• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic environment

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A new human-robot interaction method using semantic symbols

  • Park, Sang-Hyun;Hwang, Jung-Hoon;Kwon, Dong-Soo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.2005-2010
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    • 2004
  • As robots become more prevalent in human daily life, situations requiring interaction between humans and robots will occur more frequently. Therefore, human-robot interaction (HRI) is becoming increasingly important. Although robotics researchers have made many technical developments in their field, intuitive and easy ways for most common users to interact with robots are still lacking. This paper introduces a new approach to enhance human-robot interaction using a semantic symbol language and proposes a method to acquire the intentions of robot users. In the proposed approach, each semantic symbol represents knowledge about either the environment or an action that a robot can perform. Users'intentions are expressed by symbolized multimodal information. To interpret a users'command, a probabilistic approach is used, which is appropriate for interpreting a freestyle user expression or insufficient input information. Therefore, a first-order Markov model is constructed as a probabilistic model, and a questionnaire is conducted to obtain state transition probabilities for this Markov model. Finally, we evaluated our model to show how well it interprets users'commands.

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A Probabilistic Routing Mechanism Considering the Encounter Frequency in the Battlefield Environment (전장 환경에서 접촉 횟수 정보를 고려한 확률적 라우팅 기법)

  • Lee, Jongmok;Kang, Kyungran;Cho, Young-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.332-339
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    • 2013
  • The network nodes in a tactical network moves continuously and due to the physical and electronic obstacles, the connections are not always available. Due to the frequent disconnections, it is hard to discover the path among the nodes in a DTN. According to PROPHET(Probabilistic Routing Protocol using History of Encounters and Transitivity), one of the most well-known DTN routing protocols, a DTN node determines whom to forward a packet according to the packet delivery probability. From the viewpoint of a node, the packet delivery probability of another node is degraded while the nodes are disconnected whereas it is improved when they encounter. In this paper, we enhance the algorithm estimating the packet probability by considering the encounter count as an additional parameter. Our algorithm prefers the node that encounters the destination more frequently in selecting the next hop toward the destination. We evaluated the performance of our algorithm by simulating military operations using a DTN-dedicated simulator. Through the simulations, we show that our proposed algorithm achieve higher packet delivery ratio with similar overhead compared with PROPHET.

A Study on the Fuzzy ELDC of Composite Power System Based on Probabilistic and Fuzzy Set Theories

  • Park, Jaeseok;Kim, Hongsik;Seungpil Moon;Junmin Cha;Park, Daeseok;Roy Billinton
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.2A no.3
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2002
  • This paper illustrates a new fuzzy effective load model for probabilistic and fuzzy production cost simulation of the load point of the composite power system. A model for reliability evaluation of a transmission system using the fuzzy set theory is proposed for considering the flexibility or ambiguity of capacity limitation and overload of transmission lines, which are subjective matter characteristics. A conventional probabilistic approach was also used to model the uncertainties related to the objective matters for forced outage rates of generators and transmission lines in the new model. The methodology is formulated in order to consider the flexibility or ambiguity of load forecasting as well as capacity limitation and overload of transmission lines. It is expected that the Fuzzy CMELDC (CoMposite power system Effective Load Duration Curve) proposed in this study will provide some solutions to many problems based on nodal and decentralized operation and control of an electric power systems in a competitive environment in the future. The characteristics of this new model are illustrated by some case studies of a very simple test system.

Study of Target Tracking Algorithm using iterative Joint Integrated Probabilistic Data Association in Low SNR Multi-Target Environments (낮은 SNR 다중 표적 환경에서의 iterative Joint Integrated Probabilistic Data Association을 이용한 표적추적 알고리즘 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-June;Song, Taek-Lyul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 2020
  • For general target tracking works by receiving a set of measurements from sensor. However, if the SNR(Signal to Noise Ratio) is low due to small RCS(Radar Cross Section), caused by remote small targets, the target's information can be lost during signal processing. TBD(Track Before Detect) is an algorithm that performs target tracking without threshold for detection. That is, all sensor data is sent to the tracking system, which prevents the loss of the target's information by thresholding the signal intensity. On the other hand, using all sensor data inevitably leads to computational problems that can severely limit the application. In this paper, we propose an iterative Joint Integrated Probabilistic Data Association as a practical target tracking technique suitable for a low SNR multi-target environment with real time operation capability, and verify its performance through simulation studies.

Estimation of Storage Capacity for Sustainable Rainwater Harvesting System with Probability Distribution (확률분포를 이용한 지속가능한 빗물이용시설의 저류용량 산정)

  • Kang, Won Gu;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil Seong;Oh, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.740-746
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    • 2010
  • Rainwater has been used in many countries as a way of minimizing water availability problems. Rainwater harvesting system (RHS) has been successfully implemented as alternative water supply sources even in Korea. Although RHS is an effective alternative to water supply, its efficiency is often heavily influenced by temporal distribution of rainfall. Since natural precipitation is a random process and has probabilistic characteristics, it will be more appropriate to describe these probabilistic features of rainfall and its relationship with design storage capacity as well as supply deficit of RHS. This study presents the methodology to establish the relationships between storage capacities and deficit rates using probability distributions. In this study, the real three-story building was considered and nine scenaries were developed because the daily water usage pattern of the study one was not identified. GEV, Gumbel and the generalized logistic distribution ware selected according to the results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Chi-Squared test. As a result, a set of curves describing the relationships under different exceedance probabilities were generated as references to RHS storage design. In case of the study building, the deficit rate becomes larger as return period increases and will not increase any more if the storage capacity becomes the appropriate quantity. The uncertainties between design storage and the deficit can be more understood through this study on the probabilistic relationships between storage capacities and deficit rates.

A Study of Optimal-CSOs by Continuous Rainfall/Runoff Simulation Techniques (연속 강우-유출 모의기법을 이용한 최적 CSOs 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Kim, Myoung Su;Lee, Jung Ho;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1068-1074
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    • 2006
  • For receiving water quality protection a control systems of urban drainage for CSOs reduction is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as storm-water detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. For the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system this study used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model has evolved that offers much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifested the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual CSOs, number of CSOs and event mean CSOs for the decision of storage volume.

Estimating the storage space requirement of a container terminal considering the variance of a containership's load size (본선 작업물량의 변동을 고려한 컨테이너 터미널의 장치공간 소요량 추정)

  • Bae, Jong-Wook;Park, Byung-In
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.5 s.121
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    • pp.361-368
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    • 2007
  • The storage space requirement is a very important decision variable which determines the storage capacity of a container terminal. Generally, the storage space requirement is dependent upon such factors as ship headway, allowable dwell time of containers, loading/winding time per ship, and so on. Until now, the storage space requirement is estimated under the assumption that the factors are deterministic in several studies. However, this study proposes how to estimate a storage space requirement satisfying the required service level under the assumption that a containership's load size is probabilistic. Numerical experiments, which use a simulation show that the proposed method can estimate more adequately the storage space requirement than other methods under a probabilistic environment.

Estimation of Storage Capacity for CSOs Storage System in Urban Area (도시유역 CSOs 처리를 위한 저류형시스템 설계용량 산정)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Lee, Jung Ho;Kim, Myoung Su;Kim, Joong Hoon;Park, Moo Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2007
  • A Combined sewer overflows (CSOs) are themselves a significant source of water pollution. Therefore, the control of urban drainage for CSOs reduction and receiving water quality protection is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as stormwater detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available (which is influenced by the duration of interevent dry periods) as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. As a result, a continuous approach is required to adequately size such facilities. This study for the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model have evolved that offer much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. This study presented the average annual COSs and number of COSs when the interceptor capacity is in the range $3{\times}DWF$ (dry weather flow). Also, calculated the average annual mass of pollutant lost in CSOs using Event Mean Concentration. Finally, this study presented a decision of storage volume for CSOs reduction and water quality protection.

Determining the Number of Risk Level Using Real-time Sensitivities in the Probabilistic Maritime Risk Evaluation (확률기반 해상위기평가에서 실시간 민감도를 이용한 위기수준의 단계 구분 수 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Gang, Sang-Guen
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.685-691
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    • 2014
  • The result of probabilistic maritime risk evaluation is represented by the probability(P=0.0~1.0) These results are shown by an index using Risk Acceptance Criteria(RAC) to base the evaluation generally to know the risk level easily. Current RAC is divided into 3 steps, 5 steps, 7 steps, etc. Despite need to evaluate whether the number of RAC for risk evaluation is reasonable, there is not a related research yet. In this study, It was proposed the evaluation method to determine the optimum index number of RAC using the Sensitivity distribution characteristics and the Sensitivity by the index number of RAC. As application result from the proposed method for probabilistic risk evaluation data obtained from the prior studies, It could be determined the optimum index number of RAC by Sensitivity below 10 times and confirmed that the proposed method is reasonable by this study.

Probabilistic Exposure Assessment of Pesticide Residues in Agricultural Products in Gyeonggi-do (경기도내 유통 농산물 중 잔류농약의 확률론적 노출평가 연구)

  • Do, Young-Sook;Kim, Jung-Boem;Kang, Suk-Ho;Kim, Nan-Young;Eom, Mi-Na;Yoon, Mi-Hye
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2013
  • A probabilistic exposure assessment was performed on the monitoring data of pesticides were assessed in agricultural products in Gyeonggi-do from 2006 to 2010. Chlorothalonil, chlorpyrifos, dicofol, endosulfan, EPN, ethoprophos, fenitrothion, methidathion, phenthoate and tebupirimfos were assessed. For this assessment, we used Monte Carlo simulation software and the distribution of concentration and intake were assumed to lognormal distribution by inputting mean and standard deviation. The hazard index (HI, %ADI) of average value and the $95^{th}$ percentile based on a probabilistic method were usually lower than those by a deterministic one. For the whole population, when non-detects data were assigned 0 mg/kg, HI of the average value and the $95^{th}$ percentile showed 0.05~0.70% and 0.11~1.94%, respectively. When nondetects data were assigned 0.005 mg/kg, HI of the average value and the $95^{th}$ percentile were 0.41~4.42% and 0.98~13.81%. For only consumers, when non-detects data were assigned 0 mg/kg, HI of the average value and the $95^{th}$ percentile were 1.24~10.16% and 3.72~33.81%, respectively. When non-detects data were assigned 0.005 mg/kg, HI of the average value and the $95^{th}$ percentile were 3.43~18.26% and 9.45~54.99%, respectively. Methidathion had highest values when both of 0 and 0.005 were assigned to non-detecs data for consumers only. This study showed that agricultural products in Gyeonggi-do were safe because they had less than 100 of HI (%ADI) based on probabilistic exposure assessment.