• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Score

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A Study on Safety Inspection Model for Small Scale Construction Field (중.소규모 건설현장 안전점검 모질 연구)

  • 안병수;양광모;강경식
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2001
  • Domestic construction industry has considerable level of construction performance and technology thanks to the economic development and as the result of performing diverse oversea construction project. However, construction disasters have been steadily increasing, and do severe disasters at faster pace. Most of such disasters happen at small and small medium-sized construction fields, which contract size is less than 10 billion won. small and medium-sized construction fields are not obliged to designate a safety manager, and have limitations in engaging self-regulating disaster prevention activities due to reduced budget for safety facilities. For the small and medium-sized construction sites with less than 10 billion won, the Ministry of Labor has been carrying out mobile inspections of construction safety. However, the effect so far is insignificant and an improvement plan is required. Therefore, in the present thesis, we derive problems appearing in the current construction safety mobile inspection system, investigate and study systems in foreign countries, and suggest an efficient and effective plan to operate safety technology inspections. First of all, we establish a standard to select sites to be inspected that are high in construction risk and disaster occurrence probability In addition, we suggest a plan to take administrative and judiciary measures based on the total score for disaster factors considering the disaster occurrence probability and the illegal practices. Furthermore, a scheme to maximize the effect of disaster prevention is sought by building an organic cooperative system between the Ministry of Labor, Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency and other organizations specialized in instruction of construction disaster prevention. Finally, we induce a research conclusion that leads to self-regulating safety management through checking and instructing systematic management on mobile inspections.

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Verification of Validity of MPM II for Neurological Patients in Intensive Care Units (신경계중환자의 사망예측모델(Mortality Probability Model II)에 대한 타당도 검증)

  • Kim, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Mortality Provability Model (MPM) II is a model for predicting mortality probability of patients admitted to ICU. This study was done to test the validity of MPM II for critically ill neurological patients and to determine applicability of MPM II in predicting mortality of neurological ICU patients. Methods: Data were collected from medical records of 187 neurological patients over 18 yr of age who were admitted to the ICU of C University Hospital during the period from January 2008 to May 2009. Collected data were analyzed through $X^2$ test, t-test, Mann-Whiteny test, goodness of fit test, and ROC curve. Results: As to mortality according to patients' general and clinically related characteristics, mortality was statistically significantly different for ICU stay, hospital stay, APACHE III score, APACHE predicted death rate, GCS, endotracheal intubation, and central venous catheter. Results of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were MPM $II_0$ ($X^2$=0.02, p=.989), MPM $II_24$ ($X^2$=0.99 p=.805), MPM $II_48$ ($X^2$=0.91, p=.822), and MPM $II_72$ ($X^2$=1.57, p=.457), and results of the discrimination test using the ROC curve were MPM $II_0$, .726 (p<.001), MPM $II_24$, .764 (p<.001), MPM $II_48$, .762 (p<.001), and MPM $II_72$, .809 (p<.001). Conclusion: MPM II was found to be a valid mortality prediction model for neurological ICU patients.

Drinking Behavior and Health Promoting Lifestyle between Korean and Japanese Female Nursing Students (한·일 여자 간호대학생의 음주행위와 건강증진 생활양식)

  • Lee, Suk Jeong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.236-245
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to compare the drinking behavior and health promoting lifestyle between Korean (n=304) and Japanese (n=244) female nursing students. The average score of health promoting lifestyle was statistically significant different after controlling covariables between the two countries. Spiritual growth of Korean was higher, while nutritional habits, interpersonal relationship and stress management of Japanese were higher. The frequency and amount of drinking, and the number of heavy drinkers of Korean were more than that of Japanese. The probability to be heavy drinkers in Korea was higher in interpersonal relationship and lower in spiritual growth, however the probability to be heavy drinkers in Japan was higher in health responsibility. Health educators need to provide nursing college students health education to improve healthy lifestyle including drinking behaviors.

Feasibility Study for Detecting the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Using COMS Geostationary Satellite (천리안 위성 자료를 이용한 대류권계면 접힘 난류 탐지 가능성 연구)

  • Kim, Mijeong;Kim, Jae Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2017
  • We present and discuss the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Detection (TFTD) algorithm for the Korean Communication, Ocean, Meteorological Satellite (COMS) which is originally developed for the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Product (TFTP) from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R. The TFTD algorithm assumes that the tropopause folding is linked to the Clear Air Turbulence (CAT), and thereby the tropopause folding areas are detected from the rapid spatial gradients of the upper tropospheric specific humidity. The Layer Averaged Specific Humidity (LASH) is used to represent the upper tropospheric specific humidity calculated using COMS $6.7{\mu}m$ water vapor channel and ERA-interim reanalysis temperature at 300, 400, and 500 hPa. The comparison of LASH with the numerical model specific humidity shows a strong negative correlation of 80% or more. We apply the single threshold, which is determined from sensitivity analysis, for cloud-clearing to overcome strong gradient of LASH at the edge of clouds. The tropopause break lines are detected from the location of strong LASH-gradient using the Canny edge detection based on the image processing technique. The tropopause folding area is defined by expanding the break lines by 2-degree positive gradient direction. The validations of COMS TFTD is performed with Pilot Reports (PIREPs) filtered out Convective Induced Turbulence (CIT) from Dec 2013 to Nov 2014 over the South Korea. The score test shows 0.49 PODy (Probability of Detection 'Yes') and 0.64 PODn (Probability of Detection 'No'). Low POD results from various kinds of CAT reported from PIREPs and the characteristics of high sensitivity in edge detection algorithm.

A Model for Effective Customer Classification Using LTV and Churn Probability : Application of Holistic Profit Method (고객의 이탈 가능성과 LTV를 이용한 고객등급화 모형개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, HoonYoung;Yang, JooHwan;Ryu, Chi Hun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2006
  • An effective customer classification has been essential for the successful customer relationship management. The typical customer rating is carried out by the proportionally allocating the customers into classes in terms of their life time values. However, since this method does not accurately reflect the homogeneity within a class along with the heterogeneity between classes, there would be many problems incurred due to the misclassification. This paper suggests a new method of rating customer using Holistic profit technique, and validates the new method using the customer data provided by an insurance company. Holistic profit is one of the methods used for deciding the cutoff score in screening the loan application. By rating customers using the proposed techniques, insurance companies could effectively perform customer relationship management and diverse marketing activities.

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Automatic Generation of Aimpoints Using 3D Target Shapes and CEP (3차원 모델 형상과 원형공산오차를 고려한 목표점 자동 생성 기법)

  • Kang, Yuna
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2019
  • This research proposes an automatic generation system of aimpoints with considering 3D target shapes and CEP(circular error probability) values after determining a target and an azimuth value. In the past, users decided aimpoints manually based on experience or just chose a middle point of the 3D model. Futhermore, it was not possible to select a proper position with consideration of azimuth because users should decide aimpoints before the azimuth value was determined. To solve this problem, this research provides a automatic system to compute proper aimpoints with 3D target shapes, azimuth values and CEP. This article contains the explanation of 3 steps for generating aimpoints automatically: first, generating a reference plane and candidate entry points, then computing scores of each entry points and finally determining an aimpoint from the entry point with the highest score. Users can easily determine a final aimpoint with high probability of success using this system.

Effect of Gait Training in Chronic Hemiplegia Patients with Inducement to Vision and Rhythmic Auditory Stimulation (마비측 시야 유도 보행 훈련과 리듬 청각 자극 훈련이 만성 뇌졸중 환자들의 보행에 미치는 효과)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Choi, Jong-Duk;Youn, Hae-Jin
    • PNF and Movement
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of the study is to see the effect of walking when training for chronic stroke patients, Affected side vision impairment induced gait training with rhythmic auditory stimulation in parallel. Methods: This study was the general walking training group, the training group was divided damage induced affected side view, affected side view damage induced by rhythm auditory stimulation training three groups. Intervention period was 4 weeks. 5 times per week, per 30 min entered arbitration. Affected Side vision impairment induced induction training was conducted by installing a red cones, rhythmic auditory stimulation was applied to a regular rhythm training using a smartphone application (Metronome). Paired t-test was performed to see the difference between each group and before the intervention. One-way ANOVA was used to find out the significance probability between each group. Statistical significance was set at 0.05 probability. Results: Regular walking group, rather than affected side vision guided walking group could see increases in the FGA and DGI (P<0.05). And vision impairment induced affected side view and rhythmic auditory stimulation induction training this group than in the combination group walking group obtained higher scores on the FGA, DGI score(P<0.05). Conclusion: If you want to enforce certain rhythmic auditory stimulation of the visual field and side damage induced during gait training for stroke patients will be able to expect a better effect.

Analysis of Prevalence of Anemia according to Severity of Atopic Dermatitis (아토피 피부염 심각도에 따른 빈혈 유병률 비교 분석)

  • Yun, Dai;Chang, Ji-Eun;Rhew, Kiyon
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2020
  • Background: Inflammatory diseases can increase the prevalence of anemia. Recent studies confirmed that the prevalence of anemia is increased by atopic dermatitis (AD), a chronic inflammatory disease. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate the correlation between AD severity and prevalence of anemia. Methods: We used data of pediatric patients from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA-PPS-2016). We included pediatric patients (<18 years) with AD diagnosis who were prescribed medications for AD. We applied a propensity score method with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) adjusting for differences in prevalence of confounders and performed IPTW logistic regression to evaluate associations between the anemia and severity of AD. Results: In total, 91,501 patients (mild AD: 47,054 patients; moderate-to-severe AD: 44,447 patients) <18 years who were prescribed drugs for AD were analyzed. Analysis of the probability of patients with mild AD and prevalence of anemia as a reference revealed an odds ratio (OR) of 1.159 (95% CI, 1.109-1.212; p<0.001) in moderate-to-severe AD patients, indicating a correlation between anemia prevalence and AD severity. Subgroup analysis according to gender, age group, and type of health insurance revealed there was an association between AD severity and anemia except in patients equal or older than 7 years. Conclusion: The prevalence of anemia increased with AD severity despite adjusting for confounding factors. Our results support the hypothesis that AD can cause anemia, and anemia prevalence could be increased in severe AD patients. Further studies are needed to establish a pathological basis.

Improvement of Attack Traffic Classification Performance of Intrusion Detection Model Using the Characteristics of Softmax Function (소프트맥스 함수 특성을 활용한 침입탐지 모델의 공격 트래픽 분류성능 향상 방안)

  • Kim, Young-won;Lee, Soo-jin
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2020
  • In the real world, new types of attacks or variants are constantly emerging, but attack traffic classification models developed through artificial neural networks and supervised learning do not properly detect new types of attacks that have not been trained. Most of the previous studies overlooked this problem and focused only on improving the structure of their artificial neural networks. As a result, a number of new attacks were frequently classified as normal traffic, and attack traffic classification performance was severly degraded. On the other hand, the softmax function, which outputs the probability that each class is correctly classified in the multi-class classification as a result, also has a significant impact on the classification performance because it fails to calculate the softmax score properly for a new type of attack traffic that has not been trained. In this paper, based on this characteristic of softmax function, we propose an efficient method to improve the classification performance against new types of attacks by classifying traffic with a probability below a certain level as attacks, and demonstrate the efficiency of our approach through experiments.

A Study on the Relationship between the Strengthen Non Financial Performance and Shareholder Return (기업의 비재무적 성과와 주주환원의 관계에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Hee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.311-328
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between firm's non financial performance and its shareholder return by analyzing PCA while focusing on the classifying all the variables into three categories such as financial, characteristics, and non financial factors of the firms. Design/methodology/approach - By exploring the pattern of self tender from the 801 firms in KOSPI while focusing on the objective of stock disposal, this paper analyzes the change of shareholder return of the firm. Findings - First, the higher major ownership, the lower self tender gets, whereby the higher ownership by foreigners, the ratio of self tender is higher. Secondly, cash dividend has not significant impact on the disposal of self stock, and the high ratio of ownership by foreigners leads to the high probability of retirement rather than the general disposal. In contrast, the major ownership has a negative impact on the general disposal as well as retirement. Thirdly, the score of non financial factors such as Environment(E), Social responsibility(S), and Governance(G) shows the high value in case of the firms with self tender. More specifically, the firms with retirement has the highest value of ESG while it has the lowest value in case of the firms with general disposal. Research implications or Originality - The retirement which means the active shareholder return is strongly affected by the non financial factors. Specifically, the probability of retirement increases in case of the firms with retirement, and even such a tendency is found to the case of the firms with general disposal.