• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Pattern

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The Estimation of Incomplete Information in Electricity Markets by Using Load Pattern Changes (부하패턴을 이용한 전력시장 정보의 불완비성 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Hong;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.848-853
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a methodology of estimating incomplete information in electricity markets for analyzing the gaming behavior of Generating Companies (GENCOs). Each GENCO needs to model its opponents' unknown information of strategic biddings and cost functions. In electricity markets with complete information, each GENCO knows its rivals' payoff functions and tries to maximize its own profit at Nash equilibriurnl Nli) by acknowledging the rivals' cost function. On the other hand, in the incomplete information markets, each GENCO lacks information about its rivals. Load patterns can change continuously due to many factors such as weather, price, contingency, etc. In this paper, we propose the method of the estimation of the opponents' cost function using market price, transaction quantities. and customer load patterns. A numerical example with two GENCOs is illustrated to show the basic idea and effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

A Study on Demand Pattern Analysis for Forecasting of Customer's Electricity Demand (수요측 전력사용량 예측을 위한 수요패턴 분석 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Min;Yang, Il-Kwon;Yu, In-Hyeob
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.8
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    • pp.1342-1348
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    • 2008
  • One important objective of the electricity market is to decrease the price by ensuring stability in the market operation. Interconnected to this is another objective; namely, to realize sustainable consumption of electricity by equitably distributing the effects and benefits of participating in the market among all participants of the industry. One method that can help achieve these objectives is the ^{(R)}$demand-response program, - which allows for active adjustment of the loadage from the demand side in response to the price. The demand-response program requires a customer baseline load (CBL), a criterion of calculating the success of decreases in demand. This study was conducted in order to calculate undistorted CBL by analyzing the correlations between such external or seasonal factors as temperature, humidity, and discomfort indices and the amounts of electricity consumed. The method and findings of this study are accordingly explicated.

Consumption Pattern and Satisfaction Degree for Bean Sprout by Housewives Living in Seoul and Kyungki-do Area (서울과 경기지역 주부들의 콩나물에 대한 이용실태와 만족도에 관한 연구)

  • 이숙영;박미정
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.369-378
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    • 1997
  • The consumption frequency, preference, purchasing behavior and satisfaction degree for bean sprout were surveyed from the housewives living in Seoul and Kyungki-do area. Most of the subjects (84.3%) took bean sprout less than 4 times per 21 meals. Major reasons for the rare consumption were the poor safety, habitual, and long cooking time, in deceasing order. Packed bean sprout was purchased more in Kyungki-do but unpacked was preferred in Seoul. While the major reason for purchasing unpacked bean sprout was the cheap price (57.8%), that for the packed was the safety (82.00). The most unsatisfactory factor for packed bean sprout was the high price, however, unlabelled additives were the primary concern for the unpacked. The satisfaction degree for the quality was higher in packed bean sprout compared with the unpacked. The most unsatisfactory factor for the quality of both packed and unpacked bean sprout was the overall acceptability, followed by texture, taste, and color.

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통신 서비스 확산모형

  • Sin, Chang-Hun;Park, Seok-Ji
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.39-52
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    • 1988
  • This study suggests the diffusion models to predict the spread pattern of telecommunications services. The extended models containing both (either) price and (or) income varible are offered on the basis of Bass model. At the empirical test using Korean telephone data, the models with either price or income varible are the best forecasting model under apriori selected econometric criteria.

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Development of Fashion Product and 3D Pattern Textile Design through the Three-Dimensional Expression based on Jogakbo in Chosun Dynasty Period (조선시대 조각보의 입체적 표현을 통한 3D패턴 텍스타일 디자인과 패션상품 개발)

  • Heo, Seungyeun
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to develop 3D pattern textile design of traditional Jogakbo motifs and fashion products using it. As a research method, first, through literature review, the three-dimensional representation of geometry on a plane with Jogakbo, design cases were examined. Second, through a survey, the purchase perception and design preference of Jogakbo cultural products was analyzed. Third, based on the results of the survey on color and print, the 3D pattern design for each type of Jogakbo is printed, and then textile fashion cultural products were developed. The results of this study are as follows. First, the reason why the public was not attracted to the purchase of cultural products was disatisfaction with practicality, unsuitable preference, price adequacy, aesthetics, and originality. Therefore, it was analyzed that quality, practicality, price, carry-on storage harmony and manageability, as well as aesthetic design were important factors for consumers. Second, the stereoscopic space on the plane expanded the two-dimensional plane space by forming a cube through the division and dissolution of geometry could be visualized using color expression of cubes of different brightness depending on the direction of light. Third, Jogakbo had eight types consisting of four detailed forms and three arrangement methods. The 3D pattern design could be developed through regular disolution and stereoscopic construction using Jogakbo's representative images for each type. In addition, it was found that it was easy to produce Jogakbo fashion products suitable for modern people through 3D pattern digital textile printing applying traditional colors.

Change of the Land Use in Yanji city of China in the Connection with Urbanization Process (도시화에 따른 중국 연길시 토지이용의 변화)

  • Li, Mingyu
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 2006
  • This thesis aims to study Change of the Land Use in Yanji city since the reformation and opening of China in the Connection with Urbanization Process. This study is based on Landsat image and maps and data related to topography, urban planning basic, the cadastral map were employed. Softwares such as Arcview3.3, ArcGis8.0 were used. The result of the research is as follows. It clearly appears that there have decreased in the ratio of agricultural areas since the increase in other urban usage of land. There has greatly increased in residential, commercial and industrial areas. Such as the capitalist and market economic city the highest point of city land price emerged in downtown of the old city center. In addition spatial pattern of land price is unusually quite different from the western city in its pattern of land price surface declining tendency between the highest land price and the lowest land price. The land price surface shows irregular patterns with increase of distance from downtown due to various urban developments. According to the land price distribution map, it is possible to guess spatial development of the city that the north-eastern part of Yanji was developed prior to south-western area. The center of the city, or downtown expanded to eastward, and the city expanded to south-westward out skirt. Along the main road, Xin-xing areas developed toward east and west ward.

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A Co-movement Analysis of Housing Purchase Price of Capital and Non-Capital Area (수도권과 지방 주택매매가격의 동조화 변화 분석)

  • Jang, Han Ik
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the dynamic change in the co-movement between the house price rates with the network methods of Mantegna (1999). First, Capital area and non-capital area form independent clusters which have the heterogeneous co-movement pattern. In other words, Capital and non-capital areas have low connectivity in the housing market. Also, if the co-movement between capital areas have been strengthened, the co-movement between non-capital areas have been weakened. The results of the dynamic analysis show that the degree of the co-movement in the housing market is continuously increased. The members of the co-movement group in the capital area are strongly steadied by all periods. However, the members in the non-capital area have been changed according to the period. Accordingly, it is necessary to establish policies based on various information for the housing market of the non-capital area rather than policies targeting the capital area. In addition, Apartments in Korea are more likely to be used as investment or speculative assets than other types of houses. It has been confirmed that this is Gangbuk, which is locatied in the northern part of Seoul, appears to be a region where the Spillover Effects of price fluctuation can be triggered in the housing and apartment market. However, the housing market in Gangnam, which is locatied in the southern part of Seoul, was divided into low systematic risk.

A Study on Determining the Prediction Models for Predicting Stock Price Movement (주가 운동양태 예측을 위한 예측 모델결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon Jin-Ho;Cho Young-Hee;Lee Gye-Sung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2006
  • Predictions on stock prices have been a hot issue in stock market as people get more interested in stock investments. Assuming that the stock price is moving by a trend in a specific pattern, we believe that a model can be derived from past data to describe the change of the price. The best model can help predict the future stock price. In this paper, our model derivation is based on automata over temporal data to which the model is explicable. We use Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC) to determine the best number of states of the model. We confirm the validity of Bayesian Information Criterion and apply it to building models over stock price indices. The model derived for predicting daily stock price are compared with real price. The comparisons show the predictions have been found to be successful over the data sets we chose.

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Design of e-commerce business model through AI price prediction of agricultural products (농산물 AI 가격 예측을 통한 전자거래 비즈니스 모델 설계)

  • Han, Nam-Gyu;Kim, Bong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • For agricultural products, supply is irregular due to changes in meteorological conditions, and it has high price elasticity. For example, if the supply decreases by 10%, the price increases by 50%. Due to these fluctuations in the prices of agricultural products, the Korean government guarantees the safety of prices to producers through small merchants' auctions. However, when prices plummet due to overproduction, protection measures for producers are insufficient. Therefore, in this paper, we designed a business model that can be used in the electronic transaction system by predicting the price of agricultural products with an artificial intelligence algorithm. To this end, the trained model with the training pattern pairs and a predictive model was designed by applying ARIMA, SARIMA, RNN, and CNN. Finally, the agricultural product forecast price data was classified into short-term forecast and medium-term forecast and verified. As a result of verification, based on 2018 data, the actual price and predicted price showed an accuracy of 91.08%.

Development of Tyvek Fashion Product and Textile Pattern Design based on Columnar Joint (주상절리를 활용한 텍스타일 패턴디자인과 타이벡 패션상품 개발)

  • Heo, Seungyeun
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.127-141
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a textile pattern design using the columnar joints motif and a Tyvek fashion clutch bags using it. As a research method, first, through a literature review, columnar joint and Tyvek are understood, and design cases were considered. Second, through a survey, the purchase perception and design preference of columnar joints cultural products were analyzed. Third, based on the results of the survey on color and print, the pattern design for each type of columnar joint were developed, and the uv-printed Tyvek clutch bag was developed. The results of this study are as follows. First, the reason why the public was not attracted to the purchase of cultural products was dissatisfaction with practicality, price adequacy, and aesthetics. Therefore, it was analyzed that quality, practicality, price, carry-on storage, collection value, and casualness, as well as aesthetic design were important factors for purchasing factors pursued by consumers. Second, consumers preferred small goods the most for cultural products, and they pursued the use of colorful and contrasting colors, modern and geometric patterns, and eco-friendly materials, such as Tyvek. Third, columnar joint can be classified into three cross sections and four arrangements. The design unit of the columnar joint could be expressed as a hexagonal column, and 12 different pattern designs could be developed according to the cross sections and arrangements type. In addition, it was found that it was easy to produce fashion products suitable for the sensibility of modern people by utilizing Tyvek materials.