• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Formula

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A Proposal of New Breaker Index Formula Using Supervised Machine Learning (지도학습을 이용한 새로운 선형 쇄파지표식 개발)

  • Choi, Byung-Jong;Park, Chang-Wook;Cho, Yong-Hwan;Kim, Do-Sam;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.384-395
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    • 2020
  • Breaking waves generated by wave shoaling in coastal areas have a close relationship with various physical phenomena in coastal regions, such as sediment transport, longshore currents, and shock wave pressure. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately predict breaker index such as breaking wave height and breaking depth, when designing coastal structures. Numerous scientific efforts have been made in the past by many researchers to identify and predict the breaking phenomenon. Representative studies on wave breaking provide many empirical formulas for the prediction of breaking index, mainly through hydraulic model experiments. However, the existing empirical formulas for breaking index determine the coefficients of the assumed equation through statistical analysis of data under the assumption of a specific equation. In this paper, we applied a representative linear-based supervised machine learning algorithms that show high predictive performance in various research fields related to regression or classification problems. Based on the used machine learning methods, a model for prediction of the breaking index is developed from previously published experimental data on the breaking wave, and a new linear equation for prediction of breaker index is presented from the trained model. The newly proposed breaker index formula showed similar predictive performance compared to the existing empirical formula, although it was a simple linear equation.

Noise Prediction of Hovering Tilt Rotor (정지 비행 시 틸트 로터에서 발생하는 소음 예측)

  • Kim, Kyu-Young;Lee, Seong-kyu;Lee, Duck-Joo;Hong, Suk-Ho;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.821-825
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    • 2005
  • Tilt rotor aircraft was developed for satisfying VSTOL (vertical short take off and landing) capability and cruise performance. However the noise generated by tilt rotor system causes one of the most serious problems. In this paper, noise characteristics of tilt rotor system in hovering flight are predicted by using free wake method and Lowson's formula. The flow field of the tilt rotor is simulated by using time marching free wake method, and the free field acoustic pressure is calculated through Lowson's formula. The predicted results are compared with experimental data at various observing positions. In the near field, they show good agreement with experimental data regardless of rotating speed and collective pitch angles of 6, 8 and 10 degree, although there are some discrepancies between prediction and experiment in the far field and at the rotating axis in the near field. It seems that the reason of these discrepancies is difference of unsteady force fluctuation between experiment and calculation.

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Predictions of curvature ductility factor of doubly reinforced concrete beams with high strength materials

  • Lee, Hyung-Joon
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.831-850
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    • 2013
  • The high strength materials have been more widely used in reinforced concrete structures because of the benefits of the mechanical and durable properties. Generally, it is known that the ductility decreases with an increase in the strength of the materials. In the design of a reinforced concrete beam, both the flexural strength and ductility need to be considered. Especially, when a reinforced concrete structure may be subjected an earthquake, the members need to have a sufficient ductility. So, each design code has specified to provide a consistent level of minimum flexural ductility in seismic design of concrete structures. Therefore, it is necessary to assess accurately the ductility of the beam sections with high strength materials in order to ensure the ductility requirement in design. In this study, the effects of concrete strength, yield strength of reinforcement steel and amount of reinforcement including compression reinforcement on the complete moment-curvature behavior and the curvature ductility factor of doubly reinforcement concrete beam sections have been evaluated and a newly prediction formula for curvature ductility factor of doubly RC beam sections has been developed considering the stress of compression reinforcement at ultimate state. Based on the numerical analysis results, the proposed predictions for the curvature ductility factor are verified by comparisons with other prediction formulas. The proposed formula offers fairly accurate and consistent predictions for curvature ductility factor of doubly reinforced concrete beam sections.

Long-term Behavior of FCM Bridges considering Seasonal Temperature Variation - Part 1 (계절변화에 따른 PSC 균형 켄틸레버 교량의 장기거동 특성)

  • Lee, Son-Ho;Lee, Hak-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2001
  • The objective of this study is to derive a shrinkage correction formula that considers temperature effect and to develop a methodology for the improved prediction of the long-term behavior of the FCM bridges by considering seasonal temperature variations in-situ. Thereby, current formulation were performed by using the actual experimental shrinkage data including seasonal temperature variation. The investigation of the long-term behavior of the FCM bridge was performed on the construction site in order to decide applicability of the shrinkage formula Numerical results by the general method indicates inaccurate values of total strain when considering real strain, whereas the applied method demonstrates a good agreement in the resultant strain. In consequently, the applied method will improve the prediction of the long-term deformation of the FCM Bridges.

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A Study on the Prediction & Transformation of Blasting Vibration for Environmental Regulation Standard (발파진동의 예측기법과 환경규제 기준으로의 변환 연구)

  • 김남수;양형식
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2001
  • The estimation of proper prediction method and the transformation method of environmental regulation standard were carried out by measuring blasting vibration. Vibration velocity was more adequate than vibration level in the blasting design by scaled distance. Thus, design and construction mutt be controlled by vibration velocity, and it is required that the vibration velocity is transformed to vibration level to meet regulation standard. Three transformation methods were studied. First, transformation formula is derived from the shock vibration data only. The second method it the transformation by correlation equation of vibration velocity and vibration level measured at the same time. The last one is the transformation of vibration velocity by FFT. It seems to be difficult to estimate damages by these methods because that every method shows considerable error. But transformation formula of PPV component to vibration level was most practical.

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A Case Study on the Vibration Propagation Characteristics by Underwater Rock Cutting Work (수중 쇄암작업에 따른 진동 전파 특성에 관한 시공 사례)

  • Lim, Dae-Kyu;Shin, Young-Cheol;Kim, Young-Min;Lee, Chung-Eon
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2015
  • The common underwater rock removal methods involve underwater blasting and crane's chisel dropping impact method. From an environmental point of view, these methods cause ground vibrations and underwater noise. At the site for this study, a method of dropping heavyweight chisel is selected to remove the underwater bedrock near the ferry rack in the course of improving the cargo handling ability of the loading dock. A prediction formula for the vibration was obtained based on the measurement and evaluation of the vibrations caused by the chisel dropping impacts during the test droppings. The prediction formula was successfully applied to the main construction for securing the stability of the structure.

A Study on the Effects of Weight and Center of Gravity of a Planing Craft on Running Attitude (활주선의 하중 및 무게 중심 위치 변화가 항주 자세에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Rhee, Key-Pyo;Park, Han-Sol
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.335-342
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    • 2009
  • Motion characteristics of a planing craft are sensitively changed according to its weight and longitudinal center of gravity. In this paper, planing craft model tests were performed in calm water for various test conditions and Froude numbers. Sinkage and trim were measured to analyze the relations between the attitudes of a planing craft and the weight and center of gravity of it. Theoretical formula for the prediction of the attitudes of a prismatic planing hull was modified so that it can be applied to the prediction of the attitudes of a non-prismatic planing hull, and the calculation results by the modified formula were in good agreements with the experimental data.

PREDICTION OF THE DETECTION LIMIT IN A NEW COUNTING EXPERIMENT

  • Seon, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2008
  • When a new counting experiment is proposed, it is crucial to predict whether the desired source signal will be detected, or how much observation time is required in order to detect the signal at a certain significance level. The concept of the a priori prediction of the detection limit in a newly proposed experiment should be distinguished from the a posteriori claim or decision whether a source signal was detected in an experiment already performed, and the calculation of statistical significance of a measured source signal. We formulate precise definitions of these concepts based on the statistical theory of hypothesis testing, and derive an approximate formula to estimate quickly the a priori detection limit of expected Poissonian source signals. A more accurate algorithm for calculating the detection limits in a counting experiment is also proposed. The formula and the proposed algorithm may be used for the estimation of required integration or observation time in proposals of new experiments. Applications include the calculation of integration time required for the detection of faint emission lines in a newly proposed spectroscopic observation, and the detection of faint sources in a new imaging observation. We apply the results to the calculation of observation time required to claim the detection of the surface thermal emission from neutron stars with two virtual instruments.

Multi-gene genetic programming for the prediction of the compressive strength of concrete mixtures

  • Ghahremani, Behzad;Rizzo, Piervincenzo
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2022
  • In this article, Multi-Gene Genetic Programming (MGGP) is proposed for the estimation of the compressive strength of concrete. MGGP is known to be a powerful algorithm able to find a relationship between certain input space features and a desired output vector. With respect to most conventional machine learning algorithms, which are often used as "black boxes" that do not provide a mathematical formulation of the output-input relationship, MGGP is able to identify a closed-form formula for the input-output relationship. In the study presented in this article, MGPP was used to predict the compressive strength of plain concrete, concrete with fly ash, and concrete with furnace slag. A formula was extracted for each mixture and the performance and the accuracy of the predictions were compared to the results of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) algorithms, which are conventional and well-established machine learning techniques. The results of the study showed that MGGP can achieve a desirable performance, as the coefficients of determination for plain concrete, concrete with ash, and concrete with slag from the testing phase were equal to 0.928, 0.906, 0.890, respectively. In addition, it was found that MGGP outperforms ELM in all cases and its' accuracy is slightly less than ANN's accuracy. However, MGGP models are practical and easy-to-use since they extract closed-form formulas that may be implemented and used for the prediction of compressive strength.

Wind load estimation of a 10 MW floating offshore wind turbine during transportation and installation by wind tunnel tests (풍동시험을 활용한 10 MW급 부유식 해상풍력터빈 운송 및 설치 시 풍하중 예측)

  • In-Hwan Sim
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2024
  • As the generation capacity of floating offshore wind turbines increases, the wind load applied to each turbine increases. Due to such a high wind load, the capacity of transport equipment (such as tugboats or cranes) required in the transportation and installation phases must be much larger than that of previous small-capacity wind power generation systems. However, for such an important wind load prediction method, the simple formula proposed by the classification society is generally used, and prediction through wind tunnel tests or Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is rarely used, especially for a concept or initial design stages. In this study, the wind load of a 10 MW class floating offshore wind turbine was predicted by a simplified formula and compared with results of wind tunnel tests. In addition, the wind load coefficients at each stage of fabrication, transportation, and installation are presented so that it can be used during a concept or initial design stages for similar floating offshore wind turbines.