Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.12985/ksaa.2017.25.4.124

Analysis of low level cloud prediction in the KMA Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System(LDAPS)  

Ahn, Yongjun (주식회사 포디솔루션)
Jang, Jiwon (주식회사 포디솔루션)
Kim, Ki-Young (주식회사 포디솔루션)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics / v.25, no.4, 2017 , pp. 124-129 More about this Journal
Abstract
Clouds are an important factor in aircraft flight. In particular, a significant impact on small aircraft flying at low altitude. Therefore, we have verified and characterized the low level cloud prediction data of the Unified Model(UM) - based Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System(LDAPS) operated by KMA in order to develop cloud forecasting service and contents important for safety of low-altitude aircraft flight. As a result of the low level cloud test for seven airports in Korea, a high correlation coefficient of 0.4 ~ 0.7 was obtained for 0-36 leading time. Also, we found that the prediction performance does not decrease as the lead time increases. Based on the results of this study, it is expected that model-based forecasting data for low-altitude aviation meteorology services can be produced.
Keywords
Aviation Meteorology; Cloud prediction; LDAPS; Low level cloud; UM(Unified model);
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 Hogan, R. J., E. J. O'Connor, and A. J. Illingworth, "Verification of cloud fraction forecasts", Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 135, 2009, 1494-1511.   DOI
2 Hogan, R. J., T. H. Stein, H. Garcon, J. Delanoe, R. M. Forbes and A. Bodas-Salcedo, "Global verification of cloud fraction in models using CloudSat and CALIPSO data., Geophys. Res. Lett", 2012, DOI:10.1002/
3 Illingworth A. J., R. J. Hogan, E. J. O'Connor, D. Bouniol, M. E. Brooks, J. Delanoe, D. P. Donovan, J. D. Eastment, N. Gaussiat, J. W. F. Goddard, M. Haeffelin, H. Klein Baltink, O. A. Krasnov, J. Pelon, J. M. Piriou, A. Protat, H. W. J. Russchenberg, A. Seifert, A. M. Tompkins, G.-J. van Zadelhoff, F. Vinit, U. Willen, D. R. Wilson, and C. L. Wrench, "Cloudnet - Continuous evaluation of cloud profiles in seven operational models using ground-based observations", Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 2007, 88: 883-898.   DOI