• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Performance

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Performance Prediction of a Combined Heat and Power Plant Considering the Effect of Various Gas Fuels

  • Joo, Yong-jin;Kim, Mi-yeong;Park, Se-ik;Seo, Dong-kyun
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2017
  • The performance prediction software developed in this paper is a process analysis tool that enables one to foretell the behavior of processes when certain conditions of operation are altered. The immediate objective of this research is to predict the process characteristics of combined heat and power plant under varying operating conditions. A cogeneration virtual power plant that mimics the mechanical performance of the actual plant was constructed and the performance of the power plant was predicted in the following varying atmospheric conditions: temperature, pressure and humidity. This resulted in a positive outcome where the performance of the power plant under changing conditions were correctly predicted as well as the calorific value of low calorific gas fuel such as shale gas and PNG. The performance prediction tool can detect the operation characteristics of the power plant through the performance index analysis and thus propose the operation method taking into consideration the changes in environmental conditions.

Modelling for TBM Performance Prediction (TBM 굴진성능 예측을 위한 모델링)

  • 이석원;최순욱
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2003
  • Modelling for performance prediction of mechanical excavation is discussed in this paper. Two of the most successful performance prediction models, namely theoretical based CSM model and empirical based NTH model, are discussed and compared. The basic principles of rock cutting with disc cutters, especially Constant Cross Section cutters, are discussed and a theoretical model developed is introduced to provide an estimate of disc cutting forces as a function of rock properties and the cutting geometry. General modelling logic for the performance prediction of mechanical excavation is introduced. CSM computer model developed and currently used at the Earth Mechanics Institute(EMI) of the Colorado School of Mines is discussed. Example of input and output of this model is illustrated for the typical operation by Tunnel Boring Machine(TBM).

An Experimental Study on the Performance Prediction Logic for a Regenerative Cooling System (재생냉각시스템의 성능예측기법에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Jung, Se-Yong;Lee, Yang-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.396-405
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    • 2009
  • The experimental research was conducted to setup a performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system on a small scale liquid rocket engine using kerosene and LOX. Total heat flux of the combustion gas side was determined for the flow rate of the coolant, combustion pressure using the calorimeter thrust chamber. Based on the experimental investigation, a performance prediction scheme for the regenerative cooling system is setup in our own way. A performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system has been developed by the correction scheme of the combustion gas side. The key parameters determining the temperature limitation of the coolant are the mass flow rate of the coolant and the length of the combustion chamber and the nozzle. And the parameters to control the limitation of the usable wall temperature are the number of channels and wall thickness.

A Study on the Evaluation Algorithm for Performance Improvement in PV Modules

  • Kim, Byung-ki;Choi, Sung-sik;Wang, Jong-yong;Oh, Seung-Taek;Rho, Dae-seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1356-1362
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    • 2015
  • The location of PV systems in distribution system has been increased as one of countermeasure for global environmental issues. As the operation efficiency of PV systems is getting decreased year by year due to the aging phenomenon and maintenance problems, the optimal algorithm for state diagnosis in PV systems is required in order to improve operation performance in PV systems. The existing output prediction algorithms considering various parameters and conditions of PV modules could have complicated calculation process and then their results may have a possibility of significant prediction error. To solve these problems, this paper proposes an optimal prediction algorithm of PV system by using least square methods of linear regression analysis. And also, this paper presents a performance evaluation algorithm in PV modules based on the proposed optimal prediction algorithm of PV system. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm is a practical tool of the state diagnosis for performance improvement in PV systems.

Comparative Study of Prediction Performance and Variable Importance in SEM-ANN Two-stage Analysis (SEM-ANN 2단계 분석에서 예측성능과 변수중요도의 비교연구)

  • Sun-Dong Kwon;Yi Zhao;Hua-Long Fang
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the improvement of prediction performance and changes in variable importance in SEM-ANN two-stage analysis. 366 cosmetics repurchase-related survey data were analyzed and the results were presented. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, in SEM-ANN two-stage analysis, SEM and ANN models were trained with train data and predicted with test data, respectively, and the R2 was showed. As a result, the prediction performance was doubled from SEM 0.3364 to ANN 0.6836. Looking at this degree of R2 improvement as the effect size f2 of Cohen (1988), it corresponds to a very large effect at 110%. Second, as a result of comparing changes in normalized variable importance through SEM-ANN two-stage analysis, variables with high importance in SEM were also found to have high importance in ANN, but variables with little or no importance in SEM became important in ANN. This study is meaningful in that it increased the validity of the comparison by using the same learning and evaluation method in the SEM-ANN two-stage analysis. This study is meaningful in that it compared the degree of improvement in prediction performance and the change in variable importance through SEM-ANN two-stage analysis.

Aerodynamic Design Program for Centrifugal/Mixed-flow Compressors - Part I : Meanline Design and Performance Prediction - (원심/사류압축기의 공력설계 프로그램 개발 - 제1부 : 평균유선 설계/성능해석 -)

  • Oh, Jong-Sik
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.12a
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    • pp.457-463
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    • 2003
  • A general program of meanline design and/or performance prediction for centrifugal/mixed-flow compressors is successfully commercialized using various empirical loss models. 4 types of diffusers, 3 types of exit elements, shrouded/unshrouded impellers and real gas option are included in the program capabilities. Total 16 cases of benchmark test results proved its reliability to be effectively utilized in the development processes.

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A Study on the Key Performance Factors of Passenger Airbag and Injury Risk Prediction Technique Development (동승석 에어백 핵심 성능 인자 및 상해위험도 예측 기법 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Dongkyou
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2013
  • Until now, passenger airbag design is based on the referred car design and many repetitive crash tests have been done to meet the crash performance. In this paper, it was suggested a new design process of passenger airbag. First, key performance factors were determined by analyzing the injury risk effectiveness of each performance factor. And it was made a relationship between injury risk and performance factor by using the response surface model. By using this one, it can be predicted the injury risk of head and neck. Predicted injury risk of optimal design was obtained through this injury risk prediction model and it was verified by FE analysis result within 18% error of head and 9% error of neck. It was shown that a target crash performance can be met by controlling the key performance factors only.

Performance Prediction of Single(Double) Suction Centrifugal Pumps (단 (양) 흡입형 원심 펌프의 성능 예측)

  • 오형우;정명균
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 1997
  • A performance prediction method is presented for single(double) suction centrifugal pumps with a review of loss correlations given in the previous open literature. Most of the loss analyses mentioned in the present study are one dimensional and this paper investigates several modeling schemes and shows that a fairly good prediction can be achieved by a proper selection of the most important flow parameters resulting from a mean streamline analysis. Predictions of the trends of total head- capacity and pump efficiency-capacity curves agree well with the experimental data in almost the full range of operating conditions. The prediction method developed through this study can serve as a tool to ensure good matching between parts and it can assist the understanding of the operational characteristics of general purpose centrifugal pumps.

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Performance Analysis of Coding According to the Interpolation filter in Inter layer Intra Prediction of H.264/SVC (H.264/SVC의 계층간 화면내 예측에서 보간법에 따른 부호화 성능 분석)

  • Gil, Dae-Nam;Cheong, Cha-Keon
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.225-227
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    • 2009
  • International standard specification, H.264/SVC improved from H.264/AVC, is set up so as to promote free use of huge multimedia data in various channel environments.;H.264/AVC is a international standard speicification for video compression, adopted and commercialized as standard for DMB broadcasting by JVT of ISO/IEC MPEG and ITU-T VCEG. SVC standard uses 'intra/inter prediction' in AVC as well as 'inter-layer intra prediction', 'inter-layer motion prediction' and 'inter-layer residual prediction' to improve efficiency of encoding. Among prediction technologies, 'inter-layer intra prediction' is to use co-located block of up sampled sublevels as a prediction signal. At this time, application of interpolation is one of the most important factors to determine encoding efficiency. SVC's currently using poly-phase FIR filter of 4-tap and 2-tap respectively to luma components. This paper is written for the purpose of analyzing encoding performance according to the interpolation. For this purpose, we applied poly-phase FIR filter of '2-tap', '4-tap' and '6-tap' respectively to luma components and then measured bit-rate, PNSR and running time of interpolation filter. We're expecting that the analysis results of this paper will be utilized for effective application of interpolation filter. SVC standard uses 'intra/inter prediction' in AVC as well as 'inter-layer intra prediction', 'inter-layer motion prediction' and 'inter-layer residual prediction' to improve efficiency of encoding.

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Adaptive Two Dimensional Linear Prediction Algorithm For Estimating Incident Angles of Multiple Broadbamd Signals. (다수의 광대역 신호의 입사각 추정을 위한 이차원의 정응선형예측 알고리즘)

  • 김태원
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1987.11a
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 1987
  • An algorithm for estimating incident angles of multiple broaband signals is proposed. The method adopts semicausal model for two dimensional linear prediction filter coefficients such that the arithmatic averag of the mean squared values of the forward and reverse prediction arrors is minimized. Preliminary results demonstrating the performance of the proposed method are presented. Simulation results indicate that the performance depends on signal-to-noise ratio and prediction order in spatial demension.

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