• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Structure

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Performance Evaluation of Machine Learning Model for Seismic Response Prediction of Nuclear Power Plant Structures considering Aging deterioration (원전 구조물의 경년열화를 고려한 지진응답예측 기계학습 모델의 성능평가)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su;Kim, Yukyung;Lee, So Yeon;Jang, Jun Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2024
  • Dynamic responses of nuclear power plant structure subjected to earthquake loads should be carefully investigated for safety. Because nuclear power plant structure are usually constructed by material of reinforced concrete, the aging deterioration of R.C. have no small effect on structural behavior of nuclear power plant structure. Therefore, aging deterioration of R.C. nuclear power plant structure should be considered for exact prediction of seismic responses of the structure. In this study, a machine learning model for seismic response prediction of nuclear power plant structure was developed by considering aging deterioration. The OPR-1000 was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. The OPR-1000 was originally designated as the Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant (KSNP), and was re-designated as the OPR-1000 in 2005 for foreign sales. 500 artificial ground motions were generated based on site characteristics of Korea. Elastic modulus, damping ratio, poisson's ratio and density were selected to consider material property variation due to aging deterioration. Six machine learning algorithms such as, Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were used t o construct seispic response prediction model. 13 intensity measures and 4 material properties were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks present good prediction performance considering aging deterioration.

USING AN ABSTRACTION OF AMINO ACID TYPES TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF STATISTICAL POTENTIALS FOR PROTEIN STRUCTURE PREDICTION

  • Lee, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we adopt a position specific scoring matrix as an abstraction of amino acid type to derive two new statistical potentials for protein structure prediction, and investigated its effect on the quality of the potentials compared to that derived using residue specific amino acid identity. For stringent test of the potential quality, we carried out folding simulations of 91 residue A chain of protein 2gpi, and found unexpectedly that the abstract amino acid type improved the quality of the one-body type statistical potential, but not for the two-body type statistical potential which describes long range interactions. This observation could be effectively used when one develops more accurate potentials for structure prediction, which are usually involved in merging various one-body and many-body potentials.

Minimally Complex Problem Set for an Ab initio Protein Structure Prediction Study

  • Kim RyangGug;Choi Cha-Yong
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.414-418
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    • 2004
  • A 'minimally complex problem set' for ab initio protein Structure prediction has been proposed. As well as consisting of non-redundant and crystallographically determined high-resolution protein structures, without disulphide bonds, modified residues, unusual connectivities and heteromolecules, it is more importantly a collection of protein structures. with a high probability of being the same in the crystal form as in solution. To our knowledge, this is the first attempt at this kind of dataset. Considering the lattice constraint in crystals, and the possible flexibility in solution of crystallographically determined protein structures, our dataset is thought to be the safest starting points for an ab initio protein structure prediction study.

RBF Network Structure for Prediction of Non-linear, Non-stationary Time Series (비선형, 비정상 시계열 예측을 위한 RBF(Radial Basis Function) 회로망 구조)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwan;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, a modified RBF(Radial Basis Function) network structure is suggested for the prediction of a time-series with non-linear, non-stationary characteristics. Coventional RBF network predicting time series by using past outputs sense the trajectory of the time series and react when there exists strong relation between input and hidden activation function's RBF center. But this response is highly sensitive to level and trend of time serieses. In order to overcome such dependencies, hidden activation functions are modified to react to the increments of input variable and multiplied by increment(or dectement) for prediction. When the suggested structure is applied to prediction of Macyey-Glass chaotic time series, Lorenz equation, and Rossler equation, improved performances are obtained.

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Crack growth prediction on a concrete structure using deep ConvLSTM

  • Man-Sung Kang;Yun-Kyu An
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2024
  • This paper proposes a deep convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM)-based crack growth prediction technique for predictive maintenance of structures. Since cracks are one of the critical damage types in a structure, their regular inspection has been mandatory for structural safety and serviceability. To effectively establish the structural maintenance plan using the inspection results, crack propagation or growth prediction is essential. However, conventional crack prediction techniques based on mathematical models are not typically suitable for tracking complex nonlinear crack propagation mechanism on civil structures under harsh environmental conditions. To address the technical issue, a field data-driven crack growth prediction technique using ConvLSTM is newly proposed in this study. The proposed technique consists of the four steps: (1) time-series crack image acquisition, (2) target image stabilization, (3) deep learning-based crack detection and quantification and (4) crack growth prediction. The performance of the proposed technique is experimentally validated using a concrete mock-up specimen by applying step-wise bending loads to generate crack growth. The validation test results reveal the prediction accuracy of 94% on average compared with the ground truth obtained by field measurement.

An Optimized User Behavior Prediction Model Using Genetic Algorithm On Mobile Web Structure

  • Hussan, M.I. Thariq;Kalaavathi, B.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1963-1978
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    • 2015
  • With the advancement of mobile web environments, identification and analysis of the user behavior play a significant role and remains a challenging task to implement with variations observed in the model. This paper presents an efficient method for mining optimized user behavior prediction model using genetic algorithm on mobile web structure. The framework of optimized user behavior prediction model integrates the temporary and permanent register information and is stored immediately in the form of integrated logs which have higher precision and minimize the time for determining user behavior. Then by applying the temporal characteristics, suitable time interval table is obtained by segmenting the logs. The suitable time interval table that split the huge data logs is obtained using genetic algorithm. Existing cluster based temporal mobile sequential arrangement provide efficiency without bringing down the accuracy but compromise precision during the prediction of user behavior. To efficiently discover the mobile users' behavior, prediction model is associated with region and requested services, a method called optimized user behavior Prediction Model using Genetic Algorithm (PM-GA) on mobile web structure is introduced. This paper also provides a technique called MAA during the increase in the number of models related to the region and requested services are observed. Based on our analysis, we content that PM-GA provides improved performance in terms of precision, number of mobile models generated, execution time and increasing the prediction accuracy. Experiments are conducted with different parameter on real dataset in mobile web environment. Analytical and empirical result offers an efficient and effective mining and prediction of user behavior prediction model on mobile web structure.

Analysis of structural dynamic reliability based on the probability density evolution method

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Chen, Jianjun;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • A new dynamic reliability analysis of structure under repeated random loads is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is developed based on the idea that the probability density of several times random loads can be derived from the probability density of single-time random load. The reliability prediction models of structure based on time responses under several times random loads with and without strength degradation are obtained by using the stress-strength interference theory and probability density evolution method. The resulting differential equations in the prediction models can be solved by using the forward finite difference method. Then, the probability density functions of strength redundancy of the structures can be obtained. Finally, the structural dynamic reliability can be calculated using integral method. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through a speed reducer. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonably accurate prediction.

Short-Term Electrical Load Forecasting using Neuro-Fuzzy Models (뉴로-퍼지 모델을 이용한 단기 전력 수요 예측시스템)

  • Park, Yeong-Jin;Sim, Hyeon-Jeong;Wang, Bo-Hyeon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a systematic method to develop short-term electrical load forecasting systems using neuro-fuzzy models. The primary goal of the proposed method is to improve the performance of the prediction model in terms of accuracy and reliability. For this, the proposed method explores the advantages of the structure learning of the neuro-fuzzy model. The proposed load forecasting system first builds an initial structure off-line for each hour of four day types and then stores the resultant initial structures in the initial structure bank. Whenever a prediction needs to be made, the proposed system initializes the neuro-fuzzy model with the appropriate initial structure stored and trains the initialized model. In order to demonstrate the viability of the proposed method, we develop an one hour ahead load forecasting system by using the real load data collected during 1993 and 1994 at KEPCO. Simulation results reveal that the prediction system developed in this paper can achieve a remarkable improvement on both accuracy and reliability compared with the prediction systems based on multilayer perceptrons, radial basis function networks, and neuro-fuzzy models without the structure learning.

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Fast Prediction Mode Decision in HEVC Using a Pseudo Rate-Distortion Based on Separated Encoding Structure

  • Seok, Jinwuk;Kim, Younhee;Ki, Myungseok;Kim, Hui Yong;Choi, Jin Soo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.807-817
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    • 2016
  • A novel fast algorithm is suggested for a coding unit (CU) mode decision using pseudo rate-distortion based on a separated encoding structure in High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC). A conventional HEVC encoder requires a large computational time for a CU mode prediction because prediction and transformation procedures are applied to obtain a rate-distortion cost. Hence, for the practical application of HEVC encoding, it is necessary to significantly reduce the computational time of CU mode prediction. As described in this paper, under the proposed separated encoder structure, it is possible to decide the CU prediction mode without a full processing of the prediction and transformation to obtain a rate-distortion cost based on a suitable condition. Furthermore, to construct a suitable condition to improve the encoding speed, we employ a pseudo rate-distortion estimation based on a Hadamard transformation and a simple quantization. The experimental results show that the proposed method achieves a 38.68% reduction in the total encoding time with a similar coding performance to that of the HEVC reference model.