• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability of Success

검색결과 273건 처리시간 0.024초

광무선통신기술을 이용한 차량간 메시지전달링크의 링크전송확률 분석 (Transmission Probability of Car-to-Car Message Delivery Link based on Visible Light Communications)

  • 강문수;이충규
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.752-758
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문의 연구내용은 차량간 통신에 응용이 가능한 조명용 LED 광통신 링크의 링크전송성공율 분석에 관한 연구로서, 가시광통신에 기반한 차량간 메시지 전달 시스템을 모델링 하고, 광수신 파워를 통해 신호대 잡음비 (signal-to-noise ratio)를 계산하고, 이에 따른 링크 전송성공확률을 계산함으로써, 가시광통신에 기반한 차량간 무선통신이 가능함을 검증하는 것이다. 저속이동 또는 정지 중인 차량의 후미등을 광송신기로 사용하고 후방차량의 전방에 장착된 광수신기를 이용하는 메시지 전달시스템에 있어, 각 차량의 위치가 정규확률분포를 따를 때, 광송신기 및 광수신기의 물리적 특성에 따른 링크전송성공확률을 계산한다. 먼저, 정규확률분포에 따라 차량의 위치를 랜덤하게 생성한 후, 각각의 광링크에 해당하는 BER을 계산하였다. 이를 통해, 전체 링크 중 $BER{\leq}10^{-6}$을 만족하는 링크의 비율을 링크전송성공율로 정의한 결과, 송신 광파워가 400mW이고 광송신기의 semi-angle at half power가 30도인 최적화되지 않은 차량간 광링크의 경우, 링크 전송성공율 90% 이상이 가능함을 확인하였다.

네트워크분석과정(ANP)을 이용한 기술개발 성공 예측 : MRAM 기술을 중심으로 (An Analytic Network Process(ANP) Approach to Forecasting of Technology Development Success : The Case of MRAM Technology)

  • 전정환;조현명;이학연
    • 산업공학
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.309-318
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    • 2012
  • Forecasting probability or likelihood of technology development success has been a crucial factor for critical decisions in technology management such as R&D project selection and go or no-go decision of new product development (NPD) projects. This paper proposes an analytic network process (ANP) approach to forecasting of technology development success. Reviewing literature on factors affecting technology development success has constructed the ANP model composed of four criteria clusters : R&D characteristics, R&D competency, technological characteristics, and technological environment. An alternative cluster comprised of two elements, success and failure is also included in the model. The working of the proposed approach is provided with the help of a case study example of MRAM (magnetic random access memory) technology.

강건성을 고려한 공리적 설계의 새로운 정보 지수 (A New Information Index of Axiomatic Design for Robustness)

  • 황광현;박경진
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제26권10호
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    • pp.2073-2081
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    • 2002
  • In product design and manufacturing, axiomatic design provides a systematic approach for the decision-making process. Two axioms have been defined such as the Independence Axiom and the Information Axiom. The Information Axiom states that the best design among those that satisfy the independence axiom is the one with the least information content. In other words, the best design is the one that has the highest probability of success. On the other hand, the Taguchi robust design is used in the two-step process; one is "reduce variability," and the other is "adjust the mean on the target." The two-step can be interpreted as a problem that has two FRs (functional requirements). Therefore, the Taguchi method should be used based on the satisfaction of the Independence Axiom. Common aspects exist between the Taguchi method and Axiomatic Design in that a robust design is induced. However, different characteristics are found as well. The Taguchi method does not have the design range, and the probability of success may not be enough to express robustness. Our purpose is to find the one that has the highest probability of success and the smallest variation. A new index is proposed to satisfy these conditions. The index is defined by multiplication of the robustness weight function and the probability density function. The robustness weight function has the maximum at the target value and zero at the boundary of the design range. The validity of the index is proved through various examples.gh various examples.

재폐로방식이 전력용 변압기에 미치는 영향 평가 (Evaluation of Damage from Reclosing Scheme for Power Transfromer)

  • 오정환;윤상윤;임성정;김재철
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents how to evaluate the transformer damage caused by reclosing scheme at the distribution substation. We describe a quantitative relationship between the reclosing scheme and the number of fault current flowing through transformer wsing the probability of a reclosing success/failure. The transformer damage from reclosing scheme is presented using a weight function and a damage function. A weight function is associated with the number of reclosing attempts and the reclosing deadtime to consider cumulative stress caused by reclosing scheme. A damage function is associated with a transformer impact ratio and a transformer functional life. In the case study, the transformer damage is simulated for the probability of a reclosing success. And the evaluation of transformer damage using KEPCO's operation data is performed.

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크리깅 근사모델을 이용한 마이크로 자이로스코프의 구조설계 (A Structural Design of Microgyroscope Using Kriging Approximation Model)

  • 김종규;이권희
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2008
  • The concept of robust design was introduced by Dr. G. Taguchi in the late 1940s, and his technique has become commonly known as the Taguchi method or the robust design. In this research, a robust design procedure for microgyroscope is suggested based on the kriging and optimization approaches. The kriging interpolation method is introduced to obtain the surrogate approximation model of true function. Robustness is calculated by the kriging model to reduce real function calculations. For this, objective function is represented by the probability of success, thus facilitating robust optimization. The statistics such as mean and variance are obtained based on the reliable kriging model and the second-order statistical approximation method.

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Improved Conditional Differential Attacks on Round-Reduced Grain v1

  • Li, Jun-Zhi;Guan, Jie
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제12권9호
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    • pp.4548-4559
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    • 2018
  • Conditional differential attack against NFSR-based cryptosystems proposed by Knellwolf et al. in Asiacrypt 2010 has been widely used for analyzing round-reduced Grain v1. In this paper, we present improved conditional differential attacks on Grain v1 based on a factorization simplification method, which makes it possible to obtain the expressions of internal states in more rounds and analyze the expressions more precisely. Following a condition-imposing strategy that saves more IV bits, Sarkar's distinguishing attack on Grain v1 of 106 rounds is improved to a key recovery attack. Moreover, we show new distinguishing attack and key recovery attack on Grain v1 of 107 rounds with lower complexity O($2^{34}$) and appreciable theoretical success probability 93.7%. Most importantly, our attacks can practically recover key expressions with higher success probability than theoretical results.

기업근로자 경력성공 인식의 다차원성과 차이: 토픽모델링의 적용 (Differences and Multi-dimensionality of the Perception of Career Success among Korean Employees: A Topic Modeling Approach)

  • 이재은;채충일
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.58-71
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    • 2019
  • 이 연구는 우리나라 기업근로자가 인식하는 경력성공의 다차원성과 개인특성에 따른 차이를 토픽모델링 방법을 적용하여 탐색하고자 하는 목적으로 수행되었다. 연구목적을 달성하기 위해 경력성공에 대한 인식을 개방형 설문을 통해 수집하였으며 126명의 기업근로자들의 응답자료를 바탕으로 R 프로그램을 활용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 한국 근로자의 경력성공 인식에 대한 5가지 토픽이 도출되었다. 구체적으로, 토픽1은 사회적으로 인정받는 직장에 다니는 것(사회적 인정), 토픽 2는 조직 내에서 자신의 업무에 충실하며 견디는 것(조직 내 근속), 토픽 3은 자기 분야에 지식과 노하우를 갖고 전문성을 갖는 것(전문성), 토픽 4는 일한 만큼 경제적 보상과 성과를 얻는 것(경제적 보상), 토픽 5는 일을 통해 보람과 성취감 같은 개인적 의미를 추구하는 것(개인적 의미 추구)으로 나타났다. 또한, 성별, 연령, 학력에 따른 각 토픽별 발현비율 차이가 확인되었다. 이 연구를 통해 경력성공 인식의 다차원성과 개인특성에 따른 경력성공 인식 차이를 확인하였으며, 개방형 설문자료와 같은 비정형 데이터 분석에서 토픽모델링 방법을 활용가능성을 제시하였다.

다중 서비스 다중 사용자 OFDMA 시스템에서의 임의접근 채널 성능 분석 (Performance Analysis of random access channels in multi-service multi-user OFDMA systems)

  • 구인수;팜티홍츄
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 다중 서비스 다중 사용자 OFDMA 시스템에서의 임의 접근채널의 성능 분석을 수행하였다. OFDMA 시스템의 임의 접근 채널 자원은 가용한 부채널의 수와 PN-코드의 수이다. 이러한 임의 접근 채널의 자원이 주어진 경우, 임의 접근 채널의 성능을 각 서비스 클래스의 접속 성공 확률, 블로킹 확률, 접속 지연 그리고 처리율 관점에서 분석하였다. 또한 요구되는 각 서비스 클래스의 허용 가능한 최소 접속 성공 확률, 최대 접속 지연, 최대 블록킹 확률이 주어진 경우, 이를 만족할 수 있는 각 서비스 클래스의 접속 확률 값을 구하였다. 이 결과들은 각 서비스 클래스 사용자들에게 차등한 서비스 품질을 제공하고 적절한 시스템 운용점을 찾는데 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

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동적 확률지도를 이용한 지상 이동표적 탐색 (Search for Ground Moving Targets Using Dynamic Probability Maps)

  • 김은규;최봉완;임동순
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2015
  • In order to achieve success in ground operations, searching for moving targets is one of critical factors. Usually, the system of searching for adversary ground moving targets has complex properties which includes target's moving characteristics, camouflage level, terrain, weather, available search time window, distance between target and searcher, moving speed, target's tactics, etc. The purpose of this paper is to present a practical quantitative method for effectively searching for infiltrated moving targets considering aforementioned complex properties. Based upon search theories, this paper consists of two parts. One is infiltration route analysis, through terrain and mobility analysis. The other is building dynamic probability maps through Monte Carlo simulation to determine the prioritized searching area for moving targets. This study primarily considers ground moving targets' moving pattern. These move by foot and because terrain has a great effect on the target's movement, they generally travel along a constrained path. With the ideas based on the terrain's effect, this study deliberately performed terrain and mobility analysis and built a constrained path. In addition, dynamic probability maps taking terrain condition and a target's moving speed into consideration is proposed. This analysis is considerably distinct from other existing studies using supposed transition probability for searching moving targets. A case study is performed to validate the effectiveness and usefulness of our methodology. Also, this study suggests that the proposed approach can be used for searching for infiltrated ground moving target within critical time window. The proposed method could be used not only to assist a searcher's mission planning, but also to support the tactical commander's timely decision making ability and ensure the operations' success.

DISTRIBUTIONS OF PATTERNS OF TWO FAILURES SEPARATED BY SUCCESS RUNS OF LENGTH $\textit{k}$

  • Sen, Kanwar;Goyal, Babita
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.35-58
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    • 2004
  • For fixed positive integers and $\textit{k}\;(n\;{\geq}\;{\textit{k}}\;+\;2)$, the exact probability distributions of non-overlapping and overlapping patterns of two failures separated by (i) exactly $textsc{k}$ successes, (ii) at least $\textit{k}$ successes and (iii) at most $\textit{k}$ successes have been obtained for Bernoulli independent and Markov dependent trials by using combinatorial technique. The waiting time distributions for the first occurrence and the $r^{th}$ (r > 1) occurrence of the patterns have also been obtained.