• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of performance failure

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Development and validation of FRAT code for coated particle fuel failure analysis

  • Jian Li;Ding She;Lei Shi;Jun Sun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.4049-4061
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    • 2022
  • TRISO-coated particle fuel is widely used in high temperature gas cooled reactors and other advanced reactors. The performance of coated fuel particle is one of the fundamental bases of reactor safety. The failure probability of coated fuel particle should be evaluated and determined through suitable fuel performance models and methods during normal and accident condition. In order to better facilitate the design of coated particle fuel, a new TRISO fuel performance code named FRAT (Fission product Release Analysis Tool) was developed. FRAT is designed to calculate internal gas pressure, mechanical stress and failure probability of a coated fuel particle. In this paper, FRAT was introduced and benchmarked against IAEA CRP-6 benchmark cases for coated particle failure analysis. FRAT's results agree well with benchmark values, showing the correctness and satisfactory applicability. This work helps to provide a foundation for the credible application of FRAT.

Exact Decoding Probability of Random Linear Network Coding for Tree Networks

  • Li, Fang;Xie, Min
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.714-727
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    • 2015
  • The hierarchical structure in networks is widely applied in many practical scenarios especially in some emergency cases. In this paper, we focus on a tree network with and without packet loss where one source sends data to n destinations, through m relay nodes employing random linear network coding (RLNC) over a Galois field in parallel transmission systems. We derive closed-form probability expressions of successful decoding at a destination node and at all destination nodes in this multicast scenario. For the convenience of computing, we also propose an upper bound for the failure probability. We then investigate the impact of the major parameters, i.e., the size of finite fields, the number of internal nodes, the number of sink nodes and the channel failure probability, on the decoding performance with simulation results. In addition, numerical results show that, under a fixed exact decoding probability, the required field size can be minimized. When failure decoding probabilities are given, the operation is simple and its complexity is low in a small finite field.

Developing Corporate Credit Rating Models Using Business Failure Probability Map and Analytic Hierarchy Process (부도확률맵과 AHP를 이용한 기업 신용등급 산출모형의 개발)

  • Hong, Tae-Ho;Shin, Taek-Soo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2007
  • Most researches on the corporate credit rating are generally classified into the area of bankruptcy prediction and bond rating. The studies on bankruptcy prediction have focused on improving the performance in binary classification problem, since the criterion variable is categorical, bankrupt or non-bankrupt. The other studies on bond rating have predicted the credit ratings, which was already evaluated by bond rating experts. The financial institute, however, should perform effective loan evaluation and risk management by employing the corporate credit rating model, which is able to determine the credit of corporations. Therefore, this study presents a corporate credit rating method using business failure probability map(BFPM) and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). The BFPM enables us to rate the credit of corporations according to business failure probability and data distribution or frequency on each credit rating level. Also, we developed AHP model for credit rating using non-financial information. For the purpose of completed credit rating model, we integrated the BFPM and the AHP model using both financial and non-financial information. Finally, the credit ratings of each firm are assigned by our proposed method. This method will be helpful for the loan evaluators of financial institutes to decide more objective and effective credit ratings.

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A Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures in Chloride Containing Environments (염해환경 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석)

  • Kwon, Ki-Jun;Kim, Dong-Baek;Jung, Sang-Hwa;Chae, Seong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.3 s.81
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2007
  • In recent years, many research works have been carried out in order to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures in chloride containing environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design has proved to be very valuable. Although there is still a lack of relevant data, this approach has been successfully applied to some new concrete structures. In this paper, the equation used for modelling of the chloride penetration was based on Fick's Second Law of Diffusion in combination with a time dependent diffusion coefficient. The probability analysis of the durability performance was performed by use of a Monte Carlo Simulation. The procedure was applied to an example based on limited data gathered in this country. The influences of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures are studied and some comments for durability design are given. The new procedure may be very useful in designing an important concrete structures in chloride containing environments. Also it may help to predict the service life of concrete structures under a given probability of failure.

Analysis on Decryption Failure Probability of TiGER (TiGER의 복호화 실패율 분석)

  • Seungwoo Lee;Jonghyun Kim;Jong Hwan Park
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 2024
  • Probability of decryption failure of a public key cryptography based on LWE(learning with errors) is determined by its architecture and parameter settings. Since large decryption failure probability leads to attacks[1] on scheme as well as degradation of performance, TiGER[2], a Ring-LWE(R)-based KEM proposed for the first round of KpqC, tried to reduce the decryption failure probability by using error correction code Xef and D2 encoding method. However, D'Anvers et al. has shown that the commonly assumed independence of each bit error is not established since in the case of an encryption scheme based on Ring-LWE(R) using an error correction code, there is error dependency which is not negligible[3]. In this paper, since TiGER does not consider the error dependency, we calcualte the decryption failure probability of TiGER by considering the error dependency. In addition, we found that the bit error probability is incorrectly calculated in TiGER, so we present the correct calculation.

QoS oriented bandwidth management scheme on the ATM based IMT-2000 networks (ATM 기반 IMT-2000망에서 QoS에 기반한 대역폭 관리기법)

  • 조성현;양승제;박성한
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.35-38
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose bandwidth management scheme to efficiently guarantee the QoS of various services on ATM based IMT-2000 networks. The proposed bandwidth management scheme consists of the call admission control to reduce a handoff failure probability and the scheduling scheme to efficiently allocate a time slot based on the QoS requirements in wireless links. The simulation results show that the proposed bandwidth scheme has better performance than the previous works in terms of the handoff failure probability and packet delay time.

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An evolutionary approach for structural reliability

  • Garakaninezhad, Alireza;Bastami, Morteza
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.71 no.4
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2019
  • Assessment of failure probability, especially for a complex structure, requires a considerable number of calls to the numerical model. Reliability methods have been developed to decrease the computational time. In this approach, the original numerical model is replaced by a surrogate model which is usually explicit and much faster to evaluate. The current paper proposed an efficient reliability method based on Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP) as a robust variant of genetic programming (GP). GP has been applied in different fields; however, its application to structural reliability has not been tested. The current study investigated the performance of MGGP as a surrogate model in structural reliability problems and compares it with other surrogate models. An adaptive Metropolis algorithm is utilized to obtain the training data with which to build the MGGP model. The failure probability is estimated by combining MCS and MGGP. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method were investigated with the help of five numerical examples.

Seismic Fragility Assessment of Ordinary RC Shear Walls Designed with a Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis (비선형 동적해석에 의해 내진설계된 철근콘크리트 보통 전단벽의 지진취약도 분석)

  • Jeon, Seong-Ha;Park, Ji-Hun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2019
  • Seismic performance of ordinary reinforced concrete shear wall systems commonly used in high-rise residential buildings is evaluated. Three types of shear walls exceeding 60m in height are designed by performance-based seismic design. Then, incremental dynamic analysis is performed collapse probability is assessed in accordance with the procedure of FEMA P695. As a result, story drift, plastic rotation, and compressive strain are observed to be major failure modes, but shear failure occur little. Collapse probability and collapse margin ratio of performance groups do not meet requirement of FEMA P695. It is observed that critical wall elements fail due to excessive compressive strain. Therefore, the compressive strain of concrete at the boundary area of the shear wall needs to be evaluated with more conservative acceptance criteria.

A study on Reliability Analysis for Plane Frame Structure (평면뼈대구조의 신뢰성해석에 관한연구)

  • 이중빈;신형우
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1989.10a
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    • pp.34-39
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    • 1989
  • Recent trends in design standards development have encouraged the use of probabilistic limit sate design concepts. Reliability analysis adopted in those advanced countries have the potentials that they afford for symplifying the design Process arid placing it on a consistent reliability based for various construction materials. This study is proposed in the reliability analysis of plane frame structures using second-order moment method(Level-II they). Lind-Hasofer's minimum distance method is use in the derivation of an mathematical algorithm as well as an determination of Correlation cofficients, reliability index and total reliability index depending on the multiple failure modes. In addition. This study is employed as a practical tool for the approximate reliability analysis. Results of the numerincal analysis showed that the difference between the reliability index of the failure probability of the multiple failure modes and the total reliability index of the failure probability with the simultaneous failure modes deviated nearly 3∼10% depending on tile performance functions.

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An efficient simulation method for reliability analysis of systems with expensive-to-evaluate performance functions

  • Azar, Bahman Farahmand;Hadidi, Ali;Rafiee, Amin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.979-999
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a novel reliability analysis method which computes reliability index, most probable point and probability of failure of uncertain systems more efficiently and accurately with compared to Monte Carlo, first-order reliability and response surface methods. It consists of Initial and Simulation steps. In Initial step, a number of space-filling designs are selected throughout the variables space, and then in Simulation step, performances of most of samples are estimated via interpolation using the space-filling designs, and only for a small number of the samples actual performance function is used for evaluation. In better words, doing so, we use a simple interpolation function called "reduced" function instead of the actual expensive-to-evaluate performance function of the system to evaluate most of samples. By using such a reduced function, total number of evaluations of actual performance is significantly reduced; hence, the method can be called Reduced Function Evaluations method. Reliabilities of six examples including series and parallel systems with multiple failure modes with truncated and/or non-truncated random variables are analyzed to demonstrate efficiency, accuracy and robustness of proposed method. In addition, a reliability-based design optimization algorithm is proposed and an example is solved to show its good performance.