• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prior to Information Effect

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Objective Bayesian Testing for Effect Size in Paired Study

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1477-1489
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    • 2008
  • This article deals with the problem of testing whether the effect size in paired study exists. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the effect size in paired study under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Numerical Bayesian updating of prior distributions for concrete strength properties considering conformity control

  • Caspeele, Robby;Taerwe, Luc
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.85-102
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    • 2013
  • Prior concrete strength distributions can be updated by using direct information from test results as well as by taking into account indirect information due to conformity control. Due to the filtering effect of conformity control, the distribution of the material property in the accepted inspected lots will have lower fraction defectives in comparison to the distribution of the entire production (before or without inspection). A methodology is presented to quantify this influence in a Bayesian framework based on prior knowledge with respect to the hyperparameters of concrete strength distributions. An algorithm is presented in order to update prior distributions through numerical integration, taking into account the operating characteristic of the applied conformity criteria, calculated based on Monte Carlo simulations. Different examples are given to derive suitable hyperparameters for incoming strength distributions of concrete offered for conformity assessment, using updated available prior information, maximum-likelihood estimators or a bootstrap procedure. Furthermore, the updating procedure based on direct as well as indirect information obtained by conformity assessment is illustrated and used to quantify the filtering effect of conformity criteria on concrete strength distributions in case of a specific set of conformity criteria.

Discontinuity of Representativeness Heuristic

  • 이호창
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 1999
  • The individual behavior on considering prior information when one assesses the probability of uncertain event by representativeness heuristic has been investigated. While prior researches proposed two contrasting behaviors on the employment, we tested the mixed hypothesis that individual ignores the prior information to some extents and begins to consider it above certain threshold when the evidence of representativeness is not salient. The threshold effect of prior probability is positively experimented and the results strongly support the discontinuity hypothesis of representativeness heuristic.

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Note on Properties of Noninformative Priors in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.835-844
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    • 2002
  • For the one-way random model when the ratio of the variance components is of interest, Bayesian analysis is often appropriate. In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the variance components under the balanced one-way random effect model. We reveal that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and is a HPD(Highest Posterior Density) matching prior. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, the only one reference prior (one-at-a-time reference prior) satisfies a second order matching criterion. Finally we show that one-at-a-time reference prior produces confidence sets with expected length shorter than the other reference priors and Cox and Reid (1987) adjustment.

Interrelationship between Prior Knowledge and Language Proficiency in L2 Listening Comprehension

  • Chung, Hyun-Sook
    • Korean Journal of English Language and Linguistics
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.187-209
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    • 2001
  • This study attempts to supplement what is known about the influence of prior knowledge on second language listening comprehension. To do so, the study examines the effect of prior knowledge and language proficiency on the ability of L2 listeners to understand texts. The purpose of an experiment was to determine the effect of topic familiarity on the L2 listening comprehension ability of subjects who varied in L2 listening proficiency level. The subjects (N=117) were selected from a population of college students enrolled in the Departments of English and Business in Korea. English listening proficiency levels were designated on the basis of TOEFL listening scores. Subjects listened twice each to texts (more familiar and less familiar). After listening to each text, a ten-item objective test was administered to test the subjects' comprehension of the information presented in the text. Objective tests were analyzed. using repeated measures analysis. A post hoc test was conducted to identify the means that were significantly different. This study yielded the following results: (1) subjects with high prior knowledge comprehended texts significantly better than did subjects with low prior knowledge; (2) the level of L2 listening proficiency had a significant effect on the L2 listening comprehension of texts, but there was no interaction between prior knowledge and the level of L2 listening proficiency.

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Nonparametric Bayesian Multiple Change Point Problems

  • Kim, Chansoo;Younshik Chung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2002
  • Since changepoint identification is important in many data analysis problem, we wish to make inference about the locations of one or more changepoints of the sequence. We consider the Bayesian nonparameteric inference for multiple changepoint problem using a Bayesian segmentation procedure proposed by Yang and Kuo (2000). A mixture of products of Dirichlet process is used as a prior distribution. To decide whether there exists a single change or not, our approach depends on nonparametric Bayesian Schwartz information criterion at each step. We discuss how to choose the precision parameter (total mass parameter) in nonparametric setting and show that the discreteness of the Dirichlet process prior can ha17e a large effect on the nonparametric Bayesian Schwartz information criterion and leads to conclusions that are very different results from reasonable parametric model. One example is proposed to show this effect.

Attitude Transfer Model in Fashion Co-marketing Alliance: Controlling Product Tangibility/Intangibility

  • Ahn, Sook-Young
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.142-155
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    • 2011
  • By developing attitude transfer model, this study examined the co-marketing alliance effect between fashion and other industries (i.e., service and product brands) based upon the information integration theory. In addition, it examined the product tangibility/intangibility effects of partner brands by controlling stimuli: two alliance cases of fashion and service brands and two alliance cases of fashion and product brands. A total of 1,037 Korean women aged 20 to 39 were surveyed to compare the prior- and post- attitudes toward fashion/partner brands under four fictitious co-marketing alliance cases. Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), multi-group CFA, structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis, and multi-group SEM analysis were conducted to test the hypotheses. The results demonstrated that the prior-attitude toward fashion brand partially affected the alliance attitude, and the co-marketing alliance was affected by prior-attitudes partner brands. The result of multi-group SEM analysis supported the significant differences between service and product brands as alliance partners, which might refer to the effect of product tangibility, existing in brand alliance contexts. The alliance evaluation affected the subsequent evaluations on each participating brands. This study empirically provides the conceptual structure of how consumer attitudes toward the participating brands interact with the attitudes toward alliance and offer practical insights. Specifically, upon employing the manipulated co-marketing alliances cases, this study demonstrates the partnering effect according to product tangibility of partner brands.

Consumer Information Competency of Contemporary Consumers: Effects on Information Search Efficiency and Effectiveness for Purchase of Electronic Goods (현대 소비자의 소비자정보역량: 전자제품 구매 시 정보탐색 효율성 및 효과성에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Hye Sun;Kim, Kee-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.99-117
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to measure consumer information competency, which indicates consumers' general ability to search and utilize information. The model of this study was constructed in order to identify how consumer information competency influences the efficiency and the effectiveness of external information search. The model was verified with related prior knowledge as a moderator variable in order to understand holistic consumer information search activity. The result of the study is as follows. First, the concept of consumer information competency was constructed with four sub-abilities: define, search, extract, and synthesis & use. The ability of define was the highest, as opposed to the ability of extract, which was the lowest. Second, consumer information competency was lower for women as well as for low family income. The sub-abilities of search and synthesis & use were lower for aging consumers. Third, consumer information competency has positive effects on information search efficiency and effectiveness. Moreover, the efficiency influences the effectiveness positively. Fourth, prior knowledge moderates the effect of consumer information competency to the efficiency. Only for consumers with high knowledge the efficiency has the effect of mediating between consumer information competency and the effectiveness.

The Effect of Prior Art Search on Patent Output from National R&D Program (선행기술조사가 국가연구개발사업의 성과에 미치는 영향: 특허성과를 중심으로)

  • Im, Bu-Ru;Park, Kyoo-Ho;Lee, Keun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.177-201
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    • 2011
  • This study is trying to estimate the effect of survey of prior art on the technological performance of national R&D program, with the purpose to enhance understanding on the relationship between utilization of patent information and R&D activities. Patent and Technology Trend Research, one of the survey of prior art which gives the information about existing technology and patent trend to the project team has been carried out since 2005. In this paper, effects which Patent and Technology Trend Research has on the technological performance of national R&D projects are estimated by using multiple regression model considering input factors, characteristics of an agent and supplier of money. The result is that Patent and Technology Trend Research has positive and significant effect on the grant and application of domestic and foreign patent. This result can give an hint that the utilization of patent information make the R&D process efficient and effective.

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A Study on the Opt-in Marketing

  • OH, Won-Kyo;LEE, Won-Jun
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Online and social media and mobile shopping are increasing and companies are required to provide personal information in order to supplement the non-invasive characteristics of the channels. With the increased provision of personal information, consumers' personal and social concerns about the prevention of personal information infringement are also increasing, and in response, personal or opt-in marketing has emerged to compensate for reckless information abuse. Despite the background of this emergence, the existing prior studies are limited to ignoring the negative feelings of consumers in the real world, including only the net function and positive effect of the opt-in mail. Research design, data and methodology: The research framework was intended to utilize the impact of human marketing activities on consumer attitudes combined with positive and negative factors. Factors that positively affect attitudes toward permation marketing were presented, such as informality, and perceived risks were presented as negative impact factors. Also, based on previous prior research, the prior factors of opt-in marketing were to present the effect on purchase intent through the medium of attitude toward opt-in marketing. Results: In this study, we used the framework of a two factor theory to address positive and negative factors as a leading factor in the customer attitude toward opt-in mail advertising, and as a result, functionality and personalization have a positive effect on customer attitude and perceived risk have a negative impact on customer attitude. In addition, it was confirmed that the customer attitude formed this way affects the intention to purchase again. Conclusions: This study suggests that we have demonstrated that marketing, an opt-in marketing that has been recognized as part of marketing that is deployed after obtaining customer consent, has been applied without any other marketing methodology. E-mail advertising at this point also provides practical implications that the system safeguards are in place under an opt-in protocol or system, and that even if an e-mail advertisement is carried out, customers will need to look at the level of awareness about the risks, and suggests that they need to consider the customer's journey that could lead to purchase at the content level.