• 제목/요약/키워드: Probabilistic optimization

검색결과 200건 처리시간 0.028초

Risk-informed design optimization method and application in a lead-based research reactor

  • Jiaqun Wang;Qianglong Wang;Jinrong Qiu;Jin Wang;Fang Wang;Yazhou Li
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.2047-2052
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    • 2023
  • Risk-informed approach has been widely applied in the safety design, regulation, and operation of nuclear reactors. It has been commonly accepted that risk-informed design optimization should be used in the innovative reactor designs to make nuclear system highly safe and reliable. In spite of the risk-informed approach has been used in some advanced nuclear reactors designs, such as Westinghouse IRIS, Gen-IV sodium fast reactors and lead-based fast reactors, the process of risk-informed design of nuclear reactors is hardly to carry out when passive system reliability should be integrated in the framework. A practical method for new passive safety reactors based on probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) and passive system reliability analyze linking is proposed in this paper. New three-dimension frequency-consequence curve based on risk concept with three variables is used in this method. The proposed method has been applied to the determination optimization of design options selection in a 10 MWth lead-based research reactor(LR) to obtain one optimized system design in conceptual design stage, using the integrated reliability and probabilistic safety assessment program RiskA, and the computation resources and time consumption in this process was demonstrated reasonable and acceptable.

DPSO 알고리즘을 적용한 수동탐지소나 배치 연구 (A Study on an Arrangement of Passive Sonars by using DPSO Algorithm)

  • 강종구
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2017
  • 은밀하게 침투하여 아군의 핵심자산으로 접근하는 표적 잠수함을 상시 감시하기 위하여 수중 해저면 위치에 최적의 고정형 수동탐지소나를 배치하는 것을 고려 할 수 있다. 수동탐지소나 배치 최적화를 위한 효과도 지수는 넓은 탐지영역과 위치추정가능성의 함수로 적용할 수 있는데 계절적인 요인, 해상상태, 표적 잠수함의 침투심도 등의 다양한 확률적 변이를 포함하고 있어서 효과도지수가 배치의 입력에 대하여 확률적으로 나타나는 특성을 갖는다. 본 논문에서는 다양한 파라메타의 입력조건에 대하여 확률적인 출력을 갖는 수동탐지소나의 배치에 대한 최적화 문제를 정의하였으며, DPSO(Discrete binary version of PSO) 방법을 사용하여 최적 배치 안을 도출하기 위한 모의기반의 절차를 제시하고 고찰하였다.

Probabilistic bearing capacity assessment for cross-bracings with semi-rigid connections in transmission towers

  • Zhengqi Tang;Tao Wang;Zhengliang Li
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제89권3호
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    • pp.309-321
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, the effect of semi-rigid connections on the stability bearing capacity of cross-bracings in steel tubular transmission towers is investigated. Herein, a prediction method based on the hybrid model which is a combination of particle swarm optimization (PSO) and backpropagation neural network (BPNN) is proposed to accurately predict the stability bearing capacity of cross-bracings with semi-rigid connections and to efficiently conduct its probabilistic assessment. Firstly, the establishment of the finite element (FE) model of cross-bracings with semi-rigid connections is developed on the basis of the development of the mechanical model. Then, a dataset of 7425 samples generated by the FE model is used to train and test the PSO-BPNN model, and the accuracy of the proposed method is evaluated. Finally, the probabilistic assessment for the stability bearing capacity of cross-bracings with semi-rigid connections is conducted based on the proposed method and the Monte Carlo simulation, in which the geometric and material properties including the outer diameter and thickness of cross-sections and the yield strength of steel are considered as random variables. The results indicate that the proposed method based on the PSO-BPNN model has high accuracy in predicting the stability bearing capacity of cross-bracings with semi-rigid connections. Meanwhile, the semi-rigid connections could enhance the stability bearing capacity of cross-bracings and the reliability of cross-bracings would significantly increase after considering semi-rigid connections.

Prolonging Network Lifetime by Optimizing Actuators Deployment with Probabilistic Mutation Multi-layer Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Han, Yamin;Byun, Heejung;Zhang, Liangliang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권8호
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    • pp.2959-2973
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    • 2021
  • In wireless sensor and actuator networks (WSANs), the network lifetime is an important criterion to measure the performance of the WSAN system. Generally, the network lifetime is mainly affected by the energy of sensors. However, the energy of sensors is limited, and the batteries of sensors cannot be replaced and charged. So, it is crucial to make energy consumption efficient. WSAN introduces multiple actuators that can be regarded as multiple collectors to gather data from their respective surrounding sensors. But how to deploy actuators to reduce the energy consumption of sensors and increase the manageability of the network is an important challenge. This research optimizes actuators deployment by a proposed probabilistic mutation multi-layer particle swarm optimization algorithm to maximize the coverage of actuators to sensors and reduce the energy consumption of sensors. Simulation results show that this method is effective for improving the coverage rate and reducing the energy consumption.

확률론적 기법을 이용한 시변 가용송전용량 결정 (Probabilistic Approach to Time Varying Available Transfer Capability Calculation)

  • 신동준;김규호;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권11호
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    • pp.533-539
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    • 2005
  • According to NERC definition, Available Transfer Capability (ATC) is a measure of the transfer capability remaining in the physical transmission network for the future commercial activity. To calculate Available Transfer Capability, accurate and defensible Total Transfer Capability, Capacity Benefit Margin and Transmission Reliability Margin should be calculated in advance. This paper proposes a method to quantify time varying Available Transfer Capability based on probabilistic approach. The uncertainties of power system and market are considered as complex random variables. Total Transfer Capability is determined by optimization technique such as SQP(Sequential Quadratic Programming). Transmission Reliability Margin with the desired probabilistic margin is calculated based on Probabilistic Load Flow analysis, and Capacity Benefit Margin is evaluated using LOLE of the system. Suggested Available Transfer Capability quantification method is verified using IEEE RTS with 72 bus. The proposed method shows efficiency and flexibility for the quantification of Available Transfer Capability.

특징점 기반 확률 맵을 이용한 단일 카메라의 위치 추정방법 (Localization of a Monocular Camera using a Feature-based Probabilistic Map)

  • 김형진;이동화;오택준;명현
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.367-371
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, a novel localization method for a monocular camera is proposed by using a feature-based probabilistic map. The localization of a camera is generally estimated from 3D-to-2D correspondences between a 3D map and an image plane through the PnP algorithm. In the computer vision communities, an accurate 3D map is generated by optimization using a large number of image dataset for camera pose estimation. In robotics communities, a camera pose is estimated by probabilistic approaches with lack of feature. Thus, it needs an extra system because the camera system cannot estimate a full state of the robot pose. Therefore, we propose an accurate localization method for a monocular camera using a probabilistic approach in the case of an insufficient image dataset without any extra system. In our system, features from a probabilistic map are projected into an image plane using linear approximation. By minimizing Mahalanobis distance between the projected features from the probabilistic map and extracted features from a query image, the accurate pose of the monocular camera is estimated from an initial pose obtained by the PnP algorithm. The proposed algorithm is demonstrated through simulations in a 3D space.

확정론적 기법 및 확률론적 기법을 적용한 선박 초기 설계 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Preliminary Ship Design Method using Deterministic Approach and Probabilistic Approach)

  • 양영순;박창규;유원선
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2004
  • The paper describes the preliminary ship design method using deterministic approach and probabilistic approach. In deterministic approach, there are computational aspects to applying not only the integration concurrently of principal dimension decisions and hull form variations but also hydrostatic coefficients that applied to optimization iterative process. Therefore, this paper developed that actual design concept at the preliminary ship design more than sequential design which separated in principal dimension decisions and hull form variations. Furthermore, a probabilistic approach at the preliminary ship design is applied to efficiently solve design information uncertainty that compared to deterministic approach.

불량률 최소화를 통한 강건 최적화의 확률제한조건 처리 (Solving Probability Constraint in Robust Optimization by Minimizing Percent Defective)

  • 이광기;박찬경;김근연;이권희;한상욱;한승호
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권8호
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    • pp.975-981
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    • 2013
  • 강건 최적화 기법은 설계 초기 단계부터 설계변수의 변동이 목적함수에 미치는 효과를 최소화할 수 있는 유일한 방법이다. 강건 최적화의 정식화를 위해서는 분산을 정확히 예측하고 확률제한조건을 정식화하는 것이 가장 중요한 과정이 된다. 분산 및 확률제한조건을 예측하고 정식화하기 위한 방법으로 공정능력지수 및 식스시그마 기법과 같은 여러 가지 방법이 적용되고 있으나, 실제 공정에서 널리 적용되는 불량률을 이용한 확률제한조건 처리 기법에 대한 연구는 아직까지 전무한 상태이다. 본 연구에서는 자동차 로워암의 무게와 최대응력의 평균과 표준편차에 대한 설계영역을 탐색하고, 이후 로워암의 강건 최적화를 수행하였다. 변동을 예측하기 위한 표준편차의 계산은 2 차 테일러 전개를 통해 수치적인 정확도를 기하였다. 강건 최적화는 설계변수의 불연속성을 고려하기 위하여 최적화 과정에서 미분 정보를 적용하지 않은 심플렉스 알고리즘을 적용하였다.

양방향 진화적 구조최적화를 이용한 신뢰성기반 위상최적화 (Reliability-Based Topology Optimization Based on Bidirectional Evolutionary Structural Optimization)

  • 유진식;김상락;박재용;한석영
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) based on bidirectional evolutionary structural optimization (BESO). In design of a structure, uncertain conditions such as material property, operational load and dimensional variation should be considered. Deterministic topology optimization (DTO) is performed without considering the uncertainties related to the design variables. However, the RBTO can consider the uncertainty variables because it can deal with the probabilistic constraints. The reliability index approach (RIA) and the performance measure approach (PMA) are adopted to evaluate the probabilistic constraints in this study. In order to apply the BESO to the RBTO, sensitivity number for each element is defined as the change in the reliability index of the structure due to removal of each element. Smoothing scheme is also used to eliminate checkerboard patterns in topology optimization. The limit state indicates the margin of safety between the resistance (constraints) and the load of structures. The limit State function expresses to evaluate reliability index from finite element analysis. Numerical examples are presented to compare each optimal topology obtained from RBTO and DTO each other. It is verified that the RBTO based on BESO can be effectively performed from the results.

Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제81권4호
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    • pp.429-441
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    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.