• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction Control

검색결과 2,203건 처리시간 0.029초

Prediction-based Interacting Multiple Model Estimation Algorithm for Target Tracking with Large Sampling Periods

  • Ryu, Jon-Ha;Han, Du-Hee;Lee, Kyun-Kyung;Song, Taek-Lyul
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2008
  • An interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation algorithm based on the mixing of the predicted state estimates is proposed in this paper for a right continuous jump-linear system model different from the left-continuous system model used to develop the existing IMM algorithm. The difference lies in the modeling of the mode switching time. Performance of the proposed algorithm is compared numerically with that of the existing IMM algorithm for noisy system identification. Based on the numerical analysis, the proposed algorithm is applied to target tracking with a large sampling period for performance comparison with the existing IMM.

기계적 인장법을 이용한 박판 평 블록의 용접변형 제어 (Control of Welding Distortion for Thin Panel Block Structure using Mechanical Tensioning Method)

  • 김상일
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.68-74
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    • 2006
  • The welding distortion of a hull structure in the shipbuilding industry is inevitable at each assembly stage. This geometric inaccuracy caused by the welding distortion tends to preclude the introduction of automation and mechanization and needs the additional man-hours for the adjusting work at the following assembly stage. To overcome this problem, a distortion control method should be applied. For this purpose, it is necessary to develop an accurate prediction method which can explicitly account for the influence of various factors on the welding distortion. The validity of the prediction method must be also clarified through experiments. For the purpose of reducing the weld-induced bending deflection, this paper proposes the mechanical tensioning method (MTM) as the optimum distortion control method. The validity of this method has been substantiated by a number of numerical simulations and actual measurements.

종속형 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 네트워크 제어 시스템의 시간 지연 예측 (Time Delay Prediction of Networked Control Systems using Cascade Structures of Fuzzy Neural Networks)

  • 이철균;한창욱
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.899-903
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    • 2019
  • 네트워크 제어 시스템에서는 송신 신호의 시간 변동 지연이 불가피하다. 전송 지연이 고정된 샘플링 시간보다 길면 시스템이 불안정해진다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 본 논문은 논리 기반의 퍼지 신경망을 이용하여 지연을 예측하는 방법을 제안하며, 예측된 시간 지연은 네트워크 제어 시스템의 샘플링 시간으로 사용된다. 제안된 방법의 효과를 검증하기 위해, 실제 시스템에서 수집된 지연 데이터를 사용하여 논리 기반 퍼지 신경 네트워크를 훈련하고 테스트한다.

ABR 서비스를 위한 트래픽 예측 제어 알고리즘 연구 (A Study on Predictive Traffic Control Algorithms for ABR Services)

  • 오창윤;장봉석
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2000
  • ATM은 비동기 시분할 및 통계적 다중화 특성을 기존의 데이터 통신분야에 도입함으로써 멀티미디어를 이용한 다양한 통신을 유연하게 서비스할 수 있다. AIM ABR 서비스는 망의 혼잡상태에 대한 피드백 정보를 활용하여 트래픽을 제어하여 요구되는 서비스 품질을 보장할 수 있으며 최소의 대역폭을 보장하고 가용 대역폭을 최대 셀 전송률까지 높여 전송할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 ATM 망에서 더욱 효과적인 ABR 트래픽 제어를 위해서 피드백 정보 형성에 큐 길이 예측제어 방법을 적용한다. 스위치에서 발생한 혼잡상황 임박에 대한 피드백 정보가 역방향 노드에 도착하기 위해서 더욱 긴 지연시간을 갖는 경우에, 제어되기 전에 도착되는 트래픽에 의해 스위치에서의 큐 길이는 이미 혼잡상황을 발생할 수 있으며 또한 큐 길이의 시간 대비 변화량이 비효율적으로 크게 된다. 이 논문에서 제시한 피드백 예측 제어방식들은 스위치에서 시간 대비 큐 길이함수의 기울기와 이전의 큐 변화량을 이용하여 스위치의 큐 길이를 미리 예측하였으며, 그 예측을 통한 혼잡상황 정보를 미리 역방향 노드에게 전달한다. 예측 제어방식으로는 NLMS와 신경망 구조를 이용하였으며 두 방식에 대해 비교하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과 본 논문에서 제시한 알고리즘은 예측기능이 없는 피드백 제어 방식에 비해 더욱 효과적임이 증명되었다. 즉, 예측을 통해서 피드백 정보의 긴 지연을 상쇄함을 이용하여. 스위치에서 큐 길이의 안정화와 더욱 효율적인 혼잡제어가 가능할 수 있음을 보여 준다.

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Case Prediction in BPM Systems : A Research Challenge

  • Reijers, Hajo A.
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2007
  • The capabilities ofBusiness Process Management Systems (BPMS's) are continuously extended to increase theeffectiveness of the management and enactment of business processes. This paper identifies the challenge ofcase prediction, which for a specific case under the control of a BPMS deals with the estimation of the remaining time until it is completed. An accurate case prediction facility is a valuable tool for the operationalcontrol of business processes, as it enables the pre-active monitoring of time violations. Little research has beencarried out in this area and few commercial tools support case prediction. This paper lists the requirements onsuch a facility and sketches sonae directions to reach a solution. To illustrate the depth of the problem, a smallaspect of the problem is treated in more detail. It involves the complex relations between tasks and resources inbusiness processes, which makes an exact analytical approach mfeasible.

CFD를 이용한 초음속 유도탄 기저항력 예측 (BASE DRAG PREDICTION OF A SUPERSONIC MISSILE USING CFD)

  • 이복직
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.59-63
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    • 2006
  • Accurate prediction of a supersonic missile base drag continues to defy even well-rounded CFD codes. In an effort to address the accuracy and predictability of the base drags, the influence of grid system and competitive turbulence models on the base drag is analyzed. Characteristics of some turbulence models is reviewed through incompressible turbulent flow over a flat plate, and performance for the base drag prediction of several turbulence models such as Baldwin-Loman(B-L), Spalart-Allmaras(S-A), k-$\varepsilon$, k-$\omega$ model is assessed. When compressibility correction is injected into the S-A model, prediction accuracy of the base drag is enhanced. The NSWC wind tunnel test data are utilized for comparison of CFD and semi-empirical codes on the accuracy of base drag predictability: they are about equal, but CFD tends to perform better. It is also found that, as angle of attack of a missile with control fins increases, even the best CFD analysis tool we have lacks the accuracy needed for the base drag prediction.

Dual-PDA를 이용한 절삭유 에어로졸 특성분석에 관한 연구(II) - 선삭공정의 절삭유 에어로졸 예측 (A Study on the Characteristics Analysis of Cutting Fluid Aerosol Using Dual-PDA System(II) - for Cutting Fluid Aerosol Prediction in Turning Process)

  • 정의식;황덕철;우창기;황준
    • 한국분무공학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the analytical approaches to predict cutting fluid aerosol formation characteristics in machining process. The prediction model which is based on the rotary atomization theory analyzes aerosol behaviors in terms of size and concentration. Experiments were tarried out to verify the aerosol formation prediction model under various operational conditions. The experimental results which are obtained by Dual-PDA measurement show resonable agreement with prediction results of aerosol concentration. This study can be provided as a basis to estimate and control the hazardous cutting fluid aerosol in machining process in view of environmental consciousness.

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변압기 예방진단을 위한 IEC61850 객체모델에 관한 연구 (The Study of IEC61850 Object Models for Transformer Preventive Diagnosis)

  • 황보승욱;오의석;김병진;김현성;이정복;박귀철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.103-104
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    • 2006
  • Since the first proposition of IEC61850 object model at 1993, many questions about making a seamless model have been issued. the reason which they have worry about is that the functions of the equipment are supposed to be changed properly and new equipment and scheme are need to be introduced according to user's application. To handle those issues, TC57 which is a IEC committee for power control and communication has continuously updated the object model. Nowadays along with the new object model involving power quality, distribution resource and wind power, the committee has a plan to announce the revision of IEC61850-7-4. In the study, authors will present the prediction and diagnosis object models for transformer. Transformer models for protection and control have already been dealt with in the international standard but the models for prediction and diagnosis have never mentioned until now. Designing the prediction and diagnosis functions with the existing IEC61850-7-4, it'll be shown what is a proper object model for prediction and diagnosis.

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TFM에 대한 내장형제어기의 위험측고장률 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on a Prediction of Dangerous Failure Rate in the Embedded System for the Track Side Functional Module)

  • 신덕호;이재훈;이기서
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.170-175
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    • 2005
  • This study presents a prediction of a failure rate in a safety required system that consists of a embedded control system, requiring a satisfaction of a quantitative safety requirement. International Standards are employed to achieve a regular procedures in the whole life cycle of a system, for the purpose of a prediction and a evaluation of a fault that might be able to be happened in a system. This International Standards uses SIL (Safety Integrity Level) to evaluate a safety level of a system. SIL is divided into 4 levels, from level 1 to level 4, and each level has functional failure rate and dangerous failure rate of a system. In this paper we describe the conventional method to predict the dangerous failure rate and propose a method using hazard analysis to predict the dangerous failure rate. The conventional method and the technique using hazard analysis to predict the dangerous failure rate are made a comparison through the control modules of the interlocking system in KTX. The proposed method verify better effectiveness for the prediction of the dangerous failure rate than that of the conventional method.

부하예측 외기냉방에 의한 건물에너지 절약에 관한 연구 (A Study on Building Energy Saving using Outdoor Air Cooling by Load Prediction)

  • 김태호;유성연;김명호
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a control algorithm for outdoor air cooling based on the prediction of cooling load, and to evaluate the building energy saving using outdoor air cooling. Outdoor air conditions such as temperature, humidity, and solar insolation are predicted using forecasted information provided by the meteorological agency, and the building cooling load is predicted from the obtained outdoor air conditions and building characteristics. The air flow rate induced by outdoor air is determined by considering the predicted cooling loads. To evaluate the energy saving, the benchmark building is modeled and simulated using the TRNSYS program. Energy saving by outdoor air cooling using load prediction is found to be around 10% of the total cooling coil load in all locations of Korea. As the allowable minimum indoor temperature is decreased, the total energy saving is increased and approaches close to that of the conventional enthalpy control.