• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction-Based

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Bayesian Belief Network 활용한 균형성과표 기반 가정간호사업 성과예측모델 구축 및 적용 (Development and Application of a Performance Prediction Model for Home Care Nursing Based on a Balanced Scorecard using the Bayesian Belief Network)

  • 노원정;서문경애
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to develop key performance indicators (KPIs) for home care nursing (HCN) based on a balanced scorecard, and to construct a performance prediction model of strategic objectives using the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). Methods: This methodological study included four steps: establishment of KPIs, performance prediction modeling, development of a performance prediction model using BBN, and simulation of a suggested nursing management strategy. An HCN expert group and a staff group participated. The content validity index was analyzed using STATA 13.0, and BBN was analyzed using HUGIN 8.0. Results: We generated a list of KPIs composed of 4 perspectives, 10 strategic objectives, and 31 KPIs. In the validity test of the performance prediction model, the factor with the greatest variance for increasing profit was maximum cost reduction of HCN services. The factor with the smallest variance for increasing profit was a minimum image improvement for HCN. During sensitivity analysis, the probability of the expert group did not affect the sensitivity. Furthermore, simulation of a 10% image improvement predicted the most effective way to increase profit. Conclusion: KPIs of HCN can estimate financial and non-financial performance. The performance prediction model for HCN will be useful to improve performance.

도메인 조합 기반 단백질-단백질 상호작용 확률 예측기법 (A Domain Combination Based Probabilistic Framework for Protein-Protein Interaction Prediction)

  • Han, Dong-Soo;Seo, Jung-Min;Kim, Hong-Soog;Jang, Woo-Hyuk
    • 한국생물정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국생물정보시스템생물학회 2003년도 제2차 연례학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose a probabilistic framework to predict the interaction probability of proteins. The notion of domain combination and domain combination pair is newly introduced and the prediction model in the framework takes domain combination pair as a basic unit of protein interactions to overcome the limitations of the conventional domain pair based prediction systems. The framework largely consists of prediction preparation and service stages. In the prediction preparation stage, two appearance pro-bability matrices, which hold information on appearance frequencies of domain combination pairs in the interacting and non-interacting sets of protein pairs, are constructed. Based on the appearance probability matrix, a probability equation is devised. The equation maps a protein pair to a real number in the range of 0 to 1. Two distributions of interacting and non-interacting set of protein pairs are obtained using the equation. In the prediction service stage, the interaction probability of a protein pair is predicted using the distributions and the equation. The validity of the prediction model is evaluated fur the interacting set of protein pairs in Yeast organism and artificially generated non-interacting set of protein pairs. When 80% of the set of interacting protein pairs in DIP database are used as foaming set of interacting protein pairs, very high sensitivity(86%) and specificity(56%) are achieved within our framework.

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점증 재하를 고려한 선행재하 공법 적용 연약지반의 현장 계측을 통한 침하량 예측 방법의 개발 (Prediction Method of Settlement Based on Field Monitoring Data for Soft Ground Under Preloading Improvement with Ramp Loading)

  • 우상인;윤찬영;백승경;정충기
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 춘계 학술발표회 초청강연 및 논문집
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    • pp.452-461
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    • 2008
  • Previous settlement prediction method based on settlement monitoring such as hyperbolic, monden method were developed under instantaneous loading condition and have restriction to be applied to soft ground under ramp loading condition. In this study, settlement prediction method under ramp loading was developed. New settlement prediction method under ramp loading considers influence factors of consolidation settlement and increase accuracy of settlement prediction using field monitoring data after ramp loading. Large consolidation tests for ideally controlled one dimensional consolidation under ramp loading condition were performed and the settlement behavior was predicted based on the monitoring data. As a result, new prediction method is expected to have great applicability and practicability for the prediction of settlement behavior.

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Feasibility study of deep learning based radiosensitivity prediction model of National Cancer Institute-60 cell lines using gene expression

  • Kim, Euidam;Chung, Yoonsun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.1439-1448
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    • 2022
  • Background: We investigated the feasibility of in vitro radiosensitivity prediction with gene expression using deep learning. Methods: A microarray gene expression of the National Cancer Institute-60 (NCI-60) panel was acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus. The clonogenic surviving fractions at an absorbed dose of 2 Gy (SF2) from previous publications were used to measure in vitro radiosensitivity. The radiosensitivity prediction model was based on the convolutional neural network. The 6-fold cross-validation (CV) was applied to train and validate the model. Then, the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was applied by using the large-errored samples as a validation set, to determine whether the error was from the high bias of the folded CV. The criteria for correct prediction were defined as an absolute error<0.01 or a relative error<10%. Results: Of the 174 triplicated samples of NCI-60, 171 samples were correctly predicted with the folded CV. Through an additional LOOCV, one more sample was correctly predicted, representing a prediction accuracy of 98.85% (172 out of 174 samples). The average relative error and absolute errors of 172 correctly predicted samples were 1.351±1.875% and 0.00596±0.00638, respectively. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility of a deep learning-based in vitro radiosensitivity prediction using gene expression.

평균제곱상대오차에 기반한 비모수적 예측 (A New Nonparametric Method for Prediction Based on Mean Squared Relative Errors)

  • 정석오;신기일
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2008
  • 공변량 값이 주어졌을 때 반응변수의 값을 예측하는 데에는 평균제곱오차를 최소로 하는 것을 고려하는 것이 보통이지만, 최근 Park과 Shin (2005), Jones 등 (2007) 등에서 평균제곱오차대신 평균제곱상대오차에 기반한 예측을 연구한바 있다. 이 논문에서는 Jones 등 (2007)의 방법을 대체할 새로운 비모수적 예측법을 제안하고, 제안된 방법의 유효성을 뒷받침하는 간단한 모의실험 결과를 제공한다.

Oil Spill Response System using Server-client GIS

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Lee, Moon-Jin;Oh, Se-Woong
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제35권9호
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    • pp.735-740
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    • 2011
  • It is necessary to develop the one stop system in order to protect our marine environment rapidly from oil spill accident. The purpose of this study is to develop real time database for oil spill prediction modeling and implement real time prediction modelling with ESI and server-client GIS based user interface. The existing oil spill prediction model cannot provide one stop information system for public and government who should protect sea from oil spill accident. The development of multi user based information system permits integrated handling of real time meteorological data from external ftp. A server-client GIS based model is integrated on the basis of real time database and ESI map to provide the result of the oil spill prediction model. End users can access through the client interface and request analysis such as oil spill prediction and GIS functions on the network as their own purpose.

Aerosol을 이용한 Direct-Write 시스템에서 침착된 입자의 형상예측 모델에 관한 연구 (DEVELOPMENT OF PREDICTION MODEL OF THE SHAPE OF DEPOSITED PARTICLES APPLIED FOR AEROSOL BASED DIRECT-WRITE TECHNOLOGY)

  • 박준정;백성구;리광훈
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2008
  • Direct Write Technologies are being utilized in various industrial fields such as antennas, engineered structures, sensors and tissue engineering. With Direct Write Technologies, producing features have the mesoscale range, from 1 to 100 microns. One form of the Direct Write Technologies is based on aerosol dynamics. The shape of deposited aerosols determine the form of products in the Direct Write Technology based on aerosol dynamics. To predict shape of deposited aerosol, a prediction model is created. In this study, we estimated Line-Width and Line-Thickness from the prediction model. Results of prediction model is valid from comparison with experimental results.

Enhanced Inter Mode Decision Based on Contextual Prediction for P-Slices in H.264/AVC Video Coding

  • Kim, Byung-Gyu;Song, Suk-Kyu
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2006
  • We propose a fast macroblock mode prediction and decision algorithm based on contextual information for Pslices in the H.264/AVC video standard, in which the mode prediction part is composed of intra and inter modes. There are nine $4{\times}4$ and four $16{\times}16$ modes in the intra mode prediction, and seven block types exist for the best coding gain based on rate-distortion optimization. This scheme gives rise to exhaustive computations (search) in the coding procedure. To overcome this problem, a fast inter mode prediction scheme is applied that uses contextual mode information for P-slices. We verify the performance of the proposed scheme through a comparative analysis of experimental results. The suggested mode search procedure increased more than 57% in speed compared to a full mode search and more than 20% compared to the other methods.

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유전 프로그래밍 기반 단기 기온 예보의 보정 기법 (Genetic Programming Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Temperature Prediction)

  • 현병용;현수환;이용희;서기성
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권11호
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    • pp.1682-1688
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.

Prediction of network security based on DS evidence theory

  • Liu, Dan
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.799-804
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    • 2020
  • Network security situation prediction is difficult due to its strong uncertainty, but DS evidence theory performs well in solving the problem of uncertainty. Based on DS evidence theory, this study analyzed the prediction of the network security situation, designed a prediction model based on the improved DS evidence theory, and carried out a simulation experiment. The experimental results showed that the improved method could predict accurately in the case of a large conflict, and had strong anti-jamming abilities as compared with the original method. The experimental results prove the effectiveness of the improved method in the prediction of the network security situation and provide some theoretical basis for the further application of DS evidence theory.