• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제56권5호
• /
• pp.848-853
• /
• 2007

This paper presents a methodology of estimating incomplete information in electricity markets for analyzing the gaming behavior of Generating Companies (GENCOs). Each GENCO needs to model its opponents' unknown information of strategic biddings and cost functions. In electricity markets with complete information, each GENCO knows its rivals' payoff functions and tries to maximize its own profit at Nash equilibriurnl Nli) by acknowledging the rivals' cost function. On the other hand, in the incomplete information markets, each GENCO lacks information about its rivals. Load patterns can change continuously due to many factors such as weather, price, contingency, etc. In this paper, we propose the method of the estimation of the opponents' cost function using market price, transaction quantities. and customer load patterns. A numerical example with two GENCOs is illustrated to show the basic idea and effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제57권8호
• /
• pp.1342-1348
• /
• 2008

One important objective of the electricity market is to decrease the price by ensuring stability in the market operation. Interconnected to this is another objective; namely, to realize sustainable consumption of electricity by equitably distributing the effects and benefits of participating in the market among all participants of the industry. One method that can help achieve these objectives is the ^{(R)}$demand-response program, - which allows for active adjustment of the loadage from the demand side in response to the price. The demand-response program requires a customer baseline load (CBL), a criterion of calculating the success of decreases in demand. This study was conducted in order to calculate undistorted CBL by analyzing the correlations between such external or seasonal factors as temperature, humidity, and discomfort indices and the amounts of electricity consumed. The method and findings of this study are accordingly explicated.

• 한국식품조리과학회지
• /
• 제13권3호
• /
• pp.369-378
• /
• 1997

The consumption frequency, preference, purchasing behavior and satisfaction degree for bean sprout were surveyed from the housewives living in Seoul and Kyungki-do area. Most of the subjects (84.3%) took bean sprout less than 4 times per 21 meals. Major reasons for the rare consumption were the poor safety, habitual, and long cooking time, in deceasing order. Packed bean sprout was purchased more in Kyungki-do but unpacked was preferred in Seoul. While the major reason for purchasing unpacked bean sprout was the cheap price (57.8%), that for the packed was the safety (82.00). The most unsatisfactory factor for packed bean sprout was the high price, however, unlabelled additives were the primary concern for the unpacked. The satisfaction degree for the quality was higher in packed bean sprout compared with the unpacked. The most unsatisfactory factor for the quality of both packed and unpacked bean sprout was the overall acceptability, followed by texture, taste, and color.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.39-52
• /
• 1988

통신서비스의 확산을 예측하기 위한 확산모형을 제시하였다. Bass모형을 기본으로 하여 가격과 소득을 고려한 확장된 확산모형을 제시하였고, 이 모형을 이용하여 우리나라 전화의 확산에 대한 실증분석을 하였다.

• 한국의상디자인학회지
• /
• 제25권2호
• /
• pp.97-110
• /
• 2023

The purpose of this study is to develop 3D pattern textile design of traditional Jogakbo motifs and fashion products using it. As a research method, first, through literature review, the three-dimensional representation of geometry on a plane with Jogakbo, design cases were examined. Second, through a survey, the purchase perception and design preference of Jogakbo cultural products was analyzed. Third, based on the results of the survey on color and print, the 3D pattern design for each type of Jogakbo is printed, and then textile fashion cultural products were developed. The results of this study are as follows. First, the reason why the public was not attracted to the purchase of cultural products was disatisfaction with practicality, unsuitable preference, price adequacy, aesthetics, and originality. Therefore, it was analyzed that quality, practicality, price, carry-on storage harmony and manageability, as well as aesthetic design were important factors for consumers. Second, the stereoscopic space on the plane expanded the two-dimensional plane space by forming a cube through the division and dissolution of geometry could be visualized using color expression of cubes of different brightness depending on the direction of light. Third, Jogakbo had eight types consisting of four detailed forms and three arrangement methods. The 3D pattern design could be developed through regular disolution and stereoscopic construction using Jogakbo's representative images for each type. In addition, it was found that it was easy to produce Jogakbo fashion products suitable for modern people through 3D pattern digital textile printing applying traditional colors.

• 한국지역지리학회지
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.323-337
• /
• 2006

본 연구는 중국 개혁개방 이후, 계속적으로 도시지역이 확장 발달하고 있는 연길시의 도시화에 따른 연길시 토지이용의 변화에 관한 연구이다. 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 지목별 토지이용변화에서 1978$\sim$2003년 사이의 경지는 $22.7km^2$가 줄어 23.2% 감소하였으며, 시가화 면적은 $16.7km^2$가 늘어 무려 111.3%나 증가하였다. 또 도시적 토지이용인 공장은 250.0%, 학교는 75.2%, 공원은 271.4%, 도로는 153.3%로 증가하였다; 용도별 토지이용에서는 시역이 확대됨에 따라 1978년 이후 상업지역이 620.0%로 가장 많이 증가하였다. 또 공업지역은 250.0%로 증가했으며, 주거지역은 43.8%로 증가하였다. 이 사이에 용도지역은 뚜렷한 증가 현상을 보였다; 지가에 의한 도시화는 최고 지가지대와 최저지대가 현저한 차이를 보인다. 도시화의 정도가 지역에 따라 현저한 차이를 보이고 있으며, 도시개발사업에 의해 시가지가 확산되어, 이로 인해 지가는 개발지의 입지에 따라 변화 해왔다; 지가분포도를 살펴보면 남, 서쪽 보다 동 북쪽으로의 개발이 먼저 이루어졌음을 짐작할 수 있다. 도심 주변부는 동쪽으로의 확장이 이루어지고 도시 외연부는 남, 서쪽으로의 확장이 이루어졌다. 주요간선도로를 따라 '신흥(新興)'을 중심으로 동서방향으로 확장되었다.

• 토지주택연구
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.9-18
• /
• 2019

This study examined the dynamic change in the co-movement between the house price rates with the network methods of Mantegna (1999). First, Capital area and non-capital area form independent clusters which have the heterogeneous co-movement pattern. In other words, Capital and non-capital areas have low connectivity in the housing market. Also, if the co-movement between capital areas have been strengthened, the co-movement between non-capital areas have been weakened. The results of the dynamic analysis show that the degree of the co-movement in the housing market is continuously increased. The members of the co-movement group in the capital area are strongly steadied by all periods. However, the members in the non-capital area have been changed according to the period. Accordingly, it is necessary to establish policies based on various information for the housing market of the non-capital area rather than policies targeting the capital area. In addition, Apartments in Korea are more likely to be used as investment or speculative assets than other types of houses. It has been confirmed that this is Gangbuk, which is locatied in the northern part of Seoul, appears to be a region where the Spillover Effects of price fluctuation can be triggered in the housing and apartment market. However, the housing market in Gangnam, which is locatied in the southern part of Seoul, was divided into low systematic risk.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
• /
• 제6권6호
• /
• pp.26-32
• /
• 2006

주식투자의 대중화, 관심의 증가에 따라 주가예측의 중요성이 증대되고 있다. 주가의 변화는 어떤 경향이나 패턴에 의해 움직인다고 가정할 때, 과거의 주가분석을 통해 이들의 변화를 잘 설명할 수 있는 모델의 구성이 가능할 것이다. 동적인 현상을 반영하는 최적의 모델이 구성된다면 이를 통해 향후의 일정기간의 주가의 운동양태의 예측이 가능할 것이다. 본 연구에서는 주가와 같은 템포랄(temporal) 데이터를 잘 설명할 수 있는 모델결정에 대한 방법론으로서 오토마타 기반의 모델을 가정한다. 모델의 최적 상태 수를 결정하기 위한 기준으로서 베이지안정보기준(BIC : Bayesian Information Criterion) 근사법을 사용한다. 베이지안정보기준의 유효성을 살펴보고 베이지안정보기준을 실제 주가데이터 모델의 상태 수 결정과정에 적용하여 모델을 생성한 후 결정된 모델을 통하여 일정 기간의 일별주가곡선의 운동양태를 예측한다. 실제의 주가곡선에 적용하여 모델의 유효성을 확인하였고 예측 주가곡선의 운동양태가 실제 주가 곡선과 유사함을 확인하였다.

• 한국융합학회논문지
• /
• 제12권12호
• /
• pp.83-91
• /
• 2021

농산물은 기상, 기후 등의 변화로 인해 공급이 불규칙하고, 공급량이 10% 하락하면 가격이 50% 상승하는 가격 탄력성이 매우 높다. 이러한 농산물 가격의 변동으로 인해 소상인의 경매를 통해 생산자에게 대금의 안전성을 보장하고 있다. 그러나, 과잉생산으로 가격이 폭락할 경우, 생산자에 대한 보호 조치는 미비한 실정이다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 농산물에 대한 가격을 인공지능 알고리즘으로 예측하여 전자거래 시스템에 활용할 수 있는 비즈니스 모델을 설계하였다. 이를 위해, 학습 패턴 쌍으로 모델을 학습시키고, ARIMA, SARIMA, RNN, CNN을 적용하여 예측 모델을 설계하였다. 최종적으로, 농산물 예측가격 데이터를 단기예측과 중기예측으로 분류하여 검증하였다. 검증 결과, 2018년 데이터를 기반으로 실제 가격과 예측 가격이 91.08%의 정확도를 나타냈다.

• 한국의상디자인학회지
• /
• 제25권3호
• /
• pp.127-141
• /
• 2023

The purpose of this study is to develop a textile pattern design using the columnar joints motif and a Tyvek fashion clutch bags using it. As a research method, first, through a literature review, columnar joint and Tyvek are understood, and design cases were considered. Second, through a survey, the purchase perception and design preference of columnar joints cultural products were analyzed. Third, based on the results of the survey on color and print, the pattern design for each type of columnar joint were developed, and the uv-printed Tyvek clutch bag was developed. The results of this study are as follows. First, the reason why the public was not attracted to the purchase of cultural products was dissatisfaction with practicality, price adequacy, and aesthetics. Therefore, it was analyzed that quality, practicality, price, carry-on storage, collection value, and casualness, as well as aesthetic design were important factors for purchasing factors pursued by consumers. Second, consumers preferred small goods the most for cultural products, and they pursued the use of colorful and contrasting colors, modern and geometric patterns, and eco-friendly materials, such as Tyvek. Third, columnar joint can be classified into three cross sections and four arrangements. The design unit of the columnar joint could be expressed as a hexagonal column, and 12 different pattern designs could be developed according to the cross sections and arrangements type. In addition, it was found that it was easy to produce fashion products suitable for the sensibility of modern people by utilizing Tyvek materials.