• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of Storage Period

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Analysis of △△ Guided Missile Inspection Period Based on Storage Reliability (저장신뢰도 기반의 △△ 유도탄 검사주기 분석)

  • Jeong, Sang-hun;Lee, Sangbok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.592-598
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest a new inspection period of ${\triangle}{\triangle}$ guided missiles by analyzing their reliability using field data. The ${\triangle}{\triangle}$ guided missile has an inspection period of five years which was determined using prediction data during its development process. However, from the analysis of its field data, it was shown that the inspection period could be extended to more than 18 years. Based on this result, a policy is proposed to reevaluate the inspection period by means of practical reliability tests.

Effects of Fermentable sugar on Storage Stability and Modeling Prediction of Shelf-Life in Kimchi (김치의 저장성에 미치는 발효성당의 영향과 Shelf-Life예측 모델)

  • Yu, Hyeung-Geun;Kim, Kee-Hyeun;Yoon, Sun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.107-110
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    • 1992
  • In order to study the prediction of shelf-life and the relation between the initial reducing sugar content (So) and the fermentation period (T) to produce 0.75% acid in kimchi, kimchis were prepared with Chinese cabbage from which fermentable sugars were removed by 0%, 30%, 50%, 74. In kimchis with 2.3%, 0.97%, 0.60%: initial reducing sugar content, fermentation periods to produce 0.75% acid took 2, 7, 12 days, respectively. This relation can be expressed as the following equation; T= -16.82 LogSo+7.66. Kimchi with cabbage removed by about 80% fermentable sugar showed out about 0.8% total acidity during 30 days's storage at $25^{\circ}C$.

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Development and Verifying of Calculation Method of Standard Rainfall on Warning and Evacuation for Forest Soil Sediment Disaster in Mountainous Area by Using Tank Model (Tank Model을 이용한 산지토사재해 경계피난 기준우량 산정법 개발 및 검토)

  • Lee, Chang-Woo;Youn, Ho Joong;Woo, Choong Shik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.3
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    • pp.272-278
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to develope calculation method of standard rainfall, which was used for predicting the outbreaking time of disaster by using Tank model, on warning and evacuation for soil sediment disaster. We investigate adeption possibility of developed method through comparing storage function method with Tank model. We calculated storage amount rainfall by storage function method and Tank model with 36 hillslope failures which have record on outbreaking time of disaster. The result in case of Sedimentary (quarternary period) showed that the difference of outbreaking time was 1.6 hour in case of tank model, but 3.2 hour in case of storage function method. In addition, the deviation of the peak storage were 7% in case of tank model, but 63% in case of storage function method. Total evacuation period was analyzed by using observed 5 years (1993-1997) rainfall data as well as each standard rainfalls which were determinated by two methods. The result showed that evacuation time by storage function method was about twice as many as that by tank model. Therefore, we concluded that calculation by tank model for predicting the outbreaking time of disaster was more useful and accurate than storage function method.

Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

Development of Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model for Flood Forecasting on the Large-Scale Basin (대유역 홍수예측을 위한 연속형 강우-유출모형 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Lee, Byong-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop a continuous rainfall-runoff model for flood prediction on a large-scale basin. For this study, the hourly surface runoff estimation method based on the variable retention parameter and runoff curve number is developed. This model is composed that the soil moisture to continuous rainfall can be simulated with applying the hydrologic components to the continuous equation for soil moisture. The runoff can be simulated by linking the hydrologic components with the storage function model continuously. The runoff simulation to large basins can be performed by using channel storage function model. Nakdong river basin is selected as the study area. The model accuracy is evaluated at the 8 measurement sites during flood season in 2006 (calibration period) and 2007~2008 (verification period). The calibrated model simulations are well fitted to the observations. Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiencies in the calibration and verification periods exist in the range of 0.81 to 0.95 and 0.70 to 0.94, respectively. The behavior of soil moisture depending on the rainfall and the annual loadings of simulated hydrologic components are rational. From this results, continuous rainfall-runoff model developed in this study can be used to predict the discharge on large basins.

Effect of Freeze Storage Temperature on the Storage Stability of Frozen Mandu (동결저장온도가 냉동만두의 저장성에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeong, Jin-Woong;Jo, Jin-Ho;Kim, Young-Dong;Kwon, Dong-Jin;Kim, Young-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.527-531
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    • 1991
  • Frozen mandu, which is one of the main frozen prepared foods, purchased from a local manufacturer, were stored at five constant temperatures ($0,\;-5,\;-10,\;-20\;and\;-30^{\circ}C$) for six months. Effects of the storage temperature and the storage period on the changes in pH, acid value, peroxide value, volatile basic nitrogen, color, sensory score and microbial counts of frozen mandu were studied. The changes in microbiological and physicochemical characteristics were significantly increased in comparison with the initial value after 1 month at $0^{\circ}C$, after 3 months at $-5^{\circ}C$ and after 5 months at $-10^{\circ}C$, but nearly constant in spite of storage periods when the temperature dropped below $-10^{\circ}C$Out of five chemical components, AV and POV were the most reliable components in the quality judgement of frozen mandu and its upper limiting content were 2.56 and 19.35 meq/kg each. Regression equation for shelf life prediction of frozen mandu with sensory scores and POV was determined.

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A Study on the Proper Inspection Cycle Plan Through Reliability Analysis of One-Shot System (One-Shot System의 신뢰도 분석을 통한 적정 점검주기 방안 연구)

  • June-Young Lim;Hyeonju Seol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2023
  • Guided missiles are a one-shot system that finishes their purpose after being used once, and due to the long-term storage until launch, the storage reliability is calculated during development, and performance is maintained through periodic inspections until the life cycle arrives. However, the reliability standards applied in the development of guided missiles were established by analyzing data accumulated by the United States during long-term operation in the country, and since they are different from our environment, the 00 guided missiles that have been deployed in the armed forces for more than 10 years under the premise that there is a difference from actual reliability. As a result of verifying the appropriateness of the current inspection cycle by analyzing the actual reliability of the missile, the necessity of changing the inspection period was derived because it was higher than the predicted reliability. It is proposed to build and utilize a lifespan management system that can systematically collect all data such as shooting and maintenance results by classification, and to establish a reliable reliability standard based on the accumulated data.

Chlorine Residual Prediction in Drinking Water Distribution System Using EPANET (EPANET을 이용한 상수도 관망의 잔류염소 거동 예측)

  • 유희종;김주원;정효준;이홍근
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2003
  • In this study, chlorine dose at water storage tank was predicted to meet the recommended guideline for free chlorine residual in drinking water distribution system, using EPANET which is a computer program that performs extended Period simulation of hydraulic and water quality behavior within pressurized pipe networks. The results may be summarized as follows. The decay of chlorine residual by season varied considerably in the following order; in summer ($25^{\circ}C$) > spring and fall (15$^{\circ}C$) > winter (5$^{\circ}C$). For re-chlorination at water storage tank by season, season-varying chlorine dose was required at its maximum of 1.00 mg/l in summer and minimum of 0.40 mg/l in winter as free chlorine residual. The decay of chlorine residual through out the networks increased with water age spent by a parcel of water in the network except for some points with low water demand. In conclusion, the season-varying chlorine dose as well as the monitoring of water quality parameters at the some points which showed high decay of chlorine residual may be necessary to deliver the safe drinking water.

A Study on Reliability Prediction of Product with Dormant Phase (휴면기를 거치는 제품의 신뢰도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects on reliability of equipment or product which spends a great deal of its time in the dormant condition. Many systems experienced periods of dormancy throughout their life cycle, such as periods of operational storage where the system waits, ready for use. The design of such systems must account for how these period of dormant effects system performance. The methodology for predict and analysis was developed to support the evaluation of dormant modes of operation of systems and subsystems. For proper handling of the dormant environment, issues relating to dormant failures need to be taken into consideration from design stage of the lifecycle. Furthermore, the relevant environmental concerns that need to be taken into consideration depend on the environmental factors associated with each different target environment. This paper will look at dormant reliability, the possible dormant reliability models and the methodology on life cycle reliability which has different dormant phase.

Evaluation of the COD Fractionation Capability Using Storage Microorganism from EBPR Process (EBPR 공정내 저장 미생물을 이용한 유입수 분율 분석능 평가)

  • Kim, Youn-Kwon;Seo, In-Seok;Kim, Hong-Suck;Kim, Ji-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2004
  • In conventional activated sludge process, COD fractions in wastewater are important parameters, significantly. Depending on characteristics of influent COD fractionation, activated sludge process requires a major change of a process operation to ensure meeting a stricter standards. In order to validate and evaluate the accuracy of the traditional COD fractionation methodologies, readily and slowly biodegradable COD was mixed using glucose and peptone as a sole carbon source in a synthetic wastewater, respectively. In this research, prediction of the COD fraction was made using the OUR(Oxygen Utilization Rate) and the NUR(Nitrate Utilization Rate) experiments. The result showed that COD fractions calculated by OUR experiment were similar to the composition of synthetic wastewater. On the other hand, it was found that an error was generated during the NUR experiment. This error was due to the intracellular storage period for storage microorganisms such as PAOs, and the error in COD fraction was observed about 8-14 % in terms of Total COD.

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