• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.115-123
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• 2021

Through machine learning-based load prediction, it is possible to prevent excessive power generation or unnecessary economic investment by estimating the appropriate amount of facility investment in consideration of the load that will increase in the future or providing basic data for policy establishment to distribute the maximum load. However, in order to secure the reliability of the developed load prediction model in the field, the performance comparison verification between the distribution line load prediction models must be preceded, but a comparative performance verification system between the distribution line load prediction models has not yet been established. As a result, it is not possible to accurately determine the performance excellence of the load prediction model because it is not possible to easily determine the likelihood between the load prediction models. In this paper, we developed a reliability verification system for load prediction models including a method of comparing and verifying the performance reliability between machine learning-based load prediction models that were not previously considered, verification process, and verification result visualization methods. Through the developed load prediction model reliability verification system, the objectivity of the load prediction model performance verification can be improved, and the field application utilization of an excellent load prediction model can be increased.

• 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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• 제6권6호
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• pp.303-308
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• 2017

생활 수준의 향상 및 소비자들의 건강에 대한 관심의 증가로 인해 자신의 건강에 대해서 스스로 결정하고자 하는 요구가 점차 증가하고 있다. 이로 인해 개인 맞춤형 의료에 대한 요구가 높아지고 있으며 각종 의료 정보를 기반으로 하는 질병 진단에 대한 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 하지만 기존의 연구들은 특정 질환과 관련된 데이터를 이용한 특정 질환 예측을 위한 것으로 진료과목을 예측한 연구는 없었다. 본 논문에서는 국민건강정보데이터를 이용하여 진료과목 예측에 관한 연구를 진행하였다. 실험 결과에서 보여주다시피 일반 건강검진 데이터를 이용하여 진료과목을 예측한 결과 평균 80% 이상의 정확도를 보여 주고 있으며 SVM은 다른 예측 알고리즘들보다 뛰어난 성능을 보여 주었다.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제42권5호
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• pp.686-699
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• 2020

In this paper, we propose a supervised-learning-based spatial performance prediction (SLPP) framework for next-generation heterogeneous communication networks (HCNs). Adaptive asset placement, dynamic resource allocation, and load balancing are critical network functions in an HCN to ensure seamless network management and enhance service quality. Although many existing systems use measurement data to react to network performance changes, it is highly beneficial to perform accurate performance prediction for different systems to support various network functions. Recent advancements in complex statistical algorithms and computational efficiency have made machine-learning ubiquitous for accurate data-based prediction. A robust network performance prediction framework for optimizing performance and resource utilization through a linear discriminant analysis-based prediction approach has been proposed in this paper. Comparison results with different machine-learning techniques on real-world data demonstrate that SLPP provides superior accuracy and computational efficiency for both stationary and mobile user conditions.

• BMB Reports
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• 제50권11호
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• pp.546-553
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• 2017

Aging is a natural and gradual process in human life. It is influenced by heredity, environment, lifestyle, and disease. DNA methylation varies with age, and the ability to predict the age of donor using DNA from evidence materials at a crime scene is of considerable value in forensic investigations. Recently, many studies have reported age prediction models based on DNA methylation from various tissues and body fluids. Those models seem to be very promising because of their high prediction accuracies. In this review, the changes of age-associated DNA methylation and the age prediction models for various tissues and body fluids were examined, and then the applicability of the DNA methylation-based age prediction method to the forensic investigations was discussed. This will improve the understandings about DNA methylation markers and their potential to be used as biomarkers in the forensic field, as well as the clinical field.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.124-129
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• 2017

Clouds are an important factor in aircraft flight. In particular, a significant impact on small aircraft flying at low altitude. Therefore, we have verified and characterized the low level cloud prediction data of the Unified Model(UM) - based Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System(LDAPS) operated by KMA in order to develop cloud forecasting service and contents important for safety of low-altitude aircraft flight. As a result of the low level cloud test for seven airports in Korea, a high correlation coefficient of 0.4 ~ 0.7 was obtained for 0-36 leading time. Also, we found that the prediction performance does not decrease as the lead time increases. Based on the results of this study, it is expected that model-based forecasting data for low-altitude aviation meteorology services can be produced.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.73-80
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• 2016

Most fault prediction models have class imbalance problems because training data usually contains much more non-fault class modules than fault class ones. This imbalanced distribution makes it difficult for the models to learn the minor class module data. Data imbalance is much higher when severity-based fault prediction is used. This is because high severity fault modules is a smaller subset of the fault modules. In this paper, we propose severity-based models to solve these problems using the three sampling methods, Resample, SpreadSubSample and SMOTE. Empirical results show that Resample method has typical over-fit problems, and SpreadSubSample method cannot enhance the prediction performance of the models. Unlike two methods, SMOTE method shows good performance in terms of AUC and FNR values. Especially J48 decision tree model using SMOTE outperforms other prediction models.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.69-84
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• 2006

Importance of Today's diffusion of integrated hospital information systems is that various and huge amount of data is being accumulated in their database systems. Many researchers have studied utilizing such hospital data. While most researches were conducted mainly for medical diagnosis, there have been insufficient studies to develop medical care cost prediction model, especially using machine learning techniques. In this research, therefore, we built a medical care cost prediction model for cancer patients using CBR (Case-Based Reasoning), one of the machine learning techniques. Its performance was compared with those of Neural Networks and Decision Tree models. As a result of the experiment, the CBR prediction model was shown to be the best in general with respect to error rate and linearity between real values and predicted values. It is believed that the medical care cost prediction model can be utilized for the effective management of limited resources in hospitals.

• IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.118-127
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• 2014

This paper presents an efficient motion and disparity prediction method for multi-view video coding based on the high efficient video coding (HEVC) standard. The proposed method exploits inter-view candidates for effective prediction of the motion or disparity vector to be coded. The inter-view candidates include not only the motion vectors of adjacent views, but also global disparities across views. The motion vectors coded earlier in an adjacent view were found to be helpful in predicting the current motion vector to reduce the number of bits used in the motion vector information. In addition, the proposed disparity prediction using the global disparity method was found to be effective for interview predictions. A multi-view version based on HEVC was used to evaluate the proposed algorithm, and the proposed correspondence prediction method was implemented on a multi-view platform based on HEVC. The proposed algorithm yielded a coding gain of approximately 2.9% in a high efficiency configuration random access mode.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.82-89
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• 2023

Various machine-learning models may yield high predictive power for massive time series for time series prediction. However, these models are prone to instability in terms of computational cost because of the high dimensionality of the feature space and nonoptimized hyperparameter settings. Considering the potential risk that model training with a high-dimensional feature set can be time-consuming, we evaluate a feature-importance-based feature selection method to derive a tradeoff between predictive power and computational cost for time series prediction. We used two machine learning techniques for performance evaluation to generate prediction models from a retail sales dataset. First, we ranked the features using impurity- and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) -based feature importance measures in the prediction models. Then, the recursive feature elimination method was applied to eliminate unimportant features sequentially. Consequently, we obtained a subset of features that could lead to reduced model training time while preserving acceptable model performance.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제51권6호
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• pp.523-533
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 충주댐 유역에 대해 앙상블 유량예측기법의 강우-유출 모델 매개변수, 입력자료에 따른 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 앙상블 유량예측기법으로는 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법과 BAYES-ESP (Bayesian-ESP) 기법을 활용하였으며, 강우-유출 모델로는 ABCD를 활용하였다. 모델 매개변수에 따른 불확실성 분석은 GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) 기법을 적용하였으며, 입력자료에 따른 불확실성 분석은 유량예측 앙상블에 활용되는 기상시나리오의 기간에 따라 수행하였다. 연구결과 앙상블 유량예측 기법은 입력자료 보다 모델 매개변수의 영향을 크게 받았으며, 20년 이상의 관측 기상자료가 확보되었을 때 활용하는 것이 적절하였다. 또한 BAYES-ESP는 ESP에 비해 불확실성을 감소시킬 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 불확실성 분석을 통해 앙상블 유량예측기법의 특징을 규명하고 오차의 원인을 분석하였다는 점에서 가치가 있다고 판단된다.