• 제목/요약/키워드: Probabilistic Design

검색결과 684건 처리시간 0.025초

냉동 창고 상시 적재하중에 관한 확률론적 연구 (Probabilistic Analysis of Design Live Loads on A Refrigeration Store)

  • 김대호;정재훈;원영술;주경재
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제5권4호
    • /
    • pp.109-120
    • /
    • 2001
  • Live load data were collected with a systematic manner from a survey of a refrigeration stores. Using the collected floor live load survey data, the basic statistics, a histogram of the uniformly distributed loads, and the equivalent uniformly distributed loads are computed for various structural members. Based on the above results, the maximum values of a combined live loads during the design life have been estimated and compared with current design live loads. The ultimate goals of this study are to develop probabilistic live load models to analyze survey data of domestic refrigeration stores, and to propose design live loads for structural types.

  • PDF

위험도기반 최대예상지진에 근거한 국내 내진설계 지도 (Domestic Seismic Design Maps Based on Risk-Targeted Maximum- Considered Earthquakes)

  • 신동현;김형준
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.93-102
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study evaluates collapse probabilities of structures which are designed according to a domestic seismic design code, KBC2009. In evaluating their collapse probabilities, to do this, probabilistic distribution models for seismic hazard and structural capacity are required. In this paper, eight major cities in Korea are selected and the demand probabilistic distribution of each city is obtained from the uniform seismic hazard. The probabilistic distribution for the structural capacity is assumed to follow a underlying design philosophy implicitly defined in ASCE 7-10. With the assumptions, the structural collapse probability in 50 years is evaluated based on the concept of a risk integral. This paper then defines an mean value of the collapse probabilities in 50 years of the selected major cities as the target risk. Risk-targeted spectral accelerations are finally suggested by modifying a current mapped spectral acceleration to meet the target risk.

ISSUES IN PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR FACILITIES IN THE US

  • Mcguire, Robin K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제41권10호
    • /
    • pp.1235-1242
    • /
    • 2009
  • Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is routinely conducted in the US for nuclear plants, for the determination of appropriate seismic design levels. These analyses incorporate uncertainties in earthquake characteristics in stable continental regions (where direct observations of large earthquakes are rare), in estimates of rock motions, in site effects on strong shaking, and in the damage potential of seismic shaking for engineered facilities. Performance goals related to the inelastic deformation of individual components, and related to overall seismic core damage frequency, are used to determine design levels. PSHA has the ability to quantify and document the important uncertainties that affect seismic design levels, and future work can be guided toward reducing those uncertainties.

A Probabilistic Broadcasting Mechanism based on Cross Layer Model Deliberating Received Signal Strength Ratio in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks

  • Kim, Jae-Soo
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제21권3호
    • /
    • pp.25-32
    • /
    • 2016
  • Mobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs) consists of mobile nodes which communicate with each other without any centralized infrastructure. Message broadcasting by flooding for route discovery in MANET can result in high redundant retransmission, contention and collision of broadcasting packet, known as the broadcast storm problem collectively. The cross-layer design is adopted in this paper, which lets routing layer share the received signal strength information at MAC layer. Also this paper proposes a new probabilistic approach that dynamically adjusts the rebroadcasting probability of a node for routing request packets (RREQs) according to the received signal strength. The simulation results show that the proposed approach demonstrates better performance than blind flooding, fixed probabilistic broadcasting approaches.

확률론적 방법을 이용한 공간적 압밀침하량 평가 (Evaluation of Spatial Consolidation Settlement by Probabilistic Method)

  • 김동휘;최영민;고성권;이우진
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.475-479
    • /
    • 2010
  • For a rational evaluation of the spatial distribution of consolidation settlement, it is necessary to adopt probabilistic method. In this study, mean and standard deviation of consolidation settlement of whole analysis region are evaluated by using the spatial distribution of consolidation layer which is estimated from kriging and statistics of soil properties. Using these results and probabilistic method, the area need to be raised the ground level for balancing the final design ground level are determined.

  • PDF

Risk-informed design optimization method and application in a lead-based research reactor

  • Jiaqun Wang;Qianglong Wang;Jinrong Qiu;Jin Wang;Fang Wang;Yazhou Li
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제55권6호
    • /
    • pp.2047-2052
    • /
    • 2023
  • Risk-informed approach has been widely applied in the safety design, regulation, and operation of nuclear reactors. It has been commonly accepted that risk-informed design optimization should be used in the innovative reactor designs to make nuclear system highly safe and reliable. In spite of the risk-informed approach has been used in some advanced nuclear reactors designs, such as Westinghouse IRIS, Gen-IV sodium fast reactors and lead-based fast reactors, the process of risk-informed design of nuclear reactors is hardly to carry out when passive system reliability should be integrated in the framework. A practical method for new passive safety reactors based on probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) and passive system reliability analyze linking is proposed in this paper. New three-dimension frequency-consequence curve based on risk concept with three variables is used in this method. The proposed method has been applied to the determination optimization of design options selection in a 10 MWth lead-based research reactor(LR) to obtain one optimized system design in conceptual design stage, using the integrated reliability and probabilistic safety assessment program RiskA, and the computation resources and time consumption in this process was demonstrated reasonable and acceptable.

확률적 설계 방법을 이용한 동적 시스템의 강건 설계 (Robust Design of a Dynamic System Using a Probabilistic Design Method)

  • 류장희;최인상;김주성;손영갑
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
    • /
    • 제35권10호
    • /
    • pp.1171-1178
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 동적 시스템인 구동기의 강건설계를 수행한 결과를 제시한다. 구동기를 구성하는 부품들의 변량은 구동기의 성능에 변량을 유발한다. 따라서 부품들의 변량에 둔감한 구동기의 성능을 확보하기 위해 구동기에 대해서 강건설계를 수행하였다. 구동기를 구성하는 부품들을 전달함수로 표현하여 시뮬링크 모델로 구축하였으며, 시뮬링크 모델을 이용하여 설계 변수 조합에 따른 구동기의 응답을 얻었다. 또한 반응표면법을 적용하여 구동기의 응답을 설계 변수들의 2차 함수로 근사화하였다. 구동기응답을 출력으로 하는 근사화된 모델에 확률적 설계방법을 적용하여 강건한 구동기의 성능을 위한 최적 설계변수를 결정하고 기존 설계와 비교한 결과를 제시하였다.

Design Improvement for the Cooling System of the Interim Spent Fuel Storage Facility Using a PSA Method

  • Ko, Won-Il;Park, Jong-Won;Park, Seong-Won;Lee, Jae-Sol;Park, Hyun-Soo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제28권5호
    • /
    • pp.440-451
    • /
    • 1996
  • With emphasis on safety, this study addresses for better design condition for the cooling system in a wet-type interim spent fuel storage facility, using a probabilistic safety assessment method. To incorporate the design renovation into the design phase, a simple approach is proposed. By taking the cooling system of a reference design, a fault tree analysis was performed to identify the weak point of the considered system, and then basic factors for design renovation were defined. A total of 21 design alternatives were selected through the combination of the basic factors. Finally, the optimum design alternative for the cooling system is derived by means of the cost and effect analysis based on the estimated cost, system reliability and assumed probabilistic safety criteria. With the assumption that the failure frequency of at-reactor spent fuel cooling system compiles with probabilistic safety criteria for the interim spent fuel cooling system, it was shown that the optimum alternative should have l00% cooling loop redundancy with one pump per cooling loop and a cleanup system installed separately from the main loop. Furthermore, it also should be classified into safety system. The result of this study can be used as a useful basis to identify factors of safety concern and to establish design requirements in the future. The method also can be applied for other nuclear facilities.

  • PDF

무작위성을 보이는 지반정수의 확률분포 및 변동성 (Probabilistic Distribution and Variability of Geotechnical Properties with Randomness Characteristic)

  • 김동휘;이주형;이우진
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제25권11호
    • /
    • pp.87-103
    • /
    • 2009
  • 지반정수의 신뢰성 높은 확률분포형을 결정하기 위해서는 분석자료에 대한 이상치 및 무작위성 검정, 적용한 확률 분포형의 매개변수 추정 및 매개변수 적합성 검정, 마지막으로 확률분포형의 적합성 검정의 과정이 필요하며, 위의 순서로 지반정수의 확률분포형을 산정할 것을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 제안한 절차에 따라 분석대상 지반으로 선정된 인천 송도지역 지반정수들의 확률분포형을 추정하였으며, 추가로 지반정수들의 변동성을 나타내는 변동계수를 산정하였다. 이와 같이 신뢰성 높은 지반정수들의 확률분포형과 변동계수는 확률론적 설계방법에 사용될 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 결정론적 설계에 사용될 지반정수의 합리적인 결정에 사용될 수 있는 중요한 자료로 판단된다.

복합재 압력 용기의 신뢰도 예측 (Reliability Evaluation of a Composite Pressure Vessel)

  • 황태경;박재범;김형근;도영대;문순일
    • Composites Research
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 내압 하중을 받는 복합재 압력 용기의 신뢰도를 구하기 위해 확률적 강도 해석이 수행되었다. 이때 확률적 강도 해석은 점진적 파손 모델과 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션으로 구성된 확률 연속 파손 모델과 상용 유한 요소 해석 코드인 ABAQUS가 연계한 형태로서 복잡한 형상 및 경계 조건을 갖는 복합재 구조물의 확률적 파손 해석을 수행하게 된다. 설계확률 변수로서 복합재 층의 각 방향 별 강도가 고려되었다. 최종적으로, 확률 강도 해석을 통해 복합재 압력 용기의 파열 압력 분산 현상이 설명되었고, 복합재 압력 용기의 각 부위별 신뢰도 값이 제시되었다. 양산 중인 복합재 구조물인 경우, 재료 및 제작 공정의 불확실성이 구조물 성능에 미치는 영향이 더욱 커지게 되어 확률 강도 해석을 이용한 구조 설계가 필수적이다.