• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.42-52
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• 2009

From the beginning of 2000, Korean housing market has experienced cyclical volatility because of the global economic fluctuation such as steady decline in the interest rate and the house price bubble. In response to these state Korean Government announced policies about housing sales system kinds of Sales Unit Price Restraint and Post-Sales System to stabilize housing market. But such policies has brought unprecedented arguments both for and against, most of whom still seem to stick to self-centered judgement ahead of impact on housing market. In an integrated point of view, applying the system dynamics modeling, the paper aims at proposing basic Korean housing market dynamics models based on basis principles of housing market determined by supply and demand. And then, after research policies about housing sales system, analyze Impact on Korean Housing Market by change of Sales Systems applying policies to basic Korean housing market dynamics models.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.159-172
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• 2020

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate economic variables which have impact on the prices and returns of preferred stocks and to provide investors, underwriters, and policy makers with information regarding correlations and causal relations between them. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected 98 monthly data from Korea Exchange and Bank of Korea. The Granger causal relation analysis, unit-root test and the multiple regression analysis were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, our study derives the economic variables affecting the prices and returns of preferred stocks and their implications, while previous studies focused mainly on the differential characteristics and related economic factors between common and preferred stocks. Empirical results show that the significant variables influencing the prices and returns of preffered stocks are consumer sentiment index, consumer price index, industrial production index, KOSPI volatility index, and exchange rate between Korean won and US dollar. Second, consumer sentiment index, consumer price index, and industrial production index have significant casual relations with the returns of preferred stocks, providing market participants with important information regarding investment in preferred stocks. Research implications or Originality - This study is different from previous studies in that preferred stocks themselves are investigated rather than the gap between common stocks and preferred stocks. In addition, we derive the major macro variables affecting the prices and returns of preferred stocks and find some useful causal relations between the macro variables and returns of preferred stocks. These findings give important implications to market participants, including stock investors, underwriters, and policy makers.

• Korean Journal of Mathematics
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.529-552
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• 2014

As we know, some indices and data are strong influence to the price movement of some assets now, but not to another assets and in future. Thus we define some asset models for several time intervals; intraday, weekly, monthly, and yearly asset models. We define these asset models by using Brownian motion with volatility and Poisson process, and several deterministic functions(index function, twitter data function and big-jump simple function etc). In our asset models, these deterministic functions are the positive or negative levels of auxiliary indices, of analyzed data, and for imminent and extreme state(for example, financial shock or the highest popularity in the market). These functions determined by indices, twitter data and shocking news are a kind of one of speciality of our asset models. For reasonableness of our asset models, we introduce several real data, figurers and tables, and simulations. Perhaps from our asset models, for short-term or long-term investment, we can classify and reference many kinds of usual auxiliary indices, information and data.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2011.07a
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• pp.600-601
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• 2011

국가 경제활동에서의 에너지 역할이 점차 증대함에 따라 이를 안정적으로 확보하는 것이 중요한 과제로 부각되고 있다. 에너지원의 대부분을 수입하고 있는 우리나라의 경우 안정적이고도 저가의 에너지원을 확보하는 것은 매우 중요한 문제이다. 전력측면에서의 이와 같은 문제는 적정전원 구성문제로 귀결된다. 이에 대한 개념적 해법으로는 심사곡선법이 주로 사용되고 있으며, 실질적으로는 발전설비의 건설 및 운전기간을 고려한 동태적 최적화기법이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 투자자산의 포트폴리오 기법에 의한 적정전원 구성을 도출하고 심사곡선법에 의한 결과와 비교하였다.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.1-12
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• 2008

The Swaption is one of the popular Interest rates derivatives. In spite of such a popularity, the swaption pricing formula is hard to derived within the theoretical consistency. Most of swaption pricing model are heavily depending on the simulation technique. We present a new class of swaption model based on the multi-factor HJM levy-mixture model. A key contribution of this paper is to provide a generalized swaption pricing formula encompassing many market stylize facts. We provide an approximated closed form solution of the swaption price using the Gram-Charlier expansion. Specifically, the solution form is similar to the market models, since our approximation is based on the Lognormal distribution. It can be directly compared with the traditional Black's formula when the size of third and fourth moments are not so large. The proposed extended levy model is also expected to be capable of producing the volatility smiles and skewness.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.99-129
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• 2011

This paper analytically studies how to choose hedging instrument for firms with steady operating cash flows from value maximization perspective. I derive a formula to determine option's optimal strike that makes hedged cash flow have the best monetary payoff given a hedger's view on the underlying asset. I find that not only the expected mean but also the expected standard deviation of the underlying asset in relation to the forward price and the implied volatility play a crucial role in making optimal hedging decision. Higher moments play a certain part in hedging decision but to a lesser degree.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.11-16
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• 2013

This paper derives an equilibrium asset price when there exist three kinds of traders in financial market: a risk-averse informed trader, noise traders, and risk neutral market makers. This paper is an extended version of Kyle's (1985, Econometrica) continuous time model by introducing insider's risk aversion. We obtain not only the equilibrium asset pricing and market depth parameter but also insider's value function and optimal insider's trading strategy explicitly. The comparative static shows that the market depth (the reciprocal of market pressure) increases with time and volatility of noise traders' trading.

• 한국산학경영학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.12a
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• pp.107-120
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• 2006

This thesis examines the relationship between the trading volume and price return in the korean stock Index Futures until June 2005. First, the volume of KOSPI200 futures doesn't play a primary role with the clear explanation of return model. Second, an unexpected volume shocks are negatively associated with the return in case of the KOSPI200 futures, but it is a meaningless relation in the KOSDAQ50 futures. In the case of open interest, it's difficult to find any mean in a both futures. Third, The changes in the trading volumes by foreign investors are positively associated with the return and the volatility, but individuals and domestic commercial investors are negatively associated with the return. This empirical result seems that foreign investors are initiatively trading the korean stock index futures, individuals and domestic commercial investors follow the lead made by foreign investors.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.47 no.5
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• pp.21-37
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• 2022

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is difficult to forecast because of the high volatility and complexity. To improve the BDI forecasting ability, this study apply Bayesian variable selection method with a large number of predictors. Our estimation results based on the BDI and all predictors from January 2000 to September 2021 indicate that the out-of-sample prediction ability of the ADL model with the variable selection is superior to that of the AR model in terms of point and density forecasting. We also find that critical predictors for the BDI change over forecasts horizon. The lagged BDI are being selected as an key predictor at all forecasts horizon, but commodity price, the clarksea index, and interest rates have additional information to predict BDI at mid-term horizon. This implies that time variations of predictors should be considered to predict the BDI.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.449-470
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• 2016

This paper analyzes the effects of nuclear power generation on industrial growth in using the data of 22 manufacturing sectors in 14 nuclear power countries. The hypothesis that the change in the proportion of nuclear power generation in total electricity generation affects industrial value-added and industrial output through industrial electricity price reduction was tested using the dynamic panel data model. First, it was estimated that the increase in nuclear power generation by a 1% leads to a 0.8% reduction in electricity price. The results indicate that when nuclear power generation increased by a 1% point, industrial value-added and output increased by 0.16% and 0.23%,respectively, in the short-run and by 0.51% and 0.85%, respectively, in the long-run. It was also inferred that the effect of nuclear generation on industrial competitiveness working through electricity price reduction rely on institutional settings in the electricity markets. That is, the competitive effect is greater in the countries such as U.K and Japan where electricity price is high and price volatility is large. Meanwhile, in Germany which has pursued phasing out nuclear power, industrial competitiveness is promoted through stable electricity supply.