• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of Under Countermeasure

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The Effect Analysis of Missile Warning Radar Using Probability Model (확률 모델을 이용한 미사일 경고 레이다의 효과도 분석)

  • Park, Gyu-Churl;Hong, Sung-Yong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.544-550
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    • 2009
  • To analyze the threat decision performance of MWR(Missile Warning Radar) give analysis on condition that we decide the effective threat using the POC(Probability of Over Countermeasure)/PUC(Probability of Under Countermeasure). Thus, we execute the simulation using the Monte-Carlo method to analyze effect, but the execution time of simulation took longer than we expected. In this paper, the effect analysis is proposed using the probability model to reduce the execution time of simulation. We present the setting method of parameter for probability model and the effect analysis result of MWR using the simulation. Also, we present the comparison result of simulation execution time for Monte-Carlo and probability model.

A Study on Optimal Operation against Anti-Air Missiles with Consideration of Anti-Surface Missile Kill Probability (대함유도탄 요격 확률을 고려한 함정 대공방어유도탄의 최적 운용 연구)

  • Park, Hyeonwoo;Lee, Hanmin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.815-823
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    • 2019
  • A naval surface-to-air missile is an effective countermeasure against increasing threats of anti-ship missiles. Optimal operation is imperative for high survivability due to limited defense resources of a warship. This paper addresses a problem of optimal engagement to maximize the overall probability of intercept under Shoot-Look-Shoot tactics. The problem is formulated and analyzed with consideration of a realistic single-shoot probability model. The analysis shows that a global solution is achieved for some engagement scenarios. A numerical algorithm to optimize the overall probability of intercept is suggested. An illustrative example is provided to verify our results.

Track Measurements of Strong Wind under High-speed Train to Investigate Ballast-flying Mechanism (자갈비산 메커니즘 연구를 위한 고속철도차량 하부유동 계측)

  • Kwon H.B.;Park C.S.;Nam S.W.;Ko T.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.369-373
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    • 2005
  • To investigate the mechanism of ballast-flying phenomena by strong wind induced by high-speed trains, wind velocity in the vicinity of the track has been measured using 16-channel Kiel-probe array and detailed flow structure near the surface of the track has been analyzed. The position at which the underflow fully develop has been examined in order to assess the driving force of the turbulent flow under train and the results yields that the turbulent flow owing to the cavity of the inter-car as well as the friction force at the underbody of the train is the main reason of the strong wind under high-speed train. The preceding wind tunnel test results has been introduced to assess the probability of ballast-flying during the passage of the high-speed train by comparing the results from field-measuring. The results shows that when the G7 train as well as the KTX train runs at 300km/h, about 25m/s wind gust is induced just above the tie and the probability for small ballast under 50g to fly is about 50% when it is on the tie. If the G7 train runs at 350km/h, the wind gust just above the tie increases to 30m/s, therefore more radical countermeasure seems to be needed.

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A Study on the Ballast-flying Phenomena by Strong Wind Induced by High-speed Train (열차풍에 의한 고속선 자갈비산현상 연구)

  • Kwon Hyeok-Bin;Park Choon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.6-14
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    • 2005
  • The mechanism of ballast-flying phenomena by strong wind induced by high-speed trains has extensively been investigated by conducting wind tunnel test and field-measuring of wind velocity in the vicinity of the track. The ballast gathered from the Seoul-Busan high-speed railway track has been classified by mass and shape to find relationship between those properties and the characteristic of movement in high wind and 16-channel Kiel-probe array has been used to examine the detailed flow structure above the surface of the track. The probability of ballast-flying during the passage of the high-speed train has been assessed comparing the results from wind tunnel test and that from field-measuring. The results shows that when the G7 train runs well as the KTX train runs at 300km/h, about 25m/s wind gust is induced just above the tie and the probability far small ballast under 50g to fly is about 50% when it is on the tie. If the G7 train runs at 350km/h, the wind gust just above the tie increases to 30m/s, therefore radical countermeasure seems to be needed.

On the Report Tendency of Mass Communication in Nuclear Accident and the Standpoint of Public Acceptance from a Intrinsic Point of View. (A Case Study of Quantitative Analysis in Connection with the Newspaper Report Especially in Korea.) (핵사고시 매스컴의 보도경향과 본질적 면에서 본 국민이해의 관점 (특히 한국신문 보도에 관련된 정량적인 분석의 사례를 중심으로))

  • Lee, Soo-Yong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.217-253
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    • 1996
  • Following after the Chernobyl accident. the response to the large scale nuclear accidents became a clear example to show how these accidents affect the public information that strongly depend on political, economical, and social factors. Futhermore, in present day although we live in the era of various information, as far as the problem of nuclear is concerned, the acceptance of the source of Information is always apt to limited. Therefore, in this investigations, as a case study, an attempt is to make the method of minimizing and a preparation to cope with the grope of countermeasure for psychologically unsettled and disordered problems that accepted from both of the unconfirmed and of the exaggerated circumstantial report of mass media as well as a clue to the probability under the condition of existence of major and minor nuclear accidents. In the present paper, it also intends to establish the terminology that covered all the part of nuclear field use in a writing guideline to the scientific column of nuclear accident as shown in the table. and several methodology in relation to the report tendency of mass communication in nuclear accident and the standpoint of public acceptance from a intrinsic point of view are discussed.

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Risk Assessment of a Drone Under the Gust and its Precise Flight Simulation (드론의 외풍 환경 비행 안전성 평가 및 정밀 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, DongYeol;Park, SunHoo;Shin, SangJoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2022
  • The operation and transportation environment for an unmanned aerial vehicle will be completely different from those for the conventional air and ground transportation. The requirement for a traffic management system for its safe operation has been emerging. Accordingly, investigation is being conducted to analyze the danger that unmanned aerial vehicle may encounter during the flight and to provide the countermeasure by the simulation. When the drones operate in an urban environment, they may be affected by the wind around the building. Thus it is essential to predict the influence of the gust and analyze the resulting risk. In this paper, a method for evaluating the safety for a flight mission under the gust is suggested. By using the precise 6-degree-of-freedom flight simulation that is capable of simulating the gust condition, possible deviation from the pre-planned flight path in terms of the attitude orientation will be predicted. A method of quantifying the probability of the flight mission failure will also be presented.