• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Yield

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Prediction of total sediment load: A case study of Wadi Arbaat in eastern Sudan

  • Aldrees, Ali;Bakheit, Abubakr Taha;Assilzadeh, Hamid
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.781-796
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    • 2020
  • Prediction of total sediment load is essential in an extensive range of problems such as the design of the dead volume of dams, design of stable channels, sediment transport in the rivers, calculation of bridge piers degradation, prediction of sand and gravel mining effects on river-bed equilibrium, determination of the environmental impacts and dredging necessities. This paper is aimed to investigate and predict the total sediment load of the Wadi Arbaat in Eastern Sudan. The study was estimated the sediment load by separate total sediment load into bedload and Suspended Load (SL), independently. Although the sediment records are not sufficient to construct the discharge-sediment yield relationship and Sediment Rating Curve (SRC), the total sediment loads were predicted based on the discharge and Suspended Sediment Concentration (SSC). The turbidity data NTU in water quality has been used for prediction of the SSC in the estimation of suspended Sediment Yield (SY) transport of Wadi Arbaat. The sediment curves can be used for the estimation of the suspended SYs from the watershed area. The amount of information available for Khor Arbaat case study on sediment is poor data. However, the total sediment load is essential for the optimal control of the sediment transport on Khor Arbaat sediment and the protection of the dams on the upper gate area. The results show that the proposed model is found to be considered adequate to predict the total sediment load.

Forecasting Crop Yield Using Encoder-Decoder Model with Attention (Attention 기반 Encoder-Decoder 모델을 활용한작물의 생산량 예측)

  • Kang, Sooram;Cho, Kyungchul;Na, MyungHwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.569-579
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is the time series analysis for predicting the yield of crops applicable to each farm using environmental variables measured by smart farms cultivating tomato. In addition, it is intended to confirm the influence of environmental variables using a deep learning model that can be explained to some extent. Methods: A time series analysis was performed to predict production using environmental variables measured at 75 smart farms cultivating tomato in two periods. An LSTM-based encoder-decoder model was used for cases of several farms with similar length. In particular, Dual Attention Mechanism was applied to use environmental variables as exogenous variables and to confirm their influence. Results: As a result of the analysis, Dual Attention LSTM with a window size of 12 weeks showed the best predictive power. It was verified that the environmental variables has a similar effect on prediction through wieghtss extracted from the prediction model, and it was also verified that the previous time point has a greater effect than the time point close to the prediction point. Conclusion: It is expected that it will be possible to attempt various crops as a model that can be explained by supplementing the shortcomings of general deep learning model.

Low-Cycle Fatigue Failure Prediction of Steel Yield Energy Dissipating Devices Using a Simplified Method

  • Shin, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Hyung-Joon
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1384-1396
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    • 2018
  • One of the failure modes observed in steel yield energy dissipating devices (SYEDs) excited by a strong earthquake would be the low-cycle fatigue failure. Fatigue cracks of a SYED are prone to initiate at the notch areas where stress concentration is usually occurred, which is demonstrated by the cyclic tests and analyses carried out for this study. Since the fatigue failure of SYEDs dramatically deteriorates their structural capacities, the thorough investigation on their fatigue life is usually required. To do this, sophisticated modeling with considering a time-consuming and complicate fracture mechanism is generally needed. This study makes an effort to investigate the low-cycle fatigue life of SYEDs predicted by a simplified method utilizing damage indices and fatigue prediction equations that are based on the plastic strain amplitudes obtained from typical finite element analyses. This study shows that the low-cycle fatigue failure of SYEDs predicted by the simplified method can be conservatively in good agreement with the test results of SYED specimens prepared for experimental validation.

Application of data mining and statistical measurement of agricultural high-quality development

  • Yan Zhou
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we aim to use big data resources and statistical analysis to obtain a reliable instruction to reach high-quality and high yield agricultural yields. In this regard, soil type data, raining and temperature data as well as wheat production in each year are collected for a specific region. Using statistical methodology, the acquired data was cleaned to remove incomplete and defective data. Afterwards, using several classification methods in machine learning we tried to distinguish between different factors and their influence on the final crop yields. Comparing the proposed models' prediction using statistical quantities correlation factor and mean squared error between predicted values of the crop yield and actual values the efficacy of machine learning methods is discussed. The results of the analysis show high accuracy of machine learning methods in the prediction of the crop yields. Moreover, it is indicated that the random forest (RF) classification approach provides best results among other classification methods utilized in this study.

Development of a modified model for predicting cabbage yield based on soil properties using GIS (GIS를 이용한 토양정보 기반의 배추 생산량 예측 수정모델 개발)

  • Choi, Yeon Oh;Lee, Jaehyeon;Sim, Jae Hoo;Lee, Seung Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.449-456
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    • 2022
  • This study proposes a deep learning algorithm to predict crop yield using GIS (Geographic Information System) to extract soil properties from Soilgrids and soil suitability class maps. The proposed model modified the structure of a published CNN-RNN (Convolutional Neural Network-Recurrent Neural Network) based crop yield prediction model suitable for the domestic crop environment. The existing model has two characteristics. The first is that it replaces the original yield with the average yield of the year, and the second is that it trains the data of the predicted year. The new model uses the original field value to ensure accuracy, and the network structure has been improved so that it can train only with data prior to the year to be predicted. The proposed model predicted the yield per unit area of autumn cabbage for kimchi by region based on weather, soil, soil suitability classes, and yield data from 1980 to 2020. As a result of computing and predicting data for each of the four years from 2018 to 2021, the error amount for the test data set was about 10%, enabling accurate yield prediction, especially in regions with a large proportion of total yield. In addition, both the proposed model and the existing model show that the error gradually decreases as the number of years of training data increases, resulting in improved general-purpose performance as the number of training data increases.

The prediction of interest rate using artificial neural network models

  • Hong, Taeho;Han, Ingoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.741-744
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    • 1996
  • Artifical Neural Network(ANN) models were used for forecasting interest rate as a new methodology, which has proven itself successful in financial domain. This research intended to construct ANN models which can maximize the performance of prediction, regarding Corporate Bond Yield (CBY) as interest rate. Synergistic Market Analysis (SMA) was applied to the construction of models [Freedman et al.]. In this aspect, while the models which consist of only time series data for corporate bond yield were devloped, the other models generated through conjunction and reorganization of fundamental variables and market variables were developed. Every model was constructed to predict 1,6, and 12 months after and we obtained 9 ANN models for interest rate forecasting. Multi-layer perceptron networks using backpropagation algorithm showed good performance in the prediction for 1 and 6 months after.

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Application of Data mining for improving and predicting yield in wafer fabrication system (데이터마이닝을 이용한 반도체 FAB공정의 수율개선 및 예측)

  • 백동현;한창희
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.157-177
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a comprehensive and successful application of data mining methodologies to improve and predict wafer yield in a semiconductor wafer fabrication system. As the wafer fabrication process is getting more complex and the volume of technological data gathered continues to be vast, it is difficult to analyze the cause of yield deterioration effectively by means of statistical or heuristic approaches. To begin with this paper applies a clustering method to automatically identify AUF (Area Uniform Failure) phenomenon from data instead of naked eye that bad chips occurs in a specific area of wafer. Next, sequential pattern analysis and classification methods are applied to and out machines and parameters that are cause of low yield, respectively. Furthermore, radial bases function method is used to predict yield of wafers that are in process. Finally, this paper demonstrates an information system, Y2R-PLUS (Yield Rapid Ramp-up, Prediction, analysis & Up Support), that is developed in order to analyze and predict wafer yield in a korea semiconductor manufacturer.

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Development of Garlic & Onion Yield Prediction Model on Major Cultivation Regions Considering MODIS NDVI and Meteorological Elements (MODIS NDVI와 기상요인을 고려한 마늘·양파 주산단지 단수예측 모형 개발)

  • Na, Sang-il;Park, Chan-won;So, Kyu-ho;Park, Jae-moon;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_2
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    • pp.647-659
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    • 2017
  • Garlic and onion are grown in major cultivation regions that depend on the crop condition and the meteorology of the production area. Therefore, when yields are to be predicted, it is reasonable to use a statistical model in which both the crop and the meteorological elements are considered. In this paper, using a multiple linear regression model, we predicted garlic and onion yields in major cultivation regions. We used the MODIS NDVI that reflects the crop conditions, and six meteorological elements for 7 major cultivation regions from 2006 to 2015. The multiple linear regression models were suggested by using stepwise regression in the extraction of independent variables. As a result, the MODIS NDVI in February was chosen the significant independent variable of the garlic and onion yield prediction model. In the case of meteorological elements, the garlic yield prediction model were the mean temperature (March), the rainfall (November, March), the relative humidity (April), and the duration time of sunshine (April, May). Also, the rainfall (November), the duration time of sunshine (January), the relative humidity (April), and the minimum temperature (June) were chosen among the variables as the significant meteorological elements of the onion yield prediction model. MODIS NDVI and meteorological elements in the model explain 84.4%, 75.9% of the garlic and onion with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 42.57 kg/10a, 340.29 kg/10a. These lead to the result that the characteristics of variations in garlic and onion growth according to MODIS NDVI and other meteorological elements were well reflected in the model.

Performance Evaluation of Barlat's and BBC Yield Criteria based on Directionalities of R-values and Yield Stresses

  • Lou, Y.;Bae, G.;Lee, C.;Park, C.;Buh, H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.277-280
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with the performance evaluation of Barlat's and BBC yield criteria by the directional variation prediction of the yield stresses and the R-values. for the evaluation of yield criteria, three kinds of Aluminum alloys and two kinds of steels were selected and their material properties are from Stoughton and Yoon's work. The experimental data required for the parameter evaluation included the uniaxial yield stresses and R-values (width-to-thickness strain ratio in uniaxial tension) measured in rolling direction, diaganol direction and the transverse direction, the equibiaxial yield stress and the R-value of equibiaxial tension. The optimization method, the Downhill Simplex method, was selected for the coefficient identification of Barlat91, Barlat97 and Barlat2000 yield criteria. Yield surface shapes, yield stress and R-value directionalities of Barlat's and BBC yield criteria were investigated and compared with the experimental data. Barlat2000 and BBC yield criteria were extremely qualified for the shape of the yield surface and the directionality of the yield stresses and the R-values.

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A Research on Yield Prediction of Mixed Pastures in Korea via Model Construction in Stages (혼파초지에서 모형의 단계적 적용을 통한 수량예측 연구)

  • Oh, Seung Min;Kim, Moon Ju;Peng, Jinglun;Lee, Bae Hun;Kim, Ji Yung;Kim, Byong Wan;Jo, Mu Hwan;Sung, Kyung Il
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.80-91
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study was to select a model showing high-levels of interpretability which is high in R-squared value in terms of predicting the yield in the mixed pasture using the factors of fertilization, seeding rate and years after pasture establishment in steps, as well as the climate as a basic factor. The processes of constructing the yield prediction model for the mixed pasture were performed in the sequence of data collection (forage and climatic data), preparation, analysis, and model construction. Through this process, six models were constructed after considering climatic variables, fertilization management, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment years in steps, thereafter the optimum model was selected through considering the coincidence of the models to the forage production theories. As a result, Model VI (R squared = 53.8%) including climatic variables, fertilization amount, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment was considered as the optimum yield prediction model for mixed pastures in South Korea. The interpretability of independent variables in the model were decreased in the sequence of climatic variables(24.5%), fertilization amount(17.8%), seeding rates(10.7%), and periods after pasture establishment(0.8%). However, it is necessary to investigate the reasons of positive correlation between dry matter yield and days of summer depression (DSD) by considering cultivated locations and using other cumulative temperature related variables instead of DSD. Meanwhile the another research about the optimum levels of fertilization amounts and seeding rates is required using the quadratic term due to the certain value-centered distribution of these two variables.