• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive decision tree

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Developing the high-risk drinking predictive model in Korea using the data mining technique (데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 한국인의 고위험 음주 예측모형 개발 연구)

  • Park, Il-Su;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1337-1348
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we develop the high-risk drinking predictive model in Korea using the cross-sectional data from Korea Community Health Survey (2014). We perform the logistic regression analysis, the decision tree analysis, and the neural network analysis using the data mining technique. The results of logistic regression analysis showed that men in their forties had a high risk and the risk of office workers and sales workers were high. Especially, current smokers had higher risk of high-risk drinking. Neural network analysis and logistic regression were the most significant in terms of AUROC (area under a receiver operation characteristic curve) among the three models. The high-risk drinking predictive model developed in this study and the selection method of the high-risk intensive drinking group can be the basis for providing more effective health care services such as hazardous drinking prevention education, and improvement of drinking program.

Development of Hypertension Predictive Model (고혈압 발생 예측 모형 개발)

  • Yong, Wang-Sik;Park, Il-Su;Kang, Sung-Hong;Kim, Won-Joong;Kim, Kong-Hyun;Kim, Kwang-Kee;Park, No-Yai
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study used the characteristics of the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to develop hypertension predictive model for hypertension management using the Korea National Health Insurance Corporation database(the insureds' screening and health care benefit data). Methods: This study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression, decision tree, and ensemble technique. On the basis of internal and external validation, it was found that the model performance of logistic regression method was the best among the above three techniques. Results: Major results of logistic regression analysis suggested that the probability of hypertension was: - lower for the female(compared with the male)(OR=0.834) - higher for the persons whose ages were 60 or above(compared with below 40)(OR=4.628) - higher for obese persons(compared with normal persons)(OR= 2.103) - higher for the persons with high level of glucose(compared with normal persons)(OR=1.086) - higher for the persons who had family history of hypertension(compared with the persons who had not)(OR=1.512) - higher for the persons who periodically drank alcohol(compared with the persons who did not)$(OR=1.037{\sim}1.291)$ Conclusions: This study produced several factors affecting the outbreak of hypertension using screening. It is considered to be a contributing factor towards the nation's building of a Hypertension Management System in the near future by bringing forth representative results on the rise and care of hypertension.

Predictive Control of an Efficient Human Following Robot Using Kinect Sensor (Kinect 센서를 이용한 효율적인 사람 추종 로봇의 예측 제어)

  • Heo, Shin-Nyeong;Lee, Jang-Myung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.957-963
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a predictive control for an efficient human following robot using Kinect sensor. Especially, this research is focused on detecting of foot-end-point and foot-vector instead of human body which can be occluded easily by the obstacles. Recognition of the foot-end-point by the Kinect sensor is reliable since the two feet images can be utilized, which increases the detection possibility of the human motion. Depth image features and a decision tree have been utilized to estimate the foot end-point precisely. A tracking point average algorithm is also adopted in this research to estimate the location of foot accurately. Using the continuous locations of foot, the human motion trajectory is estimated to guide the mobile robot along a smooth path to the human. It is verified through the experiments that detecting foot-end-point is more reliable and efficient than detecting the human body. Finally, the tracking performance of the mobile robot is demonstrated with a human motion along an 'L' shape course.

A robust approach in prediction of RCFST columns using machine learning algorithm

  • Van-Thanh Pham;Seung-Eock Kim
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.153-173
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    • 2023
  • Rectangular concrete-filled steel tubular (RCFST) column, a type of concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST), is widely used in compression members of structures because of its advantages. This paper proposes a robust machine learning-based framework for predicting the ultimate compressive strength of RCFST columns under both concentric and eccentric loading. The gradient boosting neural network (GBNN), an efficient and up-to-date ML algorithm, is utilized for developing a predictive model in the proposed framework. A total of 890 experimental data of RCFST columns, which is categorized into two datasets of concentric and eccentric compression, is carefully collected to serve as training and testing purposes. The accuracy of the proposed model is demonstrated by comparing its performance with seven state-of-the-art machine learning methods including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVM), deep learning (DL), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and categorical gradient boosting (CatBoost). Four available design codes, including the European (EC4), American concrete institute (ACI), American institute of steel construction (AISC), and Australian/New Zealand (AS/NZS) are refereed in another comparison. The results demonstrate that the proposed GBNN method is a robust and powerful approach to obtain the ultimate strength of RCFST columns.

Hybrid machine learning with moth-flame optimization methods for strength prediction of CFDST columns under compression

  • Quang-Viet Vu;Dai-Nhan Le;Thai-Hoan Pham;Wei Gao;Sawekchai Tangaramvong
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.679-695
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    • 2024
  • This paper presents a novel technique that combines machine learning (ML) with moth-flame optimization (MFO) methods to predict the axial compressive strength (ACS) of concrete filled double skin steel tubes (CFDST) columns. The proposed model is trained and tested with a dataset containing 125 tests of the CFDST column subjected to compressive loading. Five ML models, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gradient tree boosting (GBT), categorical gradient boosting (CAT), support vector machines (SVM), and decision tree (DT) algorithms, are utilized in this work. The MFO algorithm is applied to find optimal hyperparameters of these ML models and to determine the most effective model in predicting the ACS of CFDST columns. Predictive results given by some performance metrics reveal that the MFO-CAT model provides superior accuracy compared to other considered models. The accuracy of the MFO-CAT model is validated by comparing its predictive results with existing design codes and formulae. Moreover, the significance and contribution of each feature in the dataset are examined by employing the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method. A comprehensive uncertainty quantification on probabilistic characteristics of the ACS of CFDST columns is conducted for the first time to examine the models' responses to variations of input variables in the stochastic environments. Finally, a web-based application is developed to predict ACS of the CFDST column, enabling rapid practical utilization without requesting any programing or machine learning expertise.

Performance comparison of machine learning classification methods for decision of disc cutter replacement of shield TBM (쉴드 TBM 디스크 커터 교체 유무 판단을 위한 머신러닝 분류기법 성능 비교)

  • Kim, Yunhee;Hong, Jiyeon;Kim, Bumjoo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.575-589
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    • 2020
  • In recent years, Shield TBM construction has been continuously increasing in domestic tunnels. The main excavation tool in the shield TBM construction is a disc cutter which naturally wears during the excavation process and significantly degrades the excavation efficiency. Therefore, it is important to know the appropriate time of the disc cutter replacement. In this study, it is proposed a predictive model that can determine yes/no of disc cutter replacement using machine learning algorithm. To do this, the shield TBM machine data which is highly correlated to the disc cutter wears and the disc cutter replacement from the shield TBM field which is already constructed are used as the input data in the model. Also, the algorithms used in the study were the support vector machine, k-nearest neighbor algorithm, and decision tree algorithm are all classification methods used in machine learning. In order to construct an optimal predictive model and to evaluate the performance of the model, the classification performance evaluation index was compared and analyzed.

Analyzing Customer Purchase Behavior of a Department Store and Applying Customer Relationship Management Strategies (백화점 고객의 구매 분석 및 고객관계관리 전략 적용)

  • Ha Sung Ho;Baek Kyung Hoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2004
  • This study analyzes customer buying-behavior patterns in a department store as time goes on, and predicts moving patterns of its customers. Through them, it suggests in this paper short-term and long-term marketing promotion strategies. RFM techniques are utilized for customer segmentation. Customers are clustered by using the Kohonen's Self Organizing Map as a method of data mining techniques. Then C5.0, a decision tree analysis technique, is used to predict moving patterns of customers. Using real world data, this study evaluates the prediction accuracy of predictive models.

Mobile health service user characteristics analysis and churn prediction model development (모바일 헬스 서비스 사용자 특성 분석 및 이탈 예측 모델 개발)

  • Han, Jeong Hyeon;Lee, Joo Yeoun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2021
  • As the average life expectancy is rising, the population is aging and the number of chronic diseases is increasing. This has increased the importance of healthy life and health management, and interest in mobile health services is on the rise thanks to the development of ICT(Information and communication technologies) and the smartphone use expansion. In order to meet these interests, many mobile services related to daily health are being launched in the market. Therefore, in this study, the characteristics of users who actually use mobile health services were analyzed and a predictive model applied with machine learning modeling was developed. As a result of the study, we developed a prediction model to which the decision tree and ensemble methods were applied. And it was found that the mobile health service users' continued use can be induced by providing features that require frequent visit, suggesting achievable activity missions, and guiding the sensor connection for user's activity measurement.

A Study on Predictors of Academic Achievement in College Students : Focused on J University (대학생의 학업성취도 예측요인 연구 : J 대학을 중심으로)

  • Son, Yo-Han;Kim, In-Gyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.519-529
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a model for predicting academic achievement of college students and to reveal the interrelationship and relative influence of each factor. For this, we surveyed the personal factors and learning strategy factors of 1,310 learners at J University, and analyzed the discriminant factors and patterns of the predictors of academic achievement through the decision tree analysis, a data mining method, and examined the relative effects of each factor. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed for viewing. As a result, the most important factor for predicting academic achievement was efficacy, and other factors such as motivation, time management, and depression were predictive of academic achievement. The patterns of factors predicting academic achievement were found to be high in efficacy and time management, and high in motivation for learning even if the efficacy was moderate. Low efficacy and learning motivation, and high depression have been shown to decrease academic achievement. Based on these results, the study suggested the efficacy and motivation to improve academic achievement of college students, strengthening time management education, and managing negative emotions.

A Study on Sensor Data Analysis and Product Defect Improvement for Smart Factory (스마트 팩토리를 위한 센서 데이터 분석과 제품 불량 개선 연구)

  • Hwang, Sewong;Kim, Jonghyuk;Hwangbo, Hyunwoo
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, many people in the manufacturing field have been making efforts to increase efficiency while analyzing manufacturing data generated in the process according to the development of ICT technology. In this study, we propose a data mining based manufacturing process using decision tree algorithm (CHAID) as part of a smart factory. We used 432 sensor data from actual manufacturing plant collected for about 5 months to find out the variables that show a significant difference between the stable process period with low defect rate and the unstable process period with high defect rate. We set the range of the stable value of the variable to determine whether the selected final variable actually has an effect on the defect rate improvement. In addition, we measured the effect of the defect rate improvement by adjusting the process set-point so that the sensor did not deviate from the stable value range in the 14 day process. Through this, we expect to be able to provide empirical guidelines to improve the defect rate by utilizing and analyzing the process sensor data generated in the manufacturing industry.