• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction quality

검색결과 2,062건 처리시간 0.025초

부품부하분석을 이용한 발전소 제어모듈의 신뢰도 예측 (Parts Stresss Analysis for Reliability Prediction of Control Module in Plant)

  • 김대웅;강희정
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1995
  • The objective of this study is to predict the reliability of the electronic control module at ROD control system in nuclear power plant. Maintaining of the reliability is important issue in the complext system like nuclear plower plant, military equipment, satelite system, etc., because the failure of reliability brings etravagant economic loss and deteriorates public acceptance. In addition to the prediction of reliability, the fators affect the reliability including operating condition, environment, temperature and quality factors were analyzed and simulated. The result shows that the quality factors are more critical for the higher reliability than other two factors.

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고객 구매 행동 예측을 위한 새로운 고객 세분화 방안 (A new Customer Segmentation Method for the Prediction of Customer Buying Behavior)

  • 이장희
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2004년도 품질경영모델을 통한 가치 창출
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    • pp.573-575
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    • 2004
  • This study presents a new customer segmentation method based on features that can predict the customer's buying behavior. In this method, we consider all variables that can affect the customer's buying behavior including demographics, psychographics, technographics, transaction pattern-related variables, etc. We define several features which are the combination of variables with the interaction effect by using C5.0, use SOM (Self-Organizing Map) neural networks in odor to extract the feature's patterns and classify, and then make features' rules using C5.0 far the prediction of customer buying behavior

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이차 변수 오차 모형의 예측분석 (Prediction Analysis of the Quadratic Errors-in-Variables Model)

  • 변재현;이승훈
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.152-160
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    • 1993
  • In developing a quadratic regression relationship, independent variable is frequently measured with error. In this paper the integrated mean square error of prediction is developed for a quadratic functional relationship model as a measure of the effect of measurement error of the independent variable on the predicted values. The amount of the effect of error is presented and illustrated with an example.

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SWMM과 WASP5 모형을 사용한 하구담수호의 수질 예측 (Prediction of water quality in estuarine reservoir using SWMM and WASP5)

  • 윤춘경;함종화
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.252-258
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    • 2000
  • SWMM and WASP5 were applied for pollutant loading estimate from watershed and reservoir water quality simulation, respectively, to predict estuarine reservoir water quality. Application of natural systems to improve estuarine reservoir water quality was reviewed, and its effect was predicted by WASP5. Study area was the Hwa-Ong reservoir in Hwasung-Gun, Kyonggi-Do. Procedures for estimation of pollutant loading from watershed and simulation of corresponding reservoir water quality were reviewed. In this study, SWMM was proved to be an appropriate watershed model to the nonurban area, and it could evaluate land use effects and many hydrological characteristics of catchment. WASP5 is a well known lake water quality model and its application to the estuarine reservoir was proved to be suitable. These models are both dynamic and the output of SWMM can be linked to the WASP5 with little effort, therefore, use of these models for reservoir water quality prediction in connection was appropriate. Further efforts to develop more logical and practical measures to predict reservoir water quality are necessary for proper management of estuarine reservoirs.

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의학적 의사결정 지표의 고찰 및 해석에 기초한 품질통계기법의 적용 (Application of Quality Statistical Techniques Based on the Review and the Interpretation of Medical Decision Metrics)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.243-253
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    • 2013
  • This research paper introduces the application and implementation of medical decision metrics that classifies medical decision-making into four different metrics using statistical diagnostic tools, such as confusion matrix, normal distribution, Bayesian prediction and Receiver Operating Curve(ROC). In this study, the metrics are developed based on cross-section study, cohort study and case-control study done by systematic literature review and reformulated the structure of type I error, type II error, confidence level and power of detection. The study proposed implementation strategies for 10 quality improvement activities via 14 medical decision metrics which consider specificity and sensitivity in terms of ${\alpha}$ and ${\beta}$. Examples of ROC implication are depicted in this paper with a useful guidelines to implement a continuous quality improvement, not only in a variable acceptance sampling in Quality Control(QC) but also in a supplier grading score chart in Supplier Chain Management(SCM) quality. This research paper is the first to apply and implement medical decision-making tools as quality improvement activities. These proposed models will help quality practitioners to enhance the process and product quality level.

대리점 이탈예측모델 개발 - 동적모델(Pattern Model)과 정적모델(Matrix Model)의 예측적중률 비교 - (Development of Prediction Model for Churn Agents -Comparing Prediction Accuracy Between Pattern Model and Matrix Model-)

  • 안봉락;이새봄;노인성;서영호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.221-234
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The Purpose of this study is to develop a model for predicting agent churn group in the cosmetics industry. We develope two models, pattern model and matrix model, which are compared regarding the prediction accuracy of churn agents. Finally, we try to conclude if there is statistically significant difference between two models by empirical study. Methods: We develop two models using the part of RFM(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) method which is one of customer segmentation method in traditional CRM study. In order to ensure which model can predict churn agents more precisely between two models, we used CRM data of cosmetics company A in China. Results: Pattern model and matrix model have been developed. we find out that there is statistically significant differences between two models regarding the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: Pattern model and matrix model predict churn agents. Although pattern model employed the trend of monetary mount for six months, matrix model that used the amount of sales per month and the duration of the employment is better than pattern model in prediction accuracy.

콘크리트 크리프의 확률론적 거동 해석 (The Analysis of Statistical Behavior in Concrete Creep)

  • 김두환;박종철
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2001
  • This study is to measure the creep coefficient by 3 days, 7 days and 28 days in the age when loading for the quality assessment of $350kgf/cm^2$ in the high-strength concrete. And it is to analyze the behavior of creep coefficient by applying the experimental data though the compressive strength test, the elastic modulus test and the dry shrinkage test to the ACI-209, AASHTO-94 and CEB/FIP-90, the prediction mode, and the basis of concrete structural design. Also it is to analyze the behavior of short-term creep coefficient during 91 days in the age when loading through the experiment by using the regression analysis, the statistical theory. As applying it to the long-term behavior during 365 days and comparing with the creep prediction mode and examining it, the result from the analysis of the quality of the concrete is as follows. As the result of comparison and analysis about the ACI-209, AASHTO-94 and CEB/FIP-90, the prediction mode, and the basis of concrete structural design, the normal Portland cement class 1 shows the approximate value with the prediction of GEE/PIP-90 and the basis of concrete structural design, but in case of the prediction of ACI-209 and AASHTO-94, there would be worry of underestimation in the application.

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정보검색기반 결함위치식별 기술의 성능 향상을 위한 버그리포트 품질 예측 (Bug Report Quality Prediction for Enhancing Performance of Information Retrieval-based Bug Localization)

  • 김미수;안준;이은석
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제44권8호
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    • pp.832-841
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    • 2017
  • 버그리포트는 소프트웨어의 유지보수 단계에서 발생한 결함 정보를 담고 있는 문서로서 개발자가 해당 결함을 수정하기 위해 필수적인 정보이다. 이 때 개발자가 버그리포트를 해결하기 위해 결함을 추적하는 시간을 단축시키기 위한 정보검색기반 결함위치식별 기술들이 제안되었다. 그러나 정보검색에 유용하지 못한 내용들로 작성된 낮은 품질의 버그리포트가 등록 될 경우 결함위치식별 성능이 크게 저하된다. 본 논문에서는 낮은 품질의 버그리포트를 선별하기 위한 품질 예측 방법을 제안한다. 이 과정에서 버그리포트의 쿼리로써의 품질 요소를 정의하고, 기계학습을 사용하여 품질을 예측한다. 제안 방법을 오픈 소스 프로젝트에 적용하여 기존 품질 예측 기술 대비 평균 6.62% 더 정확하게 예측하였다. 또한 기존 결함위치식별 기술에 제안 예측 기술과 자동 쿼리 재구성 기술을 함께 적용한 경우 결함위치식별 정확도를 1.3% 향상시켜, 제안 품질 예측 기술이 정보검색기반 결함위치식별 기술의 성능 향상을 도울 수 있음을 확인하였다.

모형을 이용한 미호천 유역의 하천수질 예측 (Prediction of Water Quality in Miho River Watershed using Water Quality Models)

  • 정상만;박정규;박영기;김이형
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.223-230
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    • 2004
  • The QUAL2E and Box-Jenkins time series model were applied to the Miho river, a main tributary of the Geum river, to predict water quality. The models are widely used to predict water quality in rivers and watersheds because of its accuracy. As results of the study, we concluded as follows: Pollutant loadings in upper stream of Miho river were determined to 57,811 kgBOD/d, 19,350 kgTN/d, and 5,013 kgTP/d. The loading of TN in Mushim river was 19,450 kgTN/d, respectively. As the mass loadings were compared with pollutant sources, it concluded that the farming livestock contributed highly to mass emissions of BOD and TP and the population contributed to TN mass loading. The observed water quality values were applied to the models to verify and the models were used to predict the water quality. The QUAL2E Model predicted the concentrations of DO, BOD, TN and TP with high accuracy, but not for E-Coli. The Box-Jenkins time series model also showed high prediction for DO, BOD and TN. However, the concentrations of TP and E-Coli were poorly predicted. The result shows that the QUAL2E model is more applicable in Miho basin for prediction of water quality compared to Box-Jenkins time series model.

다중 작업 학습 구조 기반 공정단계별 공정조건 및 성형품의 품질 특성을 반영한 사출성형품 품질 예측 신경망의 성능 개선에 대한 연구 (A study on the performance improvement of the quality prediction neural network of injection molded products reflecting the process conditions and quality characteristics of molded products by process step based on multi-tasking learning structure)

  • 이효은;이준한;김종선;조구영
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.72-78
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    • 2023
  • Injection molding is a process widely used in various industries because of its high production speed and ease of mass production during the plastic manufacturing process, and the product is molded by injecting molten plastic into the mold at high speed and pressure. Since process conditions such as resin and mold temperature mutually affect the process and the quality of the molded product, it is difficult to accurately predict quality through mathematical or statistical methods. Recently, studies to predict the quality of injection molded products by applying artificial neural networks, which are known to be very useful for analyzing nonlinear types of problems, are actively underway. In this study, structural optimization of neural networks was conducted by applying multi-task learning techniques according to the characteristics of the input and output parameters of the artificial neural network. A structure reflecting the characteristics of each process step was applied to the input parameters, and a structure reflecting the quality characteristics of the injection molded part was applied to the output parameters using multi-tasking learning. Building an artificial neural network to predict the three qualities (mass, diameter, height) of injection-molded product under six process conditions (melt temperature, mold temperature, injection speed, packing pressure, pacing time, cooling time) and comparing its performance with the existing neural network, we observed enhancements in prediction accuracy for mass, diameter, and height by approximately 69.38%, 24.87%, and 39.87%, respectively.