 신뢰구간의 평균포함확률의 등고선 그림도 소개하였다.

The Impact of an Emergency Fee Increase on the Composition of Patients Visiting Emergency Departments

  • Jung, Hyemin;Do, Young Kyung;Kim, Yoon;Ro, Junsoo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study aimed to test our hypothesis that a raise in the emergency fee implemented on March 1, 2013 has increased the proportion of patients with emergent symptoms by discouraging non-urgent emergency department visits. Methods: We conducted an analysis of 728 736 patients registered in the National Emergency Department Information System who visited level 1 and level 2 emergency medical institutes in the two-month time period from February 1, 2013, one month before the raise in the emergency fee, to March 31, 2013, one month after the raise. A difference-in-difference method was used to estimate the net effects of a raise in the emergency fee on the probability that an emergency visit is for urgent conditions. Results: The percentage of emergency department visits in urgent or equivalent patients increased by 2.4% points, from 74.2% before to 76.6% after the policy implementation. In a group of patients transferred using public transport or ambulance, who were assumed to be least conscious of cost, the change in the proportion of urgent patients was not statistically significant. On the other hand, the probability that a group of patients directly presenting to the emergency department by private transport, assumed to be most conscious of cost, showed a 2.4% point increase in urgent conditions (p<0.001). This trend appeared to be consistent across the level 1 and level 2 emergency medical institutes. Conclusions: A raise in the emergency fee implemented on March 1, 2013 increased the proportion of urgent patients in the total emergency visits by reducing emergency department visits by non-urgent patients.