• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic environment

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Bearing tracking algorithm appropriate for underwater environment (수중환경에 적합한 방위각 추적 알고리즘)

  • 허용석;김인익;박상배;이균경
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.558-563
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    • 1992
  • Bearing information of target is used critically for target tracking in underwater environment. In passive sonar, target bearing measurements are obtained by processing the acoustic signal emanating from the target. PDA tracking algorithm is usually applied in this case since bearing measurements have several peaks due to interference with other acoustic sources or reflections from underwater media. In this paper, we propose a modified PDA algorithm adopting new probabilistic distributions of the number, position, and amplitude of peaks based on the analysis of real data. This algorithm is tested on real and artificially generated data. The computer simulation result shows improvement of the tracking performance.

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Probabilistic Characteristics of Effective Diffusion Coefficient in the Porous Media

  • Khim, Jeehyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.58-62
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    • 1996
  • To check the variability of the effective diffusion coefficient in the unsaturated porous soil media. a Monte Carlo simulation was done for the equation suggested by Millington and Quirk(1961). The results shows that the probability density function of D$_{c}$/D$_{o}$ is positively skewed. It means the chance of having less effective diffusion coefficient values in the soil media than mean value is high. Also, the distribution types of D$_{c}$/D$_{o}$ are about same regardless of assumed distribution types of input parameters.ers.ers.

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A Probabilistic Approach to Forecasting and Evaluating the Risk of Fishing Vessel Accidents in Korea

  • Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.302-310
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    • 2018
  • Despite the accident rate for fishing vessels accounts for 70% of all maritime accidents, few studies on such accidents have been done and most of the them mainly focus on causes and mitigation policies to reduce that accident rate. Thus, this risk analysis on sea accidents is the first to be performed for the successful and efficient implementation of accident reducing measures. In risk analysis, risk is calculated based on the combination of frequency and the consequence of an accident, and is usually expressed as a single number. However, there exists uncertainty in the risk calculation process if one uses a limited number of data for analysis. Therefore, in the study we propose a probabilistic simulation method to forecast risk not as a single number, but in a range of possible risk values. For the capability of the proposed method, using the criteria with the ALARP region, we show the possible risk values spanning across the different risk regions, whereas the single risk value calculated from the existing method lies in one of the risk regions. Therefore, a decision maker could employ appropriate risk mitigation options to handle the risks lying in different regions. For this study, we used fishing vessel accident data from 1988 to 2016.

Experimental approach to evaluate software reliability in hardware-software integrated environment

  • Seo, Jeongil;Kang, Hyun Gook;Lee, Eun-Chan;Lee, Seung Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.1462-1470
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    • 2020
  • Reliability in safety-critical systems and equipment is of vital importance, so the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used for many years in the nuclear industry to address reliability in a quantitative manner. As many nuclear power plants (NPPs) become digitalized, evaluating the reliability of safety-critical software has become an emerging issue. Due to a lack of available methods, in many conventional PSA models only hardware reliability is addressed with the assumption that software reliability is perfect or very high compared to hardware reliability. This study focused on developing a new method of safety-critical software reliability quantification, derived from hardware-software integrated environment testing. Since the complexity of hardware and software interaction makes the possible number of test cases for exhaustive testing well beyond a practically achievable range, an importance-oriented testing method that assures the most efficient test coverage was developed. Application to the test of an actual NPP reactor protection system demonstrated the applicability of the developed method and provided insight into complex software-based system reliability.

A Study on Automatic Target Detection and Tracking Algorithm with the PMHT in a Cluttered Environment (클러터 환경에서의 PMHT를 이용한 자동 표적 탐지 및 추적 알고리듬 연구)

  • Lee, Hae-Ho;Song, Taek-Lyul
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1125-1135
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    • 2010
  • A fundamental characteristic of PMHT (Probabilistic Multi-Hypothesis Tracker) is that the number of targets and initial states of targets in the surveillance area must be a priori known. This requirement is impossible to fulfil in almost every realistic scenario. In the paper, we present two track initiation methods to solve the problem. The proposed track initiation methods are 2-point track initiation and Hough transform track initiation, and they are used to evaluate track initial states and weights for FTD (False Track Discrimination) of the PMHT algorithm. Also suggested as automatic target detection for tracking systems that combines track initiation for target detection with the PMHT algorithm for target tracking in a cluttered environment. A series of Monte-Carlo simulation runs is employed to evaluate the overall system performance with the two track initiation methods and the results are compared and analyzed.

Development of Disaster Risk Analysis System for Environment Friendly Road (친환경 도로노선의 재해위험도 평가시스템 개발)

  • Song, Min-Tae;Kang, Ho-Geun;Kim, Heung-Rae;Lee, Tae-Ock;Lee, Han-Joo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: This study is to investigate the consideration which relates with a disaster from route alignment process and proposed the method it will be able to evaluate a disaster danger fixed quantity. METHODS: Use the landslide disaster probabilistic map of GIS based and in about landslide occurrence of the route alignment at the time of neighboring area after evaluating a risk fixed quantity, it compared LCC expense in about each alternative route. It developed the system it will be able to analyze a LCC and a disaster risk in about the alternative route. In order to verify a risk analytical algorithm and the system which are developed it selected national road 59 lines on the demonstrative route and it analyzed a disaster risk. RESULTS: Demonstrative route not only the disaster risk to be it will be able to compare a disaster risk fixed quantity like the economical efficiency degree in compliance with LCC expense productions it compared and there being the designer will be able to decide the alternative route, it confirmed. CONCLUSIONS: Roads can be designed by considering occurs repeatedly landslides and debris flow caused by disasters in advance and expect to be able to effect that can reduce the overall cost to recover losses caused by the disaster, and temporally loss is expected.

Stochastic Behavior of Plant Water Stress Index and the Impact of Climate Change (식생 물 부족 지수의 추계학적 거동과 기후변화가 그에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Suhee;Yoo, Gayoung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.507-514
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a dynamic modeling scheme is presented to describe the probabilistic structure of soil water and plant water stress index under stochastic precipitation conditions. The proposed model has the form of the Fokker-Planck equation, and its applicability as a model for the probabilistic evolution of the soil water and plant water stress index is investigated under a climate change scenario. The simulation results of soil water confirm that the proposed soil water model can properly reproduce the observations and show that the soil water behaves with consistent cycle based on the precipitation pattern. The simulation results of plant water stress index show two different PDF patterns according to the precipitation. The simple impact assessment of climate change to soil water and plant water stress is discussed with Korean Meteorological Administration regional climate model.

Proposed Approach of Korean Ecological Risk Assessment for the Derivation of Soil Quality Criteria (토양준거치 도출을 위한 국내형 생태위해성평가기법 제안)

  • An, Youn-Joo;Lee, Woo-Mi;Nam, Sun-Hwa;Jeong, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2010
  • Ecological Risk Assessment (ERA) supports a decision-making process such as establishment of environmental quality criteria. Soil quality criteria (SQC) are essential to protect soil organisms from the exposure to various soil contaminants. In this study, ERA methodologies of advanced countries for soil pollution were extensively compared to propose the ERA approach suitable for soil ecosystem in Korea. The soil ERAs in European Chemical Bureau(ECB), The Netherlands, and Canada can be classified as deterministic ecological risk assessment (DERA), and probabilistic ecological risk assessment (PERA) based on species sensitivity distribution (SSD). We propose three ERA methods according to abundance and reliability of soil ecotoxicity data. The method considered land use such as residential/agricultural, and industrial/commercial uses. The taxonomic groups of soil organism were classified as 'Class' level including different trophic levels (Magnoliopsida or Liliopsida, Clitellata, and Insecta or Secernentea). This study can be used to estimate the soil quality criteria to protect soil biota.

A Study on IMM-PDAF based Sensor Fusion Method for Compensating Lateral Errors of Detected Vehicles Using Radar and Vision Sensors (레이더와 비전 센서를 이용하여 선행차량의 횡방향 운동상태를 보정하기 위한 IMM-PDAF 기반 센서융합 기법 연구)

  • Jang, Sung-woo;Kang, Yeon-sik
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.633-642
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    • 2016
  • It is important for advanced active safety systems and autonomous driving cars to get the accurate estimates of the nearby vehicles in order to increase their safety and performance. This paper proposes a sensor fusion method for radar and vision sensors to accurately estimate the state of the preceding vehicles. In particular, we performed a study on compensating for the lateral state error on automotive radar sensors by using a vision sensor. The proposed method is based on the Interactive Multiple Model(IMM) algorithm, which stochastically integrates the multiple Kalman Filters with the multiple models depending on lateral-compensation mode and radar-single sensor mode. In addition, a Probabilistic Data Association Filter(PDAF) is utilized as a data association method to improve the reliability of the estimates under a cluttered radar environment. A two-step correction method is used in the Kalman filter, which efficiently associates both the radar and vision measurements into single state estimates. Finally, the proposed method is validated through off-line simulations using measurements obtained from a field test in an actual road environment.

Establishment of Service Life of Educational Facilities - Focused on the rooftop waterproofing and floor finishing -

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2014
  • Building has been deteriorated gradually owing to geographic, physical complex and other factors. School living condition has a key role to improve the learning ability, life attitude and qualifications to adopt to social life. Therefore, it is important for school environment to keep the living condition. Repair time and scope of school facilities are required to maintain the function and performance to plan the long term repair. But there are little information about the school maintenance such as repair time and function. In this paper, it aimed at providing the service life to suggest the repair time and scope in the roof-proofing and floor finishing which used the three estimation method in probabilistic approach. The service life has a key role to decide the repair time and to make the plan for the repair maintenance. Results of this study are as follows ; First, the 1st repair time were taken through three methods in probabilistic and deterministic functions to eliminate the estimation bias. Second, the service life is suggested 36 years of an elementary school, 34 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. Third, the service life of a floor finishing is 43 years of an elementary, 39 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. The above study could not include the detailed information about the materials and repair works. Therefore it needs a further study to reflect the detailed information and to make a repair strategy.