• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability and Statistics

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History of Probability and Statistics (확률과 통계의 역사)

  • Lee Kyung Hwa
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 1997
  • There are many mistakes when we estimate probability of an event, for example, we often omit some likelihoods (of an event), sometimes give too large or too small possibility for a particular case, cannot relate current cases with which were concerned before, apply at another cases as soon as discuss about it insufficiently, etc. If we go into a history of probability and statistics, we shall ascertain that many scientists and mathmaticians made essentially same mistakes with us. In the paper, we will consider the theorization of probability and statistics as a process of modification of mistakes which were made during one's estimating possibility of an event. On that point of view, we shall look at historical background of probability and statistics.

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Estimation of Overflow Probabilities in Parallel Networks with Coupled Inputs

  • Lee, Jiyeon;Kweon, Min Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2001
  • The simulation is used to estimate an overflow probability in a stable parallel network with coupled inputs. Since the general simulation needs extremely many trials to obtain such a small probability, the fast simulation is proposed to reduce trials instead. By using the Cramer’s theorem, we first obtain an optimally changed measure under which the variance of the estimator is minimized. Then, we use it to derive an importance sampling estimator of the overflow probability which enables us to perform the fast simulation.

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A Study on Electronic Text Development for Probability and Statistical Education ('확률과 통계'교육을 위한 전자교재 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sook-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2002
  • With advancement of computer and network, world wide web(WWW) as medium of information communication is generalized in many fields. In educational aspect, applications of WWW as alternative media for class teaching or printed matter are increasing. In this article, we demonstrate a web based electronic text on the 'probability and statistics' which is one of six fields of mathematics in 7th curriculum. This text places importance on comprehension of concepts and fundamentals of probability and statistics as applied sciences and not on simple calculations of probability and statistics.

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Education Improvement Plan Related to Data Analysis & Processing in the ICT Field for the Era of Hyperconnectivity & Superintelligence

  • LEE, Seung-Woo;LEE, Sangwon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2021
  • Since the 4th Industrial Revolution is implemented based on superintelligence, new insights must be provided through convergence studies with other fields to find optimal solutions to create new ideas. In this paper, we intende to present improvement measures for probability and statistical education, which is an athlete's subject on data analysis and processing in the ICT(Information & Communication Technologies) field in the era of superintelligence of the 4th industrial revolution. This paper aims to strengthen competitiveness through early development and commercialization of new technologies by presenting probabilities and statistical curriculums that require linkage in the ICT field. Second, it is necessary to present an educational system diagram linking probabilities and statistics in the ICT field to prepare a mid- to long-term response strategy for ICT education in response to innovative changes. Third, through a survey, we intend to present an effective educational operation plan linking probability and statistics to ICT major subjects by analyzing the perception of probability, statistical importance, and utilization of majors in this field.

On the Probability Inequalities under Linearly Negatively Quadrant Dependent Condition

  • Baek, Jong Il;Choi, In Bong;Lee, Seung Woo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2003
  • Let X$_1$, X$_2$, … be real valued random variables under linearly negatively quadrant dependent (LNQD). In this paper, we discuss the probability inequality of ennett(1962) and Hoeffding(1963) under some suitable random variables. These results are to extend Theorem A and B to LNQD random variables. Furthermore, let ζdenote the pth quantile of the marginal distribution function of the $X_i$'s which is estimated by a smooth estima te $ζ_{pn}$, on the basis of X$_1$, X$_2$, …$X_n$. We establish a convergence of $ζ_{pn}$, under Hoeffding-type probability inequality of LNQD.

Comparisons of Probability and Statistics Education in Mathematics Textbooks in Korea High School

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.523-529
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    • 2004
  • In Korea, mathematics education has been changed according to the 7th national mathematics curriculum renovated by the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development announcement in 1997. The education of probability and Statistics has been carried out as a part of this curriculum. We analyze and compare 3 kinds of mathematics textbooks for 10-12 grade students. Descriptions of random variable, sample variance and sample standard deviation, distribution of sample mean, and etc. which are on some textbooks, are misleaded in school education. We suggest the unbiased estimator of sample variance in textbooks and distributions of sample means with normal population assumption.

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Critical Views of Qualification Studies and Pre-Exams for 2009 Korea School Math Teacher Appointment-Proportion of Issued Problems of Probability and Statistics

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.845-849
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    • 2008
  • 2009 year new execution of appointments for secondary school teachers was announced at 2004 year by Ministry of Education. The new school teacher appointment has been developed and studied in various aspects of appropriate qualification for good school teacher. In the results of the studies by Korea School Mathematics Education Association and pre-exams by Korea Institute for Curriculum and Evaluation, the Probability and Statistics chapters are less revaluated as 7.5-10%, but we argue those more than 15% as along with our recent Korean school texts reviews(Lee, et al., 2005).

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A New Formula to Predict the Exact Detection Probability of a Generalized Order Statistics CFAR Detector for a Correlated Rayleigh Target

  • Kim, Chang-Joo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1994
  • In this paper we present a new formula which can predict the exact detection probability of a generalized order statistics (GOS) constant false alarm rate (DFAR) detector for a partially correlated Rayleigh target model (0 < $ \rho$< 1) in a closed form, where $\rho$ is the correlation coefficient between returned pulses. By simply substituting a set of specific coefficient into the derived formula, one can obtain the detection probability of any kind of CFAR detector. Detectors may include the order statistics CFAR detector, the censored mean level detector, and the trimmed mean CFAR detector, but are not necessarily restricted to them. The numerical result for the first order Markov correlation model as applied to some of the detectors shows that as $\rho$ increases from zero to one, higher signal-to-noise ratio is required to achieve the same detection probability.

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A materialization of the experimental class model for Probability and Statistics lessons (수학 실험실 수업 모형의 개발 연구)

  • 임지연;이영하
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 1998
  • Recently experimental class model is growingly recommended for mathematics instruction. Freudenthal(1973) points out the difficulties of learning probability and Fischebien suggested to teach probability more intuitively through games. However detailed explanations for such classes are not easy to find. This paper is to give more detailed materials for those lessons and to check its effectiveness. We give 6 topics of probability and statistics being taught in our middle school, such as histogram, concept of probability, probability calculations, expectations, standard deviations, and correlations and each of which is given along with the experimental materials to be used. We perform a trial of the methods and found some encouragement in the students' mathematical attitudes and interests but not in the achievements. We belive that the drawback of the achievement result is due to the short length of time of our experiments.

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NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR PARETO DISTRIBUTION : REGULAR CASE

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors for two parameter Pareto distribution. Specially, we derive Jeffrey's prior, probability matching prior and reference prior for the parameter of interest. In our case, the probability matching prior is only a first order and there does not exist a second order matching prior. Some simulation reveals that the matching prior performs better to achieve the coverage probability. And a real example will be given.

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