• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic environment

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Modeling of Remediation Design in Theoretically Heterogeneous Domain

  • Ko, Nak-Youl;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2004.09a
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    • pp.302-306
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    • 2004
  • Probabilistic approaches are applied to the problem of groundwater remediation design to consider the risk of design and heterogeneity of real condition. Hydraulic conductivity fields are generated by two methods. First, the homogeneous domains which have the hydraulic conductivity with log-normal distribution are constructed by using Latin Hypercube method. Second, random fields with a certain spatial correlation are also generated. The optimal solutions represented by cumulative distribution function (CDF) of relative cost are calculated by three different manners. The one uses the homogeneous domains with the optimal design of base condition. It shows that ver)'wide range of cost and the influences of different penalty values. The other one uses the random field with same design and shows narrow range of cost. These CDF can reflect on the risk of optimal solution in a simple exampie condition and be effective in estimating the cost of groundwater remediation.

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Comparative Study on Seismic Fragility Curve Derivation Methods of Buried Pipeline Using Finite Element Analysis (유한요소 해석을 활용한 매설 배관의 지진 취약도 곡선 도출 기법 비교)

  • Lee, Seungjun;Yoon, Sungsik;Song, Hyeonsung;Lee, Jinmi;Lee, Young-Joo
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.213-220
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    • 2023
  • Seismic fragility curves play a crucial role in assessing potential seismic losses and predicting structural damage caused by earthquakes. This study compares non-sampling-based methods of seismic fragility curve derivation, particularly the probabilistic seismic demand model (PSDM) and finite element reliability analysis (FERA), both of which require employing sophisticated finite element analysis to evaluate and predict structural damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a three-dimensional finite element model of API 5L X65, a buried gas pipeline widely used in Korea, is constructed to derive seismic fragility curves. Its seismic vulnerability is assessed using nonlinear time-history analysis. PSDM and a FERA are employed to derive seismic fragility curves for comparison purposes, and the results are verified through a comparison with those from the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). It is observed that the fragility curves obtained from PSDM are relatively conservative, which is attributed to the assumption introduced to consider the uncertainty factors. In addition, this study provides a comprehensive comparison of seismic fragility curve derivation methods based on sophisticated finite element analysis, which may contribute to developing more accurate and efficient seismic fragility analysis.

Robust Reference Point and Feature Extraction Method for Fingerprint Verification using Gradient Probabilistic Model (지문 인식을 위한 Gradient의 확률 모델을 이용하는 강인한 기준점 검출 및 특징 추출 방법)

  • 박준범;고한석
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2003
  • A novel reference point detection method is proposed by exploiting tile gradient probabilistic model that captures the curvature information of fingerprint. The detection of reference point is accomplished through searching and locating the points of occurrence of the most evenly distributed gradient in a probabilistic sense. The uniformly distributed gradient texture represents either the core point itself or those of similar points that can be used to establish the rigid reference from which to map the features for recognition. Key benefits are reductions in preprocessing and consistency of locating the same points as the reference points even when processing arch type fingerprints. Moreover, the new feature extraction method is proposed by improving the existing feature extraction using filterbank method. Experimental results indicate the superiority of tile proposed scheme in terms of computational time in feature extraction and verification rate in various noisy environments. In particular, the proposed gradient probabilistic model achieved 49% improvement under ambient noise, 39.2% under brightness noise and 15.7% under a salt and pepper noise environment, respectively, in FAR for the arch type fingerprints. Moreover, a reduction of 0.07sec in reference point detection time of the GPM is shown possible compared to using the leading the poincare index method and a reduction of 0.06sec in code extraction time of the new filterbank mettled is shown possible compared to using the leading the existing filterbank method.

Fuzzy Project Scheduling of the R&D System under the Mechatronics Environment (메카트로닉스 환경하의 R&D System의 퍼지프로젝트 일정계획)

  • 이근희;이재성;주일권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.24
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 1991
  • The Existing Protect schedulings are mathematical nodes upon which probability control is based. In fact, under the mechatronics environment in the new product design and development, statistical information is very poor or sometimes non-existent. Probabilistic PERT/CPM methods are not always satisfying because those methods suppose that it is possible to apply central- limit theorem and there exists a critical path which is much mart critical than all the other paths. Fuzzy project scheduling is possibility based scheduling. For this reason, the Fuzzy Project Scheduling essential to design, development and control the new product under the mechatranics environment. This paper deals with a modeling on the project scheduling which use fuzzy set theory. Fuzzy concepts in the project scheduling are shown to be very useful and easy to work with in the R & D system.

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AIMS-MUPSA software package for multi-unit PSA

  • Han, Sang Hoon;Oh, Kyemin;Lim, Ho-Gon;Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.1255-1265
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    • 2018
  • The need for a PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment) for a multi-unit at a site is growing after the Fukushima accident. Many countries have been studying issues regarding a multi-unit PSA. One of these issues is the problem of many combinations of accident sequences in a multi-unit PSA. This paper deals with the methodology and software to quantify a PSA scenarios for a multi-unit site. Two approaches are developed to quantify a multi-unit PSA. One is to use a minimal cut set approach, and the other is to use a Monte Carlo approach.

Approaches to Probabilistic Localization and Tracking for Autonomous Mobility Robot in Unknown Environment (미지환경에서 무인이동체의 자율주행을 위한 확률기반 위치 인식과 추적 방법)

  • Jin, Taeseok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a comparison result of two simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) algorithms for navigation that have been proposed in literature. The performances of Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) SLAM under Gaussian condition, FastSLAM algorithms using Rao-Blackwellised method for particle filtering are compared in terms of accuracy of state estimations for localization of a robot and mapping of its environment. The algorithms were run using the same type of robot on indoor environment. The results show that the Particle filter based FastSLAM has the better performance in terms of accuracy of localization and mapping. The experimental results are discussed and compared.

Derivation of Ecological Protective Concentration using the Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment applicable for Korean Water Environment: (I) Cadmium

  • Nam, Sun-Hwa;Lee, Woo-Mi;An, Youn-Joo
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2012
  • Probabilistic ecological risk assessment (PERA) for deriving ecological protective concentration (EPC) was previously suggested in USA, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Netherland. This study suggested the EPC of cadmium (Cd) based on the PERA to be suitable to Korean aquatic ecosystem. First, we collected reliable ecotoxicity data from reliable data without restriction and reliable data with restrictions. Next, we sorted the ecotoxicity data based on the site-specific locations, exposure duration, and water hardness. To correct toxicity by the water hardness, EU's hardness corrected algorithm was used with slope factor 0.89 and a benchmark of water hardness 100. EPC was calculated according to statistical extrapolation method (SEM), statistical extrapolation $method_{Acute\;to\;chronic\;ratio}$ ($SEM_{ACR}$), and assessment factor method (AFM). As a result, aquatic toxicity data of Cd were collected from 43 acute toxicity data (4 Actinopterygill, 29 Branchiopoda, 1 Polychaeta, 2 Bryozoa, 6 Chlorophyceae, 1 Chanophyceae) and 40 chronic toxicity data (2 Actinopterygill, 23 Branchiopoda, 9 Chlorophyceae, 6 Macrophytes). Because toxicity data of Cd belongs to 4 classes in taxonomical classification, acute and chronic EPC (11.07 ${\mu}g/l$ and 0.034 ${\mu}g/l$, respectively) was calculated according to SEM technique. These values were included in the range of international EPCs. This study would be useful to establish the ecological standard for the protection of aquatic ecosystem in Korea.

A Feasibility Study on the Probabilistic Method for the Naval Ship Infra-red Signature Management (함정적외선신호 관리를 위한 확률론적 방법의 가능성 연구)

  • Park, Hyun-jung;Kang, Dae-soo;Cho, Yong-jin
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2019
  • It is essential to reduce the Infra-red signature for increasing ship's survivability in ship design stage. However the ship's IR signature is quite sensitive to the maritime and atmosphere. Therefore, it is very important to select the marine meteorological data to be applied to the signature analysis. In this study, we selected the three meteorological sample sets from the population of the Korea Meteorological Administration's marine environment data in 2017. These samples were selected through the two-dimensional stratified sampling method, taking into account the geopolitical threats of the Korean peninsula and the effective area of the buoy. These sample sets were applied to three naval ships classified by their tonnage, and then the IR signature analysis was performed to derive the Contrast Radiant Intensity (CRI) values. Based on the CRI values, the validity of each sample set was determined by comparing Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF), and Probability Density Function (PDF). Also, we checked the degree of scattering in each sample set and determined the efficiency of analysis time and cost according to marine meteorological sample sets to confirm the possibility of a probabilistic method. Through this process, we selected the standard for optimization of marine meteorological sample for ship IR signature analysis. Based on this optimization sample, by applying probabilistic method to the management of IR signature for naval ships, the robust design is possible.

A Probabilistic Analysis of Soil- Structure Interaction Subjected to Seismic Loading (지진에 대한 지반-구조물 상호작용의 확률론적 연구)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Kim, Yong-Jin;Lee, Jeong-Hak
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.5-20
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    • 1990
  • In the seismic analysis of structures, where the dynamic soil-structure interaction (DSSI) is considred, earthquake input motions as well as dynamic soil properties are random in nature. To take into account the random nature of both the input motions and the dynamic soil properties systematically, a probabilistic analysis of the DSSI subjected to seismic loading is proposed in this paper, The complex response method formulized by the elastic half space theory, the random vibration theory, and the Rosenblueth's two-point estimate method are combined for the proposed probabilistic analysis. The conclusions drawn from this study are as follows ' 1) The uncertainty bands of the earthquake input motions proposed by Kanai-Tajimi as well as those of the dynamic properties are large the coefecients of variation of those parameters tinge from 0.4 to 0.6. 2) The uncertainties of the dynamic soil properties are more sensitive to the structural responses than those of the input motion parameters. 3) The effect of correlations between the input motion parameters and the dynamic soil properties is negligible.

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A Probabilistic Seamless Communication Method to Provide Multimedia Services in Mobile Networks (이동 네트워크에서 멀티미디어 서비스 제공을 위한 확률적 무단절 통신 방법)

  • Kim, Yoon-Jeong;Bae, Ihn-Han
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.446-453
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    • 2000
  • Mobile computing refers to an emerging new computing environment incorporating both wireless and wired high-speed networking technologies. In the near future, it is expected that mobile users will have access to a wide variety of services that will be made available over highspeed networks. The quality of these services in the high-speed networks can be specified in terms of several QoS paameters. The important QoS parameter in mobile computings is the guarantee for seamless communication which is to provide disruption free service to mobile users. A disruption in service could occur due to active handoffs. This paper proposes an extended staggened muticast approach which provides a probabilistic guarantee for disruption free service. The extended staggerd multicast approach estimates mobility direction and mobility velocity for a user. It is possible that data packets for a mobile host are multicasted to not all neighbor cells but a part of neighbor cells on the basis of these information. Therefore, the extended staggered multicast significantly reduces the static network bandwidth usage also provides a probabilistic guarantee for disruption free service.

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