• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability Density Distribution and function

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Monte Carlo Estimation of Multivariate Normal Probabilities

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Kim, Seung-Whan
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.443-455
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    • 1999
  • A simulation-based approach to estimating the probability of an arbitrary region under a multivariate normal distribution is developed. In specific, the probability is expressed as the ratio of the unrestricted and the restricted multivariate normal density functions, where the restriction is given by the region whose probability is of interest. The density function of the restricted distribution is then estimated by using a sample generated from the Gibbs sampling algorithm.

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조위자료의 확률밀도함수 추정 (Estimation of Probability Density Function of Tidal Elevation Data)

  • 조홍연;정신택;오영민
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.152-161
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    • 2004
  • 우리나라 연안 조위자료의 확률밀도함수 형태로 쌍봉형 정규분포 함수 형태를 제안하였다. 빈도분포 해석은 국립해양조사원에서 제공하는 인천, 군산, 목포, 제주, 여수, 마산, 가덕도, 부산, 포항, 속초 검조소의 1시간 간격 조위자료를 사용하였다. RMS 오차 및 결정계수($R^2$) 값을 비교ㆍ분석한 결과, 조위자료의 확률밀도함수로 본 연구에서 제안한 쌍봉형 함수가 기존에 사용하던 정규분포형 함수보다 더 적합한 함수로 파악되었다. 본 연구에서 제안된 함수의 매개변수는 Newton 방법을 수정한 Levenberg-Marquardt 방법으로 추정하였으며, 추정된 매개변수는 분석지점 검조소 자료의 비조화 상수와 밀접한 관계가 있는 것으로 파악되었다.

Theoretical prediction on thickness distribution of cement paste among neighboring aggregates in concrete

  • Chen, Huisu;Sluys, Lambertus Johannes;Stroeven, Piet;Sun, Wei
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2011
  • By virtue of chord-length density function from the field of statistical physics, this paper introduced a quantitative approach to estimate the distribution of cement paste thickness between aggregates in concrete. Dynamics mixing method based on molecular dynamics was employed to generate one model structure, then image analysis algorithm was used to obtain the distribution of thickness of cement paste in model structure for the purpose of verification. By comparison of probability density curves and cumulative probability curves of the cement paste thickness among neighboring aggregates, it is found that the theoretical results are consistent with the simulation. Furthermore, for the model mortar and concrete mixtures with practical volume fraction of Fuller-type aggregate, this analytical formula was employed to predict the influence of aggregate volume fraction and aggregate fineness. And evolution of its mean values were also investigated with the variation of volume fraction of aggregate as well as the fineness of aggregates in model mortars and concretes.

Notes on the Ratio and the Right-Tail Probability in a Log-Laplace Distribution

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.1171-1177
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    • 2007
  • We consider estimation of the right-tail probability in a log-Laplace random variable, As we derive the density of ratio of two independent log-Laplace random variables, the k-th moment of the ratio is represented by a special mathematical function. and hence variance of the ratio can be represented by a psi-function.

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라이시안 감쇄 채널에서의 위상오류 분포 (On the Distribution of Phase Error in the Rician Fading Channel)

  • 김민종;한영열
    • 한국전자파학회논문지
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.797-803
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문에서는 라이시안(Rician) 감쇄가 존재하는 채널 환경에서 협대역 잡음이 더하여진 경우에 대역 여파기를 통과한 수신신호의 위상오류에 대한 확률 밀도 함수를 유도하고 0차 모먼트가 1이 됨을 보임으로써 확률밀도 함수로서의 타당성을 검증한다. 일반적으로 감쇄 환경에서 시스템의 오류 확률은 먼저 가산성 백색 가우시안 잡음(AWGN : Additive White Gaussian Noise)만이 존재할 때의 오류 확률을 구한 후, 그 결과 식을 해당 감쇄에 대한 확률 밀도 함수로 평균을 취하여 구한다. 하지만 본 논문에서는 감쇄 환경에서의 수신 신호에 대한 위상 오류식을 구한 다음, 그 식을 한번의 이중 적분을 취함으로써 오류 확률을 구하게 된다.

연료분무의 위상도플러 측정과 확률밀도함수의 도출 (Phase Doppler Measurements and Probability Density Functions in Liquid Fuel Spray)

  • 구자예
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.1039-1049
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    • 1994
  • The intermitternt and transient fuel spray have been investigated from the simultaneous measurement of droplet sizes and velocities by using Phase/Doppler Particle Analyzer(PDPA). Measurement have been done on the spray axis and at the edge of the spray near nozzle at various gas-to-liquid density ratios(.rho./sub g//.rho./sub l/) that ranges from those found in free atmospheric jets to conditions typical of diesel engines. Probability density distributions of the droplet size and velocity were obtained from raw data and mathematical probability density functions which can fit the experimental distribations were extracted using the principle of maximum likelihood. In the near nozzle region on the spray axis, droplet sizes ranged from the lower limit of the measurement system to the order of nozzle diameter for all (.rho./sub g/ /.rho./sub l/) and droplet sizes tended to be small on the spray edge. At the edge of spray, average droplet velocity peaked during needle opening and needle closing. The rms intensity is greatly incresed as the radial distance from the nozzle is increased. The probability density function which can best fit the physical breakage process such as breakup of fuel drops is exponecially decreasing log-hypebolic function with 4 parameters.

추계론적 유한요소해석에서의 확률밀도함수 사용과 수렴치 (Application of Probability Density Function in SFEM and Corresponding Limit Value)

  • 노혁천
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2006년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.857-864
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    • 2006
  • Due to the difficulties in numerical generation of random fields that satisfy not only the probabilistic distribution but the spectral characteristics as well. it is relatively hard to find an exact response variability of a structural response with a specific random field which has its features in the spatial and spectral domains. In this study. focusing on the fact that the random field assumes a constant over the domain under consideration when the correlation distance tends to infinity, a semi-theoretical solution of response variability is proposed for in-plane and plate bending structures. In this procedure, the probability density function is used directly resulting in a semi-exact solution for the random field in the state of random variable. It is particularly noteworthy that the proposed methodology provides response variability for virtually any type of probability density functions.

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손상패턴의 확률밀도함수에 따른 구조물 손상추정 (Structural Damage Assessment Using the Probability Distribution Model of Damage Patterns)

  • 조효남;이성칠;오달수;최윤석
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.357-365
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    • 2003
  • The major problems with the conventional neural network, especially Back Propagation Neural Network, arise from the necessity of many training data for neural network learning and ambiguity in the relation of neural network structure to the convergence of solution. In this paper, the PNN is used as a pattern classifier to detect the damage of structure to avoid those drawbacks of the conventional neural network. In the PNN-based pattern classification problems, the probability density function for patterns is usually assumed by Gaussian distribution. But, in this paper, several probability density functions are investigated in order to select the most approriate one for structural damage assessment.

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확률밀도함수를 이용한 멤브레인방식 LNG탱크의 선형누적손상도 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Linear Cumulative Damage Factor of Membrane Type LNG Tank by use of Probability Density Function)

  • 김종호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.993-999
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    • 2004
  • The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage of membrane type LNG tank is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the tank. In this study, the practical procedure of fatigue life prediction by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function has been shown with the corner region of Gaz Transport Membrane type LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution that determine the stress spectrum are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The recommended value for the shape parameter of Weibull distribution for the LNG tank is 1.1 in case of using the direct calculation method proposed in this study. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution and stress block. The safe fatigue design can be achieved by using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divided into more stress blocks.

Reliability estimation and ratio distribution in a general exponential distribution

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Moon, Yeung-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2014
  • We shall consider the estimation for the parameter and the right tail probability in a general exponential distribution. We also shall consider the estimation of the reliability P(X < Y ) and the skewness trends of the density function of the ratio X=(X+Y) for two independent general exponential variables each having different shape parameters and known scale parameter. We then shall consider the estimation of the failure rate average and the hazard function for a general exponential variable having the density function with the unknown shape and known scale parameters, and for a bivariate density induced by the general exponential density.