• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.318-324
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• 2005

Theoretical efforts are performed to extend the formulation of NSLT(New Shear Lag Theory) for the prediction of the elastic modulus in short fiber composite. The formulation is based on the elastic stress transfer considering the stress concentration effects influenced by elastic modulus ratio between fiber and matrix. The composite modulus, thus far, is calculated by changing the fiber aspect ratio and volume fraction. It is found that the comparison with FEA(Finite Element Analysis) results gives a good agreement with the present theory (NSLT). It is also found that the NSLT is more accurate than the SLT(Shear Lag Theory) in short fiber regime when compared by FEA results. However, The modulus predicted by NSLT becomes similar values that of SLT when the fiber aspect ratio increases. Finally, It is shown that the present model has the capability to predict the composite modulus correctly in elastic regime.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.183-206
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• 2007

The price-dividend ratio is one of the most frequently used financial variables to predict long-horizon stock return. However, the persistency of the price-dividend ratio is found to cause the spuriousness of the stock return prediction regression. The stable relationship between the stock price and the dividend, however, seems to weaken after World War II and to experience structural break. In this paper, we identify a structural change in the cointegrating relationship between the log of the stock price and the log of the dividend. Confirming a structural break in 1962, we subdivide the sample and apply the fully modified estimator to correct for the nonstationarity of the regressor. With the subdivided sample, we exercise the nonparametric bootstrap procedure to derive the empirical distribution of the test statistics and fail to find return predictability in each subsample period.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.57-62
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• 2007

In this paper, we attempted to produce the cloud forecast that use the numerical weather prediction(NWP) MM5 for objective cloud forecast. We presented two methods for cloud forecast. One of them used total cloud mixing ratio registered to sum(synthesis) of cloud-water and cloud-ice grain mixing ratio those are variables related to cloud among NWP result data and the other method that used relative humidity. An experiment was carried out period from 23th to 24th July 2004. According to the sequence of comparing the derived cloud forecast data with the observed value, it was indicated that both of those have a practical use possibility as cloud forecast method. Specially in this Case study, cloud forecast method that use total cloud mixing ratio indicated good forecast availability to forecast of the low level clouds as well as middle and high level clouds.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2002

Landslide prediction modeling has been regarded as one of the important environmental applications in GIS. While, landslide stability in a certain area as collateral process for prediction modeling can be characterized by DEM-based hydrological features such as flow-direction, flow-accumulation, flow-length, wetness index, and so forth. In this study, Slope-Area plot methodology followed by stability index mapping with these hydrological variables is firstly performed for stability analysis with actual landslide occurrences at Boeun area, Korea, and then Landslide prediction modeling based on likelihood ratio model for landslide potential mapping is carried out; in addition, KOMPSAT EOC imagery is used to detect the locations and scalped scale of Landslide occurrences. These two tasks are independently processed for preparation of unbiased criteria, and then results of those are qualitatively compared. As results of this case study, land stability analysis based on DEM-based hydrological variables directly reflects terrain characteristics; however, the results in the form of land stability map by landslide prediction model are not fully matched with those of hydrologic landslide analysis due to the heuristic scheme based on location of existed landslide occurrences within prediction approach, especially zones of not-investigated occurrences. Therefore, it is expected that the resets on the space-robustness of landslide prediction models in conjunction with DEM-based landslide stability analysis can be effectively utilized to search out unrevealed or hidden landslide occurrences.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.354-367
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• 2010

시계열 데이터에서 패턴을 분석하는 기법은 많은 발전이 이루어져 오고 있다. 그러나 주식시장의 경우 시계열 데이터임에도 불구하고 패턴 분석 및 예측은 많은 연구가 이루어지지 않고 있으며 예측도가 매우 낮다. 그 이유는 주가의 등락 자체가 본질적으로 무작위하다고 하면 어떠한 과학적 방법으로도 그 예측은 불가능하다. 본 연구에서는 주가의 등락이 보여주는 무작위성의 정도를 Kolmogorov 복잡도를 이용해 측정하여 그 무작위의 정도와 본 논문에서 제시한 반 전역정렬(semi-global alignment)로 예측할 수 있는 주가의 예측의 정확간의 깊은 상관관계가 있음을 보인다. 이를 위해서 주가지수의 등락을 양자화된 문자열로 변환하고 그 문자열의 Kolmogorov 복잡도를 이용해 주가 변동의 무작위성을 측정하였다. 우리는 KOSPI 주식 데이터 28년 690개의 데이터를 수집하여 이를 실험용 데이터로 사용하여 본 논문에서 제시한 방법의 의미를 평가하였다. 그 결과 Kolmogorov 복잡도가 높은 경우에는 변동 예측이 어려우며, Kolmogorov 복잡도가 낮은 경우에는 주식 변동 예측은 가능하나 3종류의 예측율에 대해서 투자자들이 관심이 많은 등락 예측율은 단기 예측은 12% 이상의 예측율을 보일 수 없으며, 장기 예측의 경우 54%의 예측율로 수렴함을 확인하였다.

• 소음진동
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• 제8권6호
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• pp.1023-1029
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• 1998

When one attempts to construct a hologram. one finds that there are many sources of measurement errors. These errors are even amplified if one predicts the pressures close to the sources. The pressure estimation errors depend on the following parameters: the measurement spacing on the hologram plane. the prediction spacing on the prediction plane. and the distance between the hologram and the prediction plane. This raper analyzes quantitatively the errors when these are distributed irregularly on the hologram plane The sensor mismatch and inaccurate measurement location. position mismatch. are mainly addressed. In these cases. one can assume that the measurement is a sample of many measurement events. The bias and random error are derived theoretically. Then the relationship between the random error amplification ratio and the parameters mentioned above is examined quantitatively in terms of energy.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2008년도 춘계 학술발표회 초청강연 및 논문집
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• pp.926-931
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• 2008

This paper show two different standardized test methods(Japanese Geotechnical Society; JGS 2003). One test is a "Test Method for Frost Heave Prediction Test, JGS 0171-2003", and the other test is a "Test Method for Frost Susceptibility, JGS 0172-2003". The purpose of this test is to obtain the freezing rate(freezing speed), frost heave ratio(heave to sample height), frost heave rate(heaving speed), and other parameters to be used for frost heave prediction and determine the frost susceptibility by freezing test with water intake. This method shall be used to predict the frost heave in frozen ground and evaluate the frost susceptibility of natural and replacement materials.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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• pp.229-230
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• 2010

The Carbonation, one of the main deterioration factors of concrete, reduces capacity of members with providing rebar corrosion environment. Consequently it suggested standards of all countries of world, carbonation depth prediction equation of respective researchers and time to rebar corrosion initiation. As a result of carbonation depth prediction equation calculation, difference of time to rebar corrosion initiation is 149 years and difference of carbonation depth prediction equation is 162 years when water cement ratio is 50%. So a study on rebar corrosion with carbonation depth will need existing reliable data and verifications by experiment.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.133-141
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• 1985

In order to establish a method predicting susceptible cows to the parturient syndrome, various serum chemical parameters (calcium, phosphorus, Ca/P, magnesium, cholesterol, total protein, albumin, globulin, A/G, total lipid, non-esterified fatty acid(NEFA) and aspartate aminotransferase(AST)) were measured during late pregnancy and their relationships with periparturient diseases were investigated during puerpural period. The results obtained were as follows : 1. The factors affecting the prediction of susceptible cows to parturient syndrome were calcium, magnesium, total protein, globulin, A/G ratio and total lipid at 30 day antepartum and the diagnosability was 70.7%. 2. In the experimental cows producing more than 21kg of milk per day, the factors affecting the prediction of susceptible cows to parturient syndrome were calcium, NEFA and A/G ratio at 30 day antepartum and the diagnosability was 66.7%. 3. In the experimental cows calved more than 3 times, the factors affecting the perdiction of susceptible cows to parturient syndrome were calcium, total protein, albumin and NEFA at 30 day antepartum and the diagnosability was 83.3%.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제15권9호
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• pp.1292-1301
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• 2001

The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.