• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction Process Prediction Process

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단조 금형의 수명 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Life Estimation of a Forging Die)

  • 최창혁;김용조
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.479-487
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    • 2007
  • Die life is generally estimated taking failure life and wear amount into consideration. In this study, the forging die life was investigated considering both of these two factors. The fatigue life prediction for the die was performed using the stress-life method, i.e. Goodman's and Gerber's equations. The Archard's wear model was used in the wear life simulation. These die life prediction techniques were applied to the die used in the forging process of the socket ball joint of a transportation system. A rigid-plastic finite element analysis for the die forging process of the socket ball was carried out and also the elastic stress analysis for the die set was performed in order to get basic data for the die fatigue life prediction. The wear volume of the die was measured using a 3-dimensional measurement apparatus. The simulation results were relatively in good agreement with the experimental measurements.

Kalman Filtering 이론에 의한 하천 유출 안전관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Safety Management of Streamflows by the Kalman Filtering Theory)

  • 박종권;박종구;이영섭
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study has been studied and investigated to prediction algorithms of the Kalman Filtering theory which are based on the state-vector description, including system identification, model structure determination, parameter estimation. And the prediction algorithms applied of rainfall-runoff process, has been worked out. The analysis of runoff process and runoff prediction algorithms of the river-basin established, for the verification of prediction algorithms by the Kalman Filtering theory, the observed historical data of the hourly rainfall and streamflows were used for the algorithms. In consisted of the above, Kalman Filtering rainfall-runoff model applied and analysised to Wi-Stream basin in Nak-dong River(Basin area : $472.53km^2$).

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인발 선재의 반경 방향 변형률 분포 예측 (Prediction of Radial Direction Strain in Drawn Wire)

  • 이상곤;황선광;조용재
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제18권9호
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    • pp.100-105
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    • 2019
  • In wire drawing, aterial deformation is concentrated on the surface of the drawn wire because of surface contact with the drawing die. Therefore, strain varies from the center to the surface of the drawn wire. In this study, based on the upper bound method, an effective strain prediction method from the center to the surface of a drawn wire was proposed. Using the proposed method, the effective strain of the drawn wire was calculated verify the proposed prediction method, the predicted effective strain was compared with the result of finite element analysis.

비정돈 환경의 표면 소독을 위한 실현성 예측 기반의 장애물 제거 계획법 및 접촉식 방역 로봇 시스템 (Feasibility Prediction-Based Obstacle Removal Planning and Contactable Disinfection Robot System for Surface Disinfection in an Untidy Environment)

  • 강준수;이인제;정완균;김기훈
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.283-290
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    • 2021
  • We propose a task and motion planning algorithm for clearing obstacles and wiping surfaces, which is essential for surface disinfection during the pathogen disinfection process. The proposed task and motion planning algorithm determines task parameters such as grasping pose and placement location during the planning process without using pre-specified or discretized values. Furthermore, to quickly inspect many unit motions, we propose a motion feasibility prediction algorithm consisting of collision checking and an SVM model for inverse mechanics and self-collision prediction. Planning time analysis shows that the feasibility prediction algorithm can significantly increase the planning speed and success rates in situations with multiple obstacles. Finally, we implemented a hierarchical control scheme to enable wiping motion while following a planner-generated joint trajectory. We verified our planning and control framework by conducted an obstacle-clearing and surface wiping experiment in a simulated disinfection environment.

The Prediction of Minimum Miscible Pressure for CO2 EOR using a Process Simulator

  • Salim, Felicia;Kim, Seojin;Saputra, Dadan D.S.M.;Bae, Wisup;Lee, Jaihyo;Kim, In-Won
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제54권5호
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    • pp.606-611
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    • 2016
  • Carbon dioxide injection is a widely known method of enhanced oil recovery (EOR). It is critical for the $CO_2$ EOR that the injected $CO_2$ to reach a condition fully miscible with oil. To reach the miscible point, a certain level of pressure is required, which is known as minimum miscibility pressure (MMP). In this study, a MMP prediction method using a process simulator is proposed. To validate the results of the simulation, those are compared to a slim tube experiment and several empirical correlations of previous literatures. Aspen HYSYS is utilized as the process simulator to create a model of $CO_2$/crude oil encounter. The results of the study show that the process simulator model is capable of predicting MMP and comparable to other published methods.

Prediction and optimization of thinning in automotive sealing cover using Genetic Algorithm

  • Kakandikar, Ganesh M.;Nandedkar, Vilas M.
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2016
  • Deep drawing is a forming process in which a blank of sheet metal is radially drawn into a forming die by the mechanical action of a punch and converted to required shape. Deep drawing involves complex material flow conditions and force distributions. Radial drawing stresses and tangential compressive stresses are induced in flange region due to the material retention property. These compressive stresses result in wrinkling phenomenon in flange region. Normally blank holder is applied for restricting wrinkles. Tensile stresses in radial direction initiate thinning in the wall region of cup. The thinning results into cracking or fracture. The finite element method is widely applied worldwide to simulate the deep drawing process. For real-life simulations of deep drawing process an accurate numerical model, as well as an accurate description of material behavior and contact conditions, is necessary. The finite element method is a powerful tool to predict material thinning deformations before prototypes are made. The proposed innovative methodology combines two techniques for prediction and optimization of thinning in automotive sealing cover. Taguchi design of experiments and analysis of variance has been applied to analyze the influencing process parameters on Thinning. Mathematical relations have been developed to correlate input process parameters and Thinning. Optimization problem has been formulated for thinning and Genetic Algorithm has been applied for optimization. Experimental validation of results proves the applicability of newly proposed approach. The optimized component when manufactured is observed to be safe, no thinning or fracture is observed.

인공신경망을 활용한 최적 사출성형조건 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Optimized Injection Molding Condition using Artificial Neural Network (ANN))

  • 양동철;이준한;윤경환;김종선
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.218-228
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    • 2020
  • The prediction of final mass and optimized process conditions of injection molded products using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were demonstrated. The ANN was modeled with 10 input parameters and one output parameter (mass). The input parameters, i.e.; melt temperature, mold temperature, injection speed, packing pressure, packing time, cooling time, back pressure, plastification speed, V/P switchover, and suck back were selected. To generate training data for the ANN model, 77 experiments based on the combination of orthogonal sampling and random sampling were performed. The collected training data were normalized to eliminate scale differences between factors to improve the prediction performance of the ANN model. Grid search and random search method were used to find the optimized hyper-parameter of the ANN model. After the training of ANN model, optimized process conditions that satisfied the target mass of 41.14 g were predicted. The predicted process conditions were verified through actual injection molding experiments. Through the verification, it was found that the average deviation in the optimized conditions was 0.15±0.07 g. This value confirms that our proposed procedure can successfully predict the optimized process conditions for the target mass of injection molded products.

코어 다중가공에서 공구마모 예측을 위한 기계학습 데이터 분석 (Machine Learning Data Analysis for Tool Wear Prediction in Core Multi Process Machining)

  • 최수진;이동주;황승국
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제20권9호
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2021
  • As real-time data of factories can be collected using various sensors, the adaptation of intelligent unmanned processing systems is spreading via the establishment of smart factories. In intelligent unmanned processing systems, data are collected in real time using sensors. The equipment is controlled by predicting future situations using the collected data. Particularly, a technology for the prediction of tool wear and for determining the exact timing of tool replacement is needed to prevent defected or unprocessed products due to tool breakage or tool wear. Directly measuring the tool wear in real time is difficult during the cutting process in milling. Therefore, tool wear should be predicted indirectly by analyzing the cutting load of the main spindle, current, vibration, noise, etc. In this study, data from the current and acceleration sensors; displacement data along the X, Y, and Z axes; tool wear value, and shape change data observed using Newroview were collected from the high-speed, two-edge, flat-end mill machining process of SKD11 steel. The support vector machine technique (machine learning technique) was applied to predict the amount of tool wear using the aforementioned data. Additionally, the prediction accuracies of all kernels were compared.

사출성형공정에서 다수 품질 예측에 적용가능한 다중 작업 학습 구조 인공신경망의 정확성에 대한 연구 (A study on the accuracy of multi-task learning structure artificial neural network applicable to multi-quality prediction in injection molding process)

  • 이준한;김종선
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • In this study, an artificial neural network(ANN) was constructed to establish the relationship between process condition prameters and the qualities of the injection-molded product in the injection molding process. Six process parmeters were set as input parameter for ANN: melt temperature, mold temperature, injection speed, packing pressure, packing time, and cooling time. As output parameters, the mass, nominal diameter, and height of the injection-molded product were set. Two learning structures were applied to the ANN. The single-task learning, in which all output parameters are learned in correlation with each other, and the multi-task learning structure in which each output parameters is individually learned according to the characteristics, were constructed. As a result of constructing an artificial neural network with two learning structures and evaluating the prediction performance, it was confirmed that the predicted value of the ANN to which the multi-task learning structure was applied had a low RMSE compared with the single-task learning structure. In addition, when comparing the quality specifications of injection molded products with the prediction values of the ANN, it was confirmed that the ANN of the multi-task learning structure satisfies the quality specifications for all of the mass, diameter, and height.

웹 기반 학습을 위한 학습 시간 예측 모델 (Learning Time Prediction Model for Web-based Instruction)

  • 김창화;장기영
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제30권10호
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    • pp.983-991
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    • 2003
  • 인터넷 상의 웹기반교육은 시$.$공간을 초월하여 많은 학습자들에게 관련 정보와 지식을 제공하고 있다. 그러나 웹 기반교육에서는 학습자의 학습진행상태를 단지 시험을 통해서만 확인 할 수 있는 문제가 있다. 본 논문은 웹기반교육에서 학습자의 학습 과정에 문제가 있는지를 검사하고, 문제가 있는 학생들을 발견할 수 있는 웹 모니터링 기법을 소개한다. 그 기법에서 본 논문은 이전 학을 단위들에 대한 학습자의 학습시간과 형성평가점수들에 기초하여 다음에 진행할 학습 단위에 대한 학습 시간을 예측할 수 있는 학습 시간 예측 모델을 제안한다. 이 기법은 교수자에게 학습자의 학습진행상태를 제공한다. 이 방법은 만약 학습자가 예측학습시간을 초과하였을 경우에는 자동으로 경고 메시지를 보내어 학습자가 다시 학습 과정에 잘 임하도록 독려하는데 이용될 수 있다. 학습시간 예측모델을 이용한 웹 모니터링에 관한 사례 연구를 통해 측정한 결과, 학습진행상태가 원만하지 않는 학습자의 대부분은 형성평가 점수가 저조하였다. 또한, 그들은 학습진행상태가 원만하지 않는 자신의 학습 습관을 그대로 유지하고 있는 것으로 나타났다.